Get started

Learningtrading

Sinusoidal movement in channel, GalaIn this post, I am not referring to physics and math equations and probabilities, I'm just saying that the Display method of the probability of a numerical event is between 0 and 1, and just for easy recall in tutorials, I consider a number between 0 and 100. 0 indicates impossibility and we know that 100 indicates certainty. Therefore, will explain this price movement detection method in a simple and concise way. Consider a few general rules: 1- The price chart in a channel always tends to approach and return to the middle line of the channel. This is true for all types of the uptrend, downtrend, and neutral channels. 2- Sinusoidal movement is dynamic (of course, I mean in the financial market) and the range of movement, speed, and volume can vary. 3- the price chart after hitting the middle line, faces 3 possibilities. Usually, we consider these possibilities as 33 - 33 - 33 % 3-1- Reversal (pull-back ) to the previous direction. 3-2- Crossing the middle line and moving to hit the other line of the channel. 3-3- The price chart attached to the middle line of the channel continues to move. (I will publish the third point and its reasons in another post because this one is a complete and long tutorial for himself) 4- usually In uptrend and downtrend channels, the movement angle of 45 degrees is the most appropriate movement angle to create sinusoidal movements (consider between 30 and 50 degrees). And the 5: "Keep this last point in mind in all the training you read and learn from different people. From great masters in financial market analysis to an ordinary person like me " ** No theory, method of analysis, or analysis is ever 100% correct. In probabilities, we always have the nearest states, which means that when we say 100 for the certainty of occurrence, A probability may be up to 99.999999, but it is NOT 100%. So remember that there is always a possibility of a movement or change contrary to our analysis, rules, or imagination, and "This is one of the main reasons for placing a Stop-loss limit in trading" ----------------------------------- Please write any advice or suggestions. Dear friends, request any cryptocurrency pair, currencies pair for forex, and any index that you want to be analyzed and ask any questions. Thanks for your attention
Education
by Arash-RK
3
5 Reasons for and against trading forex 🤷‍♂️They make it look easy, posting lifestyle posts all over your Instagram feed.⠀ ⠀ Truth is, that's not real. 😒 Sorry.⠀ With that being said lets break this down into reason you should and shouldn't trade forex. The reason I'm covering this as a forex idea is I am predominantly a forex trader and made my way to where I am trading forex. This however does apply to any trading you might be thinking of getting involved with. So lets get into it👍⁠⠀ FIVE REASONS NOT TO TRADE FOREX 1. Can you afford to lose money? If you cannot afford to lose money or you are desperate to make money then this really isn't for you. Only trade with money you can afford to lose. If you are trading with money you really need to survive then your problems are about to get a whole lot bigger! 2. You don't know what you're doing! We have all been there at some point of not knowing what we are doing. But before even considering placing a life trade focus on learning and developing strategies. Focus in on the process and the desired outcome will naturally happen. We live in a world with so much resource and information at our finger tips. Go do the research before getting in to deep to quickly. 3. You can't handle it when you're wrong or you're losing. You will be wrong at times and that's okay. So long as your winners cover the losses. You also have to handle and learn that no matter how good of a strategy loser runs and periods of draw down happen to every trader. No one can be 100% right all the time. 4. You are risk averse. In any form of trading you are taking a risk. If you are to risk averse then it's really not for you. Risk management is key but if you are to averse trading wont fit your personality. 5. You don't have time. A lot of people say they want this and then say time is a factor stopping them. That's fine if you either make time and sacrifice or simply forget about trading. If time is precious and you really don't have time due to important life commitments then focus in on them. If you spend all your time on PlayStation and Netflix and say you haven't got time. Well then it comes down to lifestyle choice. We all want trading success few realise how time consuming especially at the start when learning it can be. There are also 5 good reasons why you should take up trading so lets cover them now. FIVE REASON TO TRADE FOREX 1. You want freedom Bored of working 50 hour weeks? Be your own boss take control of your own destiny. It's hard work but when achieved you'll wonder why you didn't do it sooner. Very fulfilling seeing your kids grow up instead of getting in at 7pm as they are tucked up ready for bed. ⠀ No more missing school sports days or the certificates in assembly.⠀ Time for more golf maybe? ⠀ Remember to do it for these reasons and not a big shiny Lambo. 