Short setup on SPX (x2)After the most recent upward move, the SPX shows clear signs of weakness, suggesting a potential short setup.
Since mid-July, the SPX has been moving upward and it's now near its all-time high. However, the RSI Exhaustion at the bottom of the chart has significantly declined and hasn't recovered much, establishing a downtrend.
This divergence between the price and the RSI Exhaustion is the first major signal of a possible short configuration.
Three additional signs support this setup:
The RSI Exhaustion shows recent bullish exhaustion (indicated in green), signaling that further price increases are unlikely.
The price has formed a top just shy of its all-time high, as identified by the Bottoms Tops Signal indicator.
A major level has formed, as indicated by the Levels and Zones indicator. While this level turned into support, it originated as resistance and could well revert back to it should be price start to drop further.
Is the bull run over? Only time will tell, but for now, it's crucial to remain patient and always seek confirmation from the indicators.
Levelsandzones
Google / Waiting for the earnings reportGoogle refuses to break out of the 'stacked channel,' that channel where the candles are tightly packed side by side. It’s a bit frustrating that the price isn’t making any move or decision, but all we can do now is wait for the big earnings report day for the price to decide its direction.
Stay tuned on Tuesday, the 29th, after the market close!
Best Regards
Gold Buy or SellThis week we had alot of ATH's (All time high's back to back
Technically as Gold was in Bullish trend so we hace witnessed these also due to geopolitical tension we have seen these New ATH as investors have invested in gold now we are expecting a drop as tension in middle is losen up and drop can be seen in near times
We have a level over 2749-52 level which is fibonachi extension level so we are bullish over gold but a bearish move can be seen after 2749- 52 resistance level if we witness a rejection over there
Natural Gas Trading: Strategies Around Key Levels 15-10-2024Navigating Natural Gas Trading: Strategies Around Key Levels
Natural gas trading can be both exciting and challenging, especially when you have clear reference points like your mid-point and upper/lower levels. In this blog, we'll explore strategies to navigate the current market with a mid-point of 208.50, an upper level of 209.90, and a lower level of 207.10.
Understanding the Key Levels
Mid-Point (208.50): This serves as the equilibrium level in the market. Prices often oscillate around this point, making it a significant area to watch for potential trades.
Upper Level (209.90): This is your resistance level. If prices approach this point, it may indicate an opportunity to go short, anticipating a reversal.
Lower Level (207.10): This serves as your support level. If prices test this area, consider going long, expecting a bounce back.
Trading Strategy
1. Price Action Analysis
Before making any trades, observe the price action around these levels. Watch for candlestick patterns, volume spikes, and other indicators that suggest market sentiment.
If Price Approaches 209.90: Look for signs of resistance. A reversal pattern (like a double top or shooting star) may suggest that the price is likely to drop. Consider placing a short trade with a stop-loss above this level.
If Price Approaches 207.10: Watch for bullish signals. A strong bullish candlestick or a reversal pattern could indicate that the price will bounce back. In this case, consider a long position with a stop-loss just below this level.
2. Risk Management
Always prioritize risk management. Set your stop-loss orders based on your risk tolerance. For example, if you're trading near the upper or lower levels, consider setting your stop-loss a few ticks outside these levels to avoid getting stopped out by minor fluctuations.
3. Monitoring Market Conditions
Natural gas prices can be highly influenced by external factors like weather, supply reports, and geopolitical events. Stay updated on relevant news and reports to make informed trading decisions.
Conclusion
Trading natural gas around key levels requires a solid understanding of price action and market sentiment. By using your mid-point, upper, and lower levels strategically, you can identify potential trade opportunities. Remember to incorporate risk management to protect your capital. Whether the price moves towards the upper level or the lower level, having a plan in place will help you navigate the market with confidence.
Dear Traders,
As you navigate the dynamic world of trading, it’s crucial to remain vigilant about the financial risks involved. Here are key considerations to keep in mind:
Market Volatility: Financial markets, including natural gas, can be highly volatile. Prices can change rapidly due to unexpected news or economic data. Always be prepared for sudden fluctuations.
Leverage Risks: Trading with leverage can amplify both gains and losses. While it allows for larger positions, it also increases the risk of significant financial loss. Use leverage cautiously and understand the implications.
Risk Management: Implementing a solid risk management strategy is essential. Set stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and only risk a small percentage of your capital on any single trade.
