Keyhiddenlevels
$INTC: If there was a time to buy, it is nowYou heard it here first, Intel has finally bottomed long term and it's about to rip from here...A beneficiary of the recent trend of deglobalization/reshoring, and the inflation reduction act, $INTC had been battered and bruised for ages since it peaked back in early 2020, underperforming basically everything since then. Valuation has reached extremely low levels and people were questioning the sanity of the CEO buying shares and making religious remarks about the fate of the company (pretty much praying for the company to do well recently). Very hated name, and it finally looks like the pain is over. Everyone who was holding it for years has capitulated, and the stock ran out of sellers down here. Any slight positive news and buy pressure will make it lift tremendously, specially as people on the sidelines jump in.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$SOLUSDT: Quarterly trend signalSolana has a long term trend that is active, pointing to a rally towards prices over $800 by June 2025.💹
I pointed out the monthly signals in the USDT and BTC ratio charts recently, which triggered during October and indicate the bear market ended.😎✌️
Hopefully you joined then, but still good to enter long term positions now and during the remaining time of the 4th quarter of 2023.👍
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Tesla Here at Key Support at 180-187I published this chart when NASDAQ:TSLA was back up to the "Earnings Level" back in September near $280 and pointed out that it was up against "Key Resistance" and here we are 4+ months later and we have had two more earnings reports and Tesla has fallen back down to another important "News Level" that I labeled "Moody's Upgrade Level".
The reason that Moody's Upgrade level is so important is that it is the level where institutions could actually begin to consider investing in Tesla debt, which at the time was junk-rated, aka 'non-investment-grade' to say it nicely. Why that was important is that it would open the doors to Tesla getting financing at lower rates should they need it and even though Tesla didn't need to borrow any money at that time, the upgrade gave Tesla credibility where they didn't have it before.
For many years there were roadblocks to Tesla selling shares to raise the capital to build plants and grow the business and Tesla had to pay higher than average rates. The Moody's level can start on March 17th, the trading day before the news hit at the lower purple line at $180.13. The other technique is to use the mid-point of the day that the news hit and the next day and that puts $176.35-198.00 as the range or $187 as the Key Support level. You can see how the market reacted to that level multiple times before breaking out in late May on its run up to $299.29.
The entire Tesla story has changed dramatically since they have almost paid off all of their debt and also have accumulated $29.1 billion in cash and short term investments from profits over the past three years. This puts Tesla in a position unlike any other profitable auto company where cash exceeds all debt and capex plans over the next few years. The next stage of the Tesla growth story will be from new manufacturing processes, new batteries, new software and the new CyberTruck just hitting the road since December only a month ago. Stay tuned.
Since I have been following Tesla daily since it went public over 10 years ago, it has been a marathon of headwinds against the company and against Elon. Granted there is plenty of truth to many of the issues that end up in the news, but what I have found is that bias and downright frustration by advertisers, analysts, competitors and short-sellers has played a bigger role in slowing Tesla's success.
I hope you enjoy the "Earnings Level" indicator which is now *FREE* here at TradingView after being a paid-only indicator that I created many years ago. Other services have tried to copy it but the original is here at TradingView, the best software for visualizing and graphing data anywhere.
$MSFT: Long term signal triggeredMicrosoft has now flashed a monthly trend signal, after showing signs of bullishness in weekly charts earlier (see related ideas). If you missed that entry, this is a very low risk entry to join the trend here.
Upside potential is substantial, with risk vs reward favoring exposure to the company long term.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$META: interesting long setupVery nice setup forming here in $META, if it takes out last week's highs I think it can gain traction and likely do very well during Q1 2023 next. It's been basing and holding up with relative strength vs the broad market, which is a good sign, and also might benefit from a potential TikTok ban, as mostly $META and $SNAP control social networks used by Gen Z for the most part. Just a wild card, but interesting nevertheless.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
$META: bull market continues...Nice weekly trend in $META here...As Zuck's leadership continues to impress shareholders finally addressing the excess fat that needed to be shed, the company is well positioned to monetize the growth in Emerging Markets (India, with reshoring, Mexico...) that are heavy users of Whatsapp and would be a boost to revenues from monetization over time, while the Reality Labs call option gives it unknown but potentially huge upside long term. I liked the valuation at the bottom and I like the way things are shaping up on the way up, let's see how it goes.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$XAUUSD: Daily and weekly trend signals continuationStrong action in precious metals, likely to get immediate follow through for the recent bout of strength in Gold here.