2. You have learned the basics and understand the upsides and downsides. It's crucial to get educated and then still understand you will have up days and down days in trading. Don't even trade until you are emotionally sound with all possible outcomes when placing trades. You understand what is required along with being aware of the positives and the dangers. 3. You can deal with a high risk environment. You understand the risk at stake but above all else you understand and practise good risk management. Anxiety, worry, stress, not sleeping, losing money - I could go on.🤦‍♂️⁠⠀ If you're feeling any of the above you haven't ticked the box on this one. If you don't feel any of these you on the right path. 4. You are patient and will persevere. We all want that quick money. Social media makes us think it's easy Fast money fast cars, trips to Dubai. Commitment patience and dedication are the most important traits in trading. This is not an overnight success game it takes time and will to learn the skills needed. If you haven't got patience or commitment don't even bother. So much more to this than just placing a few trades on your tea break. 5. You can stick to a plan and understand probabilities. Once you have a plan that you have tested and take confidence in, understand probabilities and stick to it. If you're hoping from one thing to the next with no real time spent on one plan you not got the traits needed. If you understand probabilities and can let a proven plan with a known edge play out then your on the right track already. FINAL THOUGHTS Most fail - the common denominator in the ones that make it work are they don't quit.👍 Simple as that.😎⠀ Trading isn't for everyone. 🤯⁠⠀ ⁠⠀ Yes, there are upsides for sure - I touched on them. ⁠⠀ But it can be f**king horrible. 😢⁠⠀ The negative emotions when trading can hit hard. ⁠⠀⁠⠀ That's not how trading 'should' be or feel, but its still a reality for a lot of traders.⁠⠀ ⁠⠀ If you're chasing money, if you're desperate to make a quid or three - don't do it.👌⁠⠀ ⁠⠀ This isn't the game for you.⁠⠀ ⁠⠀ There is simply no room for desperation - it will quickly find you out.⁠⠀ If you can get emotions on point and a proven plan however the upsides are massive. The key here is knowing to grow and get to where you want to be will take time. ⠀ If you had more time doing whatever you wanted each day, that's pretty cool right?🙌⠀ ⠀ Going on holiday whenever you want - like tomorrow? Just because you can.⠀ ⠀ Or just chilling in your garden on a nice day ☀️⠀ ⠀ Whatever floats your ⛵.⠀ ⠀ Time for you? Prioritising your health and fitness because you have never had time before?⠀ ⠀ Exactly - the benefits are endless. But be ready to put the long hard miles in to get there and make sure you're doing it for the right reasons. ⠀ ⠀ Also, the cost to start this is like no other 'business' you could go and start.⠀ ⠀ No stock, no big start up costs - just you and your initial deposit. ⠀ ⠀ However big or small that may be it doesn't matter.⠀ ⠀ Learn to trade properly and there are now a wealth of funded trader programmes that can give you the freedom you crave without you having to save up for a lifetime. Focus on getting your process right and then enjoy the inevitable outcomes. Thanks for looking and enjoy your weekend. Darren 🙌
Education
by pow_removetheguesswork
1
Three pillars of trading success 📈💲It's time for my mid week educational post. Today I want to talk about the three pillars needed by all traders for success in the markets. This isn't just the forex market either this applies to trading all financial markets. Be it forex, crypto or stocks, so lets get into the the three pillars of success. PILLAR NUMER ONE- STRATEGY You MUST have an edge before entering the markets. When will you enter the market? When will you close? What % per trade will you risk? What pairs will you trade? What timeframes will you trade? If you don't have any answers to the above you are entering the markets blind and it will end in tears. In trading, edge is your ability to select trades that perform better than random. You can think of edge as the process used to generate and execute entry and exit signals. Do not enter the markets until you are working a strategy with a proven edge. The stronger your edge, the more profitable you’ll be. PILLAR NUMBER TWO- RISK MANAGEMENT We can't avoid the white elephant in the room on average 80% of trader lose money or fail in the markets. Some say its even more and you will become one of the stats if risk management isn't applied to your trading. Some of the reasons losses like these exist in trading is down to the fact that aspiring traders don’t put any thought into their risk management tolerance. We only ever see the upside when we start out and many never do anything to protect themselves from potential losses. If you never made any money as a trader before or entered the markets before ask yourself the question below before starting out. How much money am I comfortable losing? Your first priority with trading is to stay in the game So manage your risk per trade and total risk at anyone time. Understand probability and ensure you are comfortable with your maximum exposure at any one time. Understand the maximal draw down in your testing when finding your edge. That way it will help you see what a potential losing run you could experience. PILLAR NUMBER THREE- TRADING PSYCHOLOGY We need good trading psychology to keep a balanced mind whilst trading, this