Kiwi
KIWI or YEN? (Nzdjpy) Trade SetupAs for now such strong bearish sentiment price broken all s1.2.3 weekly of Pvt point in my 2hrs chart and floating below Pvt point of weekly + monthly (blue line respectively) is a total indication of bearish sentiment. When price reaches and holds around 66.702 (may have chances as knowing this strong bearish sentiment market) which was an older strong support zone ( AOI ) then we have either short or long opportunity from that level.
Those who have a bear bias on this pair we have to figure out if coming week RBNZ decides to further ease its monetary policy then Nzdjpy may have chances to break through the Support zone ( AOI ) 66.702 which may bring sell opportunity.
For bull bias on the pair, we should be careful if RBNZ wishes to stay unchanged (which consensus indicates us) and the actual is no future cut as the forecast then bounce from this support zone ( AOI ) 66.702 which may bring buy opportunity.
Thinks to keep in mind:
It's my opinion everything depends on the risk sentiment news releases concerned to yen and kiwi throughout the weekdays. Most of the RBNZ interest rate has already been priced in but we have to stay alert around 24-26 sep so we may see some opportunity around those sensitive periods of time for this pair. Also, be careful we have the Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes of japan on the same day so Kuroda speech may also add up unusual yen momentum and annual inflation (it did matter if) we should figure out if it affects the pair price action or not and protect ourself if any.
NZDJPY will drop untill october.This pair is into a great downtrend, we recently got an almost 2 weeks retracement ended by a high test candle right at the 50EMA level sending the price back in the down direction.
I believe it will continu to drop until the end of the month down to 0,67
Since we are a little bit late to enter on the daily chart i'll search on the intraday charts in the following days to catch the moove and sell this pair.
I'll publish updates here if i take a trade so if you want to follow just like this idea with the thumb or click on "follow this idea".
Here is the weekly chart, a bigger retracement would have been apreciated.
I've published very similar set ups in french on AUDUSD and CADJPY, i give you the links below.
Reading the Right Side of The Chart : Asian Session AUDNZD It's Monday, it's still in Asian Session. Just wait. I am not one to predict/choose a direction out of thin air. Having said that though, I would love it if price close above those delicious liquidity pool haven 1.0700-1.0720. If the price reaches there, I would set my intraday bias into Bearish and will short this pair once a bearish technical signal been triggered.
Please read my post (linked below) about Friday/Monday relationship as a concept to navigate the market more simply and efficiently.
NZDJPY SHORT Swing Trade Executed! Price Aiming For 63.000
Have a look at the above link for the complete analysis behind this trade execution
TRADE ENTRY: GO SHORT 67.000 LEVEL OR ABOVE
TRADE TYPE: SWING TRADE (SHORT)
STOP LOSS: 71.1000
TAKE PROFIT: 63.000
RR: 1:1
SHALL THERE BE ANY UPDATES I SHALL PROVIDE THEM IN THIS THREAD. Cheers
The Kiwi At Critical Stage: Will The Bulls Hold 60 Cents?Hello dear Forex friends, hope you're doing well guys! ;)
The Kiwi is at a critical stage similar to the Aussie: We have only a few important levels left, before the 2008 financial crisis lows are lurking in the background. The Kiwi falling down to 60 Cents psychological would at the same time mean that we get oversold on the Weekly, which would be a great bouncing opportunity. Have fun watching! ;)
Greets, Deniz from Edgy
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Navigating The Market : Simplified #AUD NZD 2nd Sept 19The AUDNZD had been in a bullish trend since price bounced off at 1.0280 on 6th August 2019. That bullish move day followed by a massive price expansion the vary next day (230 pips!) thanks to RBNZ cutting their rates from 1.25% to 1.00%. NZD had been in a massive sell off across the board since then. Retail sentiment on NZD however, remains bullish NZD. Indeed, retail sentiment is looking for that reversal- believing the marked have priced in the RBNZ move. Never a good idea.