Low risk entry if you're not involved in this market, upside is pretty good here vs risk, and you can join the long term trend in the quarterly chart I talked about earlier this year.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$TOTAL: Total Crypto Market CapLong term trend has turned bullish in the Total Crypto Market Cap chart...
I had been waiting for this possibility since last month we had the bullish reversal in monthly scale, warning of the start of a bullish cycle in crypto once again.🎯🎯🎯
This is a great time to follow me here and on X as well as my other channels available.
As you know, I have a solid track record of capturing powerful trends in crypto as well as many other good calls in other markets. But crypto takes the crown when it comes to risk adjusted returns in the long term. Specially when considering that this chart is saying that the crypto market can expand from 1.32 Trillion to between 4.8 and 19.55 Trillion by Q1 2025 onwards.🤪
The CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL chart is a good reminder to start allocating more heavily to this market, and being ready to pounce when opportunities show up.
Best of luck!🤞🧧
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$TSLA: Long term consolidation nextToday I decided to update my long term chart for Tesla Motors.
NASDAQ:TSLA is one stock that has done really well with Time@Mode signals, basically in every timeframe, for as long as I've been following it (since @timwest introduced me to it in 2015)
The quarterly uptrend expired end of June this year, which suggests that price action will be choppy for approximately 15 quarters in a row. Until then, it's probably ok to hold, if you don't have anything better to do with the funds invested in the stock and are ok with the opportunity cost. Personally, I hold no exposure to it and don't plan on it until we have long term clarity again.
I did a mode to mode projection for the next long term target in the stock, the last time I did this I got an approximated target of something between $118 and $336. You can see my old long term forecast in related ideas below.
Currently, I can estimate that price can eventually reach the vicinity of $3280 to $4100.
I'm confident in it getting there over time, but it can take a long wait, maybe by Q4 2026 to get the next trend signal, which will precede the start of steady acceleration to the upside.
Best of luck if you're a shareholder, and if you're not stay tuned for the next long term bullish signal in the stock, I'll be sure to catch it and share it with my clients.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
ZM: Zoom has officially topped...Short it.I'm short $ZM since earlier today, I believe it has peaked here. Investors are likely to take profits now that competition has increased dramatically for them.
They thrived when the world was locked down due to the threat of COVID-19, but now that vaccines will be widely available and distributed globally very soon, holding shares has become extremely risky. I'd urge everyone holding to sell and buy something oversold with proceeds...If interested in knowing what to buy now, contact me.
A short here has very low risk, I think it can last for a long time falling, so do your own due diligence with sizing to not risk more than 1-2% if it goes against you by 3 average ranges.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
SSRM: Interesting valuation and chartSSR Mining has a very interesting setup here, both a quarterly and also a daily signal warrant a long entry here. If the quarterly signal pans out, initially we'd target $16.50 by Q4 2020, but eventually, this could make price trigger further quarterly confirmation for bulls, potentially pushing price to even higher levels, circa 28.31.
Free cash flow is an important metric in the mining business, and in the case of $SSRM, it is at a very healthy levels relative to the market cap. This allows them to have sufficient leeway to pay workers (and avoid the problems with the work force South African miners had recently, for instance), expand into new projects and maintain their currently exploited mines, among others.
Going back to the technicals at play, the current correction in the daily timeframe and reaction to quarterly support paves the way for a very high reward to risk long trade. There's a few different ways to decide on a stop loss distance and position sizing, but in general, for equities I try to give them enough room for the trade idea to pan out favorably, before being forced to bail on a trade or being stopped out prematurely.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
$ANET: Arista looks 'excellent' indeedJust as the greek word, the chart here looks excellent...There's both a daily and a monthly uptrend signal active, which gives this stock tremendous reward to risk potential long term. I am not a huge fan of the valuation, so I was skeptical to get involved but perhaps I am missing something regarding fundamental catalysts for the stock going forward, perhaps related to the boost to demand for their products from the AI large language model war. Companies might scramble to get the required infrastructure to run their algorithms on?
