Long-Term Outlook: Polestar's Potential on the 3-Day CandlesticLong-Term Outlook PSNY: Polestar's Potential on the 3-Day Candlestick Chart
Looking at the 3-day candlestick chart, we can observe some promising signs for the long term. While the price action may seem gradual, it reflects a steady build-up that could lead to significant growth in the years ahead. For those following Polestar, this chart provides a clearer picture of the broader trends and potential shifts in momentum. As always, patience is key. If the fundamentals align as expected, we could see a strong upward movement by 2026. For now, stay focused on the bigger picture and keep an eye on any key market shifts.
Lcid
Lucid Group Trip Down to Lower $3's Before Uplift?! - LCIDHere I have Lucid Group, Inc - LCID on the Weekly Chart!
First, Technical. We see Price rock bottoms to its Lowest @ $2.29 on April 22 2024 and just after the Negative Earnings and Revenue report on May 6th 2024, Price creates an Equal High @ $3.35 followed by a Violation of Structure giving us a Higher Low @ $2.48 finding Support in the $2.50 Area to then make a Higher High @ $4.32!
Turning this once looking Downtrend to an Uptrend.
Prices Higher Highs and Lows are now being halted at the $4.20 - $4.40 Range where I suspect Price will need to find more Support before it can continue on to what I believe will be its next Target being the Next Swing High @ $5.31!
*Divergence in the Highs of Price relative to the Highs on RSI show Bearish Signs
The Bullish Rally in Price on August 19th left open quite a Gap to Fill from $3.83 - $3.30 and If Price is willing to fill it, the $3.46 - $3.13 Area looks very Valuable being there's:
1) - Equal High @ $3.35 being Potential Support
2) - Golden Fibonacci Zone @ $3.34 (55.9%) - $3.22 (61.8%)
(Based from HL @ $2.48 to HH @ $4.43)
3) - RSI after Breaking EQH, starts Trading Above 50
4) BBTrend Printing Smaller, Dark, Red Bars
All leading to Bullish Markers!
Now, Fundamentals. Lucid Group announced that it is set to launch not only 3 new affordable EV's but that it also plans to unveil the Gravity SUV later in the year "highlighting the company's advanced technology and mileage range on electric vehicles." In competition with Tesla's long reign.
www.tradingview.com
The "Fastest Armored Car On The Planet" is sparking investor interest with Lucid Air Sapphire is giving serious challenges to Tesla!
www.tradingview.com
The past 2 Earnings & Revenue Reports have both been Disappointing for the company but the most recent Report on August 5th compared to May 6th tell a slightly different story ..
May - Revenue Estimate (173.544M) / Reported (172.2M) = -844.404k
Aug.- Revenue Estimate (190.303M) / Reported (200.6M) = +10.279M
*Next Earnings and Revenue - November 5th 2024
LCID will be worth keeping a watch on .. Stay Tuned!!
2 Pairs, 1 Stock (AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, LCID)Hey everyone!
I wanted to take some time and put together a quick video of some pairs and a stock I've been keeping analysis on!
Interest Rate Cuts for USD will be felt in all financial markets!!
Here I point out:
AUD/USD - Weekly Pennat
AUD/JPY - Weekly Correction Pullback
LCID - Fibonacci Levels
Let me know what you think!!
Lucid Motors Price action Expectation - OpinionHere is my price action expectation and predictions for Lucid Gravity Launch.
Please note: This is just my personal opinion and not a financial advise.
I do not recommend buying or selling based on this chart. Please perform due diligence when buying or selling the stocks.
TSLA basing on its volume profile for a trade LONGTSLA on the highly reliable weekly chart is at the bottom of its volume profile in the lower
part of the high volume area. The TTM Squeeze Indicator ( TTM = Trade the Market John Carter)
has printed a signal for four weeks. The RSI faster and slower lines are near to the 50 level.
The mean relative volatility has steadily decreased and this is in an increasing squeeze state.
This is a setup for a patient trader to take a position in a swing trade. I am looking for a trade
into the upper part of the high volume area and so to the 240-280 range. I will get some shares
as well as a few call options for November (ITM). TSLA will be subjected to a number of
variables making the trade a bit risky including the Musk compensation battle, the China
economy, competition with Chinese EVs in Europe, federal rate actions and the presidential
elections as well as the evolution of self-driving. It is TSLA's volatility that makes it a great
trade. My entry signal here is a TTM indicator going black to white.
