Kiwi
NZDUSD slopeLast week to end the month the kiwi spiked into it's long term 38.2% slope setting up a short opportunity. Also coming off trend line resistance (pink dashed) & shifted back below the median line in this upside pitchfork. Also an RSI trigger break below trend line supports a move lower.
Weekly pitchfork
30 min levels
NZDJPY, potential sell NZDJPY just touched the daily trendline which also meets my resistance area. As it couldn't break none of these successfully I'm expecting it to continue the downtrend.
In the other hand, the price has bounced on the 61.8 fib level which is also a good confirmation of trend continuation.
However, I'll wait until it breaks the previous uptrend to go short. If it breaks it, we could see a bearish move of 150 pips.
NZDCHF BuySimilar to EURCHF, buying this pair with a conservative SL @0.675 and TP near 0.69.
Daily:
Weekly:
Confidence: B (unlike with EURCHF which is riskier, this one I'm a little more confident despite the current price action shying away from my entry point because of strong macroeconomic fundamentals in NZD as mentioned in my blog).
NZDUSD - Supply zone + Gartley PatternThe NZDUSD is set to rise a little higher since it has broken the neckline at 0.6848, and that invites the completion of a Gartley pattern.
The price currently may fall first on an HnS formation before it climbs and breaks higher.
The price will eventually rise into the 2-month supply zone as seller awaits at the zone.
The Kiwi Ripe? Ichimoku NZD/USD Long Trade SetupWith the fundamentals at play last week we saw some big movements across most pairs including the kiwi here. Due to how quick it climbed I'm expecting a nice drop to test our previous support level which is where I'm anticipating tenken sen being as well. If we can get that drawback and support hold with a good candle, I'll look to enter there to climb back to our structure highs. As an alternative, if we consolidate and move a little sideways here I will trade a break out of this current resistance level I've noted with a blue horizontal line. If we rise above that and either close or look strong, I'll enter a long that way. If either of those scenarios fail to take place, I'll consider this setup invalidated.
EW ANALYSIS: NZDUSD Is Beginning To Turn BullishFX:NZDUSD The Kiwi formed a clear five-wave rally from 0.6425 lows, which in EW theory suggest more upside after a correction. As you can see, pullback was deep, but complex with overlapped wave structure and also nicely within channel range, so we assume that this was just a double zig-zag W-X-Y corrective decline. And yes, The Kiwi bounced idealy around 61,8% Fibonacci retracement, so seems like the support has been found at 0.6585 level.
That said, we think that NZDUSD made a nice bullish setup that can send price back to highs 0.6970 highs or maybe even higher. Just have in mind that we still need a confirmation for this, so bulls can be confirmed only above 0.6880 region!
Of course, this may take some time, it could stay sideways or it can go even more complex, but anyhow, we will remain bullish as long as it's moving above 0.6425 invalidation area.
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.