Get started

Kiwidollar

NZDUSD H4 | Potential reversal?NZDUSD is nearing a key overlap support. Price could hit our buy entry at 0.61338 and bounce to the up side to hit our take profit at 0.62245 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.60933 which is an overlap support. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Long
by Rockqet
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Double top on the daily completeTrade Idea: Selling NZDUSD Reasoning: Double top confirmed on the Daily. Bearish flag on the 60min. Entry Level: 0.6153 Take Profit Level: 0.6022 Stop Loss: 0.6177 Risk/Reward: 5.56:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Short
by Signal_Centre
2
Potential bear flag on NZD/USDThe combination of hawkish Fed speak and firmer inflation has seen the US dollar strengthen overnight. But we're interested in shorting the Kiwi dollar against it, given yesterday's lower forecasts for 2 and 3-year inflation forecasts by RBNZ. It should be noted that RBNZ hold their monetary policy meeting on Wednesday February the 22nd, and there has been call for a 50 or 75bp hike. But that doesn't mean it can't dip lower ahead of the meeting, even if they do go for another aggressive hike - especially if Fed members continue to read from the same hawkish script. NZD/USD has spent nearly 7 days within a sideways channel / consolidation, after an aggressive bearish reversal from its YTD high. A double top has formed around 0.6400 to suggest demand resides in the area, so the bias is now for a bear-flag breakout in line with the momentum which took it into consolidation. - Bears can either seek a break of the cycle low, or the channel around 0.6294 to assume bearish continuation. - The lows around 0.6200 make a likely target for bears and risks a corrective bounce - The eventual target projected form the bearish flag is around 0.6120
Short
by CityIndex
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Fading NZDUSD into resistanceTrade Idea: Buying GBPCAD Reasoning: Fading NZDUSD into resistance Entry Level: 0.6365 Take Profit Level: 0.6270 Stop Loss: 0.6393 Risk/Reward: 3.5:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Short
by Signal_Centre
1
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Range trade on NZDUSDTrade Idea: Selling NZDUSD Reasoning: Small range on the daily. Entry Level: 0.6372 Take Profit Level: 0.6200 Stop Loss: 0.6430 Risk/Reward: 3.03:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Short
by Signal_Centre
NZDUSD buying opportunity | 16 December 2022On the H4 timeframe, NZDUSD is ascending within a bullish channel. On 13 December, price spiked upon the release of softer than anticipated US CPI data, and came to test the 0.64550 where significant indecision can be seen between buyers and sellers from the ranging price action. Sellers eventually won out on the back of fundamental fuel on 15 December when a 50 bps Fed rate hike and hawkish FOMC statements caused NZDUSD to decline until the 0.63280 support level. This represents our entry point, where we forecast a bullish reversal back to the 0.64550 level which is also our take profit level. A break below to the next support level at 0.62650 represents our stop loss. Stochastics have dipped below the 20th percentile while price exceeded the lower bound of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that current prices are experiencing oversold conditions and supporting our bullish bias. If price comes to test the 0.64550 resistance level again as we predict, investors should pay close attention to the Core PCE Price Index due to be released on 23 December, which may give price the bullish fuel to break above or keep it firmly under the resistance level.
