Will $key break out of this huge Falling Wedge?NYSE:KEY has retraced over 75% (In this falling wedge) from a March 2024 high of 0.0135
Current Price: 0.0043
#key is currently a low Risk buy as most previous low is 0.0032
Expecting a break out of Falling wedge leading to resistances up to 0.0135
This idea invalidates under 0.0032
KEY
USD/JPY Forecast: Bullish Bias Expected – Key Factors to Watch.USD/JPY Forecast: Bullish Bias Expected – Key Factors to Watch (20/09/2024)
As we analyze the USD/JPY pair on 20/09/2024, the outlook appears to be slightly bullish for this week and next. Several key drivers are pushing the U.S. dollar higher against the Japanese yen, creating an attractive opportunity for traders. In this article, we’ll break down the fundamental factors behind this forecast and highlight the elements influencing USD/JPY price action in the coming days.
1. US Dollar Strength Bolsters USD/JPY
The strength of the U.S. dollar is a critical factor contributing to the bullish bias in USD/JPY. With the Federal Reserve signaling a commitment to maintaining high interest rates for an extended period, the greenback remains in demand. Fed officials have recently emphasized their concerns about persistent inflation, leading markets to believe that U.S. interest rates will stay elevated for longer than previously expected.
This hawkish monetary stance, coupled with strong economic data, has made the U.S. dollar more attractive to investors. As a result, USD/JPY has been moving higher, with the strong dollar likely to continue exerting upward pressure on the pair.
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2. Dovish Bank of Japan Keeps the Yen Weak
On the other side of the equation, the Japanese yen remains under pressure due to the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) ultra-loose monetary policy. The BoJ has shown no signs of tightening monetary policy in the near term, despite global inflationary trends. Japan’s central bank continues to prioritize economic support, maintaining low interest rates while avoiding any drastic policy shifts.
This dovish stance contrasts sharply with the Federal Reserve’s hawkish policy, widening the interest rate differential between the U.S. and Japan. This is a major driver of USD/JPY’s bullish outlook, as investors gravitate towards the higher-yielding U.S. dollar over the lower-yielding yen.
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3. Interest Rate Differentials Favor USD/JPY Upside
One of the most important factors pushing USD/JPY higher is the widening interest rate differential between the U.S. and Japan. While U.S. Treasury yields remain attractive, the yield on Japanese government bonds remains low due to the BoJ’s dovish policy stance. This gap in yields makes the U.S. dollar more appealing for investors seeking better returns.
The widening interest rate gap is a key bullish signal for USD/JPY, as capital continues to flow into U.S. dollar-denominated assets. As long as the Federal Reserve maintains its hawkish tone, and the BoJ remains accommodative, this dynamic will likely support the bullish bias for USD/JPY.
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4. Japanese Economic Weakness Adding Pressure on the Yen
Another factor supporting the bullish bias for USD/JPY is the ongoing weakness in the Japanese economy. Japan has struggled with slow economic growth and weak inflation, further justifying the BoJ’s cautious approach to monetary policy. Domestic consumption remains low, and Japan’s economic recovery has been uneven.
As a result, the Japanese yen continues to face downside pressure, while the U.S. dollar benefits from stronger economic fundamentals. This divergence between the U.S. and Japanese economies adds to the case for a stronger USD/JPY in the coming weeks.
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5. USD/JPY Technical Analysis Suggests Further Upside Potential
From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY is showing signs of further upside. The pair has been testing key resistance levels, and if these levels are broken, we could see a more significant bullish move. The recent price action has shown strength, with USD/JPY consistently finding support at higher lows.
Traders should watch for a potential breakout above these resistance zones, as it could signal further gains for USD/JPY. With strong fundamentals supporting the pair, the technical outlook aligns with the overall bullish bias.
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Conclusion: Bullish Bias Expected for USD/JPY
In conclusion, several fundamental and technical factors support a slightly bullish bias for USD/JPY over the next couple of weeks. The ongoing strength of the U.S. dollar, the dovish stance of the Bank of Japan, favorable interest rate differentials, and Japan’s economic challenges all point towards further upside potential for USD/JPY.
Traders and investors should closely monitor these key drivers as they make their trading decisions. As always, staying updated on central bank policies, economic data, and technical signals will be crucial in navigating the USD/JPY price action during this period.
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USDJPY: Slight Bullish Bias This Week? (19/09/2024)As of September 19, 2024, traders are closely monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential bullish momentum. Several fundamental factors and market conditions indicate that the pair might see a slight upward bias this week. Let’s dive into the key drivers affecting the USDJPY price action.
