$kmx bottom of channel turning upwardhigher time frame in uptrend parallel channel with strong momentum bars of support line
mid time frame is breaking out of downward trend line and out of consolidation range-structurally sound
upper bound of value and resistance area is 62.5x
positive momentum rsi and rising positive volume pressure
lower time frame shows price breaking out of triangle with good volume
KMX
TRADE IDEA: KMX APRIL 21ST 50/52.5/60/62.5 IRON CONDORKMX announces earnings on 4/6 before market open, so look to put on a play before tomorrow's New York close to get in on a volatility contraction play (six month implied volatility percentile is around 100, with background implied at 47).
Here's the metrics for this puppy:
Probability of Profit: 50%
Max Profit: $113/contract
Max Loss/BP effect: $137/contract
Break Evens: 51.37/61.13
Theta: 2.90
Delta: .45 (neutral)
Notes: Here, I've gone in a little bit tighter (around 30 delta for the shorts) to bring in a little more credit and am keeping the wings somewhat tight because, well, it's a piece of crap with monthlies only, so I don't want to hang a lot of BP out there if it causes me trouble because I'll have to roll from month to month.