etherum (ETH) "INDICATOR TANGLE"The moving averages with shadow function offer a timeframe to follow before major improvements in price. Right now Ethereum is jumbled up with the third blue line 150 variable moving average. This is not dissimilar to Bitcoin because Bitcoin does not follow such simple methods of indicator transcribing. This would look like the peak is reached according to the orange line and stepped yellow line crossing paths. The difference this time around compared to back in 2021 is in how the blue line is intersecting with those lines (orange, yellow, green) that rise when the price is reaching peak evaluation.
L1
3 Small Cap Crypto to watch...Since you enjoyed my previous post about 3 Crypto OGs to watch this month...
Here's an interesting one about small market cap altcoins:
BINANCE:DYMUSDT
DYM has been hovering within a narrow range after rejecting the round number $1.
Waiting for a break above the upper bound of the range at $2.15 to activate the setup and target the $5 mark.
BINANCE:CYBERUSDT
CYBER has been hovering within a narrow range after rejecting the round number $3.
Waiting for a break above the upper bound of the range at $5 to activate the setup and target the $9.5 mark.
KUCOIN:RIOUSDT
CYBER has been hovering within a narrow range after rejecting the round number $0.5.
Waiting for a break above the upper bound of the range at $1 to activate the setup and target the $2 mark.
Which altcoins would you like me to cover next?
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ETH BREAKOUT??Simple chart with key levels shown. After the Trump victory price has broken out from the downtrend of 7 months. So far the breakout has been capped at the major resistance level of $2850. It's a clearly important S/R level with clear TPs on the way back up to local high.
Entry is a tricky one, the macro is clearly bullish with the election news + interest rate cuts happening globally. A safer entry would be a flip of the resistance @ $2850.
A second entry would be the green box and still broken out of the downtrend. That would make the entry closer to being wrong and therefor better R:R but for me less probable as $2850 is still major resistance.
Invalidation is under the green area around $2700 and falling back under the downtrend, approx -6.5% under the possible entry once the S/R is flipped.
APTOS Broken out from a Hunt Volatility Funnel... $40+Building on #SUI's impressive recent performance, it seems that this new #Blockchain for this cycle is poised to attract supportive investment.
While the technical setup isn't flawless, for a perfect #HVF pattern, with a L2 lower versus L1, it still has a strong chance of reaching its anticipated upper targets during this bullish phase!
Is SUI the chosen Blockchain of the Banana ZoneThere is a well-defined inverse head and shoulders pattern forming on the CRYPTOCAP:SUI to CRYPTOCAP:SOL USD ratio chart.
The neckline sits at 0.16, a level we recently touched and then pulled back from, marking it as a significant barrier to overcome.
Our linear target is set at 0.0282, indicating a notable potential increase of +83% on the ratio.
Looking further ahead, the logarithmic projection reaches up to 0.064.
At that stage, we can imagine our friend Raoul Pal celebrating in triumph.
SEI 1H Breakout??Potential breakout play on SEI, having broken above the diagonal trendline resistance. Now retesting this trendline as new support after making new higher low and higher high on the 1H timeframe.
Price is currently in the middle of 2 draws to the downside and 2 to the upside. This does make the breakout less certain, the bullish OB that lays under current price would have better R:R without breaking the new bullish trend.
Clear resistance is shown around the triple top pattern/ Daily resistance. As the general HTF structure is still a choppy one, these areas of resistance shouldn't be taken lightly as there is no real momentum to break those levels easily.
DIONE 1H BULL FLAG?Potential bull flag setup on DIONE/USDT 1H TF.
A very exciting L1 project using 100% renewable energy. IMO it's one to watch going into 2025, being environmentally friendly fixes the ethical argument that crypto is bad for the environment, this could be a massive pro for the project going forward when the L1 choice will narrow down as the winners rise to the top during the adoption phase.
For now on the 1H TF there is a potential bull flag breakout LONG setup. After a strong rally price has been accumulating with Lower highs and Higher lows, compressing waiting to expend in either direction. TA suggests a bull flag should be a continuation to the upside. This would be backed up by the 1D chart where price is above the daily support & 1D 200EMA, the draw on liquidity should now be above so this suggests a bullish continuation.
For DIONE to breakout below it would have to lose the 1H 200EMA while it's in a steep uptrend. I think that would have to come from BTC nuking and with FOMC that's possible due to volatility of news events, however it is less likely than the bullish scenario IMO.
SUI/USDT 1D SUI has been one of the better performing L1's and altcoins in general in the last 6 months that BTC has been chopping/ranging.
There are a few key points on the SUI chart that catch my eye:
- 1D 200EMA is now flipped bullish with a strong reaction after flipping the level, this shows buyers are confident in the project and happier to buy at higher levels, instead of waiting for a pullback for example.
