PAYPAL - Long Term Accumulation WindowPaypal - NASDAQ:PYPL
Below I cover the Chart and some interesting fundamental news on what Paypal is upto.....
CHART
Everyone should have expected significant resistance at the $74.66 price level due to a confluence of the following at that level;
1. 200 Day SMA
2. Point of Control (POC)
3. Falling Wedge Diagonal overhead resistance
(SEE CHART FOR OUTLINE)
Further downside in the short term would not surprise me, however the long term positive divergence presents a long term opportunity.
How am I playing this?
I have a long term small position that is 15% in the negative at present, its thee one negative position I hold. Similar to NIO (which was at a small loss for weeks on end, I continued to average in on a positive divergence), I will average now to PYPL with a 2nd purchase and if we drop down to the RSI resistance line I will average in again with a 3rd purchase.
Ideally traders, would want a break out above the point of confluence on the chart and to find support above or on $74.66. I would not be day or week trading from current levels. I intend to hold for months, potentially years, similar to my NIO play.
If we lost the bottom of the falling wedge I would cut my losses at this point.
This is a High Risk / High Reward trade. The NIO trade has rendered me a significant 50% unrealized profit over the past few weeks. It could take months for me to see a similar return here on Paypal, and I'm ok with that. Timeframe expectation is long term.
What's PayPal Upto?
Interestingly Paypal announced a major deal with KKR in June 2023 whereby KKR agreed to purchase up to €40 billion of eligible current and future PayPal Pay Later loans that originated in Europe.
PayPal has become an industry leader with its PayPal Pay Later products, issuing more than 200 million loans to over 30 million customers in eight markets around the world since 2020.
PayPal expects to allocate approximately $1 billion to incremental share repurchases this year and updated the outlook from approximately $4 billion to approximately $5 billion in total share repurchases in 2023.
Paypals close association with KKR is notable. KKR - Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. are an major American global investment company who have secured the two largest company buy outs in history RJR Nabisco & TXU. Paypal have huge ambitions and the buck to back them from the KKR.
The deal and association with KKR is yet another reason to keep a long term headset on for this trade/investment.
PUKA
KKR
Short on Private Equity - BXA lot of people are thinking that this bear market is already in it's later innings. If anything, it's probably the opposite given that inflation has not yet broken, employment may only be starting to see it's cyclical decline, etc.
Private equity has been heavily levered during this cycle, and in general has dumped gobs of $ into shit investments (see the amount of private equity $ flowing into crypto junk over the past 2 years for example) that will eventually need to be marked down. Private equity has long been very pro-cyclical, and as the bear shifts into a proper more traditional recession, the publicly traded PE giants should all fall in tandem. Some will get hurt worse than others - picking BX here simply since it's the largest. Other targets include firms like $KKR, $CG $APO, $OWL, or you can even just short the etf $PSP.
AS of today (11/14/2022), a lot of these have retested top ends of bearish ranges and are getting smacked back down. With a big opex and things relatively pinned, I think there is still good opportunity through November to get good positions short of these, but I still think there will be chop for at least a little bit.
September 14 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
According to CoinShare, digital asset investment products saw outflows totalling US$63m, the 5th consecutive week of outflows. Bitcoin is down 8.75% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $19,860.82. The largest cryptocurrency plummeted alongside the traditional equity market as the U.S core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased more than expected, rising to 6.3% from 5.9% in July. This suggests that the Fed will stick to its aggressive hiking plans and keep monetary policy restrictive for longer-than-expected. FedWatchTool shows that the probability of the Fed raising rates by 100 basis points next week has been significantly increased to 38%. If this happens, the BTC/USDT pair could decline further.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
KKR Makes Its PE Fund Accessible to Individuals via Blockchain
Private equity giant KKR, which had $471 billion in assets under management at the end of 2021, will offer its Health Care Strategic Growth Fund on Avalanche through a partnership with Securitize. Qualified investors (with $5 million in investable assets) will be able to invest in KKR's health-care fund through a tokenized feeder fund on the Avalanche blockchain after setting up an account with Securitize and going through KYC and AML accreditation. After one year of holding, investors will be able to sell it to other qualified investors on a secondary market managed by Securitize.
Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.
KKR - DAILY CHART Hi, today we are going to talk about KKR
We observe a D1, some important points. The details are highlighted above.
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FCAU sells auto parts unit to Japanese Manufacturer KKRThere was news released on Aug 23 that KKR wants to purchase the auto parts unit from Fiat Chrysler for 5.8 billion euro. The stock gapped up next day, but didn't vary during the day. Second day from the news it increased $1 from $16.86 to $17.87. Now KKR is offering more money than before (6.2 billion euro), so I expect the price should go up in premarket. The reaction at the time on KKR was not clear, I don't know if the investors perceived it as good news, bad news or who cares news.
KKR TriangleAfter last earnings KKR was a bit all over the place but if the earnings report before last is any measure it once again shows that an earnings report means... nothing! (except be wary of forming an idea based on it)
Price has formed a nice descending triangle after a run up. This could prove interessting!
MACRO VIEW: KKR BREAKOUT (LONG ENTRY)After trading laterally for the most of 2015 KKR is on the move again. Great opportunity to buy this stock for long term appreciation with little downside risk.
Price has broken out from its 1st standard deviation from quarterly (66-day mean) on 13th of July and passed an uptrend test on 20th of July 2015.
Thus on technical basis there is a clear upside risk with volatility expanding (measured by 3.2 st deviations from quarterly mean - light blue rays on the chart) - so traders can pick up long positions at pullbacks to the 1st standard deviation from 66-day mean (now at 23.7) with stops at the 66 day mean itself (23.15)
Fundamentally speaking, the company is very strong, as it holds a diversified portfolio of business (mostly private equity) and performs top-tier management of the holdings. KKR (dubbed "Barbarians at the Gate") is known for having a great business track record for over 30 years in private equity, although their stock was offered to the general public only in 2010 - and it doubled in price since then!
Read more about their holdings here: www.kkr.com The book (Barbarians at the Gate) is a very recommended read for any market professional!