Week in Review: All of Old. Nothing Else Ever. Except Sometimes.First Off
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No Turning Back Now
Last week the TradingView community made an effort to publish some high-quality, open-source studies and strategies for everyone to benefit from, which in turn required from me a better quality articles on the week. This seemed to be a popular decision and (hopefully) better sponsors the script that I discuss.
This week I’ll try to do more of the same, but in order to improve I’ll need some input from the readers. So please, if you have any suggestions on how to improve these articles, don’t be afraid to express them either in the comments or via a direct message.
In this Week’s Charts
Let’s first mention MichelT’s “Average True Range in pine”. Although the function for the atr() is already available in Pine, it’s handy to understand the math behind the function should you need to circumvent some error messages that TradingView is giving you when using the built-in atr(), or if you wish to modify the formula to fit another purpose.
Speaking of changes to fit another purpose, jaggedsoft’s “RSX Divergence - Shark CIA” takes everget’s “Jurik RSX” and modifies it to include divergences, the code of which was snipped from Libertus’s “Relative Strength Index - Divergences - Libertus”. This implementation calmly spots meaningful anomalies between price action and the oscillator in question.
everget himself was relatively prolific this week, doing what he does best and adding to the open-source repository of moving averages available on TradingView (a repository that he’s had a heavy hand in establishing). This week he’s gifted us the “McNicholl Moving Average”, developed by Dennis McNicholl, as well as the “Quadruple Exponential Moving Average” and the “Pentuple Exponential Moving Average”, both developed by Bruno Nio. It’s great to see him publishing open-source work again and hopefully this continues into the future.
And Left Out of Last Week’s Charts
Last week was probably a more appropriate time to include them, but, alas, I had a (major) oversight. So allow me to give a quick introduction to puppytherapy through the two scripts published in the last week, “APEX - ADX/ADXR/DI+/DI- ” and “APEX - Moving Averages ”. Both are insightful compositions on how to get the most from simple indicators. I look forward to seeing more of his work (and I’ll try, in future, not to disclude good work like what he put out last week)
Milk it for What it’s Worth
I mean, who doesn’t enjoy seeing people apply simple methods to maximum effectiveness? Much like puppytherapy , nickbarcomb’s (a joke some of my Northern Irish friends would appreciate) “Market Shift Indicator” could be a lesson to a lot of us on how to get more from our moving averages and I’ll certainly be applying some of his concepts to develop prototypical signal systems with moving averages in the future.
Someone who’s concepts I’ve borrowed from before with great success is shtcoinr , a user who, along with many others, has appeared regularly in this series. A master of compiling simple and effective S/R indicators (something that was a bit of a mystery to the TradingView community for a while), shtcoinr has done it again with his “Volume Based S/R”, a S/R indicator that paints boxes according to volume activity, and “Grimes Modified MACD Supply Demand”, a modification of his “RSI-Based Automatic Supply and Demand”. shtcoinr has hopefully exhibited to the TradingView community that one can derive S/R areas with almost anything.
Another regular who’s recently released a few scripts that render S/R is RafaelZioni . This week he published his “Hull channel”, which is a creative use of the Hull MA and ATR. Like many of his past scripts, there’s a trove of helpful information buried deep in the code of his work, so don’t hesitate to get your fingers dirty. You’ll likely learn some very helpful things.
Nice to Meet You
Let’s go over some new faces this week, many of whom have brought something genuinely new to the TradingView community.
When I say new faces, I mean new to the series of articles, as many of you are likely very familiar with the psychedelic and, at times, enigmatic work of simpelyfe . This week he released two highly creative, open-source scripts that can have a number of applications; his “Randomization Algorithm ” (which returns a number between 1 - 10 and is a nice alternative to RicardoSantos’s “Function Pseudo Random Generator”) and his “Pivots High/Low ” (with a bit of tinkering this might have an application in automatically painting trendlines). It’s great to see how he does some of his wonderful work and I’ll definitely be following him closely in the future with the hopes of improving my own work.
westikon’s “Time Volume Accum” is (as far as I know) another new indicator to the TradingView community. Unfortunately the very short description is in Russian (I think) and I’m not too sure in what capacity this is supposed to be used, but I’m always looking to get new perspectives on volume and I’ll be studying this idea to do just that.
