Indra: Seizing sideways momentum call opportunity?Indra is moving inside a lateral channel with a slight bearish trend. In the last days there have been good news about projects that are being signed (i.e. Defense, Ireland) but it looks like global pandemic situation is making investors undecisive whether to hold positions on the stock or withdraw. Lond term trend is clearly bullish. The company was planning to get back to dividend payments suspended back in 2014 and now due to covid19 it has left this topic in standby. The truth is that if I think markets are going to throw-back around July 14, IDR may not have time to do its last swing and may go further down to levels seen in 2012. However, if tomorrow decreases a sharp 6%, depending on the global market news we might experience a rebound on Monday or a continuing decline until 6.395€, the base of the slightly bearish channel. So we must be very focused on what happens tomorrow in macros, news, covid19 new outbreak and market sentiment and operate consequently. On the weekend there might be as well some news or none that may affect the global stockmarket sentiment. One thing is for sure: There is a lot of volatility and one could benefit or lose with it.
Lateralchannel
LONG NZDUSDPros
Above a resistance level.
Resistance level tested 4th times.
Divergences on DXY.
Divergences on h4 timeframe.
Cons
Strong dollar.
The strong of the last bearish impusle.
Stratregy
Buy a half at a market price, and the other half when the HCH is complete.
I prefer to put the take profit at the pivot point 0.7170-0.72(correction of 38.2%) instead of the top of the channel.
LONG GOLDPros
Lateral on daily timeframe.
Bullish on longterm.
Cons
Countrend on hourly timeframe.
The strength of the dollar is bad for the commodities.
Strategy
The gold is on a lateral channel. Long at the bottom and short at the top.
RSI divergences on hourly timeframe.
The candle could be a hammer on the support zone.
Close a half at the middle of the channel, and the other half at the top.
Day-trade analysisThe market-price is lateral. A good and conservative price-entry would be only if the price rises to or above $8121, with a Stop-loss at or below $8059.
And analysing previous price upwards, there was a variation of $ 80, so you could set your first target at $ 8155 or above. This is a conservative scenario, with slow bull run.
If it happens to start a crazy bullish run, analysing previous ones, there was a variation of $ 290-300, so if it happens this case you can set your targets at the price range of $ 8254~8350.
This is my actual strategy for a Short-net day-trade, specifically for this case.
I'M SHARING FOR INFORMATION/INSIGHTS PURPOSES.
DO YOUR TRADES ON YOUR OWN RISK.
Thank you for your time and good trades!
FX CHART OF THE DAY: USDCHF RANGEBOUND TRADINGUSDCHF has been trading laterally for some time now and no sits right on its weekly (120-h) mean. There is no apparent expansion volatility (measured by 3.2 st deviations) and there is no apparent slope of the mean.
As there are no significant news (calendar events) coming out on the USDCHF today. traders can pick trades both ways, betting that the price will keep reverting to the mean from its 1st standard deviation
Each new approach to the border of the lateral range is a risk of breakout/breakdown, so traders should not forget putting their stops close to relevant peaks/lows.
When price approaches the 1st standard deviation next time (either above or below the 120-H mean) It is also critical to watch out for volatility expansion (the 3.2s, red on chard), that will signal that the price is ready to break out / down from its lateral range.