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AMD - Strong Buy LevelAMD reported it's best ER and while many anticipated it would have a solid run upward it was overshadowed by a manufacturing issues in a time where demand has never been higher. along with this we have been chopping downward in a weak market as fears, inflation, rates, and economy shifts continue to keep investors on their toes. AMD below 80 is a level I personally didn't think I'd see again...but since we are here it's definitely worth mentioning that at it's current prize zone presents a great opportunity to add shares/or go long with LEAPs. It is important to consider however that no matter how strong the support it's on is, overall shaky market conditions can present the opportunity for lower prices. AMD is in a downtrend currently and confirmation of a reversal should be what we are looking for here before jumping in. currently it is touching the 200 EMA on the daily chart as well as on a trendline which started in March 2020. Market doesn't tend to move up at the magnitude in which it moves down...with that in mind I am personally looking for a consolidation or bounce around the green zone labeled. What do you think about AMD? Bullish, bearish, or neutral?
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Logical_Badger
4
Forget about yesterday's blood bath Think about today being an opportunity to look further past your own two feet and think about the future. The short term future like spring/summer. Six Flags will be recovering and although I am bullish on the stock I do expect a price drop. Now is a good chance to position yourself for the uptick of their traffic coming back through the doors and kids going to amusement parks again. By mid summer / summer's end this should be in position. A Longterm Equity Antici Pation Security or LEAPS is a good play to make ........Instead of having to buy the stock for 100 shares $4350 I can reduce my upfront cost by buying a LEAPS in the long term expiring options chain (120-180 days or 240-360 days) currently the contracts for the $45 dollar strike price is going for $8.30 a share which means it will cost me $830 instead of $4350.....Now if I did a Call Vertical Spread and Bought one call and sold another to keep the distance of two strike prices (45/47.50 strikes) the difference would cost me $1.10 or $110 dollars to control 100 shares of six flags for six months! So you clearly understand what that means in the market is that I am betting in six months the price of six flags will be at least 47.50 in six months. So I only have to see it rise in 4 dollars total for me to be highly profitable. My return percentage at the end of expiration would be phenomanal it would cost me 110 dollars to make 140 dollars for the return that is 120% return on my money in six months. If i wanted to scale it I could buy 10 contracts for $1110 and make $1400 dollars for the same percentage. 120% is a far greater return than buying the stock out right $4350 and it going up $400 only which is less than 10% return. Less money upfront bigger returns and less risk. This is the value of learning the long term strategies instead of only focusing on the daily action. NYSE:SIX
SLong
by rahimdavis
How I have a "risk-free" position JMIA on its way to the moon 🚀I'm going to show you how I ended up with a "risk-free" in $JMIA, what I call the "African Amazon". When I say "risk-free", I mean, whatever I invested, I withdrew, and now, I am playing with "house money". Say I put in $100, and my investment value goes up to $200. I sell half, getting my initial capital back, and now, price can do whatever it wants, and I'm at no additional risk. So for this one, I'll break it down into steps. 1. I bought 3 long-dated call options (i.e LEAPs) for Jumia. 2. A few days later, the option price double in value. I sold 2 of the 3 calls, putting me in a "risk-free" position, with additional profit baked in. 3. I now hold 1 call giving me the option to purchase 100 shares of Jumia at $10. 4. Normally, it would not make sense to exercise an "in the money" option early, but in this case, I wanted to take partial profits at 4x, so I exercised my option. I bought 100 shares of Jumia at $10 (valued at $40), and sold 25. This gave me a profit of (40 - 10) * 25 = $750. Now I'm holding 75 shares. Let's see if this goes to the moon 🚀.
NYSE:JMIA
by realcapmillen
IWM Bullish LongIWM is an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) which follows the Russell 2000 Small Cap Stock Index. I purchased call options (just regular, no spread) Strike 200 expiring Jan 2022 because I belive IWM has shown consistent bull market uptrend since November, and consistently uses the 10 Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as Support. IWM has shown better consistency, in my opinion, than SPY (ETF following S&P 500), and while QQQ (ETF that follows the Nasdaq 100 index) has outperformed most other major indexes in the past few years, IWM's lower prices made it more attractive to me. The growth may be slower than some other indexes; but as my first trading teacher stated, "You don't go broke making money." This may be a boring strategy, but I believe it will still be a profitable one. My stop loss plan is set below the 20 Day EMA. The yellow dotted line is the approximate price per share of stock when I purchased my calls earlier today. I am not certified or licensed by any individual or institution to give financial or investment advice. I consider myself to be an amateur investor and trader.
