Wyckoff redistribution for BTCNote: This post is quite a reach from a bearish perspective and just an idea. I have about 70% confidence i n it.
This is looking more likely to be a Wyckoff redistribution than a reaccumulation simply from the patterns I'm seeing formed within the range. We will only know for sure though after a break below the range and a bearish retest of SC after breaking to the low (I'll be buying on bounces at all the fibonacci levels starting from 1.272 all confluent with monthly/weekly demand zones and selling on bounces until the 200% fib retracement target with stop losses at entry after bounces. I believe we can come as low as the 2.618 at around 13k not likely though.
In the recent short term there was a wyckoff reaccumulation to the 200% fib target which couldn't hold a bullish retest of its buying climax. I will try to get a short in between 33.3k and 33.7k. Key level I'm setting buy orders for now are at 30.3k for what I think will be one last bearish retest before breaking down from the larger range.
Avoiding buying alts until around 50% of the monthly imbalance on btc.d is filled. Bitcoin Dominance has a big imbalance on the monthly it is looking to fill. But once filled to maybe 50%-100% I think there will be a big fast drop again to new lows for a new big alt cycle from the pattern I'm seeing formed.
The monthly close 2 days ago was also the quarterly and half-yearly closes. If the first few months or 2 are started red, we might see the quarterly or half-yearly shift momentum to the upside and leave a wick to the lows.
You might be thinking we need to retest breakdown of previous wyckoff redistribution range. To that I would argue we might not get it because the target of the 200% fib retracement has already been reached. It has actually come down to 2.618.
Eth BTC also looking bearish on the weekly. Currently faking out from the shorter term .618 retracement.
Might be the last post for a while.
Keylevels
USD/JPY - Ascending Structure - Bullish MomentumHere we can clearly see higher lows and higher highs forming, creating this ascending structure marked by the white trendlines.
Key levels have been marked, including the bottom and top of current structure.
We have seen some strong bullish pressure of recent times on this pair.
Where will price head next? Drop your predictions in the comments!
Double Tap With Weekly Key Level Setup This is a major key level set up With the weekly level being the star of the show this week. I am looking for either a pullback off this level that will be bullish of course. Or a smaller pullback that could lead to a continuation further down.
My bias? This is about to be a reversal. We already reached this area on March 31st. Now we have returned. This could be a double-tap move for the bull run. We'll have to watch it and see.
BULL TPS:
• 1.47951
• 1.48377
• 1.49166
BEAR TPS:
• 1.46560
• 1.45902
Bearish Engulfing Retest This WeekPrice came back to a weekly level and rejected it once again. this time, it created a bearish engulfing to end the week. So this week I am looking for a retest of this bearish engulfing That happens to be on the daily timeframe.
Also on the daily, you could see that it formed a bearish harmonic. So I am expecting this to be heavily respected. This could be an indication that we are breaking a range that has occurred for several weeks now that is also seeing clearly on a daily timeframe.
So, this can possibly signal a major breakout swing trade for the short starting this week. But first, let's wait for the pullback to be completed first before we take the swing sell. This has been a fun pair to trade for all of April. Can't wait to enjoy more this month.
BULL TPS:
• 151.328
• 151.633
• 152.091
• 152.459
BEAR TPS:
• 150.834
• 150.359
• 149.833
Multiple Confirmations For The ShortI have multiple confirmations for the short to last at least a few days or for the week. We have a bearish engulfing on a daily timeframe plus, we also have multiple bearish engulfing candles on the 4-hour chart after the monthly level was respected as resistance.
So one of two things is going to happen: this will be a pullback for another bull run, or we're about to do another nosedive to make a new lower low. Let's find out.
BULL TPS:
• 58096 .71
• 59603.93
• 61359.15
BEAR TPS:
• 55750.00
• 54364.99
• 52953.39
Possible Retest For A Swing Sell Happening This WeekLast week, GJ showed fatigue at a weekly level and took a nosedive for the week. It actually created a bearish engulfing on the weekly chart, so I', looking for a retest of last week's move before a continuation down. I have my BULL TPs a little too high this week because I don't really know how long the pullback will last before we continue dropping. Always good to play both sides of the field until you get what you want.