stops your emotions leading the trade. The trade outcome cannot be controlled and you MUST detah yourself from each trade outcome. You will know when your trading emotions are nailed on when you do not 'FEEL ' anything when trading. If you have 'emtions' with your trades or when trading simply reduce your risk further. Two emotions that need particular attention are GREED and FEAR. You need discipline in controlling these two emotions or you are going to end up making losses as a trader. We all been there we make a few profits confidence kicks in and then greed before you know it your in whole world of pain. We all be there at some point with fear to and not executing trades due to a fear being in our trading game say from a poor run of form. Emotions will always be there we are emotional beings, but they will need controlling in order for you to be a successful trader. Practice developing the emotional control needed to trade successfully. FINAL THOUHGHTS Trading requires 100% commitment most see it as a hobby to start with but this can be costly hobby if commitment to trading is lacking. The sole reason most get into trading is to make money. One purpose of a business is to make money. Treat trading as a business at the end of the day it's your personal money that's on the line. Every trader needs to have a disciplined approach to the markets. Following these three steps will help you. In order to be a successful trader and run a profitable account, it is essential that you have these three pillars in your trading. Thanks for taking the time to read my idea. Darren 👍
Education
by pow_removetheguesswork
1
The Rule of 72 😃📈Time for a educational post from me. At some point as traders we have all had the thought of how long will it take to double my account. The rule of 72 is the easiest way to work that one out. The rule of 72 is a handy mathematical rule that helps in estimating approximately how many years it will take for an investment to double in value at a specified rate of return. Rule of 72: If 72 is divided by an interest rate, the result is the approximate number of years needed to double the investment. For example, at a 1% rate of return, an investment will double in approximately 72 years; at a 10% rate of return it will take 7.2 years. But the example above is based on a 10% return per year. We as traders have the chance if our strategy is consistent and profitable to return good percentages on capital in a matter of weeks. Time for more examples. Some traders can return 6% a month So 72/6 = 12 months to double the invested capital in your account. Lets say a trader returns 4% month on month 72/4 = 18 months to double your investment. The rule of 72 servers two purposes to us as traders. 1. I personally feel it helps to keep us grounded as traders. To many enter this game thinking they will flip 1000 into 10000 in a matter of weeks A 4% return per month is a good return and from the equation above it would take 18 months to turn 1000 into 2000! So I would like to think the rule of 72 acts as reminder of the challenges we face when it comes to expectations. 2. Having said the above the rule of 72 also serves as a reminder that as traders who do or potentially can go on and achieve consistent profits especially monthly we can make way more returns than what a instructional bank or establishment would offer to you as an investor. The rule of 72 then becomes an inspiration to take control of your own money game and aim for growth that no one else can offer you. Thanks for taking time to look at my idea. Darren 👍
Education
by pow_removetheguesswork
HOW TO use asymmetric compounding 🧐📈The pair in question and four winning trades allows me to cover a subject I've wanted to touch on. That subject is asymmetric compounding. Asymmetric compounding is a money management strategy that can accelerate the equity curve of an account. But you need the right strategy and data available to back up using asymmetric compounding. Higher the win rate the more asymmetric will work wonders on that equity curve. In simple terms asymmetric compounding is best suited to strategies with higher win rates as you need consecutive wins to make it work. The main reason for using this NZDUSD chart is the four winners in a row make it easier to explain the concept of asymmetric compounding. You traders should know the full ins and outs of your own strategies and if this can be applied. It's not just win rate also RR along with max losing and max winning runs need to be factored in. For this example on the four winning trades I am explaining the concept basing it on risking 2% per trade on the initial trade. As this strategy is a 1:2 risk reward strategy risking 2% sees us gain a profit of 4% on one winning trade. This is where you can then use asymmetric compounding on your next trade. Instead of risking 2% again you now risk the 4% gained from the previous trade on this trade. If the trade goes on to win the 4% risked on that trade has just earned 8% in profit. At this point you go back to risking 2% on the next trade until you have a win and then risk the 4% gain from that winning trade. The chart shows four winning trades at 1:2 RR so lets test the concept in numbers. If we was to risk 2% per trade on a £1000 starting capital account the results are as followed. Trade one 