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Keylevel

Range until Upside on Thursday 📞Eurusd did quite a nice job of Holding 4hr support zone 1.09132. We are currently in a range with the resistance at 1.094. The Daily resistance level at 1.0945 held quite well during tuesday's London session. The NY session 4hr candle on Tuesday wicked beneath 4Hr support 1.09132 -> 15-18 some odd pips but closed back inside after buyers showed up and said not today. It is not odd to see the market pullback against the trend from the previous week on Monday/Tuesday as it has done here. The Size of the current " Bearish push" has been 1/8 the size of the Bullish push from the previous week. During the upcoming sessions I can observe a retest of 1.094 4Hr Resistance zone. We have 2 upcoming red folder speeches by Fed chair Jerome Powell which will impact USD strength. Unemployment claims on Thursday and Manufacturing data on Friday to wrap up the week. Unemployment data is supposed to be about flat from the prior week which I see as favorable for a continued ascent on Eurusd Weekly timeframe. Manufacturing data on Friday is forecasted to be mixed. Thinking we can give a good push back to the highs 1.096 1Hr Zone prior to red folder news on friday. The Market Moves Major pips on thursday's. This is because early on in the week the market is setting up. It's setting up for the trend move later on in the week. The Week Matures around Wednesday and Thursday. These are the days when it is especially a good idea to " Let your winners run" .
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Profit Taking after 5% Jump 🍞Profit taking for a trader is crucial because you must pay yourself for the time spent in front of the chart. So long as you follow the adage "Let your profits run and cut your losses short." It is a job and not a hobby/passion at the end of the day. We are playing with real money here! The market has ascended 5% and that is about the extent of the Average True Range when Bitcoin pumps or dumps. So you could roll the dice and hold to see if we run another 2-3% but why not stay disciplined. Price has reached a Weekly resistance level anyways. Pay yourself and go enjoy your life. Anyways there are some players who have been lying on the sidelines for a chance to jump in at a Weekly Level. Nonetheless I am just another talking head on Tradingview. Follow your Plan because if you believe in it, then it is the true way.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ShrewdCatfx
4
Post-Interest Rates... 🏁--> Momentum Push? USD Interest rates helped to pull EURUSD back for better prices. Euro interest rates was the catalyst for a +1% increase in the EURUSD currency pair. The WeekIy candle can push a bit more to end off the week. We usually have a bunch of liquid just past extreme highs and that is what I am explaining on the chart. This is a price action concept. took buys at the beginning of the move and took my humble 14 pips. Anticipating a continuation of price to the upside with consumer sentiment tomorrow. It is expected to improve over the prior data point two weeks ago for the USD. Given the massive buy volume it is difficult for me to visualize that the current daily candle will not attempt at lease so some of push towards the next daily level 1.098 Daily Resistance Level.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Buyers are we Stretching the Luck? 🫢- Weekly Candle is Bullish and has pushed past the previous week's high creating a nice breakout of 77 pips - The 3 Daily candles this week have been Bullish - The Previous Daily candle increased by 70 pips in total ( 31 Pip Body and 40 Pips top wick ) - The previous daily candle's top wick was larger than the body of the candle itself. - The 4hr timeframe has closed two large engulfing bear candles in the time since Interest rates - The Market has punished late buyers with Interest rates data ( I called this out check previous post) - The market has seen a change of character and this has known to be a frequent occurrence with interest rate releases. - I don't think a randomness bias is associated with this Short Idea after we have seen 3 Bullish daily candles in a row ( The evidence above ) - The Market is Beast and representation of the psychology of all of it's participants. Follow your understanding of the price behavior and execute with only good Risk/Reward Ideas.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
🚀📈 NASDAQ: Bulls Taking Charge! Get Ready for a Rocket Ride!The bullish setup on NASDAQ in the 1-hour timeframe is generating excitement among traders.After successfully riding the previous bullish wave from 14250 to 14650, the market is now presenting a highly compelling opportunity to add to long positions to enjoy the rally. Here's why: Price has convincingly broken through a key resistance level that had been fiercely contested in recent days. This level, which had previously acted as a formidable resistance, has now transformed into a strong support zone. This shift signifies a clear victory for the buyers, indicating their growing dominance and the waning strength of the sellers. As a result, we are witnessing the emergence of a powerful short squeeze, where sellers rush to cover their short positions, propelling