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Can Political Tremors Rewrite Global Financial Markets?In the intricate dance of global finance, South Korea's recent political upheaval serves as a compelling microcosm of how geopolitical dynamics can instantaneously transform economic landscapes. The Kospi Index's dramatic 2% plunge following President Yoon Suk-yeol's fleeting martial law declaration reveals a profound truth: financial markets are not merely numerical abstractions, but living, breathing ecosystems acutely sensitive to political breath. Beyond the immediate market turbulence lies a deeper narrative of institutional resilience and adaptive governance. The swift parliamentary intervention, coupled with the Bank of Korea's strategic liquidity injections, demonstrates a remarkable capacity to pivot and stabilize in moments of potential systemic risk. This episode transcends South Korea's borders, offering global investors a masterclass in crisis management and the delicate art of maintaining economic equilibrium amid political uncertainty. The broader implications are both provocative and instructive. As heavyweight corporations like Samsung Electronics and Hyundai Motors experienced significant share price fluctuations, the event underscores an increasingly interconnected global financial system where local political tremors can rapidly cascade into international market movements. For forward-thinking investors and policymakers, this moment represents more than a crisis—it's an invitation to reimagine risk, resilience, and the complex interdependencies that define our modern economic reality.
KRX:KOSPIShort
by signalmastermind
Macro Monday 48 – The Specialists, South Korea Macro Monday 48 – The Specialists, South Korea Apologies for the delay in this weeks release South Korea appears to be an economy that is taking the specialization approach with a strong innovative focus on biotechnology, pharmaceuticals, heavy machinery, vehicles, specialized battery components and major EV battery manufacturing. The country is not just seeking to be the main manufacturers on a global scale of these products, but appears to be striving to be specialists in providing the most technologically advanced methods to drive the most advanced products in the marketplace. South Korea is 6th in the World for Global Innovation South Korea has recently achieved significant economic outperformance through technological innovation. South Korea jumped from rank 10 in 2020 to rank 5 in 2021 in the Global Innovation Index. Currently in 2024 South Korea is ranked 6th. This rise is attributed to its strong performance in industries related to public health and the environment, as well as its advancements in digital innovation, built on artificial intelligence, supercomputing, and automation. South Korea’s focus on deep science innovation, including biotechnologies and nanotechnologies, has also contributed to its economic success. 23.7% of the Global EV Batteries are Manufactured in South Korea South Korea is a significant player in the global battery market. South Korean electric vehicle (EV) battery manufacturers; LG New Energy, SK On, and Samsung SDI collectively accounted for 23.7% of the global EV battery market in 2022, a staggering contribution to this thriving market. South Korea are Electrical and Heavy Machinery Specialists exporting $171.3 billion in 2023 (accounting for 27 % of total exports) South Korea is a significant player in the global heavy machinery market. While specific figures detailing South Korea’s exact percentage share of the global heavy machinery market are not precisely available, the country is known for its substantial contributions to the sector. South Korean companies like Doosan Machine Tools and Hyundai Wia are leading providers in the machine tool industry, with Doosan Machine Tools holding a market share of 49.3 percent within South Korea. The country’s heavy equipment market is also characterized by a diverse range of products, including construction equipment, forklift trucks, and cranes, with major players like Caterpillar Inc, Hitachi Ltd, and Hyundai Construction Equipment Ltd, all contributing to its growth. South Korea’s focus on innovation and quality in manufacturing has positioned it as a key exporter of heavy machinery on the international stage. The South Korean Stock Market - The KOSPI The KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) is akin to the S&P 500 in the U.S. however can have up to 800 companies included in the index. As an alternative you can review the KOSPI 200 which only includes the top 200 South Korean companies, but for today we will focus on the general KOSPI. The top 5 largest companies in the KOSPI index: 1. Samsung Electronics (20% of the index): A global leader in technology, Samsung Electronics specializes in a wide range of consumer and industry electronics, including appliances, digital media devices, semiconductors, memory chips, and integrated systems. 