2% risked 4% gained= £1040 capital. Trade two 2% risked 4% gained= £1081.60 capital Trade three 2% risked 4% gained= £1124.86 capital Trade four 2% risked 4% gained= £1169.85 capital Now if we apply asymmetric compounding to the same trade sequence staring back at original 2% risk after two winning trades Trade one 2% risked 4% gained= £1040 capital. Trade two 4% risked 8% gained= £1123.20 capital Trade three 2% risked 4% gained= £1168.13 capital Trade four 4% risked 8% gained= £1261.58 capital Using asymmetric compounding on these four trades see a capital increase of £91.73 more than just risking a flat 2%. Below is an example of using a 1:1 RR strategy risking 1% per trade. If trade is a winner then risk 2% on the next trade which is the profit and the risk from the previous trade. # If that trade wins go back to the intial 1% risk then risk 2% again if that trade wins. This is a great concept to grow small accounts or even pass funded challenges as with the trades shown on the idea chart you would pass most prop firm challenges in two trades using asymmetric compounding. However I can't stress enough you as the trader need to know you own risk appetite for this. You also need to factor in how good your win rates and how often your strategy has seen winning runs that would benefit this concept. One way to found out is to back test and forward test your strategy to see how asymmetric compounding could work for you. Thanks for taking time out your day to read over my idea. Ill see you on the next one 👍 Darren
Education
by pow_removetheguesswork
The Power of "W" & its 3 compadres... How to Enter like a ProHi Traders, If you've ever questioned your entry strategy or have entered too soon, or found yourself gun shy and entering after the party is over, then you may find this guide helpful. This isn't a over the top strategy, nor is there any special skill needed to apply it to your trading. I've found personally, that the easier and more simple it is, the better results I get long term. Over the years, I've simplified this down to three confirmations before entering a trade. Yes, you will leave money on the table by not getting in at the exact bottom, but how many times can you count on a hand that you've done that successfully? Probably not many... Of course, this is just technical analysis and it will serve you well to have a "fundamental strategy" for picking the projects you choose to enter in the first place. But after you've located the projects you want to buy, you then can use technical analysis to locate a price point to enter the market. Here are the three confirmations I live by: Confirmation #1: ("W" Pattern) - RSI/ Price action forms a clear "W" pattern. - The two bottom points slant upwards. - You could call this a double bounce/ bottom as well. Confirmation #2: (MACD) - MACD signal line crosses above the histogram. - Signal lines are converging from each other. (Moving apart/ widening) Confirmation #3: (EMA cross/ Final Confirmation) - EMA cross - Price Action crosses above the EMA lines/ ribbon Pretty simple right? Well, you would think so but then comes the mental aspect. Having the mental fortitude to always live by the rules you set for yourself is what separates the pros from the amateurs. You don't FOMO, you don't fall in FUD, and for the most part, you don't listen to others, and especially don't listen to others without doing your proper due diligence. Conducting TA is only one step in the process and in my eyes, it's the second step. You have to have a process for locating projects that are going to present the highest follow-through on the TA you chart out. Bc yes, a lot of false signals can come from set-ups you think would be a winner, to only have the set-up fail on you. This generally comes down to a weak project with weak fundamentals. Hopefully, this was understandable and simple. If you've been around trading for any amount of time, you will most likely heard of all three of these indicators. Good luck!
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by MarkStPeter
CADJPY Daily Pitchfork ShortFOREXCOM:CADJPY I marked the pitchfork from the pivots on the weekly chart from June, September, and October. Confirmed with the Daily RSI and the Daily chart. It's very slight but there appears to be a bearish divergence on the RSI. I've only started dabbling in RSI divergences so I wouldn't consider this a confirmation, but it's worth noting. After looking at the 30M chart I am confident entering a short position. The Daily RSI is not what I like to see so my stop loss will be tight, probably only risk 0.5-1% with the TP at the median line.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn2349278
AUDCAD ShortWatching for a confirmation on the H4 and H1 for a good entry. After a few losses I started to solidify my system and the confirmations I'm looking for. -Set the pitchfork on the Daily chart and Weekly RSI -Does the trade coincide with the higher time frame trend? (If no then no trade) -Is the trade returning to the median line (If no then no trade) -Will the trade encounter a significant S/R in the direction of the trade? (If yes then no trade) While I continue to research the use of Median Lines, I have begun looking into Fib retracements to find the best entry points.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn2349278