1. Diverging Central Bank Policies
One of the primary influences on USDJPY is the monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
- Federal Reserve’s Stance: As we move into the week, the market expects the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance or at least keep interest rates elevated. Although there’s some speculation about a possible pause in future rate hikes, the Fed's priority remains controlling inflation. This higher interest rate environment in the US makes the US dollar more attractive, pushing USDJPY upwards.
- Bank of Japan’s Ultra-Loose Policy: In contrast, the BoJ continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, aiming to stimulate Japan’s sluggish economy. Despite rising inflation in Japan, the BoJ has shown little inclination to raise rates aggressively. This Interest rate differential between the US and Japan tends to weaken the yen, giving a bullish outlook for USDJPY.
2. Risk Sentiment in Global Markets
Risk sentiment plays a crucial role in the movement of USDJPY. When global markets are in a risk-off mode, investors tend to flock to safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen, strengthening it. However, recent global economic data and financial news have maintained a somewhat stable risk appetite, leaning towards a risk-on environment.
- US Economic Data: Recent reports from the US, such as better-than-expected retail sales and strong labor market data, continue to support the narrative of economic resilience. This fuels demand for the dollar and supports USDJPY’s bullish momentum.
- Global Geopolitical Risks: While geopolitical tensions in regions like Europe and the Middle East may inject some volatility, there hasn’t been a major shift toward a risk-off sentiment that would heavily favor the yen. For now, dollar strength seems to dominate.
3. Japanese Economic Conditions
Japan’s economy continues to struggle with low growth despite rising inflation. The BoJ’s consistent approach to stimulus, combined with the government's push for wage growth, has not yet translated into significant yen strength. Additionally, trade deficits in Japan, exacerbated by higher import costs, have weighed on the yen’s valuation.
Without a major shift in BoJ policy or a significant improvement in Japan's economic performance, the yen will likely remain under pressure, keeping USDJPY on a slightly bullish path.
4. US Bond Yields
US Treasury yields are another major factor driving the USDJPY. Higher US bond yields, often seen in response to tighter monetary policy and strong economic data, make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors. The upward trajectory of bond yields has been a persistent theme, reinforcing dollar strength. If this trend continues through the week, we can expect additional support for USDJPY.
5. Technical Indicators
Looking at the technical analysis for USDJPY, the pair has been trading near key resistance levels in recent sessions. If the pair breaks above these resistance zones, we could see further bullish momentum.
- Key Support and Resistance Levels: The 145.00 level has been a psychological support level for USDJPY, while 148.50 serves as resistance. Should the pair break beyond this resistance, it could trigger more buying pressure, pushing USDJPY higher.
Conclusion: USDJPY’s Slight Bullish Bias
In conclusion, the USDJPY pair is expected to exhibit a slight bullish bias this week, primarily driven by:
- Monetary policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ.
- Favorable US economic data and rising Treasury yields.
- Limited economic growth in Japan, with persistent trade deficits.
- Stable global risk sentiment supporting the dollar over the yen.
Traders should keep an eye on US bond yields, Fed comments, and any sudden shifts in risk sentiment or geopolitical events, as these could influence USDJPY’s trajectory throughout the week.
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KeyCorp Surges Following $2.8 Billion Investment by ScotiabankKeyCorp (NYSE: NYSE:KEY ) saw its stock price surge by 13% after announcing a significant $2.8 billion investment from the Bank of Nova Scotia (Scotiabank). This strategic partnership, which will see Scotiabank acquire a 14.9% stake in KeyCorp, marks a pivotal moment for both institutions as they navigate the complexities of the North American banking landscape.
The Investment Details
Scotiabank’s $2.8 billion investment in KeyCorp (NYSE: NYSE:KEY ) is set to unfold in two phases. Initially, Scotiabank will inject $800 million by acquiring approximately 47 million shares by the end of the month. The second phase, contingent on regulatory approval from the Federal Reserve and other bodies, will see Scotiabank invest an additional $2 billion to acquire a further 116 million shares, expected to close by Q1 2025.
KeyCorp CEO Chris Gorman described the investment as a "unique opportunity to raise capital on attractive terms." The fixed purchase price of $17.17 per share represents a 17.5% premium to KeyCorp’s closing price of $14.61 on the Friday before the announcement. This premium reflects the confidence Scotiabank has in KeyCorp’s future potential, particularly in the face of an evolving financial landscape.