I am bearish on the NZD due to the following three things :
1) I am (trying) a contrarian trader. I generally look to trade the other side of the general retail sentiment. NZD is heavily bid in retail, so I am keen to be the in the other side (this is too simplistic and binary, I know. This is not the only parameter that influences my bias)
2) Simply look at the chart, we are in an uptrend. Stick a long term moving average there (50MA, 60MA, 67MA, 82MA, 86MA etc etc), price is trading well above that. It is tempting to trade reversal after a long trend, picking tops (and bottoms if its in a bearish trend). I am somewhat a trend following trader, discretionary. At the moment, its not the optimal time to think of shorting AUDNZD.
3) The monthly range and weekly range was reached and exceeded. Now, usually, when this happens I would shift my short term bias to a reversal mode - as liquidity "dries out" and it would the time for the banks to take profit but I believe it was due to the fundamental factor (RBNZ cutting rates), so I will maintain my sentiment bias for now.
4)I believe there will be liquidity run this week between 1.0700 to 1.07300. Plenty of potential retail buy stops there, oceans of them. Liquidity Pools are like magnets.
My plan, since I am bearish NZD, is to long AUDNZD when the usual stop hunts have been completed. I expect a stop hunt (another form of liquidity run) at 1.06500-1.06350 in the downside and then I will find a trigger to long AUDNZD. Alternatively, if the price goes up first and tap around 1.0700, I would have to assume its for trapping breakout traders and then they will take their stoploss out at 1.06500-1.06350 - in which by then, I will be looking to long AUDNZD from there.
If price continues through without touching the liquidity pool coincided at theFriday low, then I will stay on the sidelines and re-adjust my plan.
NZDUSD Likely To Decline Further Towards 61 Cents!
Have a look at the snapshot above. It represents the nearby support and resistance levels on monthly TF of NZDUSD. A convincing close of monthly candle below 0.64000 would likely confirm probable bearish continuation until 0.61000 where the next support lies.
Looking at the main chart, there is a nice descending channel continuation! Should the monthly candle and this week's candle close below 0.64000 we can take this pair SHORT to target 0.61000 level.
The fundamental outlook too is against the KIWI as global slowdown due to trade war is affecting the KIWI. With the Tradewar far from over and RBNZ leaning towards slashing rates again to boost the economy, a visit to 0.61000 is highly likely.
This just represents my outlook on this pair, shall a trade opportunity arise i will post it in a new thread.
NZDUSD Long Trade Idea NZDUSD Long Idea
Deep Crap pattern Harmonic
SL: 0.62913
ENTRY: 0.63066
TP1: 0.63207
TP2: 0.63281
TP3: 0.63398
!!!DISCLAIMER!!!
Trading Foreign Exchange Currency Pairs (FX/Forex) and/or Contracts For Difference (CFDs) on margin carries a high level of risk to your capital. These derivatives may not be suitable for all investors. The information contained here is general in nature, provided without reference to your past, present or future financial situation. This information is general in nature and does not constitute advice or a recommendation to act upon the information or an offer.
EURNZD SHORT trading idea EURNZD Short Idea
BAT pattern formed on EURNZD
ENTRY: 1.75618
SL: 1.75973
TP1: 1.75078
TP2: 1.74718
TP3: 1.74158
!!!DISCLAIMER!!!
Trading Foreign Exchange Currency Pairs (FX/Forex) and/or Contracts For Difference (CFDs) on margin carries a high level of risk to your capital. These derivatives may not be suitable for all investors. The information contained here is general in nature, provided without reference to your past, present or future financial situation. This information is general in nature and does not constitute advice or a recommendation to act upon the information or an offer.
EURNZD Daily - at resistance - time for correction?we can see a strong impulse.
We see some bearish price action at the Resistance.
ALso NZDxxx pairs at support levels.
would look for a Swing opportunity.
so if you find an entry use low risk.
look for entrys in lower TF.
We maybe see a double top first
EURNZD BULLISH PARALLEL CHANNELAfter price breaking out of a highly respected downtrend that consisted of Lower Highs and Mutual Support. Price broke out bullish and we are allowing price to consolidate as the exhaustion anticipating price to continue in it's bullish channel. Idea becomes invalid if price breaks below our Minor Support / Minor Swap Level.