Leaps
Break and retest on EBAY! Big move incoming?🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
SPY - Dissecting Option CyclesA wise man once said "follow the money"
We are not in a stock market.
We are in an option market.
In an option driven market we follow option cycles as a core driver in markets
If you want to understand where you're headed in the market you need to understand where you're coming from.
NKE Leap Call / Long Term BuyNike is setting up for a long-term buy / leap call opportunity. The Jeanius Indicator/Screener gave the following reasons why:
Price fell through two untested lows, taking out sell-side liquidity. The indicator shows how much volume came from and how far price ran up from these lows.
NYSE:NKE is also testing a 3M uptrend line from the low of 2017 through the low of 2020.
The brilliant Jeanius Indicator printed "Combo" labels on the chart when this specific combination of multiple confluences has occurred in history!!
A Promising Investment in Africa's E-commerceNYSE:JMIA is retesting the $5 support level which is a major point of interest. Bouncing off this level is a good sign for strong buyer interest and a sign of further uptrend.
Bullish Case
Growing e-commerce market in Africa: Africa has a rapidly growing middle class and a young, tech-savvy population. This presents a significant opportunity for e-commerce companies like Jumia to tap into the expanding market and capture a substantial share of the growing online retail sector.
First-mover advantage: Jumia is often referred to as the "Amazon of Africa" due to its dominant position in the African e-commerce market. As the first major player in the region, Jumia has built a strong brand and established a network of customers, sellers, and logistics partners, giving it a competitive advantage over potential new entrants.
GE continues its bullrun LONGGE on the weekly chart has been in a trend up with some corrections along the way since a
double bottom in the summer of 2022. It has had some sections spin-off including the health
care poriton of the company. This company as a mega-cap industrial with cash on hand
is independent of interest rate concerns. Much of its business in long term contracts. I see
GE as a great long-term long trade. I am focused on accumulating long shares as well an
options into 2026. The last correction on this chart was this past October. I will average more
in at this time but am really looking for another smaller correction like last October for a
bigger buy to add to the positions. GE is safe from the volatility of most of the technology
stocks and in my opinion, is a good stock to "back up the truck".
New York Community Bank: Bullish Hammer TestNYCB printed a Bullish Hammer followed by an Inverted Hammer at the low and has Bullishly Engulfed it, I now think there is a decent chance to attempt to use those Hammers as a Support which would act as a macro bottom and perhaps fill the upside gap. I will be buying At The Money Call LEAPS at the strike of $5.00 just to see if we can get anything out of this price action.
PayPal: Turbulent Journey, Promising FutureI am a big supporter of PayPal but I believe its share value will get worse before it gets better. According to its Q2 2023 results, the online payment company experienced a deterioration in its liquidity with a cash ratio difference (cash/total current liabilities) of -0.04 when compared to its Q2 2022 results. The Q3 2023 Earnings Call taking place on Wednesday (1 November 2023) should set the tone for what to expect in the coming months, a steeper drop in share price or a much desired recovery.
PayPal has had a rocky year with the retirement of its veteran CEO, Dan Schulman, who was officially succeeded by Alex Chriss last month. Because Schulman's departure was planned and not sudden, the change in leadership is not a concern for me. The online payment giant also recently launched its own stablecoin showing its willingness and capability to evolve with the times. All-in-all, I believe PayPal's shares have been mostly rocked by factors outside of its direct control (rising treasury yields, pandemic lockdowns lifting, recession fears, etc) so I am anticipating the Q4 2023 to be a pivotal moment as I believe that's where we will see how Chriss has managed the company.
Despite the expected turbulence I am going to load up on LEAPS calls as I believe this company is extremely undervalued and is due for a strong recovery once the current macroeconomic disturbances subside. If the price continues to slip, I can see us hitting a support around $40 which will be the lowest the stock has been since February 2017. While this would be difficult to stomach, it offers an exceptional purchasing opportunity. A potential near-future recovery to the $58.50 level is also possible; $65 would be the next stop if the $58.50 ceiling is surpassed.
Speculative foresight: noting Elon Musk's prior history with PayPal and his long-term desires for operating an online bank (a desire he has expressed exercising with the newly acquired Twitter, now X, platform), I believe we can expect an attempted merger or acquisition from Musk once he has extinguished the current fires at Tesla and X. In my opinion, an attempt to takeover PayPal would attract high volatility which could launch PayPal's shares to prior highs. This is all speculation of course and probably will not occur for several years, if at all.
