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Kiwi

RBA Monetary Policy Meeting. AUDNZD bear domination?!RBA is less likely to provide further support to the Aussie dollar and expect any AUD weakness to be mostly channeled through a lower AUD/NZD, where the monetary policy differential may be more evident (given a neutral RBNZ). Market participants in this cross-currency seem to price in ahead of the meeting where we can see a strong bearish pressure for now in the price action for this cross. We have a key level 1.03753 which acted as support in the past and this level has good weigh as it lines up with weekly pivot point s3 and descending channel lower trendline (acts as supports). Break lower through this key level with good bearish momentum should signal us price can dive more near the major support 1.03131 or even further depending on the outlook reaction after the meeting. If RBA ends up neutral or surprise hike bearish may lose its momentum strength.
Short
by Anatta0
1
Kiwi to Sour? NZD/USD Ichimoku Short SetupI am looking and yet another drawback setup. The kiwi is in the middle of a drawback currently and I am watching to see if we get a push all the way back up to our flat kijun sen level. If we do, I'll look for a rejection to sell back down to our previous price structure lows. I've drawn my stop loss above the wick that I believe would disprove this setup idea, and I've drawn out some partial take profit levels to aim for as well. If we fail to push any higher or fail to show signs of rejection, this setup may become invalidated.
Short
by The808Trader
NZDUSD: RBNZ On The WayThe Reserve Bank of New Zealand will likely give the Kiwi a boost of volatility in the upcoming Asia session with its latest statement on monetary policy. Expectations are for no change this month as recent economic data has been net positive, and as they wait to see the full extent of damage the COVID-19 is set to do to the world economy. The scenario to watch out for is a more dovish-than-expected RBNZ and reversal pattern back to the downtrend after the event for the bearish market. For the bullish bias, any rhetoric lowering the odds of a potential rate cut this year will likely draw in buying support for the Kiwi, at least for the short-term as recent sessions have shown global positive risk sentiment as the main driver for the financial market. One news which might have earlier sparked some volatility on comdolls could be "WHO's Tedros, the first vaccine for COVID-19 (coronavirus) could be ready in 18 months".
by Anatta0
ridethepig | NZD Market Commentary 2020.02.11On the NZ side a superb round of employment data for Q419 which is overshooting market expectations clashing with global USD strengthening via commodity currency softening. For the 2020 diagram the outlook is crystal clear although the immediate picture is slightly more blurred with Chinese growth concerns spilling over to weigh on NZD. The RBNZ are on hold this week and will remain the case unless the outlook globally materially softens. China easing will allow risk assets to bounce, I don't see much more downside for NZDUSD from here and am actively looking to add positions to all macro portfolios this week. A hawkish RBNZ via unemployment and (no mention of coronavirus growth risks) will be supportive NZD. Technically the picture is looking overstretched to the downside, strong support is located at 0.634x while to the topside resistance is at 0.665x and 0.679x above. Strong support 0.634x <=> Soft Support 0.642x <=> Mid Point 0.650x <=> Soft Resistance 0.665x <=> Strong Resistance 0.679x. Don't forget to keep the likes and comments coming!
Long
by ridethepig
1
Kiwi, nice sell setup (possibly long term)As mentioned before, we are looking for sell setups only. There is a nice sell setup here at least to the line. Watch it when we reach to the line, if it breaks and makes a flag, we can sell again and if bounces back, it would go a pullback (up) or possibly a continuation of the strong up move. Both scenarios have shown on the chart. Trade with care and stay green. Please let me know your view about the idea Check out the "Related ideas..." in the links below too
Short
by Forexian
NZDUSD - Kiwi oversold, ready for reboundGlobal growth outlook concerns continue to be the topic of discussion at the RBNZ as to the level of impact on NZ exports despite positive underlying fundamentals. Our view - Solid underlying fundamentals including, GDP/Inflation ticking higher, exports steadily increasing over the financial year and trade balance surplus - Households remain optimistic as housing market activity picks up - Business confidence is recovering as the government signals commitments on infrastructure investment - Hedge funds remain reasonably flat in the futures market indicating funds are yet to pour into the upside trade - Macro swing targets of 0.74xx into VPOC and 0.80xx with reversal occurring on buyside liquidity into 0.62xx - Technical indicators suggesting oversold momentum conditions We begin loading buyside exposure into the 0.62xx zone across both our macro and directional portfolios ------------------------- We look forward to continuing to provide market leading analysis to traders & investors alike across the TradingView platform. Like, subscribe and leave your comments below! Until next time, Portier Capital Macro Strategy & Portfolio Management
Long
by Portier
3
EURNZD Possible Trade OpportunityRisk appetite has recovered in recent trading sessions as China seems to be stepping up its game when it comes to keeping the coronavirus outbreak and its impact on the economy contained. This was enough to bring EUR/NZD down to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level on its recent rally, and it appears that buyers are trying to defend this area. Price is currently trading below the weekly pivot point level and a deeper pullback could last until the 50-61.8% Fibs that span an area of interest. A bounce off the 50-61.8% area could take EUR/NZD back to the swing high around 1.71770 (around weekly pivot point R1). With ECB head Lagarde due to give a speech in an hour, I’m hoping to see some volatility for this pair. If the speech favor euro we can actually see a bounce but if it doesn't help the positive sentiment for euro we may see the price dip further without any pullbacks from those key levels of fib.
Long
by Anatta0
EUR/NZD likely to continue up next weeks!EUR/NZD saw a huge spike last week reaching back inside the upward channel. The latest risk-off sentiment hurt NZD and other risk-on currencies driving them lower against its rivals. So far that is the main fundamental driver so far since NZD recovered a lot after RBNZ's last surprise cut and economic recovery setting them on a more neutral stance for a while. Short to mid-term going long on this pair makes sense, or as long as sentiment prevails on the risk-off side. By secular analysis, kiwi is somewhere in the middle ground between the most undercrowded and overcrowded currencies, giving me a clue that some extra upside might be limited for an extended period. Entries are still to be made since market makers can make a significant gap in case of new emergency news! As it is instructed in the chart pullback can be considered as a better entry in anticipation of the next resistance breakout! But I would wait for new high, therefore new safe entry!
Long
by fxmonarchy
Bearish Kiwi? - NZD/USD Ichimoku Short TradeThe kiwi has started to flatten out a bit here but I am still looking for the overall bearish trend to end up resuming after the pause we've seen. I've drawn a sell entry a little below our current price with a stop loss right above the rejection wicks we saw which also lines up a flat kumo area where we ended up twisting back to bearish. I've drawn out a few partial take profit levels to aim for on my way to my target. I do want to mention that if this trend resumes we could end up falling much further but I think this mid-term target is a good level to aim for while we watch this pair progress. If we fail to maintain a bearish trend or if our bearish confirmations change, this setup may become invalidated.
Short
by The808Trader
Nube#27AUDNZD sell@1.03826 SL@1.03962 TP@1.0321 Looking forward to some bearish movement on Aussie-Kiwi for the rest of the month. Q3-2019 has established a pretty significant downtrend on this pair, which does not show signs of weakening. Taking advantage of the ~1% bullish impulse of the last weeks, we have some space to look forward to cover by selling, until retest of the lows, hoping that the overall bearish trend resumes. If the trade is activated, it should start to be managed from the 0.618 blue level, maybe protecting the trade from losses. 0.786 purple line could be a nice place to look for partial or total close.
by timeerr