NZDUSD H4 | Overhead resistance for Kiwi?NZDUSD is rising towards a key overlap resistance and could potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our sell entry at 0.60974 and potentially move lower from here. Our stop loss will be at 0.61513 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. The take profit level will be at 0.60429 which is a recent swing-low support.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Kiwi
NZDUSD H4 | Falling to supportNZDUSD is falling towards a key overlap support and potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our buy entry at 0.61242 and bounce up from here. Our stop loss will be at 0.60974 which is an overlap support. The take profit level will be at 0.61602 which is an overlap resistance.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZD/USD to remain bid ahead of tomorrow's RBNZ meeting?There are a growing number of calls for the RBNZ to deliver a hawkish 25bp hike tomorrow, due to the government's 'inflationary' budget delivered last week.
This could also potentially result in the RBNZ upgrading their terminal rate in their quarterly forecasts.
NZDUSD is consolidating on the 4-hour chart, having found support above the 200-day EMA. RSI (14) is above 50 and confirming the initial stages of this assumed trend, and OBV (on balance volume) has broken to new cycle highs to suggest underlying bullish pressure.
We've identified around the monthly R1 pivot ~0.6340 for an initial upside target, and the near-term bias remains bullish above the 200-day EMA.
✨ NEW: NZDUSD ✨ Day Trade (7m)SLO @ 87.00 (aggressive sell order)
TP3 @ 86.90 (closing ALL buy orders)
TP2 @ 86.75 (shave 25%)
TP1 @ 86.50 (shave 25%)
BLO1 @ 86.40 (aggressive buy order)
BLO2 @ 86.25 (aggressive buy order)
-SL @ 86.00 🚫
NZD News May 23, 2023 @ 19:00 PT / 22:00 ET
The Official Cash Rate (OCR) Will Affect the New Zealand Dollar (NZD)
The OCR is set by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and is used to control inflation. When inflation is high, the RBNZ will raise the OCR in an effort to slow down the economy. This can make the NZD more valuable, as it makes New Zealand a more attractive place to invest. When inflation is low, the RBNZ will lower the OCR in an effort to stimulate the economy. This can make the NZD less valuable, as it makes New Zealand a less attractive place to invest.
📈 The NZDJPY pair is currently trading at 86.61. Price Action (PA) has been in an uptrend (UT) since 05/21 @ 18:54 PT and if PA breaks mid-pivot (MP) @ 86.65, it should continue the UT until it reaches Major Resistance @ ~86.77 or ~87.04.
📉 If PA reacts to 86.77 as Major Resistance, it could continue to retrace down to the next Demand Zone (DZ) @ 86.40 or 86.25 (7m).
* Resistance 2 @ ~87.04
* Resistance 1 @ ~86.77
* Support 1 @ ~86.40
* Support 2 @ ~86.25
BANKS, BUSINESSES, CONSUMERS
—The OCR is the interest rate set by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)
—It is the rate at which banks can borrow money from the RBNZ
—When the OCR is increased, it makes it more expensive for banks to borrow money
—Which, in turn, makes it more expensive for businesses
—Which, then, makes it more expensive for consumers to borrow money
—This can lead to a slowdown in economic activity
—This puts pressure on the value of the NZD
—This pressure would cause the NZDJPY to rise
INVESTORS
— Higher OCRs tend to make the NZD more valuable
— Higher interest rates make New Zealand a more attractive place to invest
— A higher return can be earned on their money
— This increased demand for NZD pushes up its value.
⚠️ It is important to remember that the value of the NZD against the JPY can fluctuate rapidly, and it is always important to do your own research before making any trading decisions.
NZDUSD H4 | Reversal from overlap support?NZDUSD is falling towards a key overlap support and potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our buy entry at 0.62659 and bounce up from here. Our stop loss will be at 0.62070 which is an overlap support. The take profit level will be at 0.63109 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDUSD H4 | Potnetial bullish reversal?NZDUSD is falling towards a key support level and potentially reverse from here. We could see price bounce up to our take profit target.
Entry: 0.62605
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Stop Loss: 0.62077
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Take Profit: 0.63110
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD H4 | Rising to 38.2% FiboNZDUSD is rising towards a key resistance level and potentially reverse from here. We could see price move down to our take profit target.