AMEX:IWMLong
by AROD01
3
SAVE ANALYSIS and simple way to read Charts for beginnersI see SAVE going back to 25 by Jan 2021 but if you're an option trader i suggest getting ITM calls for 2021 even 2022 if you want to add to long term portfolio. Shares is also good to add to your stock portfolio. Remember to keep in mind if airlines were to shutdown and vaccine trials see no further progress that would be a sign to get out, but recent news looks good for airlines in general and this is an easy money printer here! hopefully momentum can carry us back to the ATH within the next 2-5 years at 85$. Imagine getting a 16$ call exp 1/2022 now and SAVE is back up at $50 ....
NYSE:SAVE
by jUiCE_Trades
2
NFLX Call me crazy but Fangs are not totally dead Swing TradeDespite all the hate right now in fangs stocks, history tell us that NFLX has been the best performer in the SPY period. Yes, these names was absurdly overbought but right now are too dramatic and negative, but NFLX had an amazing quarter and is the future of streaming video, Cable Tv is dead, and yes there will be more competitors but when you buy stocks you tend to buy industry leaders, and NFLX Is a leader and will continue to dominate and even if Dis launch his streaming will take 3-5 years to even touch market share Nflx revenue last quarter was 37% BTW and ad 1 Million more Suscriber in US, men if the market bounce from these horrible lows I think Nflx could be a long term calls or Leaps with a 25% Stop loss or swing trader I really think stock is very oversold and could reach 285-300 levels if breaks $275, there a lot of negativity but that's the time when you actually buy bargains, buy at this levels stop loss $255-250 I see strong resistance in $260 level, not a good choice to short when vix is 18 again! GL to everyone!
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Kanon8260
1
AAPL Correction Coming?Well, the market is all doom and gloom these days, and tariff talks don't seem to be helping matters much. Looking at AAPL here, but it's worth mentioning that this current movement is market-wide and not something we can blame on Tim Cook and his gang. A good ER could help, but I don't think AAPL can start heading back up until there is a change in the bigger picture. So here is what I'm seeing: - Starting with the daily chart (not shown), I see the trend just starting to head South, into a bearish movement. - Looking at Linear Regression on the monthly chart shows that we have reached the peak of the channel we've been following for the last 5-6 years. - Based on similar peaks in the channel, the correction has been roughly a $45 move over an 11 month period - Based on the angle of the correction line, the average number of bars, the average price movement and the bottom of the regression channel, that puts our price target at $134 by January 2019 IMPORTANT NOTES - First, I'm a long term believer in AAPL and their products. I certainly don't think this is the top for them, and that they will eventually turn around and go much higher - The $134 PT is just a target. I don't truly believe we will hit that mark. What I do think is that we will follow this path until something changes, and I will plan my trades accordingly - I don't think it will take a straight path down. I believe there will be scalp and swing opportunities along the way. - I will play some long positions on smaller timeframes, but with very tight stops, while most of my plans will be for short positions. - This is suppression from outside forces and AAPL is still very strong as a company. When that suppression is relieved, I believe MMs will get back in very quickly, so always have some dry powder on hand This analysis was built off discussions and TA completed on OptionsPlayers.com. Visit us there for more details.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by Tracks
5
TRADE IDEA: UVXY -- TIME TO LOOK AT LEAPS?It's not often that I play leaps or think of myself as "playing leaps." In case you're wondering, a "leaps" is a "long term equity anticipation security" -- basically, a long-dated option. My most frequent use of them is in my individual retirement account where I'm working a covered call, want to hold onto the underlying for dividend generation, but also want to use the short call leaps as a capital preservation tool and push it out far out in time to decrease the likelihood of my shares being called away. Here, they serve a different purpose in these particular underlyings (UVXY, VXX) -- namely to take advantage of a short-term pop in volatility (which were infrequent over the past year) without getting caught up in short-term gyrations volatility may experience that may make shorter term setups frustrating because they run out of time for volatility to mean revert and/or experience significant contango erosion or beta slippage (I have a few of those on that are, at best, "troubled" here). Traditionally, I have seen two approaches to these long-dated setups intended to take advantage of occasional short-term pops: (1) setups that calculate the approximate erosion/beta slippage the underlying will experience on average over the life of the setup and then sells a credit spread or buys a debit spread at or near the strike at which the price of the underlying is likely to