BTC-IN THE MIDDLE OF THE RANGE !WEEKLY (W1)
Upcoming weekly closing level would be very important to look at, as it will either VALIDATE or INVALIDATE the upside BREAKOUT OF THE TOP OF THE WEEKLY CLOUDS RESISTANCE AREA @ 47'407 !!!
The Mid Bollinger Band (MBB) @ 44'555, briefly broken yesterday, worked perfectly well as the support level in this weekly time frame
DAILY (D1)
Nice recovery seen yesterday ! indeed, after having briefly broken an important support level (see my last analysis below), the BITCOIN managed to reverse, confirming, for the time being the PULLBACK I have been talking about and which for the time being let the TRIANGLE PATTERN ALIVE for a technical target
of 57'620 !
Nevertheless, as long as the former high @ 48'234 is not broken on a DAILY CLOSING BASIS, the downside pressure remains...
The TENKAN-SEN @ 45'925 should be seen, now as the first support in this daily picture and if you look back, so far has worked perfectly well as LEADING SUPPORT INDICATOR.
A daily closing below this level should not be underestimated as that should be seen as the first warning signal for a TREND REVERSAL which should be confirmed by the breakout of the ongoing uptrend support level, currently @ 45'245.
PIVOT LEVELS DAILY TIME FRAME :
1) ON THE DOWNSIDE @ 42'900 (KIJUN-SEN)
2) ON THE UPIDE @ 48'234 (FORMER HIGH)
BREAKOUT IMPLICATIONS OF ONE OR THE OTHER PIVOT LEVEL :
1) ON THE DOWNSIDE 41'642 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 37'567-48'234 rally) ahead of the psychological 40'000 support level which also coincides with the daily clouds support area.
2) ON THE UPSIDE, psychological 50'000 resistance level ahead of 50'975 (WEEKLY KIJUN-SEN !!!). A crossover this level would confirm further upside towards the TRIANGLE TARGET @ 57'620
4 HOURS (H4)
The CLOUDS hold and rejected yesterday the downside breakout attempt; the strong recovery which followed with along white bullish candle 44'734 - 46'739 in 4 hours) crossed over strongly the former ongoing uptrend support line which had been changed to a new resistance level.
The BITCOIN is currently traded around the Mid Bollinger Band @ 46'492 and the upcoming H4 closing level may give more clues for further intraday development.
On the downside, watch the CLOUDS and the TENKAN-SEN @ 45'731
1 HOUR (H1)
Despite a RSI convergence detected at the bottom level (44'244) the BITCOIN managed to recover... and this short term recovery has been validated by firstly the upside breakout of the Tenkan-Sen, the MBB and the KS.
Currently above the hourly clouds but already below the Tenkan-Sen (46'661)
Watch closely this hourly price action and also shorter intraday time frames to get more clues for further development on both sides !!!
Mid Bollinger Band @ 46'140 is the next support level ahead the hourly clouds support area, currently between 46'000and 45'500
Do you like my analysis and do you think it bring you some added value ?
If YES, do not forget to like it and for those who do not follow me yet, please do not forget either to add IRONMAN8848 to your following list.
For those who do not have access yet to TRADING VIEW (the BEST CHARTING APPLICATION available at the moment - several plan, starting from free of charge with the possibility, against payment to upgrade the basis version - Trust me it is a VERY POWERFUL TOOL :-)
Are you interested ? Very simple, sign up :
www.tradingview.com
Have a look at my Trading View profile to get the link to my private analysis.
Have a nice weekend, take care and all the best
Many thanks for your support
IRONMAN8848 & Jean-Pierre Burki
Laggingline
BTC-WARNING...BELOW THE DAILY CLOUDS !Yesterday's price action triggered a NEW LONG BLACK CANDLE which closed below the daily clouds @ 39'175 (intraday low @ 38'590)
Currently below both the TENKAN-SEN @ 41'174 and the MID BOLLINGER BAND @ 40460
RSI below 50, @ 44.82
LAGGING LINE testing the KIJUN-SEN !
And last but not least, yesterday's closing was also below the former downtrend resistance (red line !)
Today's price action will be very important and will validate or invalidate 2 important things :
1) THE CLOUDS SUPPORT BREAKOUT
2) THE FORMER DOWNTREND RESISTANCE LINE WHICH BECAME THE NEW SUPPORT (PULLBACK)
A DAILY CLOSING BELOW 38'500 would confirm further downside towards, firstly the former daily congestion zone around the 37'000-36'700 area ahead of the former lows 34'324-32'950.
On the upside, a first breakout of the TENKAN-SEN @ 41'174 would temporary neutralise the ongoing downside risk and then should be confirmed by the top daily clouds @ 42'524 (this latter level has already been mentioned yesterday)
4 HOURS (H4)
Currently below :
1) The ongoing downtrend line
2) The Mid Bollinger Band
3) The Kijun-Sen
4) The Tenkan-Sen
5) THE CLOUDS
LAGGING LINE TESTING THE CLOUDS SUPPORT AREA AND ATTEMPTING TO CROSS UNDER !
RSI far below 50, @ 28.42 (No bullish divergence yet in this H4 time frame), still converging to the downside
Watch the clouds area (39'290-40'635) as a good indicator for upcoming trading hours as an upside breakout of the TOP OF THE CLOUDS (also the KS) would reopen the door for a potential upside towards the cluster of Kijun-Sen (41'961) & Mid Bollinger Band (42'201).
As usual, watch shorter intraday time frames to get glues and early signal (such as RSI bullish divergence) which will help you to validate or invalidate the implications previously mentioned in longer time frames.
Finally, do not forget to put in place a strict and disciplined RISK MANAGEMENT when you act TACTICALLY in STRATEGICALLY COUNTERTREND (RISK REWARD RATIO depending on your time frame trading action !)
IRONMAN8848 & Jean-Pierre Burki
NQ1 100 MF - PULLBACK FAILURE !DAILY (D1)
Yesterday's price action on one hand, above the cluster of TS (14'549) and MB (14'570) but..be careful, the shape of the yesterday's candle ( a doji hanging man , is a warning reversal signal which
is also validated by the pullback failure to recover and hold above the former uptrend support line (in green)
Indeed, today's ongoing price action is already in progress to confirm this expected downside move (should of course be confirmed on a daily closing basis to validate
further downside).
There is a very fragile zone (14500-14'250) and a failure to hold above 14'250, on a daily closing basis, would directly put the focus on the 14'000 area (former low and doji) ahead of the intraday low
of 13'706 reached on January 24th.
RSI below 50, @ 44.24
4 HOURS (H4)
Still under the influence of this triangle pattern (technical target @ 12'932) , where, for the time being, several pullback recovery attempts failed, also rejected by the H4 clouds resistance zone.
The Lagging line is again, currently below the clouds too.
A failure to hold, on H4 closing basis) above the ongoing H4 support trend line, currently @ 14'425 (by the way, also the 38.2% Fib ret) would weigh on the NQ1 and would open the door for lower levels previously mentioned in D1.
Watch the clouds as the first significant H4 resistance area
RSI slightly above the 50 level, @ 50.13
Do you like my analysis ?
If the answer is YES, please do not forget :
1) to like it
2) for those who did not follow me yet on Trading View, please add Ironman8848 on your following list
3) and for those who do not have a Trading View access (the best charting application available at the moment !, please do not hesitate to sign up (different levels :-) , in clicking on the following link :
www.tradingview.com
Many thanks in advance.
KInd regards
Ironman8848 & Jean-Pierre Burki