Entry: 0.62605
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 0.63110
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 0.61897
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD H4 | Resistance at 38.2% Fibo?NZDUSD is rising towards a key overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our sell entry at 0.62616 and drop down from here. Our stop loss will be at 0.63091 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. The take profit level will be at 0.61876 which is a recent swing-low.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDUSD H4 | Bounce from 61.8% Fibo?NZDUSD is falling towards a key overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our buy entry at 0.62183 and bounce up from here. Our stop loss will be at 0.61670 which is an overlap support. The take profit level will be at 0.62636 which is an overlap resistance.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
4. Long
NZDUSD H4 | Falling to 23.6% FiboNZDUSD is falling towards a key overlap support and could potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our buy at 0.63155 and bounce up from here. Our stop loss will be at 0.62813 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. The take profit level will be at 0.63790 which is an overlap resistance.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDUSD H4 | Falling to 23.6% Fibo supportNZDUSD is falling towards a key support level and reverse from here. We could see price bounce up to our take profit target.
Entry: 0.63147
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 0.62758
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 0.63790
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance at the recent swing-high
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Joe G2H - Selling NZDCAD (Again)Trade Idea: Selling NZDCAD
Reasoning: Selling into downtrend resistance on the daily chart
Entry Level: 0.85014
Take Profit Level: 0.8420
Stop Loss: 0.8542
Risk/Reward: 2/1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
NZDUSD H4 | Pulling back to 23.6% FiboNZDUSD is pulling back towards a key overlap support and potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our buy entry at 0.63109 and bounce up from here. Our stop loss will be at 0.62707. The take profit level will be at 0.63599 which is a recent swing-high resistance.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDUSD H4 | Falling to 23.6% Fibo supportNZDUSD is falling towards a key overlap support and potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our buy entry at 0.62638 and bounce up from here. Our stop loss will be at 0.62200 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. The take profit level will be at 0.63109 which is an overlap resistance.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDUSD H4 | Dropping towards an overlap supportNZDUSD is falling towards a key support level and potentially bounce from here. We could see price move up to our take profit target.
Entry: 0.62647
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 0.62202
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 0.63147
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Joe G2H - NZDCAD at trend resistanceTrade Idea: Selling NZDCAD
Reasoning: Selling into downtrend resistance on the daily chart
Entry Level: 0.8500
Take Profit Level: 0.8405
Stop Loss: 0.8541
Risk/Reward: 2.3/1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
NZDUSD H4 | Falling to support?NZDUSD is falling towards a key overlap support and potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our buy entry at 0.62123 and bounce up from here. Our stop loss will be at 0.61718 which is an overlap support. The take profit level will be at 0.62714 which is a level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDUSD H4 | Kiwi pulling back stronglyNZDUSD is falling towards a key support level. Price could hit our buy entry at 0.61338 and reverse towards our take profit at 0.62145 which is an overlap resistance. Stop loss is at 0.60933 which is an overlap support at swing-low.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Potential swing trade on NZD/JPYA soft inflation report from New Zealand weighed broadly on the Kiwi dollar yesterday, as traders began to price in the prospects of a 25bp hike (down form 50bp) or even a pause at the RBNZ's next meeting. The slight risk-off tone saw flows into the yen, and risk-currencies such as AUD and NZD were lower which has placed ZD/JPY on our shirt watchlist.
The cross has seen repeated failures to close above 83.50 over the past three weeks, and yesterday's high met resistance perfectly at the 200-day EMA. Given the bearish engulfing candle which has now formed, we suspect a leg lower seems more probably than a break higher. Also note the decisive close beneath trend support.
- The bias remains bearish beneath yesterday's high
- However, we'll seek bearish setups below/around 83.15 (50% retracement of yesterday's open-close range)
- Initial target is the cycle just above 82.0
Joe Gun2Head Trade - EURNZD broken down from a rangeTrade Idea: Selling EURNZD
Reasoning: Broken down from a range on the 60min, targeting a move lower.
Entry Level: 1.7267
Take Profit Level: 1.7081
Stop Loss: 1.7302
Risk/Reward: 5:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.