LCID CHART INTO EARNINGS TRENDS AND TARGETSIF it's bullish, here are your upper price targets.
Sharp trends leading down into a STRONG area of support.
All of which is timing out into earnings.
I would say, if the stock is in the buy zone pre earnings, it's probably a pretty solid buy where a chance of a successful trade suddenly shifts heavily in your favor.
I tried to label everything best I could on the chart.
Be careful, as I think whatever bullish move is coming, will retrace.
Sell trend is likely your exit.
Risk increases as price targets increase.
Good luck!!
LCID Anchored VWAP based swing trade LONGLCID on the 15 minute chart is shown with two sets of anchored VWAP lines overlaid being set
at the pivot low of April 22 and the pivot high of May 6th. LCID completed a trend down today
which began on May 6th. Price has reversed and is breaking up through VWAP band lines on the
chart. The faster green RSI line has crossed over the 50 level in the past trading session. Price
is now about to cross over the longer mean black VWAP line. I am taking a long trade here
targeting 2.88 for 25% of the position, 3.10 for 50% of the position and the reminder for a
runner position to extend for the uppermost band lines. The first two targets are based on the
intermediate VWAP lines as well as the upper and lower boundaries of a standard Fibonacci
retracement. The stop loss will be raised incrementally from its initial setting of
2.74 at the top on the EMA cloud. As the trend down took a few weeks. I am expecting a 2-3
week long trade following a projected trend up.
RIVN falls to fair value for swing LONGRIVN is here on a 30 minute chart with VWAP bands and a dual time frame RSI added. Price
fell from the top of the trend up after the last earnings. It is now between the mean
anchored VWAP and the first lower VWAP line which is where the reversal occurred on May 8th.
I will look for an entry long on a lower time frame chart. I am looking for a 1.75 move up
toward the second upper VWAP line in this trade while risking 0.25 making the reward for
the risk taken about 7.
FFIE in a rising channel breakout ( RIP FSR) LONGFFIE is rising in a Keltner channel with a moving average channel superimposed. On this
15 minute chart, FFIE went from a low volume trend down to a reversal with volume on the
morning onf April 8th with the continuation into April 9th. This is a volatile penny stock.
Long trades are taken when price crosses through the moving average channel especially
if there is a corresponding volume spike.
The exit when price touches or crosses the upper boundary of the Keltner channel. I
have added the ATR stop loss indicator to manage the stop loss and its advancement up as price
rises. The trend up is now 35% but could easily continue higher. I will take a long trade
here with about a 5% stop- loss targeting 0.1184 and 0.1234 as recent pivots to the left.
LCID has another falling wedge breakout LONGLCID is making its move while Fisker got halted and will be delisted. LCID has a rich uncle, a
Saudi billionaire running the national wealth fund there. Fisker lost its suitor in Nissan and tried
to raise cash by selling cars under cost. I would be afraid to buy a car from a company about
to head into bankruptcy. Anyway, time to buy LCID for now, it has a vaccine against the
contagion. I happen to be very fond of falling wedges especially when they repeat. My skills
in Elliott Wave analysis are nil but this is one to analysis. In the meanwhile, it's a buy ( no
I am not a fan of Jim Cramer.)
RIVN a trade from deeply undervalued LONGRIVN on a 60 minute chart with set of anchored VWAP lines appears to be finishing a double
bottom at the 8.5 level and making a move higher in a VWAP band breakout potnetially rising
to the mean anchored VWAP and beyond it into the upper bands. I will take a long trage here
with the targets in a textbox on the chart. I am interested in the action of the lesser EV stock
while TSLAs fundamentals are challenged by earnings constraints in the face of downward
pricing and whether discounting will stimulate demand or instead accelerate the path down as
investors may perceive the pricing scheme as a sign of weakness ( or even desperation).
LCID rises from falling wedge on news from its rich uncleLCID got news that its rich uncle the Saudi Arabia Wealth Fund will be assisting in the
manufacturing of large body parts moving forward (perhaps on the methodology of TSLA
to just massive molds to efficiently do so and at a far lower cost). Shares pumped today on the
news. Is it sustainable? Is there still time to buy a piece of the move?