Emotional Discipline: Trading can evoke strong emotions, leading to impulsive decisions. Maintain discipline and adhere to your trading plan, even in challenging market conditions.
Market Research: Stay informed about market trends, economic indicators, and geopolitical events that may impact prices. Informed traders make better decisions.
Education and Experience: Continuous learning is vital. Consider practicing with a demo account to hone your skills before committing real capital.
Consult a Financial Advisor: If you're uncertain about your trading strategy or financial situation, seeking advice from a qualified financial advisor can provide valuable insights.
Trading can be rewarding, but it carries inherent risks. Stay informed, manage your risks carefully, and trade responsibly.
Wishing you successful trading!
Short setup on SPXThe SPX has experienced a significant bull run, reaching just below $5700, but is now showing clear signs of weakness, suggesting a potential short setup.
Since mid-July, the SPX has been moving sideways and is now nearly flat at its all-time high. However, the RSI Exhaustion at the bottom of the chart has significantly declined and hasn't recovered much, establishing a downtrend.
This divergence between the price and the RSI Exhaustion is the first major signal of a possible short configuration.
Three additional signs support this setup:
The RSI Exhaustion shows bullish exhaustion (indicated in green), signaling that further price increases are unlikely.
The price has formed a top at its all-time high, as identified by the Bottoms Tops Signal indicator.
A new major resistance level has recently formed, as indicated by the Levels and Zones indicator. While this level could potentially turn into support if the price breaks above it, for now, it remains a resistance, exerting downward pressure on the price.
Is the bull run over? Only time will tell, but for now, it's crucial to remain patient and always seek confirmation from the indicators.
ANALIZING PALANTIR ITS JUST COMMON SENSE... BUT BE VERY CAREFULLLet’s welcome Palantir (PLTR) into the weekend analysis!
As we can see in the chart, today I wanted to do general structure analysis not too specific, as we are practically touching the highest level again in nearly 4 years.
Congratulations to all who bought at $12–16 per share and are still holding Palantir, but as I show in the chart, from point A to point B, it took almost 4 years to reach these levels again.
But here’s my question: WHAT WOULD YOU DO IF YOU BOUGHT AROUND $40 IN 2021?
I’d love to know, as this situation can greatly influence each person’s psychology when making a fundamental decision in trading.
(LEAVE YOUR OPINION IN THE COMMENTS)
I want you to know that I don’t just focus on price analysis. I also study company valuation. Based on a fundamental analysis of its balance sheet and recent moves by PLTR, I’ve concluded that Palantir is currently 171% above its intrinsic value.
In my personal opinion, my decision leans more toward common sense…
What do I mean?
1. Palantir is 171% overvalued.
2. Palantir is diluting its investors like crazy! In every quarterly report.
Do you know what dilution is?
Stock dilution can be harmful to shareholders because the value of each share is reduced, even though the investor holds the same number of shares. This is because the total value of the company doesn’t increase proportionally with the number of shares.
Palantir is an excellent company, although it’s a bit complicated to understand what they do and how they make money. But in my personal opinion, a company that dilutes its investors is nothing but a red flag to me—and a big red flag—because I call this the silent killer for investors.
At this point, PLTR is more on the hype side!
If Palantir reports well in November, we could see the stock above $50 per share, BUT if Palantir reports anything that doesn’t meet investor expectations, any data that falls short… Buckle up!
But how much could it fall? The truth is, I don’t know. But if we base it on technical analysis, I have an important inflection point (purple zone) where I expect the price to bounce after a sharp drop. BUT CAUTION! Only if Palantir doesn’t meet expectations.
An inflection point in trading refers to a critical moment on a price chart where the trend or price direction is expected to change. It marks the transition from one phase of price movement to another, often signaling a turning point in market sentiment or momentum. Traders pay close attention to inflection points as they may indicate a radical trend shift.
Traders use these points to adjust their strategies, such as entering or exiting positions, to capitalize on the expected change in price direction.
BUT WHAT WILL REALLY HAPPEN? I don’t know, maybe this time it will be different—who knows? But the only thing I can tell you is that numbers don’t lie, and neither does price action.
So, I hope the decision you make is the right one!
Thank you for supporting this analysis.
Sending you my best regards!