RyanPhang , also partial to speaking a language I don’t understand, has created , which roughly translates to “Volume drives ups and downs”. Again, not too sure what ideas or systems this pertains to, but (for me anyway) it’s, again, a new way of looking at something old.
Another volume indicator with the bunch is “Better X-Trend / Volume”, published by rimko . This is an iteration of emini-watch’s Better Volume indicator, which is available for purchase through his website. Due to the fact the TradingView doesn’t allow one to glean tick volume, this is as much fidelity rimko can show to the original as possible. Hopefully this will change in the future.
mwlang published “John Ehlers Universal Oscillator ” this week. The purpose of this release was to fix “a degrees to radians bug in LazyBear’s version” of the indicator, something I’m sure Ehlers’ fans will be thankful for.
Call Security
One of the benefits of using TradingView is having access to a wealth of data, but being allowed access to it is not the same as knowing how to get access to it, and even further from getting the most out of it. kishin’s “Mining Cash Flow Line” takes data from Quandl, does some mathemagic and spits out the price that it costs to mine Bitcoin. Knowing how to utilise this kind of data in the future will likely help to seperate the men from the boys, so it’s important we come to understand and learn how to apply it as a community in order to keep our head above water. kishin’s script leads the open-source foray into this unchartered TradingView territory.
Another user that’s made some great use out of Quandl data is deckchairtrader . This week they published “Deckchair Trader COT Index”, “Deckchair Trader COT MACD” and “Deckchair Trader COT Open Interest”. As it was in the paragraph above, this isn’t simply a matter of relaying the raw data from Quandl, but requires running it through a couple functions to get the final result. This is also one of the few scripts that performs fundamental analysis on TradingView.
Do you know what the maximum amount of securities you can call is? It’s 40. Just ask danarm , who’s “Aggregate RSI”, “TDI on Top 40 Coins” and “Top 5 coins cummulated Upvol/Dnvol and Money Flow” (r/increasinglyverbose) call on many securities. Each one can give good insight into the market breadth of any give move and each one invites the user to consider ways they might use the security() function.
At It Again
No doubt you know who I’ll be focusing on this week and regular readers are probably wondering, “where is he?”. But before I start (it’s dasanc by the way), let me say this: since the start of this month to the date-of-writing (27/02/2019) dasanc has published 20 open-source indicators, with (as far as I can count) fifteen of them being completely unique. Most of them are the work of the highly-renowned technical analyst John Ehlers, someone who many, if not all, algo traders are aware of. With four new open-source scripts under his belt from the past week, two of them unique, I feel justified in more thoroughly looking at dasanc’s work.
First off we’ll look at the “Bitcoin Liquid Index”. This is a script calling from the tickers that compose the BNC Index. If you’re a TradingView user that doesn’t have a PRO account, but that does want a “fair” price for BTC, this script can help you achieve exactly that. They’re not the exact same, but they’re very close (as the below screenshot shows).
The “Stochastic Center of Gravity” is dasanc’s stochastic translation of of Ehlers CG indicator. On the page for the indicator he’s provided a link to the paper that discusses it. As dasanc mentions, it’s reliability as a trading indicator is a kind of questionable that TradingView’s backtester doesn’t have the resources to answer. It doesn’t fit BTC on the daily, as you can see below (green line = buy, red line = sell).
“Fisher Stochastic Center of Gravity” simply runs the “Stochastic Center of Gravity” through a fisher transform, the result of which are smooth, filtered signals.. (As a sidenote, transforming data through a fisher transform, or some other transform, is applicable to many different indicators.)
To use the “Fisher Stochastic Center of Gravity” dasanc suggests first defining the direction of the trend. How do we do that? Luckily he’s provided an open-source method for us to do that called the “Instantaneous Trend”. (By the way, if someone says iTrend to you, they’re not talking about trading software released by Apple, they’re talking about the Instantaneous Trend by John Ehlers). The iTrend is a “low-lag trend follower for higher timeframes”.
Want to learn?
