Pullback for Bullish Entry?I've been accumulating GBTC since $4.28 and as I was looking for the next dip to buy more I ended up with this setup idea that I decided to publish. It'd be a nice swing trade assuming we get down to the entry, though to be clear, this is not financial advice - I am not even planning on trading this other than accumulating more at the entry of $9.85 (will probably front run of course). That said, if there's something you see here that you can make use of, then awesome!
If the GBTC premium stays where it is (which is a horrible assumption BTW), then the entry will be roughly equivalent to $8775 spot and the top-most profit target is around $12.3K.
Kickstudios
Long Term VWAP Support/ResistanceUsing VWAPs anchored to the 3.1K "bottom" and last year's local top at 13.9K it appears that we are just under that heavy resistance. If we are rejected from the VWAP off the high here (I think we will be) then it's likely that the VWAP off the low will likely provide strong support (will probably be up in mid-8K's by the time we retrace that far). However, if irrational bullishness persists and we break above this VWAP with conviction, then our next likely area of heavy resistance is way up at 11.6K.
If we do not break above and confirm our present area as a local top, then we will also confirm bearish divergence on the OBVCD (an OBV variant) which at least on the daily has proven to catch reversals quite well with Bitcoin. My personal plan is to wait and see what happens around this VWAP off the high... break below and I'll be a buyer at the VWAP off the low, break above and I will be a buyer on the retest of the 13.9K VWAP.