the market higher. But the bullish case is not just limited to technical factors. On the fundamental front, recent news of a successful debt ceiling agreement has injected fresh optimism into the market. This positive development has rekindled enthusiasm among investors, encouraging them to allocate capital back into equities. With renewed capital inflows expected, the stage is set for further upward momentum in NASDAQ. As for potential profit targets, it is essential to approach the trade with a prudent strategy. The first take profit level can be set at 14800, as it aligns with a significant resistance area that may prompt some profit-taking by short-term traders. The second take profit level can be positioned at 14950, aiming for a continuation of the upward momentum. However, it is crucial to monitor price action and adapt your strategy as the market evolves. So, fasten your seatbelts and get ready for an exhilarating ride as the bulls take charge on NASDAQ! Don't forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful 🐂🚀💰
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Thomas_Zito
2
Ultimate Catalyst : Interest Rates NewsWe saw our increase on Eurusd Halted after the Fed raised rates 3 weeks ago. Now we gain more information on the reasons for their decision. The market has had time to digest the rates and resulted in a substantial decrease for the month of May. We must now observe how the market reacts to their reasons for an increase in rates and the cost of money. Will the dollar continue it's momentum and we see a Eurusd decrease, or will Eurusd pivot bullish in the short term as it digests the Fed's reasoning's. Bear Targets for the rest of May and the month of June are - 1.06654 Weekly Zone - 1.05426 Weekly Zone Bull targets for the rest of May are - a return to Daily level 1.08725 Bull targets for the month of June are - a return to 1.1024 weekly level - a push to 1.14655 Weekly level
by ShrewdCatfx
Sustainable Trend? / Eurusd Longs 🐂As price rejects our weekly Level 1.066 which began on May 31st, we map a possible scenario in which we may jump on the train with long positions. I am anticipating the new weekly candle to pullback first and create a bottom wick as most weekly candles contain. Price has arguably been in a range for the past 2 weeks. The Last 2 red folders news events last week assisted in the increase of price. I am anticipating the same sort of price action this week with CPI ( which is expected to decrease and in theory pump risk assets liek EUR) and Interest rates to be catlalysts for a further increase in price. I idea is that the general consensus for interest rates being held at the same rate supports our preceding trend to the upside. Because it will be priced in and the status quo maintains. The trend is developing to the upside and some news releases will act as a catalyst for a continuation or an excuse to pullback for lower price opportunities. If this bias blows over we may simply obersve a contiued rnage on Eurusd between Support level 1.06902 Daily Support level and 1.0776 (averaged) Daily resistance level. This range scenario or descent on Eurusd will occur if we observe risk off sentiment as crypto continues to plummet and we observe a correction on the U.S. stock indices. Institutions and other large players will crowd into buying the dollar and our ascent to 1.078 will look nothing more than a pump to lure in Late long liquidity as we fall back to 1.066 weekly level.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
2
USD Buyers Surprised by News Release 🎋 Hold or fold? Manufacturing Data sent Eurusd price soaring 42 Pips in less than 11 minutes as the expected figure missed. Is the current Price sustainable for Eurusd? The Weekly candle dipped down to down Daily Support Level 1.06684 and coinciding with manufacturing data we have rejected our Daily support level. In order for the current Daily candle to close bullish price needs to close above 1.07107. Bullish Argument - If the Daily candle closes where it currently sits, it looks like a Bullish hammer candle. - A Bullish Hammer candle rejecting Daily Support Level 1.06884 - Price has retraced Asian session and London sessions's bearish descent - I am anticipating a steady bullish recovery in EURUSD price since the meeting minutes on May 24 ( For more, please check the post " Ultimate Catalyst : Interest Rates News " ) - The Weekly candle last week closed as a Doji candle, an Indecision candle as bears ran into a wall at our weekly support zone 1.06643 Given all of this, It is very common to see News releases get corrected. I believe this will occur over the next few sessions as we could observe during the May 10th CPI announcement. On this announcement Price initially spiked up with news. This occured only to see Eurusd price corrected as the market digested the news. It took 18 Hours before Eurusd corrected the May CPI news. Price on Eurusd was decreasing to close out last week. This week price had only been decreasing with exception for the New York session manufacturing data news release. I am anticipating Eurusd to range and gather more orders around 1.0688 Daily support before seeing anymore upside.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Retest Bitcoin! Or a Dip and go? 