- Clear Higher high and higher low structure indicating a bullish trend on the daily. Invalidations are more obvious when a structure like this is broken.
- Plenty of room to grow going into Q4, the range is clearly mapped out with key Orderblock levels that will more than likely be resistance levels and so they are the targets to take profits, hedge or de-risk while assessing where SUI will go.
With this being SUI's first Bullrun history shows the newer projects do better off in terms of ROI that's if they survive, from what we have seen so far this cycle I believe SUI will be a strong project going forward.
(ETH) ethereum "direction"I think Ethereum is headed in the direction of the black neutral zone area as seen in the auto fib retracement indicator. The 50 day and 100 day moving average lines show Ethereum headed towards the neutral zone. Due to the neutral zone being above the price, I think the price of Ethereum is going to gain in price.
NEAR protocol on the WEEKLY NEAR is a project that covers all the bases. A Web3 Layer 1 with the capability for unlimited transactions per second (TPS) that's transparent and accessible to everyone. NEAR protocol has begun venturing into the AI space pushed by Co-Founder Illia Polosukhin who is an AI researcher himself, with an AI marketplace as he believes AI is one of the core verticals for the NEAR ecosystem going into the future.
The near chart is a promising one for the future. Having already experienced the 2022 altseason, we can gauge where NEAR will meet resistance, and sellside pressure areas and of course previous ATH. Using Fibonacci levels combined with range quarters we can split up an otherwise daunting chart into sections of a large range. Since the rally began in the beginning of 2024 price has broken above the 0.75 line and has been retested for support, of which it held and is now key support. With BTC's rally on the recent CPI numbers, the stronger altcoins followed suit and now NEAR is targeting the MIDPOINT of the range at $10.72 (0.5 level). From then on there is a clear FVG resistance before hitting the highs.
I have used the Fib levels as long term Take Profit areas, who knows how long it may take to get there or even if we get there at all. However the fundamentals of the Project are very strong, with a great team and expanding into high interest narratives like AI all add up to a very promising project. The one downside is that circulating supply is not capped and will grow at 5% each year. Therefor the tokenomics are not as favourable to investors as for example Injective INJ which has a capped at 100,000,000 coins and currently has 94% of that circulating and that limits dilution of token value.
I'm very bullish on NEAR in the long run, the current LTF bearish pullback has been punishing for the majority of alts however NEAR has held up very well. The AI narrative backing it as well will surely help it progress and the accessibility of being available on all the major exchanges.
#SOLUSDT #1h (OKX Futures) Ascending broadening wedge breakdownSolana lost 50MA on hourly TF, retracement down to 200MA support seems in place, let's hedge short.
⚡️⚡️ #SOL/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: OKX Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (6.0X)
Amount: 4.8%
Current Price:
157.06
Entry Targets:
1) 158.69
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 147.63
Stop Targets:
1) 164.23
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:SOL OKX:SOLUSDT.P #1h #Solana #PoS solana.com
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +41.8%
Possible Loss= -20.9%
Estimated Gaintime= 2-3 days
BTC - Accumulation or Short Buildup❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
BTC has been hovering within a narrow range marked in red around the $60,000 - $62,000 support zone.
Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish - Accumulation
For the bulls to take full control again, a break above the upper bound of the range is needed.
In this case, a movement towards the $69,000 resistance would be expected.
2️⃣ Bearish - Short Buildup
In parallel, if the $60,000 support is broken downward, we expect a bearish movement towards the lower bound of the orange channel around $55,000.
Which scenario is more likely to happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
SOLANA UPDATE SOLANA has been one of the best performing large caps this year. A strong L1 project that has an ATH of $260 from the previous Bullrun that has made a huge rally off the lows.
My pessimistic side is worried that the rally has been exhausted, we've reached HTF RESISTANCE as well as a STRONG BEARISH DIVERGENCE. There is a strong case to be made that using TA this would be a great place to take profits. Not necessarily go short, but de-risk and enjoy what would have been a roughly 5x from lows.
We also have SOLANA being used to buy SOL memecoins, we're seeing this across the board with AVAX and INJ too, we've reached the memecoin phase of the run which also leads me to believe this move is coming to an end. Just how long the memecoin run will last, who knows, but it will come to an end as they always do, and usually very suddenly.
For now TA says to de-risk, however FA is running the show for now, we'll see for how much longer.
Long ZetaI'm going long zeta here. Zeta has reached good support, it is in this bullish triangle, and the RSI is nearing oversold territory. But, I am placing tight stops on this trade due to the conglomeration of my other indicators all still signalling "SELL". I am taking a bet that they will all soon flip. Zeta is an awesome L1 crosschain solution. It's only a matter of time before the collective catches on and start adopting, developing, and building on this chain.