2. SK hynix: The world’s second-largest memory chipmaker, SK hynix produces dynamic random access memory (DRAM) chips, flash memory chips (NAND), and CMOS image sensors (CIS) for a diverse global clientele. 3. Samsung Biologics: A biotech division of the Samsung Group, Samsung Biologics provides contract development and manufacturing (CDMO) services to the biopharmaceutical industry. 4.Naver: South Korea’s premier internet company, Naver operates the nation’s top search engine and offers a range of services including online marketing, e-commerce, and content development. 5.LG Chem: Founded in 1947, LG Chem leads the chemical industry in Korea and globally, providing products like ABS, polarizers, and EV battery cells. It has a vast network for production, sales, and R&D across the world. The KOSPI is traded in the South Korean Won (KRW) and I will show it to you for illustration purposes however when measured in USD, there has been a long term oscillation of price with no real sustained gains. As I do not see an opportunity in trading the KOSPI, lets look at Samsung, one of the largest allocations in the KOSPI. SAMSUNG (Ticker: 005930.KS) You can clearly see that Samsung which is headquartered Suwon-si, South Korea has a long term ascending channel in both the KRW and in USD. There is a clear long term trend and opportunities to buy at the bottom of the channels. Samsung primarily trades on the Korean Stock Exchange and has global depositary receipts that are listed in Europe, making it relatively easy for South Korea and Europeans to invest. Unfortunately, Samsung shares don't trade on a U.S. stock exchange and the company doesn't offer American Depositary Receipts (ADRs), making it difficult for Americans to invest in the company. Sometimes Macro Mondays leads to a dead end for some traders and investors out there, you can still access Samsung through a variety of general ETF's for general exposure. What is clear from the above, is that these waters appear much more murkier than the Indian stock indices we covered last week which are performing nicely since sharing. India has a GDP growth of 6%+ whilst South Korea is 2.6% at present (global average is 2.9%). I could not really recommend a trade off the above South Korean charts covered, however we have an better understanding of the South Korean market, economy and offerings. We also have an idea of some of the larger companies and we can investigate this further down the line for opportunities. All these charts are available on my Tradingview Page and you can go to them at any stage over the next few years press play and you'll get the chart updated with the easy visual guide to see how the South Korean market has performed. I hope its helpful. PUKA
KRX:005930
by PukaCharts
KOSPI Composite Index - Symmetrical TriangleIndex: KOSPI Composite Index Exchange: Korea Exchange (KRX) Region: South Korea Introduction: Welcome to today's technical analysis. We'll focus on the weekly chart of the KOSPI Composite Index, highlighting a bullish reversal signaled by a symmetrical triangle pattern breakout. Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: The symmetrical triangle pattern is a neutral pattern that can signal either a bullish or bearish breakout, depending on which direction the price escapes. This pattern usually appears during a trend's consolidation period and is characterized by two converging trendlines. Analysis: The KOSPI Composite Index was undeniably in a downtrend, represented by a blue diagonal resistance line. However, this has changed as the index has entered a phase of consolidation, forming a symmetrical triangle over the last 294 days. The breakout from this pattern and the index's current position above the 200 EMA suggest a bullish market environment. The price target, following a successful breakout, is projected at 2895.50 KRW, potentially signifying a price increase of approximately 16.5%. Conclusion: The weekly chart of the KOSPI Composite Index presents a bullish scenario, with a symmetrical triangle pattern breakout. This signals a potential reversal from the previous downtrend, suggesting a favorable environment for long positions in stocks within this index. As always, this analysis does not constitute financial advice, and it's essential to conduct your own research and consider risk management strategies when investing. If you found this analysis valuable, please like, share, and follow for more market insights. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
KRX:KOSPI
by KarimSubhieh
Nowhere to HideEmerging markets have made some terrific gains in the past month, but I would caution with the path ahead. Take a look at the past year's performance of the Hang Seng, KOSPI, IBOVESPA. I've included a chart of the Tadawul, the Saudi stock index, which is significantly weighted in EEM, the emerging market ETF. These are not healthy charts, and rallies provide opportunities for shorting in my opinion. EEM's breakout from its downtrend will be tested as it compresses between the 50 & 150 EMA's. As of right now, it needs to close above $39.20 to invalidate a daily Head & Shoulders pattern.
