BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point
This is a continuation of the Weekly Inflection Point.
On the daily we're getting close to a crucial area. A downward move here may indicate a large move, correction on the weekly, daily. 16k could easily be hit. There is also the potential for this momentum consolidation to have a breakout leg to 77-88k before a final correction.
Watch for a break above or below the keltner channel. If the stock market is about to tank because WW3, the debt bubble created in 2008-2020, then Bitcoin will get shocked with it while everyone scrambles for PM's.
After maybe bitcoin will be revived when people realize there isn't enough PM's out there, else some world wide digital currency emerges.
Either way I have little hope for bitcoin, unless the NWO backs it because of the transparent transactions that can be traced, blacklisted, non fungible- control. Such a currency is a fools hope and will be used against you when tyranny seeks control over you.
Keltnerchannelsbands
XAUUSD Gold to 4KTimeline is 6 months - 2 years
The crash has already started. At some point everyone will start to sell thier treasury bonds, yields will go up proportionally to inflation until the dollar loses it's status as the global currency and dramatic measures are used to stop inflation resulting in stagflation and yield recovery. Else hyper inflation and the dollar is replaced entirely.
I see the momentum indicators shifting in various markets. Below is a brief summary of each, relevant indicators/markets. see charts.
US1YRBILLS
WTI CRUDE
SILVERUSD
BONKCOIN
TSLA
BTCUSD Weekly Inflection pointWhat I have here are a bunch of momentum channels piled on each other on the keltner channel oscillator. (weekly light blue, daily green, 3hr light purple) I didn't bother hiding lines from the diff time frames, which helps put into perspective each zone in accordance to the keltner channel TF price is in. IE on the weekly we're above the KC Mid Line. Same with each TF all the way to the 1 Hour where we're consolidating. A shift on the 1 hour makes for a potential shift on the 3 hour, and judging by our position in the relative channels on the various time frames I expect consolidation on the 3 hour with the potential to consolidate on the daily and weekly.
This is what I call an inflection point.
Weekly:
Daily:
3 Hour:
Here is a previous chart with a daily inflection point:
Which direction it goes on the inflection point is a guess, unless watching every timeframe to see the inflection points on the lower TF's develope in real time. Momentum shifts mark a point where momentum consolidates; from which it could break out or break down.
When I start to see shifts on the smaller time frames, they tend to consolidate, and push thier final peaks of emotion (price peaks) until the larger time frames develope a shift and consolidates as well.
My first chart uses a weekly inflection point/momentum shift and the keltner channel to determine that price would drop to 20k from 60k...
US10Y - US Ten Year Yields WeeklySome weekly consolidation; Possible yields haven't topped yet. These inflection points lead to weekly and monthly trend changes which I will be looking for a potential spike as momentum shifts back down and rates test the keltner channel mid or upper line. There is also a possibility that rates breakout of the resistance (trend change) of this bullish leg from 2020. The Red line on the keltner channel oscillator at the bottom.
I expect more black swan events to occur as chaos ramps up in the next year.
HG Futures, Copper's Potential Rise: Monthly, Weekly, Daily.Monthly is winding up for a big drop or huge jump.
Monthly:
Weekly:
Daily shows price winding up potentially the rest of the year. So I will look towards year end for the fireworks, that will decide if our pent up momentum will release upwards or downwards.
My gut says inflation will send it upward in the near future.
TSLA - Weekly Inflection PointDaily is winding up to an inflection point, while the weekly is getting close as well. I'm favoring the bearish break; but there is a chance for a bullish reversal- so time will tell. What I can say is that we're approaching a conclusive point in time that will send price with signifcant momentum in either direction. When I look for an inflection point I watch for consolidating momentum. In turn I watch for breaks that releases the built up energy.
Previous Analysis:
BTCUSD - Potential Daily Inflection PointThis probably still needs time but we're approaching an inflection point, it may take another month or two to wind up, so I'll have to watch. Bitcoin has been popping up in it's low liquidity enviroment, and the MM is likely net short due to the influx of buyers. Since the market needs sellers, it's possible MM will push price down to get some liquidity.
On the 1 hour, DXY is playing it's usual games, and bitcoin is hitting a momentum shift; looks like another short squeeze without any follow through.
As DXY pushed up, bitcoin gets hammered back down.
I made some trend lines on the keltner channel that gives me the momentum shift signals.
Here is an earlier SS from last night:
Current Daily:
So I expect the resistance on the daily and dxy to push bitcoin back down into breakdown territory.
If not then it could be a major breakout.
1 YR US BILLS - WEEKLYSeeing a weekly momentum shift forming, expect major trend change.
Couple of scenarios, Economy could break and fed allows inflation to creep up while easing on rates, If they reduce reverse repo rates then yields will drop as money market funds buy 1 yr bills on the open market again.
Otherwise they might have to increase rates if inflation continues to weigh heavily on the economy with prices shooting up too fast.