$EXRD / $XRD HopiumHumans struggle to comprehend exponential curves, but the history of crypto has shown that the log chart it is the only rational TA method for mature projects.
If Radix were to match the market cap of Solana CRYPTOCAP:SOL , its price would be ~$7.50. Radix's superior tech, narrative, and ecosystem could 10x that, and at the apex of the bull market 5-10x that again.
Therefore, we are giving a price target of ~$200 before the end of the year, with Bitcoin at $400k by the same analysis.
FTM to $2 ? This is an Ansem copytrade ngl.
I've been sleeping on FTM but there are no signs of slowing down.
Once the market bounces back, $2 is the mid-term target.
marked some potential resistance levels along the way where one might take profit
Also marked some bottoming / reversal patterns that played out at the bottom. Wish i was watching this one sooner! The signs were all there for this massive rally.
Happy Trades,
CD
XTZ chasing ETHSOL stole all the hype among alt L1s early on this cycle, but I think XTZ will be a sleeper hit and it's already rallying hard, printing very bullish pattern on Weekly timeframe backed up by some nice increasing volume.
You might get more volatility from smaller caps, but we'll see some nice predictable advances from solid, established projects like Tezos.
As always, BTC is driving the car at this stage in the cycle.
Happy trades,
CD
ETH RANGES Ethereum being the second biggest coin in market cap has a very important role to play in the crypto ecosystem, however, we haven't heard to much talk or news about the coin as other L1's have stolen the spotlight. SOLANA, INJECTIVE, SUI etc have all grown in popularity and have taken a lot of the focus away from the biggest altcoin by market cap.
In the chart there are clear ranges for which I believe are worth trading. Range 1 & Range 2 are the HTF key levels, bouncing between the High, low and the midpoint of the range . Currently we have seen price be rejected from the Range 2 Midpoint the support comes from the $2130 level in the HTF but the red supporting trendline on the lower timeframes. For now the chop has kept ETH within those areas and until proven otherwise should be traded as such.
A case for the bulls on Ethereum :
- ETF narrative can be a powerful mover as has already been demonstrated with the BTC move all of last year. Now that the Ethereum ETF awaits approval we could see a similar rally towards the decision date at the end of May this year . It's important to note that this date is post BTC Halving event and historically a rally follows this event throughout the market.
- Deflationary tokenomics lend themselves to a bullish asset for investors because of simple supply and demand dynamics. With the inevitable increase in retail exposure that comes with a Bullrun in addition to BlackRock and other ETF providers buying large sums of the crypto to offer to customers. Naturally this increases price as demand is up, now couple that with a deflationary circulating supply and you have a very bullish scenario where a very sought after asset is becoming increasingly rarer, perfect storm for the bulls.
A case for the bears:
- OLD NEWS... I would say that in crypto being the new kid on the block is very important for increasing the price of the token. We have seen in the last year many new L1's be released and have taken the spotlight away from older more established coins which can be disheartening for anyone that's holding ETH or looking to add ETH to their portfolio.
INJECTIVE, SUI, TIA to name a few often outperform the larger cap coins that are older as the potential to grow is much larger. Ethereum already has a market cap of $280B The likelihood of 5x, 10x or 20x gains are much lower than a smaller cap coin offering a similar service with newer technology. So for this reason I think the well established nature can work against Ethereum but it is worth saying that because of this it is less risky to invest in a larger cap coin when compared to smaller caps.
I'm keeping a keen eye on ETH both against stables and BTC pairs but will avoid getting drawn into the choppy price action. Only taken action at the key levels shown on the chart.
05/02/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $43871.39
Last weeks low: $42838.73
Midpoint: $41806.06
Last week we saw the first month of 2024 come to a close as well as FOMC , this in my opinion contributed to the chop throughout the week with no clear direction in terms of trend. BlackRock continued to buy up BITCOIN and now hold ~ SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B worth of the asset.
Last week in my outlook I thought that the target of 44.5K is where the bulls needed to aim towards and ideally flip to support however they have fallen short and now I think looks a little heavy. I've said previously I could see a slow bleed towards 33K and it's beginning to look more and more likely as the bulls seem to be exhausted.
This BTC price action has had an effect on the ALT market with the majority of pairs bleeding off too, potentially leading to great long term hold entries in the near future on exciting new L1's and other narrative coins.
Historically February is a good month for BTC so there is hope on the bullish side, with the halving on the way too buyside pressure will grow naturally, in the short term arguments can be made for both sides and I think that's why we're seeing chop and indecision currently, until there is a clear direction only the nibble and very skilled traders are risking this price action. For me I am looking into where I would like to buy strong alts at key levels for swing trading timeframes.