BEAR TPS:
149.837
149.334
148.296
147.442
BULL TPS:
150.834
151.260
151.633
152.091
May Be A Pullback Before A Bullish ContinuationLooks like a correction is happening before we continue the bull run with this pair. I missed the move paying attention due to watching higher volume pairs, But will keep an eye on it this week from here on out. When this pair moves, it MOVES. So here are the TPS I want to see the price complete when it makes a full decision where it's going.
BULL TPS
1.49803
1.50555
1.52001
BEAR TPS
1.48504
1.48060
1.47507
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TrendyTrades: NIO bounce off Daily-DemandUsing Supply & Demand on a higher time-frame (DAILY) I've found a simple analysis of NIO respecting Supply along with a Daily Key-Level at 42.71 and slapping back down. NIO has respected the Demand Zone at around $34 three times before and instead of heading back to that level, I believe it will catch a newly made Daily Demand level of 37.17 which will cause it to bounce up and back into Daily Supply/Daily-Key Level. -TrendyNeck
EURAUD going short overall downtrendEURAUD has been a long term downtrend( trade with the trend)
i've seen a breakout of trend and it touch my daily resitance zone therefore we are looking for sell Opportunities
2.5 risk/reward
I explain my reason why I took this trade, this is my analysis so take it with precautions
April 27 2021
NZDCAD possible shortsMarket structure was broken to the downside, Nzd/Cad is now creating lower lows and lower highs. Price is retracing to one of our key Fibonacci levels, which is also the previous broken low of structure. After the bears show strength in the lower time frames (1H, 4H), we can look for sells to create a possible new lower low. If the bulls show strength in the lower time frames no trade will be executed.
GBPUSD PRE-MARKET ANALYSIS 12 APRIL, 2021OVERALL TREND- BULLISH ON THE DAILY (OVER 200EMA) and at a corrective retracement of a key support structure level.
Again looking for long setups based on key support levels, looking to break into higher highs with a potential bounce retest of a major key support level at 1.380 and 1.380
Otherwise we have a key support level between 1.367 and 1.368 that price may retest for a 3rd time.
Depending on how the price moves, we can look for entry opportunities on the 1H TF.
But overall, looking for long setup trades.
NZDUSD Pre-Market Analysis 12 April, 2021OVERALL TREND DIRECTION- BULLISH ON THE DAILY, and currently at a corrective phase and at a key support level.
We can see that price has tested the lowest zone broke into newer highs and is currently in a ranging channel that is likely to breakout to make higher highs considering the overall trend direction.
Looking for long setups only from this one based off of price action and where support and resistance key levels.
AUDUSD PRE-MARKET ANALYSISOVERALL TREND- HEALTHY UPTREND ON DAILY, CURRENTLY IN A CORRECTIVE RETRACEMENT ON THE 4H TF, WITH THE POTENTIAL TO BREAK INTO HHs.
We see price currently in a ranging channel that's being tested multiple times from an overall bullish move on higher TFs.
Currently looking to make Higher highs unless price decides to make lower lows, at which may signify an overall break in trend to the downside.
2 potential long position set-ups this week to follow with the uptrend of the market overall.
XRP, Key Fibonacci levels. Beware of the traps and keep calm!We will probably touch the red mid fork line before a little retracement to the bottom of the triangle. Remember, XRP will not moon until the SEC case is settled. There will also be more fake outs, so do not rush your position, the price of xrp is also under a manipulated floor until they go online with CBDC. XRP will be the liquidity provider for the worlds' sentral banks so do not miss this BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Trade safe everyone, and have a great week!
Is The Bearish Doji On The Daily Calling For A Sell?What a beautiful ride up. But now it's time to do a pullback. A bearish doji was created are the daily level and it's in the overbought zone with the RSI on the daily timeframe as well. I'm wondering if will make it to my weekly level at 152.725and then will we come tumbling down? Or will we just go ahead and start right away? Only the market can tell us. I have intraday TPs mixed with my swing targets this week. That's why there are so many TPs.