If you'd like the opportunity to learn Pine but you have difficulty finding resources to guide you, take a look at this rudimentary list: docs.google.com
The list will be updated in the future as more people share the resources that have helped, or continue to help, them. Follow me on Twitter to keep up-to-date with the growing list of resources.
Suggestions or Questions?
Don't even kinda hesitate to forward them to me. My (metaphorical) door is always open.
Profile’s of Mentioned
MichelT: www.tradingview.com
Libertus: www.tradingview.com
jaggedsoft: www.tradingview.com
everget: www.tradingview.com
puppytherapy: www.tradingview.com
nickbarcomb: www.tradingview.com
shtcoinr: www.tradingview.com
RafaelZioni: www.tradingview.com
simpelyfe: www.tradingview.com
RicardoSantos: www.tradingview.com
westikon: www.tradingview.com
RyanPhang: www.tradingview.com
rimko: www.tradingview.com
kishin: www.tradingview.com
deckchairtrader: www.tradingview.com
danarm: www.tradingview.com
mwlang: www.tradingview.com
LazyBear: www.tradingview.com
dasanc: www.tradingview.com
Learntotrade
GBPCAD sell setup!Hello traders,
As you can see I'm only looking for the sell at this stage. GBPCAD broke the trendline with the strong down impulse and now it's making correction (sell setup) about the trendline what is a good sign. The bigger picture also looks downside and this is the one of the reason why I'm interesting only in the sell. Wait for more sideways candle and take that sell!
BONUS: If you think it will drop fast you can put entry order at the low of the smaller correction like I did on the picture. So be aware of that type of entery because it's VERY RISKY! The safest way to entry is to wait for sideways candles!
Make the bank rolls! :P $$$$$$$$$$
If you like what i do click that like & follow button. Likes and followers motivate me to spend my free time posting content for you!
Thank you for your support!
All the best,
Antonio
Learn how to fish Support orange arrows.
Resistance purple arrows.
Who says you cant see trade setups just using zones and levels? It looks pretty simple to me, You can see how strongly this zone is respected from where price has entered our zone and then bounced ( marked by arrows )
Now it seems pretty clear to us where price is heading and we haven't got any indicators on our charts at all, just clean fresh charts.... quick someone call the FOREX POLICE because we must be committing a crime as everywhere we look we see stupid charts that look like a 5 year old has drawn on them... These charts may work for the person using them but they are also used to try and confuse people into thinking that trading is hard so they will pay for help from this person.
Yes we sell high quality signals, but honestly we would rather people learnt to trade themselves, this is why we don't over complicate charts... YOU CAN GIVE A HUNGRY MAN A FISH TO CURE HIS HUNGER FOR A FEW HOURS... OR YOU CAN TEACH HIM HOW TO FISH SO HE CAN EAT FOR THE REST OF HIS LIFE. We prefer to show people how to fish if you get my drift ;)
Keep charts simple... Dont let them fool youORANGE ARROWS - SUPPORT
PURPLE ARROWS - RESISTANCE
Look at the chart and tell me that support and resistance and supply and demand zones are not the way to trade, then I will tell you to folk off ;p
As you can see that every time price entered into one of our zones it bounced or if it did break it made a big move, the same happened with our support/resistance line... Come on people it really doesn't take a genius to work this stuff out!
Find a strong area/zone of support and resistance, place them on your charts and price will respect them time and time again for years to come, this gives you a head start over the market, you see peoples charts that look like an artist has thrown up over them, charts with more lines on than a table at a wall street office party :p.... These indicators only confuse you and stop you seeing what's going on, look at our charts they are nice and clean and you can spot setups easy.
Keep it simple and you will succeed, confuse things and the market will destroy you.
Xau/Usd at channelThere has been a long bullish trend in Xau/Usd and the price is now at the moment in the weekly resistance zone and also soon at the top of the channel.
That means we could see a potential pullback to 1296 zone where the latest bullish push was, where the price also broke daily resistance that is also the reason why i possibly see the price dropping, cause when resistance has broken it should also be retested (of course not always)to see its holding.