NVDA price bounced exactly at the green zone, around 115.25. WOWThe price bounced exactly at the green zone, around 115.25. WOW, do you remember my analysis of Nvidia from last week? I can't even believe it myself; it was incredibly accurate!
Every time I apply price behavior with price action, I always remember the words of my mentor, Al Brooks. He told me: "Just remember, Mike, price action is ALWAYS RIGHT."
I believe that it's the trader who makes mistakes, not the price action, because it will always be on the correct side.
That’s why I always recommend drawing trend lines, channels, and minimizing the use of indicators that might make you see something different. This way, you'll be more accurate in your decision when executing an order.
Going back to Nvidia...
There’s something about the last candle that has me a bit uneasy. This can be very misleading because the price HASN’T BROKEN THE CHANNEL YET! The advantage we have here is that the last candle shows a buying pressure wick, but it hasn’t fully broken out of the channel or shown volume yet. However, I still believe that Nvidia will likely break out at any moment because it bounced off my green zone, as we said in the previous analysis (well before), and it didn’t even reach the #4 sequence, which would have been at the channel’s support.
Now, we just need to wait for a breakout confirmation. But what will happen after it breaks out?
We’re looking for an N3 pattern.
An N3 pattern involves three movements:
#1 Breakout and New High
#2 Pullback and Rebound
#3 New Extreme
That simple.
Will it happen? No one knows for sure. The next step is the breakout, and after that, we let the price do what it needs to do so we can position ourselves for the next move.
Stay very alert this week!
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
SPY is looking Very Sexy ! There is 1 more step to go ! N3 Confirmed!! The price is doing exactly what we had predicted (see previous analysis).
Indeed, the price bounced in the zone we had predicted last week, creating an "N3" pattern. Now, we are waiting for the final phase of the N3 pattern, which is to reach new highs or new extreme.
What do we need to see?
This phase is of great importance because, if completed, we would be at new historical highs again.
The Key is the Last Candle: If you can observe the last candle on the chart, you'll see it has a very long lower wick. I call this a buying pressure candle; however, we need confirmation with the next candle, which should have a large bullish body in order to reach the new extremes we've been seeking.
So, we can conclude that by putting all the points together when analyzing this chart, we have a bullish outlook for the rest of next week. However, it’s important to remember that we need solid confirmation with a bullish candle to confirm we will have a green week!
Best regards and success in your trades.
Thanks for supporting my analysis.
HEY INVESTOR! Nvidia below $100 is an absolute buy! check it outLet's welcome NVDA to our weekend analysis!
In this analysis, we're primarily focusing on two resistances that the price formed several months ago, which consequently created a gap later on, the price came back to test our blue area, which we'll call our "gap zone."
The price has been fluctuating in a bearish sequence; however, it has not yet reached our point #4 to complete the sequence we've been observing for the past few days.
If the price complete the sequence and reaches our point #4, we're looking an excellent buying opportunity below 100 dollars.
The trend is still bearish, but there are two factors that may suggest a short-term trend reversal:
First , the price has already touched our gap zone, and second , the dividend date is approaching, during which many accumulate shares to receive the dividend and then sell, leading to increased volatility for Nvidia in the coming days.
Just remember, Nvidia's intrinsic value may be positioned below 98 dollars, but if you're looking at it for the long term, this price shouldn't concern you at all.
Best wishes for success in your trading and investment!
Thankyou for supporting my analysis
Best Regards
Gapped But Not ForgottenFINNIFTY after a series of up sharp down moves is headed towards the zone where an earlier gap was not met. From my recent experience, gap up and gap down are always filled back either in the short term or a while after. Here we see FINNIFTY heading back to the unfilled zone which lies between 21305 to 21285.
After a heavy downfall today, the index formed a symmetrical triangle pattern which could possibly head to clear the old dues. Also, just below the unfilled zone lies the recent touch zone of 21280 to 21270 having served as previous support & resistance in December 2023. Whether that happens tomorrow or not, it is yet to be seen.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 03/10/2023BUY ABOVE - 19680
SL - 19640
TARGETS - 19730,19770,19850
SELL BELOW - 19600
SL - 19650
TARGETS - 19560,19490,19440
NO TRADE ZONE - 19600 to 19680
Previous Day High - 19730
Previous Day Low - 19560
I am sharing NIFTY levels this levels acts as important support & resistance for intraday. if you want to trade with this levels wait for 15 min Candle closing above that levels. You can trade with breakout and reversal both.