🎐Headed to 24,300$ Daily Support and also Weekly S/R Zone. The question is if we have a sweep of late short orders and an abrupt pullback to our previous Daily S/R Zone (26,301$) before further downside. Now that we have gained liquidity after sweeping above 27,400 Daily Resistance level, probabilities suggest we will continue to the downside. We did not have this bullish sweep when I posted a short analysis on May 25th when pricee dipped to 26K. With the new Monthly candle came re-invigorated bears. I think it's safe to say that Bull positions from earlier in the Year took profit around 28K to 30K after the asset was up 80% on the year. For an Institution was that not enough? I doubt it and am thinking that they have taken some profit. As the Second Quarter comes to a close, we can see that price has pulled back 17% from the highs and is still 55% up on the year. We have some more downside to give on BTC. This Daily engulfing candle will create some fear for those holding from earlier in the year. 24,307 is not far off and we are offically entering another Bear market at least in the Medium term. Lower Lows and Lower Highs as Bitcoin backs off 30,000$.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
4
A 1 off Pump? Bitcoin Profit Taking -> ₿ BTC Bulls Investors - " We want a pump back to all time highs to earn money " Institutions/Insiders - 1) " We want pump as well to earn money, but we must wipe out investor accounts and create a reset in price. 2) " We will clear out the bull investor liquidity first. When there is blood in the streets, we may consequently re-stock our inventory of BTC and maybe we will pump to all time Highs" 3) " Or we will simply create a reset in price once again" There are a few types of fish. Stay 1 step ahead and plan your participation in the market. It may take a while to learn what works for you. But once you do, you can survive and grow you account ever-increasingly with a repeatable process in place. May gold line thy pocket with time and patience. Time and patience are the 2 greatest of warriors. Say no more. We may anticipate a retest of weekly support level 26,770 before a continued pump on bitcoin. Alot of players may be willing buy at these prices because of a fear of missing out. This could be the very reason why we will see a decrease in price. In the short term I am anticipating a return back into our Daily Timeframe range between 27,403 $ Resistance and 26,334$ Support
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
Key Levels are Magic 🪄 Create only the Best Risk/Reward Ideas!Someone recently asked me if the zones I draw on the chart is an indicator. This speaks to the amount of experience and level of competence that is easy to forget about. My ability to spot key level's and price areas on the chart is not something that is acquired overnight. It's a culmination of trial and error over the years and a loss of a significant amount of cash. It came at a large cost. The Latter is not necessary to understand the best key level's and price areas to trade off. Something that I recall over the years is the fact that I was never Self-Conscious about looking like a fool. We are all fools when we begin a new endeavor. I never hesitated to share my analysis with my mentors. Feedback can be quite painful but if you make it a habit, then it will return unto you by the tenfold. Take this zone (27,136$ ) which was our 4Hr Support zone. I Say "was" because there was once a time when the 4Hr timeframe respected it as a Support area on May 28th. It is now characterized as a 4Hr S/R Zone because we have seen multiple candles clearly close below it.. and it could, and I say could because there is no guarantee in the markets. It could act as a Resistance zone now and facilitate the distribution of orders as we continue our short term descent down to our next Key Level -- Weekly Level 26,770 $. If we arrive at the weekly level we will most likely have a reaction. A general rule of thumb to go by in the markets as a Price Action Trader - The Higher Timeframe the key level, the more probable it is that price will offer a good Risk/Reward trading idea off that level. The only guarantee is that there are good Risk - Reward Ideas and bad RR Ideas. So I might as well use my knowledge of the best price areas to create only the best Risk/Reward Ideas. For example, I will only trade off the 4Hr timeframe and Timeframes above that ( I have found this to be a good rule in the Forex market). I will only take trades that in which I Risk 1 to earn 3. In that way my win percentage may only be as good as 30%, yet after paying commissions/spreads to the intermediary, I earn a profit. It is important to note that the monthly candle is closing in 2.5 Hours. Th Monthly candle is closing bearish and this may cause volatile price swings as position traders and Institutions manage their trades. It seems that we have accumulated a significant amount of liquidity after the market was pushed up to 28.5K because look at the daily timeframe. The market didn't hesitate all that much to quickly drop back and retrace a majority of the gains. As we move into the next monthly candle, we may very well go to create a bottom wick first as the current monthly candle is closing bearish. This is reasonable argument. Idk what are your thoughts? Please comment below.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