On the 120-minute chart, LCID was in a falling wedge or narrowing regression channel and
broke out also on a day when other EV stocks made good moves. The MACD indicator as
well as the dual TF RSI indicator in confirmation both show bullish momentum. The algo echo
indicator ( by LuxAlgo) which looks back in time to find matching price action patterns and
then predicts the near future move, shows a predicted move to 4.05. This is confluent with the
POC line of the volume profile anchored back to November. From November 14 to December 6,
price was range bound in consolidation around the 4.05 level. My call options for 2/16 @ $3.5
did 140% today unrealized. I will add $4.00 for 2/9 expiration and watch for the anticipated
and predicted continuation.
LCID Long Trade Setup VWAP and Falling Wedge BreakoutsLCID on a 30 minute chart showed a falling wedge from mid-December to late January then with
breakout which took it 30% in one and a half days. This was a previous idea. I believe the news
catalyst from Saudi Arabia prompted a burst of trader interest. The following day, the price
began another falling wedge pattern for one week. It then broke out for a 10 % move in a short
time interval.
The chart also demonstrates the bigger moves are centered around VWAP band lines where
trading volume and volatility are the greatest. The relative volume and volatility indicators
help emphasize this point.
At this point, LCID may be turning down into another albeit smaller and lower-duration
falling wedge and is well positioned for a brief short trade. The target would be the
mean anchored VWAP at 3.25. For a better entry selection, a zoom into 3-10 minutes would
be helpful
LCID falling down on weak revenue LONGLCID is in a falling wedge pattern again on the 30 minute chart. Eventually it will break out over
the pattern. It has been in a simlar pattern in the recent past. This is now basically a tall bear
flag in its consolidation portion. While price could go even lower, reversion to the mean says
that it will retrace. The Fib tool suggests 3.35 over an intermediate term. LCID has a rich
uncle in Saudi Arabia and its wealth fund. Most certainly, they will accumulate heavily at this
price level. Shorts will buy to cover once there is a saturation of buying and price action
follows in keeping with Wychoff's theory. The mass index has signaled a reversal. I will dip buy
this like the SA traders and add to the position once some bullish momentum is seen.
LCID Lucid Group Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LCID before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LCID Lucid Group prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 2.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.16.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
RIVN rises with LCID while FSR fails LONGRIVN popped today while FSR got halted and will be delisted. The 4H chart with BB and a
predictive algo added suggest it has room to 13.25. The indicators are supportive of that
forecast. I will take a long position here with a stop loss under the lower BB line. As to
my FSR put options I will watch them rise until expiration time. No hurry. No worry there.
RIVN's new models and FSR's demise should help for some bullish momentum until RIVN
catches a bit of FSR''s issues.
Lucid Motors Surpasses Q1 Delivery EstimatesLucid Motors ( NASDAQ:LCID ) has exceeded market expectations for first-quarter deliveries, showcasing resilience in the face of challenging conditions in the electric vehicle (EV) market. The luxury EV maker reported delivering 1,967 vehicles, surpassing analysts' estimates of 1,745, despite headwinds in the industry.
One key factor driving Lucid's performance has been the strategic implementation of price cuts on its flagship Air sedans, ranging from 1% to 10%. This move has effectively stimulated demand, contributing to the company's delivery success.
However, the broader EV market in the U.S. has been grappling with slowing demand, attributed to factors such as high-interest rates and relatively elevated ownership costs. Despite this, Lucid has managed to navigate these challenges and maintain delivery resilience.
The quarterly decline in deliveries reported by EV giant Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) earlier this month underscores the significance of Lucid's ( NASDAQ:LCID ) achievement. Lucid's ( NASDAQ:LCID ) plans to introduce a mid-size car in late 2026 aimed at a $50,000 price point signal a strategic move to broaden its customer base and compete directly with Tesla's Model Y electric vehicle.
Furthermore, Lucid's recent capital injection of $1 billion from Ayar Third Investment Company, an affiliate of Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund, provides the company with a significant financial advantage. This influx of funds positions Lucid favorably compared to other cash-strapped EV startups grappling with production ramp-up challenges.
Amid these developments, Lucid's ( NASDAQ:LCID ) delivery performance mirrors that of its sector peer Rivian Automotive (RIVN.O), which also exceeded quarterly delivery estimates. Both companies showcase resilience and innovation in navigating the evolving landscape of the EV market.
