Gold Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025 XAUUSD 1H Forecast
✅ Structure Summary:
The market is in a clear bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Price has tapped into a validated 1H LQ Close zone, showing early signs of a bullish reaction.
A large untouched supply zone remains above, possibly acting as a future trap.
🔮 Price Forecast:
📈 Short-Term Bullish Scenario:
Price could bounce from the current LQ Close zone and rally toward the descending trendline.
It may interact with local liquidity pools or minor supply zones on the way — Phase 1 inducement in progress.
📉 Main Bearish Scenario:
Upon reaching the descending trendline or supply area, price could reverse again following the Phase 2 inducement, aligning with the broader bearish structure.
Downside targets include the 3180 region, and potentially lower toward 3150 if momentum increases
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USDCAD Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025✅ Market Structure Summary:
The market entered a distribution phase, clearly forming equal highs and a head & shoulders–like pattern.
After breaking out of the descending wedge, price surged upward to tap the upper supply zone (gray), sweeping liquidity before dropping sharply.
We now see price reacting to a mid-demand zone, with another deeper demand zone resting below.
📍 Key Technical Zones:
🔹 Upper Gray Supply Zone:
This zone was tapped after liquidity was grabbed from the equal highs.
Strong bearish rejection with impulse candles confirms it as a valid shorting zone.
It remains active and could act as a trap if retested without proper bullish structure.
🔹 Mid-Demand Zone (current reaction point):
Price is currently reacting from this area.
Initial bullish reaction is visible, but the reaction isn't strong enough yet to confirm reversal.
Weak buyer pressure (wicky candles) suggests vulnerability.
🔹 Lower Demand Zone (main target if breakdown occurs):
If the current zone fails, price will likely drop toward this deeper demand block, which hasn't been mitigated yet.
This area could offer a more solid foundation for a bullish reversal.
🔮 Forecast Scenarios:
📉 Primary Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to create higher highs from the current mid-demand zone:
Expect a continuation down toward the lower gray demand zone.
If that breaks, price could target the green higher-timeframe demand around 1.37200.
📈 Alternative Bullish Scenario:
If price builds structure and forms a higher high from this zone:
A short-term rally back toward the upper supply zone is possible.
However, without a strong breakout, that area still holds risk for another sell-off.
USDJPY Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025🔮 USDJPY Price Forecast – 1H Timeframe
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Price may bounce from the LPP Inducement + HL (Higher Low) area and push upward.
The first target would be the upper blue LQ Close zone, which is still untouched.
If we observe weakness or an “M-shaped” reaction within that blue zone, a sell setup could be valid (inducement trap).
However, if price breaks and closes above the blue zone, further bullish continuation is expected — possibly toward the higher green liquidity zone around 147+.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If the HL (blue zone) fails and breaks down, forming a new Lower Low (LL),
Then we can expect price to retrace toward the lower green demand zone, around 141.000, which aligns with higher timeframe liquidity and unmitigated demand.