Strategic Implications for KeyCorp
For KeyCorp (NYSE: NYSE:KEY ), the investment provides more than just a capital boost—it offers strategic flexibility and an accelerated pathway to growth. Despite expressing comfort with its current capital position, Gorman emphasized that this investment allows KeyCorp to expedite its capital and earnings improvement plans, positioning the bank to capitalize on growth opportunities more aggressively.
"This partnership with Scotiabank strengthens our capacity for growth, enabling additional investments in our franchise and increasing our strategic agility," Gorman stated. The infusion of capital will empower KeyCorp to pursue further expansion in key areas such as investment banking, payments, and wealth management. This is particularly significant given the uncertain economic environment, where financial institutions must be nimble and proactive.
Scotiabank’s Strategic Vision
For Scotiabank, this acquisition represents a strategic expansion into the U.S. market, complementing its existing presence across Canada, the U.S., and Mexico. By acquiring a significant stake in KeyCorp, Scotiabank enhances its position as one of the top foreign banking organizations in the U.S., with a robust Global Banking and Markets business.
Scott Thomson, President and CEO of Scotiabank, highlighted the long-term benefits of the investment: "This transaction provides attractive near-term returns to our shareholders and creates future optionality for Scotiabank in the North American corridor." The partnership is expected to open doors for mutually beneficial strategic connections, particularly in areas where the two banks’ operations complement each other.
Market Reaction and Future Outlook
The market responded positively to the announcement, with KeyCorp (NYSE: NYSE:KEY ) shares reaching levels not seen since early 2023. However, Scotiabank’s shares experienced a slight dip, reflecting the typical market response to large-scale investments. Analysts suggest that while the initial cost to Scotiabank may have caused a temporary decline, the long-term benefits of this strategic investment far outweigh the short-term market reaction.
Looking ahead, KeyCorp (NYSE: NYSE:KEY ) is poised to leverage its strengthened financial position to explore new growth avenues. The bank’s ability to execute its capital and earnings improvement strategy more rapidly positions it favorably in the competitive U.S. banking sector.
As regulatory approvals are anticipated by early 2025, both KeyCorp (NYSE: NYSE:KEY ) and Scotiabank are likely to engage in further strategic discussions, exploring how best to integrate their operations and capitalize on the synergies this partnership presents. The potential for growth in investment banking, payments, and wealth management, combined with Scotiabank’s international reach, could set the stage for significant developments in the years to come.
Conclusion
The $2.8 billion investment by Scotiabank in KeyCorp (NYSE: NYSE:KEY ) is more than just a financial transaction; it’s a strategic alliance that could reshape the North American banking landscape. With KeyCorp now armed with increased capital and strategic agility, and Scotiabank expanding its footprint in the U.S. market, both banks are well-positioned to navigate the challenges and opportunities ahead. As this partnership unfolds, investors will be keenly watching how these two financial giants capitalize on this unique opportunity to drive growth and create value for their shareholders.
KEY and why 0.02 programmed Why 0.02 cents programmed for SelfKey ? BINANCE:KEYUSDT
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️Weekly chart trade long time period in 27 zone
➡️First we will see retest of Take profit line on indicator (blue line)
➡️This level will be full fill of weekly imb + break out of downtrend line sine April 2021
➡️Market mood indicator in green zone so its healthy zone for buying
➡️0.5 level by fib will be 0.02$ price target only middle term correction
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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KEY KeyCorp Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t sold KEY before the selloff:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KEY KeyCorp prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 15usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $0.21.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$QQQ Nasdaq with Rate Hiking Cycle DatesGoing along with my usual 'Key Hidden Levels' in the markets perspective that NEWS is an important price level to mark on charts so it is visible to everyone, I have created the update to the "Rate Hiking Cycle" chart.
The purple triangles and lines are the range of the day of the announcement and the mid-point of the day plotted horizontally forward.
With this data you can see how past levels where the Fed Rate Decision occurred has provided either support or resistance to the movement of the market. Typically it hasn't been as obvious the the observer of a chart all by itself without these markings.
At some point these important news levels will be visible for all of us investors so we can see and understand more quickly how the market is absorbing or dealing with the news.
I hope you enjoy this chart an continue to update it for yourself. I will work to get these dates into the system so you can all see them on every chart.
Wishing you all the best in your investing and trading.
Tim
1:48PM, Thursday May 23, 2024
KEY buy setupKEY has a bear structure. There are liquidity pools at the bottom of the chart. It is expected that these pools will be swept and the price will reach the demand range.
