Lagging
SPX & S&P 600 & RUSSEL 2000,which is a leading indicator "2.0"Indexes "Band of Brothers Edition 2.0 " Decoding the relation!!!
(No copyrights here feel free to redistribute and spread the knowledge)
In a nutshell, divergences between small caps and SP500 index has a kind of
leading volatility relation " Heads up" kind of a signal !!!
*** When you see minus " -.59 / -.62 " Divergence's reading between SPX & SLY
You need to be out of the market period.
*** When you see minus " -.48/ -.65 " on RUSSELL 2000'S INDEX you need to be out
of the market period.
*** SPX 600 has 10 signals Vs. 7 for RUSSEL. ( 3 more signals for SP600)
***SPX 600 has 4 lagging signals VS. 6 for RUSSEL 2000. ( 2 less lagging signals)
*** SPX 600 has a Median of 36 days Vs. 57 for RUSSEL 2000. ( SP600 better Median)
*** ETFs are slightly better than indexes in the sense that they are more "SENSETIVE.
-----------------------------------------DATA-------------------------------------------------------------------
Lagging Lagging # SINGNALS # SINGNALS MED.RUS Med.SPX russel spx 600
6 4 6 10 57 36.5 62 2 Percentage SPX'S DAYS FOR A PULLBACK RUSSELL 2000 SPX'S DAYS FOR A PULLBACK S&P SMALL CAP 600
61 36 10% Laggeing by 3 days 2 Days heads up
36 13 35% NO SIGNAL !!! 36 days before Covid 19
57 91 20% Double signals 62 days & 8 days 13 days
28 37 12% 61 days Triple signals: 91 days & 81 days & 38 days
48 35 3% Lagging by 1 day NO SIGNAL
91 28 3% Lagging by 9 days Lagging by 8 days
67 3% NO SIGNAL !!! 37 Days
61 5% Lagging by 7 days Lagging by 7 days
91 13% 36 Days 35 days
4%+10% 1 day + 57 days from double pullback NO SIGNAL
2% Lagging 1 day Lagging 1 day
11% 28 days 28 days
21% NO SIGNAL !!! 67 days
6% 48 days 61 days
SLY STOPPED HERE 8% 91 days 91 days
IJR USED HERE INSTEAD 31% Lagging during a crash 35 day lagging during a crash 35 day
During a crsh NO SIGNAL
During a crash During a crash
ECT paving the way for DASH to $5600 I love finding leaders and lagers and this seems like a perfect example. Its easy to see the similarities in these charts- they're not exactly the same but wow are they close. The last time I noticed something like this BTC had just hit 20k while ETH was still at $500 (see below). Just like BTC was leading the way then; it looks like ECT might be leading DASH (& others) now. The ball's in your court.
There are a few way to tackle this trade;
Entry 1: here $125 - $131
Stop 1: tight $124.5 or loose $120 depending on how aggressive you want to be
Entry 2: on retest of breakout
Stop 2: below the retest pivot
Entry 3: on a test of the lower trend line
Stop 3: below the pivot at the trend line or on the break and close below trend line
Entry 4: on retest of breakout
Stop 4: below the retest pivot
Target for all of the above at your own discretion. I'm treating this as an entry for a longer term position; so I'm holding it for much higher prices.
Trade ideas:
BTC leading ETH:
Never Trust. Verify.
D.Y.O.R . Not Financial Advice, this is my trading journal.
Always remember: Technical Analysis is not about being right, it's about increasing your odds.
Be prepared to be wrong. Risk management is key . Capital preservation above all else.
EDUCATION: Lagging and Leading IndicatorsHello, dear subscribers!
Today we will consider a new education series topic - the lagging and leading indicators with example on EMA and Pivot levels
Definition: The Lagging indicators based on current and historical market data and are used for describing the events which have alredy occured with the price.
Examples: Moving averages, MASD, oscillators and many other popular indicators.
Advantages: The lagging indicators are very reliable and predict the price movement correctly
Disadvantages: Usually give a signal when it's too late and the most of the desirable price movement has already done.
Definition: The leading indicator try to predict the future price movement.
Examples: Fibonacci retracement, Pivot levels
Advantages: Generate the signals in proper time
Disadvantage: Low win rate in comparison with lagging
Lagging + Leading Example
Leading and lagging indicators eliminate the disadvantages of the each other. The example is 200 EMA + Pivot levels.
The long signals generates when the price is above the 200 EMA, which means the uptrend, and when the price faces with the resistance on one of the pivot levels. Thus, the profit is higher than we use only 200 EMA and win rate is higher than sole pivot level trading strategy.
[$ETH] Playing with Lagging Span on the Chuvashov ModelHello everyone,
We are back now in a range. Times will say if it's accumulation of a distribution one.
Well, the second trendline of Chuvashov model will tell us in fact...
If we are getting over it, I think we can have this kind of scenario showed in the graph.
Otherwise, we will test lower zones. We have also an original impulse starting point between 215€ and 225€.