Chart wise, the setup is perfect and predicts a steady trend if price stays above $119 where the monthly trend would be invalidated. The daily predicts immediate upside within the next 10 business days.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
RDY: Top candidate to go long indian shares...$RDY has a very strong monthly trend that is currently active, and also a strong daily chart, showing a trend is now active. We can go long risking a fall under the red line on chart, if aggressive, following the daily signal but aiming to capture the monthly trend as well. This would be a huge reward to risk position if it were to pan out favorably for us.
I see the $INRUSD chart as significantly strong, and similar to the period from 2016 to 2018, and $RDY has a good valuation here, as well as substantial growth potential going forward. Free cash flow yield is 7.93%, EPS growth is positive in the last quarter and in the last year, and they are not too indebted, the company certainly has good liquidity and sales are steadily albeit modetly growing.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
$BIIB: Monster trade, brace yourselvesBiogen has a monster trade brewing here, can't afford to miss this trade. I've been trading it actively since they received FDA approval for their Alzheimer's drug a while back.
The current setup looks very strong and implies a massive uptrend can start from right here.
Best of luck!
Ivan Labrie.
Altcoins: Monthly down trend spotted...Pain isn't over in crypto, and Altcoins excluding Ethereum and Bitcoin look about to fall off a cliff here in the monthly timeframe...
I would suggest to take it easy with crypto positioning, perhaps best to sit this one out in USD at a safe CEX and stake it (say Kraken) for a while.
While recently Ripple has been doing well, it isn't immune to these flash crashes that have been occurring with news like the fund cashing out or the old coins whales moving coins around to dump stuff held since 2013. Until this cycle of bad news after bad news is over more downside is possible here.
To make things worse, crypto performance has 'decoupled' from stocks, but in a bad way, having recently acted more like Gold following the aftermath of the banking crisis that culminated in NASDAQ:SIVB 's untimely death. It's gotten even worse as it now has random price action totally divorced from either Gold or Stocks, and has random crashes as a result of bad news that constantly assault this market.
Stay safe out there!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$AAPL: Trend continuationNASDAQ:AAPL defied expectations with its latest quarterly report, beating earnings and revenue estimates and providing a bullish outlook as well as announcing a stock buyback program and raising the quarterly dividend for the 11th consecutive year in a row.
Time@Mode, which I use to spot actionable opportunities, confirms this breakout as the start of a new trend and indicates a potential for further gains by May 24th before consolidating again after that date. By looking in a detailed manner at the price action surrounding consolidations, I can identify patterns and signals that suggest when to enter or exit a position, or set a stop-loss or take-profit level. This method is based on rigorous research and testing by my mentor @timwest, and has delivered consistent results for me and my subscribers ever since 2015. Recently I've made progress automating it and using it to detect opportunities in various markets effectively.
Keep an eye out for the key earnings support level outlined here, were the stock to retrace and hit it, it would be a low risk buy entry level oversold declines after this trend pans out after the end of the month. Buying strength here is fine as well, would be my first option to join the trend, but it is important to be aware of where a stock reported earnings each quarter.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$ETHUSDT: Bird's eye viewTime@Mode can capture very profitable trends with incredible accuracy and very low risk, at times catching the bulk of returns in a given market, while sidestepping the volatile uninteresting periods.
To do this, you need to know the timeframe in control of the main trends in said instrument. Determining the Timeframe in control means finding the timeframe that explains the recent trend swings in the cleanest way possible.
If you follow crypto markets, you might want to be aware of these trends, and when they trigger, to be able to capture the biggest swings in a painless manner, and stand aside when things become tough and unforgiving (like they have been since basically April 2021).
This analysis breaks down the monthly trends in Ethereum and shows what to look for to capture the next bull run effectively. See the annotations in the chart to know what we have to look for here during the month of May.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$XOM: Uptrend signal in the daily and weeklyExxon🛢️ has nice upside here according to Time@Mode which makes me think it could beat expectations and shoot up and trend steadily for some time.
The company reports earnings this Friday, and is expected to post a $2.606 profit per share, and $85.648 billion dollars of revenue.
Valuation highlights:
Price to Book ratio of 2.46
Price to Free cash flow ratio of 10.80
EPS growth of 32.60% for the past 5 years
LT Debt to Equity of 0.21
P/E ratio of 8.74
Price to sales ratio of 1.18 times sales
Both weekly and daily trends are bullish and suggest price can hit the following targets by the following dates (or sooner):
🎯123.70 to 132.17 by May 11th 2023
🎯134.52 to 164.04 by July 21st 2023
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.