AMEX:EEMShort
by sdeutsch95
Bullish on KRWI'm bullish on Korean Won for having one of the most advanced semiconductor and tech manufacturing industries in the world. This includes: the highest quality semiconductor production from the likes of Samsung, Oled, and MicroLED panel production from LGD/Samsung, Battery production from LG Chem, EV production Hyundai etc... Exports are going to grow in the coming years through these avenues increasing the value of the won, I think, dramatically. tl;dr: Bullish of Korean Won and Korean Equities
Long
by zimeaBlue
2
NASDAQ US100 Chart Analysis April 2 Hello, “Make it simple, make profit” It’s BitcoinGuide. Don’t forget to “Follow” me and press “Likes”. If you "follow" press, In real time, you can check major sections and move, Real-time "update I dea" can be checked. I will begin NASDAQ ZeroMarket US100 Chart Analysis for April 2. This is a 30-minute chart long position strategy. * Red arrow on the path of movement, Long position strategy. Purple support line stop loss When you reach the final target, Re-entry after liquidation, Or, keep going with the trend. *When the sky blue finger moves, Short -> Long switching strategy. Each entry section is a stop loss when leaving. That’s it for today’s strategy. Have a good weekend.
ULong
by BitCoinGuide
NASDAQ US100 Chart Analysis March 29 Hello, “Make it simple, make profit” It’s BitcoinGuide. Don’t forget to “Follow” me and press “Likes”. If you "follow" press, In real time, you can check major sections and move, Real-time "update I dea" can be checked. I will begin NASDAQ ZeroMarket US100 Chart Analysis for March 29. It is a 30-minute chart neutral strategy. At your current location, * Red arrow on the path of movement, Short -> Long switching strategy. When entering short, stop loss of light blue resistance line On long switching, stop the green support line *On the path of the sky blue finger movement, Short -> Long switching strategy. (Do not touch the 30 minute bar resistance wire of the Bollinger Band.) Final red support line long position switching. That’s it for today’s strategy. Have a Good day :D
U
by BitCoinGuide
ridethepig | KOSPI for the Yearly Close📌 The beauty of Korea is revealing itself right on time... the breakout is difficult to maintain as can be seen on the yearly close, the slingshot which turned out to a correct play for buyers has unlocked the potential for a major rally in 2021. Capital has its eyes on Korea (and a few others) for the advantage in its currency (KRW) and economic mobility across the continent. For different reasons to India, but with well placed influence, Korea has the chance to really outperform in the next decade. EM Equities and currencies are going to provide a lot of opportunities for 2020: With that recognition behind us, I am going to be spending a lot more time in Asia for this chapter in the economic cycle. From 2020 - 2030 we are going to see a the great migration of capital from West to East. The ability for KOSPI to break 2,600 is showing how flexible the bid really is into the year close. We also have to take note of the differentiation of outside candles on the yearly: Here deploying capital to Korea for a strong move in 2021, though it involves some understanding of the relevant sectors (we will dig deeper into some single stock opportunities and sectors later in the month so start to prepare your charts). Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
KRX:KOSPILong
by ridethepig
Korean pumptardednessEWY posted the same pattern as it did before the last 2 big drops. Entered into some puts today for next week. There's still room for it to go hit resistance and ATH, the 2 lines I've drawn. If it goes up from here, look for a similar pattern before shorting. I'm bearish for Monday, but who knows, they can do another vaccine pump, 3 weeks in a row, lol. Note, if it tanks on Monday, wait until Tuesday to short, it usually does a 2 step drop with an up day in teh middle.
AMEX:EWY
by hungry_hippo
KRW/USD Korean CurrencyCUrrency looks like it got rejected by resistance, should whipsaw here.... hopefully down next week. When trading foreign index ETFs like EWW, EWY, EWZ, or TUR, you gotta pay attention to the currency trade as well. The funds are NOT hedged against currency which means you're playing both the index and the currency. You can trade these ETFs to take advantage of currency trades, take a look at TUR. Between Biden being elected, vaccine, and the issue in Armenia being resolved, TUR went up like crazy this month.... (I missed the boat on it though I made a killing a couple of years ago when the Turkish Lira crashed)
by hungry_hippo