However, to go short price action should show some exhaustion in this resistance zone. Tomorrows Gross Domestic Product, FOMC and Fridays NFP could increase Dollar strength and potentially start the selling phase this week.
Otherwise, if bulls successfully capture the zone price most likely will continue to 1350 without seeing much exhaustion on the way.
How To Accurately Enter Reversals!...In the chart above we are looking at the AUD/JPY pair on the 12hr.
To precisely enter successful reversals we need to maintain a very strict trading criteria in order to benefit the most out of our reversal trades.
Questions we need to ask before entering a strong reversal:
- Who is in control of price?
- Have we reached a strong area of Support/Resistance?
- What is the candlesticks telling us?
- Is the trade worth the risk?
- Is there confirmation?
The Answers For This Example :
+ The Bulls are in control of price - We have seen from the beginning of the New Year, the Australian Dollar increase in strength in the last few weeks.
+ We have reached a strong Monthly S/R zone which price has had difficulty in the past breaking through.
+ Candlesticks formed an Indecision candle after testing the ZONE twice. This tells us the momentum of the Bulls have significantly slowed down and we could see the Bears take control of the market.
+ Our risk to reward ratio is 5:1. We maintain a tight stop loss with reversals as the markets are not in our favour. We want to be out of this trade as soon as possible if the trade goes against us. Mitigate our losses, maximise our profits.
+ WE WAIT for confirmation. The highest reason why traders lose out on beautiful reversals is they do not wait for confirmation, or they miss the confirmation. Confirmation is very important and can determine the difference between a winning trade and a losing one.
The confirmation we wait for is a CLOSED bearish red candle. As we are on the 12hr timeframe. We will wait 12 hours for the candle to close. If a bearish candle forms we will enter this trade as it gives us confirmation that the Bears have taken control of the market.
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Happy Trading.
Juff
BTC BITCOIN LONGPrice is currently in EQ of the larger range with a-lot of internal pending liquidity. BTC also has broken a previous swing high and seems to have found some support. we must hold this level. There is also a price imbalance that needs to be filled. Target price of this trade is 3950. I will evaluate what the next trade will be once we reach this level.
For free content on learning to trade - Search JTG FX on Youtube
Follow me on Twitter - @JoeyTheGreek1
EURUSD Retest breaker block 15M EURUSD. The retest breaker block is holding fairly well. Something that makes an individual a great scalper is the ability to flip their bias immediately. lets see if price can break through and fail at the swing point and continue falling lower into the blue shaded area.
GBPJPY LONGTrade had broke the resistance which then became the new support and then retested it. It since then started rising
I believe the trade will go up towards the trendline area, which I personally set take profit. The next decision happens from around that area whether it will break or respect.
If it breaks the trendline and closes above then I believe that it could possibly go higher to the next key area whereas if it respects the trendline it could just be a lower high and will drop after that point
GBPJPY LONGThe trade has recently broke the resistance (now the new support) and then then tested the new support. Now currently rising
I think the trade will go up to the trendline which it has respected in the past and then the next decision is from there. If it breaks the trendline and closes above it could possibly go higher to next key area but if it doesn't and decides to respect the area it could then come back down, treating that area as a lower high
USDCAD IDEAMy thoughts on two alternate ideas:
IDEA 1 - If it breaks the support zone and the trendline it would go lower to the next zone which is either at the 38.2% or around the 61.8% on fibs (that's more long term those levels as I did the fibs a bit wider, however even if I did a smaller fibs the zones I drew out will still be around key levels).
IDEA 2. If it instead respects the trendline and pretty much the support zone then it can go to test the resistance zone. Also I did a counter trendline as that could be a possible confirmation for it to go higher plus a possible entry once it breaks and then retests. If it gets to the resistance zone at the top, breaks wait for the retest there and there's a good possible entry.
When it does break the zone that's when you drop down to the lower time frames to get more precise entries on the retest
CADCHF Pair Technical Outlook. Easily Headed South!CADCHF does not appear to have any rallying power what-so-ever. The chart looks exhausting, the news surrounding the pair is uneventful, and the technicals are pointing south on the daily and weekly. In my opinion CADCHF is headed for down.