settle toward the end of the option's life; and (2) at-the-money setups. Since a lot of different things can happen during the life of an option such that the average contango erosion or beta slippage is monkeyed with -- making an approximation of where price will potentially settle a less than accurate endeavor, I'm going with the latter type of setup here -- buying an at the money debit spread, with the spread straddling current price (i.e., the long above, the short below). A few tips ... . (1) Since the UVXY leaps aren't the most liquid things in the world, a fill will require a touch of price discovery, so I will start with trying to get a fill for 50% of the width of the spread (hey, we can all dream, can't we) and then adjust the fill price to see if I can get a fill for no less than one-third the width of the spread. (2) This isn't a setup for the impatient. It's a set and forget. With that in mind, keep the spread width and/or number of contracts small such that the buying power effect relative to your account size is within your risk parameters and leaves you with plenty of dry powder to take advantage of further pops in volatility (they may have been infrequent over the past year, but they happen). (3) Give some thought as to how wide you want to go with the spread. Going extremely narrow may, in essence, prevent you from "squeezing in" additional spreads in the particular leaps expiry you're using. If I put on the example shown here, I won't be able to buy 14/15 debit spreads going forward, since selling 14 short legs will close out the 14 longs of the 13/14's, so going wider with the spread and using fewer contracts may give you greater flexibility to use this expiry for further setups going forward. That being said, I can always sell 13/14 short call verticals in the futures without "stepping on" the 13/14 long put verticals, if I choose to go narrow with the debit spread. (4) Early on, the ride could be "rough." High volatility environments tend to have a short life, but that doesn't mean that higher volatility can't last longer than it's comfortable for you as a trader or that any given period of time doesn't have the potential to do things that aren't "average" in nature of what we've experienced since February of 2016 (winner, winner, chicken dinner for short volatility ... ).
AMEX:UVXYShort
by NaughtyPines
10
Long term buy GBPUSDGBPUSD has hit historic lows after Brexit (UK exiting from the EU). First off, we have so much pressure down, this is a pretty aggressive move down, and it looks like we are going to consolidate down here for a while. To be sure a low base pattern is forming and we could indeed see further lows from here, as the trend is firmly in place. That being said, a weak dollar policy really benefits US trade and looks like a move down in the dollar is shaping up. This is quite simply a reversion to mean trade, going out 3 years with FXB calls and a price target initially to 1.35 to retest its breakdown and ideally a move to 1.50 (being the mean). On an intraday basis I am looking to Short the pair. This is why I'm choosing the long term calls, so I can trade around the position on different time frames
by ChrisD_Macro
1
Long Term short on USDCADA clear reversal happened the end of 2015 with the dollar, bringing to an end the long term up trend. After a move up this high (2013 .99 - 2016 above 1.45 a natural retracement or consolidating is expected. I see both as an opportunity to take a long term (2 year) position in this buy buying puts on FXC two years out. Technically on the monthly chart there is a clear trend line break (down) and a natural move to the bottom of the consolidation range to test the swing lows at 1.25 +/- is the clear initial target also getting us closer to those fibonacci retracement lines, though 1.20 would be a full 50% retracement. This would also put us below a 30 month moving average and that would change the overall direction to firmly down.
by ChrisD_Macro
2
BP is a Zig-Zag UpTrend - Would you invest? Guys, I am absolutely thrilled and be doing well with BP. I have the stock, LEAPS, Put-Sells, and soon Call-Sells. 1. What do you guys think about it 'after' the earnings? 2. Do you feel Brexit will have any negative effect in 2017-18? 3. Where do you see the stock ending in any timeframe? Please be specific $ and Time (if you can). 4. How are they doing with their Retail business with each gas station? 5. What if any are the lingering effects of the $2B to $20B lawsuit that is still pending (last I checked). 6. What is the Chart saying to you? If you can answer some or all of the above, it would be a great discussion. Thanks. Kenny
NYSE:BP
by kenny1924
2
How low AGN can go Euro/USD + Qtrly Perf Affecting itIt does look like $160 to $170 for AGN from the bearish charts, but can it really go that low. With the Italy election and what is going on with Euro, it might do it sooner than later. AGN in the US might be a buy with the Insider Buying + Low PE + Good potential on the low market cap relative to PFE, BMY and others. Of course, selling the Generics to Teva has brought in good amount of cash to pay off debt or buy something (GILD was ruled out). Maybe wait for 2019 LEAPS, or do a Feb Put Sell when it has a selloff soon. Your thoughts?
ALong
by kenny1924
1