In this channel, I share my expertise in trading strategies, technical analysis, and market trends to help you make informed decisions in your trading ventures.
Stay tuned for daily updates, in-depth market analyses, and real-time trading scenarios to witness firsthand how we transform from Zero to Hero in the trading world. My Only aim is to empower you with the knowledge and skills necessary to navigate the complexities of the financial markets successfully.
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
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HAPPY TRADING 👍
AUDUSD I Potential move upward of 80 + pipsWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GOLD (XAUUSD) - Weekly forecast and analysis 🎯Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** XAUUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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EURCAD I Are the bears READY???Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** ERUCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
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Bitcoin 2D Timeframe Bitcoin is having a pull back after a few bullish weeks.
Go to the higher timeframes to make it clear.
We should see a reaction around $24632 - $25108 once its at the AOI price will should you where the support level is then it will go up to recap the support level that will be an opportunity to get in a quick long setup.
Multi Year Breakout Multi year Breakout accomplished by sucessful retest of the stock ..
Pattern obeserved : Cup and handle
Pattern - Success rate High
Reliable pattern with spike in volumes
Cmp 319
TGT 395-480+
Sl - 295 for short term with 250 for long term
Note : Already invested so do your own research and analysis before investing .. you are responsible for your own profits or loss .. Analysis for education purpose only
AUDNZD I Potential intraday buy from demand zoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**AUDNZD Analysis - Listen to video!
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Can ACH keep going?Watching ACH and have been for weeks. Here's my primary observation right now.
We've had several areas that acted as support on the way down that broke.
Ever since January 14, we've been breaking those support levels which were acting like resistance and we keep flipping them. Until some important support levels get taken out, I'm going to remain bullish.
Disclaimer - I purchased ACH below 0.01 - it was closer to 0.008 and I locked in profit as you should as soon as it hit 100%. Now the trade is 230% but that shouldn't be a reason for you to fomo. Watch for good retests of levels (outlined in the chart) for a potential entry.
Crypto will get a pullback eventually. Don't go heavy into positions like this one now. That time has come and gone.
UPDATE: Week Commencing Feb 6 GBPJPY Outlook: Still long UPDATE: WC0206 GBPJPY Outlook: Still long until DTF LL is broken
MTF Analysis
Check annotations in the anchored notes for M-W-D-H4-H1 analysis.
I've updated GJ's outlook for this week from the last one published in January -- specifically the Weekly Anchored Note
Weekly Timeframe Outlook
Sun,1/22/23 -
Bearish downtrend
UPDATE:
Mon, 2/6/23
1. WC 30 Jan weekly candle ended up being a lower high. A 120 pip rejection wick from December's low.
2. There is a weekly and monthly imbalance that is coinciding with
- December's 50% level (almost)
- January's high
- Previous week's high
- This is supported by the 200 EMA (Daily TF) as it will be tapping it / be under it.
Weekly BIAS:
1. Price is bullish until it reaches/ taps #2's confluence areas.
2. Once it taps #2 conf areas, it will melt until it reaches January's low (which is also coinciding with the last Daily TF lower low) -- price will tap this daily and monthly conf area and then it will rocket and resume the bullish trend that it has been having.
ON THE FLIP SIDE.