NASDAQ:PYPL
2023 New Year Long Opportunity - $CHPTI'm looking for a long opportunity on NYSE:CHPT in 2023.
Before 2022, it's all-time low was $9.38, and it tested and closed above this level twice. Once in the second and again in the fourth quarter of 22'.
In the most recent quarter, Chargepoint also tested and closed above the trend line from that all-time-low of Q1 2020 and Q2 2021 (dashed line)
This leaves me to believe, $CHPT will be a good long term opportunity for this year.
JNJ Buy Long on StrengthJNJ fundamentally is a cross between Big Pharm and Consumer Staples
Recent Earnings were solid not spectacular but the latter is not expected here.
Technically, JNJ climbs higher without much volatility, At the moment it
is rising in a small cycle within the supertrend. Strength is increasing
and some bearish momentum is exhausting. This is a low-beta stock and it
does not react much to the larger broad market. I see this as a good time
for a LEAP option for early 2024 at a strike 15% above the current price.
$STZ — Diagonal Calendar Put Spread?This price forecast is purely based on technical analysis of the current setup.
I guess people are drinking a lot?
We've had an extremely long stretch of green - which is a stale green light - 11 days in a row of green & 6 weeks straight of green - that hasn't happened since 2017 - it looks like the stock is trying to breakout on the weekly chart, but it looks so overbought technically speaking - very wide divergence from the all of the moving averages.
This is a great candidate for a diagonal calendar put spread , or just naked put buys.
I'm considering buying a very far out put - possibly January 2023 - and selling near-month puts against it with the goal of both having my bought put appreciate in value and have the sold near-month puts degrade in value so I can either buy them back for cheap or let them expire worthless. If I am able to successfully roll in near-month credits against my bought strike then I can slowly pay off the position's debit & eventually have a risk-free position.
In other words, if I make enough money from selling puts - against the bought out of the money & far dated puts - then I can completely pay off the cost of the puts I bought while still owning them - creates a risk free position.
Let me know if this is a confusing strategy for any of you, or if you disagree with my analysis.
$ELY longer term trade ideaStarted a LEAPS position with JAN 2024 25c on Callaway Golf.
Technically at good support (which was previously resistance), and appears to have bottomed.
Will add upon breakout of dotted down trendline.
More conservative idea would be to wait for breakout and confirmation, hence why I only purchased a few contracts, and this is a long term idea.
Keep an eye on volume, it needs more .
Breakout with volume and confirmation of bottoming - full position
Cheers
$XBI Monthly approaching buy zoneStarted XBI LEAPS position buying JAN 24 $150 Calls, will continue to add as XBI Biotech has taken a beating, but technically has just found it's way back to the long term upward trendline support zone.
First price target 120, followed by 140 after expecting a bit more downside here.
This is a long term trade idea, for those looking in the short term, there may still be more downside although the R/R favors the long position now IMO.
There is still hope!
Sofi has proven to be an underestimated because of its high volatile markets. There is plenty of evidence of a huge jump happening between the final weeks leading up to earnings to a week after. The last time there was a 10.50 stock price in SOFI was the start of an explosion to $27.
Like in my previous idea, there is much evidence of averages telling us that the market is going up. The fact that they just became a bank that is offering plenty of incentives to convert customers and they are a low-cost bank. They do not have buildings like regular banks. They are a totally online which means they will definitely have higher earnings in ratio to debt than their counter partners. LOOK FOR THE LEAP
Leaps On SQ - Apple BS NarrativeBuying SQ right here right now for big discount, I haven’t even checked I just know it’s cheap and the indicators look good for a potential bottom. I’m looking to buy 6 month and 12 month calls out of the money. The 4 hour has flipped bullish and daily is close, markets could see a nice bounce here over this week and next week before we resume a plunge to the abyss. I’m gonna start averaging in one call a week or every 2 weeks and maybe even play a few shorter term higher risk calls.
PLTR - Double bottom? Good setup & price for LT hodlers/LEAPSDear Tradingview Community
This areas already functioned as a support last week, when it bounced around the 18 mark.
The double bottom is the sign of a reversal but, this doesn't mean it's 100% sure it's gonna happen.
The current micro-economics (inflation and FED fear) don't look good for a lot of growth-stocks and a further slide down is still possible (but let's hope not).
I'm not gonna set a PT because i'm in it for the LT, but on the chart you can see some supports and resistances.
Have a good trading week!
Disclosure: I opened a LEAP position for the 19th of 2024, so that i can practice my PMCC