BULL TPs:
• 152.246
• 152.725
If it can get pass this weekly level, I'll target these other TPs'
• 152.966
• 153.288
• 153.822
BEAR TPs:
• 151.290
• 151.290
• 151.012
• 150.695
• 150.363
• 149.994
• 149.704
Multi-Wick Rejection Offf The Weekly Level Can Lead To ShortThis is a very jittery uptrend. And there are a lot of which rejections on my weekly area around 1.94408. I can see this from the daily timeframe. This could mean that we're getting ready for a short and if any reversals are possible, it will happen later part of the week. For now, my targets will be targeting daily levels from both sides. So less he had a market plays out.
BULL TPs:
• 1.94408
• 1.94950
• 1.96092
BEAT TPs:
• 1.93297
• 1.92725
• 1.92020
• 1.91514
• 1.91065
Daily Bullish Engulfing Retest Can Lead To Swing BuyGold looks like isn't perfect position to perform a swing bye beginning this week. We had a bullish engulfing bounce off a monthly level and then was retested on Friday to confirm to buy is a go for this week. I'm only trading it to a lower low that I found on the daily timeframe for now. And if it passes that monthly, of course I'm going to hold it for much longer. Bear targets are in place in case things don't do as planned.
I'm actually pretty excited to trade this pair for the week. Let's see what it does!
BULL TPs:
• 1731.17
• 1738.39
• 1746.00
• 1757.70
BEAR TPs:
• 1715.34
• 1709.17
• 1699.72
• 1689.00
Is A Pullback Due Or Are We Shooting Up Into The Unknown?This pair did a nice swing buy for the entire week last time. But, according to the daily, we may be running out of a little steam just for a bit. I saw that we wicked out at the daily level, so we may be due for a pullback coming down to the monthly area around 3897.3. That will retest the last higher high and then create a continuation up if respected.
If it busts through the monthly. I'll ride it down to the daily area around 3788.3 to see if it'll try for another bull run from there.
As you can see, my BULL TP went into unknown territory. That's what I'm looking forward to in the long run. But let's focus on what'll happen this week first.
BULL TPs:
• 3960.4
• 3979.5
• 4032.8
BEAR TPs:
• 3901.3
• 3870.8
• 3851.8
• 3788.3
BTC Short Term Key Levels! See You at $67k!Hello Traders!
Just wanted to provide a quick update to Bitcoin.
We just broke the Opposing Short setup so that's good for Bulls. We may get a slight pullback before continuing with the Shorts being stopped out, but depending on the market, it could keep going.
Ultimately, I see us at $67k in no time. Let's see if the market agrees with my analysis.
Key levels are on the chart!
Happy Trading, always manage risk.
Quality in trading is the ability to react to one's own psyche
EUR/CAD | Potential Downward Movement 🔨🔨🔨Technical Analysis:
The price on the higher time is showing lower lows and highs where it is smashing all the daily supports. Recently, the price posted a correction count toward the resistance (previously support) at 1.4914 USD level. On the lower time frame, the price is forming a bearish pennant, where we expect a breakout to the downside and then a move downward toward the 1.4852 USD mark.
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Trade Idea:
Sell Limit Order @ 1.4914
Take Profit @ 1.4852
Stop Loss @ 1.4940
Trade Safely 🙂
Wedge Breakout Will Determine DirectionGold broke a range it held a few days, but needs to fill a wedge to determine its true direction. If bullish, I'm going to ride her as far as the daily level area to 1910.90. If it breaks for the bear, I'm going to swing it all the way down to the monthly area around 1769.11. This is the time of year where gold prepares for a swing trade. So I'm anxious to see where we'll go this week.
BULL TPs:
• 1877.19
• 1899.79
• 1910.90
BEAR TPs:
• 1843.04
• 1829.20
• 1819.96
• 1801.80
• Stretch TPs:
• 1779.78
• 1769.11
A Giant Slant With No Pullback Setting Up For A Big DropGBPUSD has been moving is a large slant for a lengthy period of time according to the daily. And a slant with no pullback of any kind means that a drop is coming. The sideways movement we're seeing could be setting up for a major move to the downside, or a temporary climb further up before it comes crashing back down. Time will tell. Here are the TPs.
BEAR TPs:
• 1.36126
• 1.35326
• 1.34493
• 1.33804
BULL TPs:
• 1.37593
• 1.38250
• 1.39098
• 1.39786