1. The last low of the Daily TF. 155.39 X January low -- if price pierces that level and continues all the way down then it may just melt until the next monthly key level which is around 150.75
2. It may just continue the uptrend all the way at least to the M&W trendline
FUNDAMENTAL HIGH IMPACT NEWS FOR GJ FEB AND MARCH
Date Country & Event
2023, February 07, 08:01 (United Kingdom) BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY
2023, February 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance Non-EU
2023, February 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance
2023, February 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) GDP MoM
2023, February 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Employment Change
2023, February 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Claimant Count Change
2023, February 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Unemployment Rate
2023, February 15, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Inflation Rate YoY
2023, February 16, 07:50 (Japan) Balance of Trade
2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales YoY
2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales MoM
2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM
2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY
2023, February 21, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI
2023, February 21, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI
2023, February 24, 08:01 (United Kingdom) Gfk Consumer Confidence
2023, March 01, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI
2023, March 02, 13:00 (Japan) Consumer Confidence
2023, March 03, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI
2023, March 07, 08:01 (United Kingdom) BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY
2023, March 10, 11:00 (Japan) BoJ Interest Rate Decision
2023, March 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance Non-EU
2023, March 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) GDP MoM
2023, March 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance
2023, March 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Unemployment Rate
2023, March 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Claimant Count Change
2023, March 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Employment Change
2023, March 16, 07:50 (Japan) Balance of Trade
2023, March 22, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Inflation Rate YoY
2023, March 23, 20:00 (United Kingdom) BoE Interest Rate Decision
2023, March 24, 07:30 (Japan) Inflation Rate YoY
2023, March 24, 08:01 (United Kingdom) Gfk Consumer Confidence
2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales MoM
2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales YoY
2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM
2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY
2023, March 24, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI
2023, March 24, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI
BTC Surprises and Market Analysis: Navigating the Current RangeAs we approached the weekend, I was expecting Bitcoin to get the Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) of $21,647 and continue to the range, I was expecting liquidity to leave the market, but I was wrong as BTC had different plans and did a great job of surprising me. Initially, BTC did precisely what I was expecting. I took the short trade and stopped out (Refer to my last post). I patiently waited for some reaction from $21,827.5 to play out as it was a significant weekly level along with a 0.66 Fibonacci level. The bullish momentum was so strong and rapid that it managed to break through the weekly level, leaving several single prints behind us. My next resistance level was a daily level of $22,393. Price broke through this level without difficulty and stopped at the monthly level of $23,301.
As of now, MS is bullish, and if we want any move toward the downside, we need MS to change in 30min to 1-hour charts first before we take any new swing short trades. We're still in the 6-month range; before getting excited and sending BTC to the moon, we must reclaim the $25,211 level. We currently have the Monthly $23,301 level acting as a current resistance and a Weekly $24,297.5 level, along with a 0.886 Fibonacci level right above us. We also have an SFP at the $25,211 level.
Currently, we are right above the VAH of the entire range.
For the downside, I would like BTC to get accepted below the VAH of the range, Claiming a daily naked point of control level at $22,612. I would like to see at least two 30 minutes candle closes before getting into any short trades. This move up was rapid, so once we get acceptance below VAH of the entire range, we can expect the price to have a quick fall to the $20,673- $20,957 level, as we have several new daily levels, which can act as a great support.
For Upside, I will expect the price to reclaim the monthly level before getting into any long trades. All my trades will be scalps with a tight stop loss.
TRADE PLAN 01/05/2023TP1> If we manage to Trade/Bid above MAIN POC 3863,
we can go for 3880 > 3913 > 3924 > 3943 > 3965 > 3979 > 3995.
>To the upside, the level I'm looking it right now is the 3860, that's the POC of those last 12 days, we need to trade/bid above so we can try to break the LIS 3913/3915, where BULLS are losing the battle.
TP2> If we manage to Trade below MAIN POC 3863,
we can visit 3841 > 3824 > 3800 > 3787 > 3766 > 3728.
>To the downside, the level I'm looking is 3824, as we are already trading below 3960 12 days POC, so once we confirm below 3824, we have to break lower to find strong sellers to push below 3800, where BEARS are losing the battle.
* We are trading in this 100 points RANGE from 3800 to 3900 levels for the last 12 days or about 2 weeks,
I would say that the market structure are balanced, looking for stronger BUYERS or SELLERS around the VALUE AREAS.
For now no direction in the markets, just range trades, we should break anytime soon out of this BOX, and I was hoping that today with FOMC minutes we could go search some new levels, out of balance, but...
Mr Market had other plans, so for now lets trade the levels and see how it goes by Friday NFP.
#tradesafe #sizekills
BIRLA CORP ANALYSIS!!i have determined the trend and great levels for buying and selling the stock. its a bit volatile market for this stock, but one can earn if he/she has a proper determined plan to trade such type of stocks.
ANALYSIS:
1. BLACK LINES are the different chart pattern trends.
2. BLUE LINES are the good levels to buy/sell the stock
3. PURPLE LINE is for the shorter swing trade, saying stock trading rs.909 is good to buy till 1160. if breaches, then all the way too 630.
4. ARROW MARKS & THE CIRCLES: everytime the stock broke the 970 level, it gave a very good upside movement, a level to watch out for.