1D
1W
Execute Order 666: BTCUSD The Final Collapse - Inflection PointHere we continue the saga of the FTX fallout. Another dominoe in the collapse is falling. Bitcoin has broken a 4 hour momentum channel which appears to be the next leg to lower lows.
This is the Daily version, since the 1 hour chart will not play for very long.
4 Hour Channel:
BTCUSD Daily - Little Hope Left Crypto Winter in SeasonAs you can see bitcoin is in a dire situation. There maybe a relief bounce to 33k to close a gap produced on the bearish push down. However I doubt that it will amount to anything, if it were to hold there is a chance for a new bullish cycle to start, but no signs yet. Instead we're developing momentum downward and will start to really grind if we don't get that relief bounce soon. The trend on the daily is a loss of momentum, I'm seeing a 5th wave ending on bitcoins grander cycles meaning the deepest bearish cycles may yet come to be. Maybe it will be a quick gutting, everything crashes at once, and bitcoin goes to unimaginable lows. As the dust settles, it may re-emerge from its ashes and start a new cycle. If not, it could be a slow and painful, complicated recovery or simply an outright death.
Big Picture:
Zoom Zoom:
Previous Analysis:
Elliot Wave Count/Gann Chart:
Immediate Target 33k (if bitcoin has relief bounce)
Next Target 20-22k
Long Term Target 3-13k
If BTC Recovers 80-120k
This is not financial advice.
BTC succeeded doing first time since 2021 November. Hi dear community and my lovely followers, this is my first post in 2023. Happy New Year, wishing you and your family a happy, healthy and successful New Year 2023.
There is no much to tell you.
As you see BTC did exactly what I told you: Check all my analyses bellow this idea.
As you know I have been posting only macro bullish analyses since 2022 June warning you that a real BTC bottom was at 17.5K in June 2022, and the recent dump to 15.5K was a fake breakdown/bear trap/ spring/ with double bottom+ multi bull divergences.
I expected the recent pump to 21.3K strong supply zone, where BTC rejected. After retrace to 18.5-19K, it will continue its upward move to 24-25K:
Pay attention to the chart and see how BTC succeeded breaking daily KC and close candle above it for the first time since 2021 November. This is super bullish for BTC. BTW BTC broke 21 weekly EMA, I hope weekly candle closes above it.
The only thing I want to happen in coming days, daily candle close above 21.5K which will create new High and will confirm all my analyses posted since June 2022. It will mark potential trend reversal and upcoming multi-months rally.
If you like my ideas, don't forget to like, comment and follow me.
BTCUSD 1 Hour - Slow and Certain Breakdown. 11/13/22Indicators are signaling a breakdown for some time, and now momentum is building, fate has been decided.
20K target was reached from my dec 2021 analysis.
Every target hit this year.
Next up is domino contagion now that everyone has realised the crypto sphere is built on lies.
F
The
X
We have reserves, against 9x liabilities, in order to profit and extract from the market with user funds, while simultaneously getting exposed to financial instruments used to prop up the institutions that is keeping you under control.
Bitcoin was the greatest bait and switch, built by the Seeing Eye Eh?
Instead of granting you freedom it used you to finance the next step to slavery.
I swear to lick the hands that spare me and grant me small comforts after taking everything away by limiting said choices in this game to pathways to nowhere.
You can't win if there is no pathway to success; if there is no free market of ideas; there is only an illusion you can win.
100%
June:
you can see how the same pattern is starting to play out again.
June 4 Hour:
4 Hour Present:
BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point 2Bitcoin has just about hit the last transient zone, 25k area and has consolidated some 2 months.
It didn't quite reach my first target, but it did consolidate in this zone hitting important price levels leaving new targets.
the 10k-5k zone is an ideal area for the next wave to hit and consolidate in, and because we hadn't hit the 15-10k zone yet, bullish moves are unlikely.
the 13k price has been a target of mine for a while, and in recent charts 1k target has also been considered.
For now, all I see is a dip in crypto, we're apparently in a 5th wave correction, I'm hoping for a quick dip instead of a long complicated correction. It would make more sense seeing what the world markets are doing.
1 Hour
4 Hour
1 Day
1 Week
Also Noteably We're under the 1x1 on the Log All Time Gann Chart/Box
If bitcoin can break up in this zone, then long positions will be considered.
This is not finanical advice.
Keltner Channels simple but effective profit targetsOur new super simple KC Crypto Profit Targets +/- 2 script (OK we gotta work on the title) works like a charm. The circles show almost exact hits of the price at the 2 ATR (All Time Range) multiplier levels (upper and lower blue bands).
Our script discards the +/- 1 and +/- 3 ATR multipliers for simplicity and conservative profit taking sake.
Note that this is the HOURLY chart for a rather volatile and - let's be honest - irrational period in crypto, in particular ETHEREUM. Even so, we see lots of ideal profit opportunities thanks to this simplified Keltner Channels script. Not bad!
Hope it helps!
BTCUSD BULLISH ASF Daily 5/11/22Now pay close attention, did you catch it? It's not that difficult to see. Look closer.