Those levels ned to be kept in mind just in case :)
Trade safe, Stay Safe,
PEACE!
ADA, OMG, EOS, 3 Types of charts, Leading, Trending and LaggingThese are the 3 main Types of correlated charts I am seeing in the Crypto space.
Type 1: These charts have moved off the low but have not yet broken out. These are lagging the others (i.e Not many people are paying attention = opportunity). e.g EOS
Type 2: These charts have broken out and are consolidating above or near the previous high. These are trending Bullish (look for entries on pullbacks and retests of support) e.g OMG
Type 3: These charts have broken out of the previous highs and are consolidating above all the price action since DEC 2018. These are leading the market (i.e Where the fomo is real) e.g ADA
Would you like to see my lists for Type 1,2 & 3 ?
Like & Sub...
Never Trust. Verify.
D.Y.O.R . Not Financial Advice Just an Observation.
Always remember: Technical Analysis is not about being right, it's about increasing your odds.
Be prepared to be wrong. Risk management is key . Capital preservation above all else.
Signals from Crypto-Sticks TRIX STIX - caught the GOBTC Pump!Another entry for you all in the public library Crypto-Sticks series. More STILL to come! What I particularly love is these indicators give you an added 3rd dimension to viewing them otherwise. You can see how much fluctuation occurred, get better divergence signals, find higher/lower extremes, and use in combination for secondary confirmation!
Here's an example of how to use the Crypto-Sticks TRIX for trading signals. I also plotted this range's signals the indicator would've generated. TRIX is a slightly lagging indicator meaning it catches trends better than it catches absolute bottoms and tops. So using something like Bottom Top Finder can help you pinpoint an even better entry and exit.
Please remember that you will potentially have to adjust the TRIX overbought and oversold levels to suit the volatility of the instrument you are working with. In the future I will implement a feature that does this automatically, but for now its manual.
The OB/OS zones are given in two levels, because often you can find a line of best fit that will hit "small movements" and one that will hit "big movements."
Heiken Ashi (default setting) candles adds some more clear trend changing points which can be executed at the second candle going in either direction. Other coins/charts will require their own strategy - you could potentially have to tweak that parameter. In this example you would enter on 2nd green, exit on 2nd red.
Volume weighting the HA candles adds a different dimension to the indicator which I have to explore more fully. Please note on this indicator i believe it provides no additional value, but I left it is as An example of VW+HA:
Enjoying this indicator or find it useful? Please give me a like and follow! There are many more indicators to be released in this series, not to mention I post crypto analysis and other free indicators regularly.
Questions? Comments? Want to get access to an entire suite of proven trading indicators? Come visit us on telegram and chat, or just soak up some knowledge. We make timely posts about the market, news, and strategy everyday. Our community isn't open only to subscribers - everyone is welcome to join.
Stellar Plag'sPLAGS once again on 5/12/17 - The push up to the .00002400's is getting tired especially with all the lag. Watching for another break below .00001600.
charts.stocktwits.com
NZD/CAD - Possible LongFirst of all, I have to say that at the moment there's no long signal, it's just an idea.
Now let's see what, where, when, who, how.
So, I like this graph so much, prices are below the Kijun Sen though, but it's just this one the thing I like.
Why? Isn't the trade already done?
Maybe, but the reject wasn't random. In fact, as you can see, prices perfectly rebounce on that blue line I placed on the graph. Do you know what it's that? It's the Weekly Kijun + the Monthly tenkan. Incredibile precision, isn't it? Yeah!
So, basically, Month and Week just said "Hey dude, you can't pass here, go down, immediately!". And so they did. But if prices can break the Kijun out, then H4 would take control, and they would say "Month, shut up, see ya on 31st May. Week, I know you hate me, but the Kijun Sen is so far away. Daily, if you allow me, we can go up together, what do you thing about it?".
Of course, we ask permissions to the Daily graph, because that one has a couple of resistances as well, so we should pay attention to them (I put them on the graph).
This analysis needs to be confirmed by the Kijun break out (where I put the flag), so let's wait.
WHY AUDUSD MIGHT BE A GOOD LONG-TERM SHORTALL CURRENCY PAIRS IN WHICH THE USD IS THE
DENOMINATOR HAVE BEEN FOLLOWING A SIMILAR
ARC SHAPE SINCE THE 2009 RECESSION.
AS WE CAN SEE HERE, JPYUSD, CADUSD HAVE REACHED
THEIR PREVIOUS SUPPORT AREAS. ONE CURRENCY
PAIR THAT HASNT REACHED ITS PREVIOUS LOW
IS THE AUDUSD. ALL MARKETS WORK TOGETHER,
THEREFORE I BELIEVE THIS PAIR IS LAGGING
COMPARED TO IS RELATIVES. AUDUSD COULD BE
A GOOD POTENTIAL SHORT IN THE LONG RUN
AFTER ITS CURRENT CONSOLIDATION.