Long
by T3-Consultancy
NZDUSD - Bullish ChannelNZDUSD - Intraday - We look to Buy at 0.6300 (stop at 0.6225) Previous support located at 0.6300. Previous resistance located at 0.6400. There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.6350 will confirm the bullish momentum. Our profit targets will be 0.6450 and 0.6500 Resistance: 0.6400 / 0.6450 / 0.6500 Support: 0.6300 / 0.6250 / 0.6225 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Long
by VantageMarkets
NZDUSD Targeting A Test of 0.6300Technical & Trade View NZDUSD Trade View Bias: Bullish Above Bearish below .6050 Technicals Primary support is .6050 Primary upside objective .6300 Next pattern confirmation, acceptance above .6210 Failure below .6030 opens a test of .5950 20 Day VWAP bullish, 5 Day VWAP bullish Institutional Insights Analysts at Credit Agricole note ‘The RBNZ’s aggressive tightening cycle will see NZ lead the rest of the G10 into an economic slowdown, and falling dairy prices on the back of a weak China economy are seeing the NZD underperform. The re-opening of the international border will be a positive for the coming 3M. Soft economic landings locally and internationally will improve the NZD’s prospects over the coming 6-12M’
by Tickmill
Meanwhile In New Zealand PT2NZD/USD retreats from a nearly two-week high set earlier this Thursday amid fresh USD buying. Bets for more aggressive Fed rate hikes and elevated US bond yields continue to boost the buck. Recession fears weigh on investors’ sentiment and also exert pressure on the risk-sensitive kiwi. The NZD/USD pair struggles to find acceptance above the 0.5800 mark for the second successive day and retreats sharply from a nearly two-week high touched earlier this Thursday. The steady intraday slide extends through the mid-European session and drags spot prices to a fresh daily low, with bears eyeing a sustained break below the 0.5700 round figure. A combination of factors helps revive the US dollar demand, which, in turn, is exerting some downward pressure on the NZD/USD pair. Investors seem convinced that the Fed will stick to its aggressive policy tightening path to tame inflation and have been pricing in another supersized 75 bps rate increase in November. The bets were reaffirmed by the recent hawkish comments by several Fed officials, which remain supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and continue to act as a tailwind for the USD.
Short
by xavierNF
2
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Higher prices on NZDUSD?Trade Idea: Buying NZDUSD Reasoning: Looking for higher prices in the short term. Entry Level: 0.5682 Take Profit Level: 0.5805 Stop Loss: 0.5644 Risk/Reward: 3.24:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Long
by Signal_Centre
1
KIWI ON SALE!Like I previously mentioned in my other published idea title BOLD GOLD, because of the hawkish fed and raising inflation The USD is stronger than most if not all G7 currencies. As a result commodities & commodity currencies across the board is selling off such as the NZD & AUD, they may be the weakest currencies crossed w the USD. Last week I sold this pair at 0.61875 and took profit at 0.59986 a -3.05% move (-189 pips).This week I reopened a sell position w some of the profits from the trade I closed out last week at 0.60697 and at the present moment market is down -1.24% (-75 pips). My current take profit is 0.58793 ( -190 pips) but the market can definitely pull lower if the USD strength persist as I suspect it will, at least until the next rate decision on the 22nd of this month. If or when NZDUSD breaks & close below the 4 month trend line found on the D1 I can definitely see this pair heading towards 0.57000 a -4.8% (-287 pips) move from market current price. Lastly, in less than 1 hour the USD PPI YOY & PPI ex Food & Energy numbers will be released , the consensus is 8.8% & 7.1% respectively, a surprise higher than a expected number could fuel another USD rally, a lower than expected number can cause a temporary retest. Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
Short
by xavierNF
4
Dollar reigns supremeNZDUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.6100 (stop at 0.6150) Previous support located at 0.6000. Previous resistance located at 0.6050. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Further downside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. Our profit targets will be 0.5975 and 0.5950 Resistance: 0.6050 / 0.6100 / 0.6150 Support: 0.6000 / 0.5975 / 0.5950 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.'
Short
by OANDA
1
NZDUSD setting up nicely for a short the week of 22 AugIt does not matter what time frame you look at, this pair is obviously bearish. Last week it blew past the major support at 0.6210. I am expecting a pullback to this recently broken level (zone) and a resumption of the trend. If this happens, I will go short and target the next major level at 0.5920. The minor support at 0.6100 will come into play, but IMO price will overcome it. Even with a generous stop, we could be looking at a 4.5R trade. Always use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades. If you like my analysis, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get even more awesome content. What do you think about this trade idea? Please comment and support!!
Short
by Trading_Vista
2
Selling rallies on NZDUSDNZDUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.6250 (stop at 0.6300) Previous support located at 0.6200. Previous resistance located at 0.6250. Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 0.6250, resulting in improved risk/reward. A move through 0.6200 will confirm the bearish momentum. Our profit targets will be 0.6150 and 0.6125 Resistance: 0.6250 / 0.6300 / 0.6325 Support: 0.6200 / 0.6150 / 0.6125 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.'
Short
by OANDA
1