The dollar has strengthened and confirmed the uptrendThe US dollar continues to strengthen against the basket of major currencies. The dollar index against the backdrop of statements by Donald Trump was able to stay above the 90.00 mark.
At the moment, the USD index continues to rise and is near the 91.00 mark, which is the maximum value since January of this year.
In Japan the recent macroeconomic indicators showed moderate growth.
According to the current trend, we expect the pair to move further up. The uptrend we proposed earlier was confirmed.
During the growth, the pair stayed near the 109.00 level and we believe that at the moment this level has become a support level. Therefore, we forecast a possible correction to this level and further growth of the pair.
Level
The pair continues to move in a downtrendHaving formed the "Double top" figure, our pair is directed downwards and is able to stand under the mark of 1.22 at the moment.
Prior to this, having found the resistance level near the 1.2235 mark, it steadily rushed down. If we consider this motion from the point of view of the Elliott wave theory, then we can observe the formation of the third wave, which must overcome the levels of 1.2180 and 1.2150.
So we recommend taking short positions by setting take-profits near these levels.
Otherwise, if the pair fails to consolidate below these levels, we assume the entry of the price into the corridor with the lower limit of 1.2180.
The pair has crossed the resistance lineOur pair has gone beyond the descending channel and is currently demonstrating growth. Against the backdrop of investors' expectations that the interest rate will be raised at the next Fed meeting, investors are returning their interest in the dollar.
Given that our price has received a new upward support line we can expect further growth in the pair. In case the pair falls below this level we anticipate the possibility that the boundary of the descending channel has shifted by the channel value from the resistance level.
We work by levelsAfter our price has come out of the triangle, we observe how the levels are worked out.
At the moment, as we expected the price went up, but found a resistance level near the mark of 1.2380. And after yesterday's trading, the support level is 1.23000.
We expect that our pair will again test the resistance level and try to consolidate above the 1.24 mark. So at the moment you can search for points to enter long positions and set take profit at a level around 1.24
Buyers wait !!!
Probably there will be a good short term ( 2-3 days) oportunity for buyers if price go under 6000. So you need to be patient. We will see what is going to happen at that level. Exit position should be at 8000-8500 level.
NOTE : SOME OF MY LEVES FROM PREVIOUS CHARTS WERE REMOVED. We are still in downtrend and i honestly don't believe that the price can go higher than 8500- 9000 for long time. It may sorprise me again. But I don't think so. Not this time.
VIPosition-level 6000
Teva Pick of the day pt:21.16 Arbitrage band has signaled a flag on the daily scale.
Arbitrage advance level is above the 0 line on the daily scale which means our Arbitrage Band is pointing up.
Arbitrage Tick is showing a new higher high within the last 3 days on the daily scale
Also on the 15 minute chart
We are sitting 3 deviations out. This should be the floor
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