-Wish you guys much success; don't give up.
-StampsFX
Possible GJ Sell Idea!Looks to me that the GBPJPY will struggle around the resistance heavily as it has tested it multiple times already and hasn't broken through in the past. Who knows though maybe it will, you can never know? However more likely a sell looks more like a viable option, dropping heavily all the way to the 61.8% on the Fibonnaci which is a key support zone also. On the way down there is a second possible trade entry also midway at the first support zone, in case you get in late but wait for the pull back once it breaks the zone. Yet again it may not break the support and then test the resistance again, so who knows?
But overall, as I see it right now it looks like a very good trade.
Real Price vs Heikin Ashi PriceHi!
This is just a quick study for my own curiosity.
It maps out the real world closing price vs the Heikin Ashi closing price. I think I'll make the indicator a mainstay of my trading charts, as it's useful to see. It also makes manual backtesting more viable.
Some interesting observations:
Long-term average difference between real world closing and HA closing ranges from 1 - 4 pips.
There are intermittent spikes of up to 10 - 12 pips. These happen fairly infrequently (depending on the time frame being viewed).
On average, HA prices are closer than I thought to real world prices. I would have expected an average greater than 1 - 4 pips.
Spikes in difference often signify important points. Primarily they seem to signify new or continued trend activity in the relevant direction, but sometimes they can indicate tops or bottoms. Could be interesting to try and build a strategy around it.
I'm not sure if I'll publish the Real Price indicator (it's literally just a few lines of code), but let me know if you want a copy of it.
Cheers,
DreamsDefined
Platinum with a lot potential to the upsideAnyone familiar with the Commitment of Traders Report knows that the commercials have reached an extreme range that leaves much room for rising prices. Added to this is that the chart image with the recently formed double bottom looks bullish.
This is what a trade might look like:
- Entry immediately
- Stop Loss below the last local low
- Take profit with multiple exits (scaling out) first profit taking at $875
BTC We picked the RALLY, now let us show you how to PROFIT from
In our first post we said BTC had shown its first REAL Bullish signs and we needed to be patient. The bullish run is now confirmed with us also above a long Term Trendline.
This is where trading skill and experience comes in. The longer it goes up, the stronger it looks the more the amateur wants to buy it. But the more the professional knows that price us getting closer and closer to a pullback and must learn from watching his wife shop for shoes, and wait for a better price.
So we are waiting for some of the existing buyers to take some profits and turn the market down. A pullback to our 6913 level (Black Line) and the 50ema (Red Line) seems most likely at this stage. Then we will look for a buying bar in our time frame and look to enter. I will talk you through this as we go. (I do aplogise for no recent posts a bit of a bug has kept me in a different room in the house).
The time is coming for profits to return to BTC traders. Be a bit more patient wait for the best entries and give yourself the best chance to join the party.
Trust your TA that’s Technical Analysis not Technical Poop or Technical Meditation or any other hyped up Darkness. Just trust the Analysis and be patient and start and make some money.
Remember if you want to make Dollars your decisions need to make sense. If you want that to happen Likes are nice, but FOLLOWING is how you get the best information first.
Chill
Soy Crush Spread at its EXTREMEKeep an eye on this extraordinary extreme in the soy crush spread. This spread includes 3 futures: soybeans, soybean oil and soybean meal and to be exactly now it is time to sell this spread!
What do you need to do to sell this spread?
To sell this spread you have to make 3 transactions:
BUY 1 soybeans contract
SELL 1 soybean oil contract
SELL 1 soybean meal contract
Why do I see numbers in front of the chart symbols?
You can see different numbers in front of the contracts like "2.2*ZM1!+11*ZL1!-ZS1!" because of the different multipliers in the futures contracts.
Of course, you also make this trade with CFDs, in this particular case you need to have positions sizes with a similar nominal value
Spread in an extreme areaThis calendar spread is currently close to an extreme again. If you want to short this spread to exploit the mean reversion effect be careful because this specific spread (September/October) is only tradable until mid of August!
A first take profit could be the level of $1 if you are conservative. If you are a bit more aggressive then you can close the trade at a lower level, for example, $0.80 or even lower.