Eurusd Longs " Where art thou ? " 🔭As Bank Holiday Trading comes to a close, we can observe another Bearish Daily candle. The Eur is weak through the holiday trading and the U.S dollar advance is yet to give in. The dollar index is a little bit better than B.E. on the day. For Eurusd : - Watch 1.07116 4Hr Support zone closely. A Strong 4Hr candle closure rejecting this level may send us quickly back up to 4Hr resistance Zone 1.074 and next we may retest our most recent Daily Level ( Daily S/R Zone 1.076 ) - A touch into our 1.0665 Weekly Zone In my opinion is very likely and will coincide with the 6 Red folder news releases we have this week. - We have alot of news this week and we must be aware during our trading - Bull targets for the week include 1.08125 Daily Resistance Level - Bear Targets for this week include a touch into 1.06245 Daily Support Level No trading today since it is a bank holiday. Less opportunity in a low volume market. At least when it comes to the parameters of my trading plan. Safe Trading.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Jobs Data 🏗️ / Weekly Level 1.06643 Eurusd Jobs Data was expected to ease over the prior period as the U.S. may have had a smaller amount of job opportunties for it's citizens during the month of May. It turns that the U.S. had more about 160,000 more job openings than was expected. So this is positive for a few reasons - Data was expected to ease over the prior period but we didn't ease and instead the U.S. gained job opportunities during May. - Data was better than expected by a significant margin when compared to previous job openings data releases. This is Optimistic for the U.S. Economy. The impact of the News on price action has initially gone down and dropped from our 4Hr S/R level at 1.07018 Moving Forward I anticipate consolidation or a retracement in price while we hold above 1.06643. If we continue our descent and USD news turns out to be strong enough, our next target is 1.06235. After that, and with NFP data on friday, we may continue to drop to 1.05435. I took a buy at our weekly level 1.0665 when price creased the initial low created during the first 1 minute of news. I have since been stopped out by a small margin before price retraced in my anticipated direction but would take the trade once more given the chance. Weekly Level's are quite strong area's on the chart. Stronger than Daily Level's! They Hold quite frequently as we can observe from the trading earlier in the day. 2 Hours after London open was when we initially tapped into 1.06643 Weekly Level. It coincided with the new 4Hr candle and explains why you can observe no bottom wick on the previous 4Hr candle. Big Players trading on the Higher timeframes are supporting a demand area here. As a scalper I have them to help with my intra-day activities.
by ShrewdCatfx
2
The Fight For 26,749 Daily Zone 🐻 | Bitcoin ₿With 1 Day until the weekly candle close we can observe a currrent Doji candle forming. & This is not particularly exciting for either side. The Daily Candle closing in 2 hours appears to be closing at our 26,749 $ Daily S/R Zone. This is good for the Bears. The Bulls are desperate for a strong close above here. Even if the next daily candle goes up and closes up 1% we still would have + 1.5% to go to reach the weekly high at 27,500$. I am still favoring the Bears as price has been moving down on the Higher timeframes in the medium term and that is likely to continue. For Bulls if we can break and hold above 26,749 $ then we may see an easy move back up to our 4hr zone 27,250
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
1
A New week and Eu continues the descent 💎Eurusd is currently jumping around inside a tight intra-day range. Eurusd appears to be rejecting our 4Hr S/R Zone and maybe EU will turn into another textbook opportunity to sell a resistance zone in a downtrend. We have bearish momentum and a wick to fill on the previous week's bottom wick. The previous week's bottom wick currently stretches 45 pips that we can easily go fill. London Open appeared to want to drop to the downside but the market was not ready. For New York we have returned to the top of the range and the bulls are struggling. The NY Open 1Hr candle attempted to make a move up but ended up leaving a wick and closing back inside our 4hr range between 1.082 4Hr Zone and 1.0806. A tight knit 14 pip range possibly distributing to the downside. Another clue is the 4Hr candle that closed 1Hr ago, failing to close above 1.082 4Hr S/R Zone. The Daily Candle has been bullish but the upside has been limited due to our 4Hr 1.082 Level. (Sellers are protecting this area) The Daily Candle keeps testing buyers as it threatens to flip at our 4Hr Support level 1.0806. This is where the market opened at Asian yesterday and if 1.0806 4hr zone doesn't hold then we will be looking towards a retest of 1.078 1Hr Zone in which we would be filling the previous week's bottom wick with momentum. Momentum that has been carried over from the previous week. Looking for this price 1.078 soon or we may range longer and will have to re-evaluate.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx