Reading the charts and Learning Techno-Funda Analysis. We will continue our weekly study of reading charts Today we will try to understand how to read the chart of Reliance Industries and learn how to make assumptions based on the same. First thing that one must understand that reading the charts is not a rocket science. One has to be creative, attentive and a sort of meditative while reading a chart. When you keep looking at it with focus and keep on asking the question and reasoning behind the moves you will definitely get your answers. Thus by asking the question to the chart and by observing the chart and searching fo the answers by noticing the patterns, historic layouts, supports, resistances and applying certain amount of basic maths and common sense one can come to know about the risk is to reward ratio in buying a stock or a derivative. Let us have a look at the Weekly chart of Reliance Industries. Remember we are not recommending this stock we are learning how to read the chart. The purpose of article was is purely Educational.
The First thing that I observe here is that trend line provided the stock is moving in a particular parallel channel. Many of the stocks do move in channels. Reliance hit the channel top at 1608 and has been correcting and searching for bottom ever since. The low that it made was 1217 where it found a support at a trend line. After that it again tried to move upwards but faced a resistance near 1316 and corrected again this week until it found a support on the same trend line today at 1239 and bounced again to close the day and week at 1272.85. Again the resistances for reliance will be near 1316, 1355 and then 1380. 1380 will be a difficult resistance to conquer as it is the 50 Weeks EMA or the Mother line of weekly chart. 1380 currently also happens to be the mid channel resistance. Making it again a difficult resistnace to conquer. Above 1380 Reliance becomes very strong and can go to 1442, 1530 and 1602. Channel top seems to be at 1770.
Supports for Reliance seems to be at 1241, 1218 and the zone between 1174 and 1181. This zone seems to be a very strong support as 1181 is 200 Weeks EMA and 1174 is the channel bottom support. So in all likely hood in case there is a closing below 1241 this is the zone where the stock can end up. MACD is in the negative zone but it is starting to turn towards positive zone. However there is still some distance to go before the moving averages converge and becomes positive. RSI of the stock 35.37 and looks bearish. RSI support zone can be the zone around 30.
Fundamentally Reliance as we all know is one of the premier Indian company with a market cap of Rs.1722468.1 Cr. Price to Earning ratio of the stock is 25.6 which can be considered moderate valuation. Negative aspects of Reliance are that promoter holding of the stock decreased slightly by 0.1%. Net cash flow is again a slight issue currently alsong with fall in QonQ revenue. Positive aspects of the company are that Net profit has grown along with profit margins QonQ. Reliance is a company with low debt. Reliance has Zero promoter pledge. MFs have increased their shareholding in last quarter. Why I mentioned the fundamentals of the stock here is because when you buy a stock you need to look at the Fundamentals of the stocks along with Technical analysis. That is Techno-Funda analysis of a stock in true sense.
I sincerely hope that this write-up will help you in reading the charts, understanding the importance of charts and understanding fundamentals of the company. These aspects are necessary for you to becoming a better investor. For more such snippets of knowledge please keep reading my Smart Investment, Smart Bonanza and Smart Plus articles. I also have a youtube channel by the name of Happy Candles Investment. You can also find me on X by the handle @candles_happy. For in-depth understanding of Techno-Funda investing you can read my book which is The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. This book is available on Amazon in paperback and Kindle version. The book contains valuable tips for you to maximise your profits from stock market and wealth creation. It also explains my much coveted Mother, Father and Small Child Theory.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. I, my family or my clients may have a long position in the stock. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