In the upper part of the chart, we have two liquidity pools.
We are looking for buy/long positions in the demand range.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate the analysis.
Note that the financial market is risky, so:
Do not enter any position without confirmation and trigger.
Do not enter a position without setting a stop.
Do not enter a position without capital management.
When we reach the first TP, save some profit and try to move the stop continuously in the direction of your profit.
If you have any comments please post them, comments will help us improve our performance
Thanks
KEY KeyCorp Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the KEY KeyCorp options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $14 strike price Puts with
2023-6-16 expiration date for about
$0.27 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
KEY's trend is entirely bullishKEY's trend is entirely bullish and is moving upwards with upward fluctuations. Currently, we are in an ascending channel where Selfkey consistently experiences upward fluctuations.
A likely scenario is to have a pullback to the channel's bottom and then start moving towards the channel's top.
Do you have the KEY?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 KEY has been overall bullish , trading within the rising channel in blue.
Currently, KEY is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand zone and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #KEY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
#KEY/USDT WEEKLY CHART UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS !!Hello friends, welcome to this KEY/USDT update from Crypto Sanders.
Chart Analysis everyone, what are your thoughts on the chart? Please share your comments regarding the KEY weekly update.
KEY has broken out and confirmed its strength through a successful retest. Prepare for an imminent pump.
MA21 continues to provide significant advantages.
I have tried to bring the best possible results in this chart.
If you like it, hit the like button and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you.
Key/Usdt Breakout Alert Key/USDT is currently showing signs of confirming a breakout of a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour time frame. This pattern typically indicates a period of consolidation and uncertainty, with a potential for a significant price movement in either direction upon breakout. In this case, the breakout seems to be bullish.
For a more accurate forecast, it's important to wait for confirmation through a retest of the breakout level. A successful retest often suggests a stronger confirmation of the breakout. In the event of a successful retest, we may anticipate a bullish move ranging from 40% to 80% based on historical patterns and price action.
However, it's crucial to remember that trading and investment decisions should always be taken cautiously. This analysis is not financial advice, and it's strongly advised to conduct your own research (DYOR) and consider various factors before making any trading decisions.
#KEY/USDT#KEY
The price has been moving in a bearish flag since last February
The downtrend has now been broken
The moving average 100was also broken above
We also have oversold conditions on the MACD
Current price is 0.006300
The first target is 0.008160
The second goal is 0.009700
Which represents 170% of the current price
You should pay attention to the retracement areas as shown on the analysis
KEY after breaking above the rectangle will go upKEY after breaking above the rectangle will go up
🔵Entry Zone 0.007812
🔴SL 0.006631
🟢TP 0.021899
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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KEY IS VERY BULLISHOn the chart, from where we placed the red arrow, the KEY bullish wave A has ended and entered a symmetrical triangle, which is completed by consolidating on the flip level.
We expect the pump to tp 1 and tp 2.
By maintaining the green range, it can be pumped for the bullish wave C for weeks.
Fixing 1 daily candle below the green range will violate the analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
KEY/USDT Bullish Momentum for KEY, Ready to bounce from the here💎 KEY has recently exhibited notable market dynamics, currently undergoing a retesting phase at the support level which previously acted as resistance. This retest is crucial for maintaining upward momentum and potentially reaching our target resistance area.
💎 However, if KEY fails to bounce from this support level and even breaks down below it, it could signal a false breakout and a reversal of the upward trend. In such a scenario, the price may retreat towards the demand area or the Bullish OB zone.
💎 It's important to note that KEY needs to successfully bounce from these key levels and reclaim the resistance areas to sustain the upward trajectory.
💎 Failure to do so, especially if the Bullish OB area is breached, may result in continued downward movement, potentially leading to further declines.
KEYUSDT - Rejection is imminentBINANCE:KEYUSDT (4H CHART) Technical Analysis Update
TOKEN is currently trading at $0.005283 and got reject from the resistance line and kind forming the triangle pattern (Yet to fully form the triangle)
We can enter a short trade here and exit at the next support level around 0.04600
Long Entry level: $ Around 0.005151
Stop loss: below $ 0.005405
Target 1: $ 0.005037
Target 2: $ 0.004872
Target 3: $ 0.004584
Max Leverage: 2x
Don't forget to keep stop loss.
Follow Our TradingView Account for More Technical Analysis Updates, | Like, Share and Comment Your thoughts.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
KEY KeyCorp Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold KEY here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KEY KeyCorp prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 16usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-7-19,
for a premium of approximately $0.78.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.