We're right at the breaking point. On the edge, so is it time? Oh it's time!
Previous Analysis:
Daily
1 Hour
15 Minute
So the 1 Hour is right near an inflection point, either it will breakout here and do some serious bearish action; or it'll reverse.
The problem with the reversal on the 1 hour is the 15 minute looks like its ready to dump some more, meaning price will push over the edge of the 1 hour and the reversal zone on the daily will break and push to significantly lower lows.
There maybe another buying opportunity coming this month, but this one might be a selling opportunity provided the 15 minute continues to breakdown and release the 1 hour.
This is not financial advice.
Good Luck.
BTCUSD 2 Hour SetupsUsing the keltner channel and the weekly chart for support levels/breakdowns. Currently at an inflection point on the 2 hour. A breakdown or trend reversal is probable in this zone. I use the KCO Keltner channel oscillator to identify trend changes, in this case on the 2 hour. I draw straight traditional support lines on the KCO that are curved along the 21 ema, this helps show when price is changing momentum. You get some similar patterns on the KCO as you would on the price/time chart and when combined with the break across the ema provide powerful signals for large price swings.
Momentum consolidates and price volatility drops, leading to "pressure" building that erupts in a sudden change in price. Could be bullish, could be bearish. A bullish move on the 2 hour could take us to 53k. While the bearish outlook has much lower targets. 53k would be ideal to take profit and wait to see if bitcoin is really bullish, or just bouncing from the big bearish drop.
This is not financial advice.
BA: Short now to go Long laterSee A/H $BA is setting up for a continuation fall. Both 4H & Daily charts look to drop further towards 210 (possibly 204 region). This digestion looks like a diving board. It could be a quick & decisive move. It has broken, tested & held below the 50% zone of recent fib move which means it should flirt to 61.8% then with 213 (88.7%). 210 & then 207(~1.272) are in play as well. The move looks solid on higher timeframes as well. This would be a great buying opportunity Long term especially if 204 is attained. Shorting this trend could finance longer term calls (2+ weeks out). Calendar spreads, Call Debt Spreads even Leaps. This would be healthy for the move towards 300. BUT multiple supply & demand zones are hampering this move up. Supply is 225-238. Tested over 6x now since June '21. So weakened. This could be the last move down before ascending to 240+. However, caution is needed. In the sub-210 region it is shakey with ~205 demand zone support YET 200 has not been tested much & is a Line in the Sand. Approach with caution. If BA loses this, the rabbit hole could be deep. There is a gap around 160. Ugh.
30M Breakdown BTCUSD Crucial Close in the Rotation Zone.30M
Previous Analysis
So here we are, the 30 minute breakdown isn't a big factor but the close in 3 hours on the daily is. The 30 minute breakdown here could send the price back below the TZ and depending on where will decide if we go sideways or breakdown.
A daily close above the TZ is super bullish. IE above ATH.
The weekly and daily are in bullish territory, but all tops are.
So this may be the beginning of a double top.
We will see if we get a breakdown with a lot of follow through.
If we can hold price in between the TZ's then all bets are off as this could break either direction.
This is not financial advice.
Bitcoin at resistance on the gold gann chart.
BTCUSD The Bad News Rolls in Right on Time. 1HThis is getting comical.
Luckily I'm bearish on fundamental reasons and I'm looking for technical reasons to stay bearish.
The 1 hour looks pretty bullish? hah, actually it's on the verge of a breakdown again as this chart is inverted and is showing signs of reversing.
I see a 1 hour bullish, ahem, bearish signal. Not the best but this will be a leg to test and start a new down trend. Overall we're in a lower high formation with a 75% retracement on the leg down from the 64k top.
My last chart was banking on the 618 reversal zone, but just because it was wrong doesnt mean I'm not right to be bearish.
We'll see how much longer you can hold bitcoin while making sacrafices in the upcoming shortageapocalypse.
Enjoy the show.
- This is not financial advice.
Bitcoin we have a problem! BTCUSD 1HBitcoin... we have a decision.
Chase the break or is it fake?
Watching the 15min we have breakout potential the question is, is all the potential gone?
Were we just flushing out all the 100x leverage shorters out there?
We're once again in an important rotation zone.
On the 1 hour there is not enough momentum for a change in the daily bear scenario.
If we break out here longs are to be considered. However, a send south puts us right back into a 1 way street to 10k.
The 15min
The 1min
You see the one minute has rotated at a crucial point at the 15 min, which will rotate at a crucial point on the 1 hour....
Up, or down?
BTCUSD 1D - We've seen this before, will it play out again?Last time this happened we ended up going right back to the start.
Last time we dropped off the clif was because of covid, this next time around might involve some new disaster with the dollar/debt bubble.
Just remember bitcoin doesn't exist in a vacuum.
If the market tanks again, there is no safe place for you money.
Daily:
Weekly:
We're in the 30-39k range of the shoulders, if we don't get a follow through with another bullish break, then anything can happen.