As Lucid Motors ( NASDAQ:LCID ) continues to navigate challenges and capitalize on opportunities, its strategic initiatives and delivery success position it as a noteworthy player in the competitive EV industry.
Technical Outlook
Lucid ( NASDAQ:LCID ) stock is up 3% with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 42.78 indicating a gradual bullish Trend in the medium to long term prior to the 1st Quarter Delivery Estimates.
Lucid Set to Raise $1 Billion From Saudi's PIF AffiliateLucid ( NASDAQ:LCID ), the luxury electric carmaker, has announced that it is raising $1 billion in capital from Ayar Third Investment Company, an affiliate of Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund (PIF). The investment by the sovereign wealth fund has sent Lucid's shares up by nearly 20%, highlighting the advantages the company has in the race for survival amongst several struggling EV startups.
The Saudi government has a 60% stake in Lucid ( NASDAQ:LCID ) and has invested billions in the company as part of its strategy to diversify Saudi Arabia's economy beyond oil. Ayar Third Investment Company will purchase $1 billion in convertible preferred stock and will have the option to convert the stock into approximately 280 million shares.
Lucid ( NASDAQ:LCID ), which is based in California, has been dealing with weaker-than-expected demand and a price war sparked by Tesla. The company, which is led by a former Tesla executive, anticipates producing 9,000 units in 2024, compared to the 8,428 vehicles it created last year.
Lucid's Air luxury sedans are competitive with Tesla's Model S, along with luxury EVs from Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Audi and Porsche, among other brands. Lucid intends to use the proceeds for corporate purposes and capital expenditure, among other things.
In its fourth-quarter financial presentation last month, Lucid ( NASDAQ:LCID ) reported having sufficient liquidity "at least until 2025" and estimated $1.5 billion in capital spending in 2024 as it focuses on launching its Gravity SUV line later this year. The company had $4.8 billion in available funds at the end of 2023, including $4.3 billion in cash.
#LCID can it give another chance ? read the related idea!!I posted earlier that the price retest of 2.85-3$ area can give us price action for the upside
now we can see a rally of around 15 % to the upside from that area.
if the price manged to keep the bottom of 2.85 $ area i can see another move in the lower time frame as painted in the blue arrow .
so the retest of 3 $ area would be the calm before the storm .
trade safe,
and
Follow me 😄
FSR is driving to its earnings LONGFSR is shown here on a 30 minute chart on the move up in the approach to earnings on February
29th. For comparison purposes only TSLA is shown sideways with the purple line. FSR has
started a VWAP band breakout into the area of the mean anchored VWAP where it could pick up
institutionally based trader interest. The growing volumes of trading are obvious and lend
further support to taking a position. I will long long here with both shares and options
as a pre-earnings play. The call options for mid-March are $ 6.00 per contract.
RIVN guides itself lower- but is it a dip buy? SHORTRIVN spends more to produce of its nice truck than it sells them for. This is a recipe for a
disaster which is now baking in the oven Earnings have plummeted. If guidance was better
than realities forecast there might be a dip buy here. i have a variety of positions shorting
RIVN when it runs a countertrend correction I will take a hedging long position until the
correction is over. I use these shorts to balance my portfolio against risk from an overall
falling market. Balanced in short vs long positions dollar for dollar and in the options
balanced in expiration times spread across the next almost two years. I find this keeps
the portfolio safe. I also look to LCID for a similar scenario while having a bullish bias on
WKHS. NKLA is a whole 'nother story. SHORT RIVN do not dip buy .
The chart is what you might expect. The disaster is what it is. This is basically a falling wedge
and no where near impending a breakout upside.
FSR increasing volatility as earnings approach LONGFSR is on 15 minute chart. It has been in a down trend. However, as the earnings report
due on Feburary 29th is near, trader interest has caused some buying volume spikes and upward
price movement closing in a bull flag pattern after the squeeze indicator triggered several
times and with the last a green histogram reflecting upward price action. The price-volume
trend reversed bearish to bullish. I see this as a setup for a long trade of FSR into the
earnings. In watching for an options setup I noted that the strike $0.50 same day expiration
on 2/23 this past Friday went 0.03 to 0.12 nearly 375% while the same for 3/1 went
0.09 to 0.16 or about 75%. Al in all not matter shares or options, I see FSR as a set up
for a long pre-earnings trade.