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Levelsandzones

UPDATE: Week Commencing Feb 6 GBPJPY Outlook: Still long UPDATE: WC0206 GBPJPY Outlook: Still long until DTF LL is broken MTF Analysis Check annotations in the anchored notes for M-W-D-H4-H1 analysis. I've updated GJ's outlook for this week from the last one published in January -- specifically the Weekly Anchored Note Weekly Timeframe Outlook Sun,1/22/23 - Bearish downtrend UPDATE: Mon, 2/6/23 1. WC 30 Jan weekly candle ended up being a lower high. A 120 pip rejection wick from December's low. 2. There is a weekly and monthly imbalance that is coinciding with - December's 50% level (almost) - January's high - Previous week's high - This is supported by the 200 EMA (Daily TF) as it will be tapping it / be under it. Weekly BIAS: 1. Price is bullish until it reaches/ taps #2's confluence areas. 2. Once it taps #2 conf areas, it will melt until it reaches January's low (which is also coinciding with the last Daily TF lower low) -- price will tap this daily and monthly conf area and then it will rocket and resume the bullish trend that it has been having. ON THE FLIP SIDE. 1. The last low of the Daily TF. 155.39 X January low -- if price pierces that level and continues all the way down then it may just melt until the next monthly key level which is around 150.75 2. It may just continue the uptrend all the way at least to the M&W trendline FUNDAMENTAL HIGH IMPACT NEWS FOR GJ FEB AND MARCH Date Country & Event 2023, February 07, 08:01 (United Kingdom) BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY 2023, February 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance Non-EU 2023, February 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance 2023, February 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) GDP MoM 2023, February 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Employment Change 2023, February 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Claimant Count Change 2023, February 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Unemployment Rate 2023, February 15, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Inflation Rate YoY 2023, February 16, 07:50 (Japan) Balance of Trade 2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales YoY 2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales MoM 2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM 2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY 2023, February 21, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI 2023, February 21, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI 2023, February 24, 08:01 (United Kingdom) Gfk Consumer Confidence 2023, March 01, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI 2023, March 02, 13:00 (Japan) Consumer Confidence 2023, March 03, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI 2023, March 07, 08:01 (United Kingdom) BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY 2023, March 10, 11:00 (Japan) BoJ Interest Rate Decision 2023, March 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance Non-EU 2023, March 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) GDP MoM 2023, March 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance 2023, March 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Unemployment Rate 2023, March 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Claimant Count Change 2023, March 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Employment Change 2023, March 16, 07:50 (Japan) Balance of Trade 2023, March 22, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Inflation Rate YoY 2023, March 23, 20:00 (United Kingdom) BoE Interest Rate Decision 2023, March 24, 07:30 (Japan) Inflation Rate YoY 2023, March 24, 08:01 (United Kingdom) Gfk Consumer Confidence 2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales MoM 2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales YoY 2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM 2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY 2023, March 24, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI 2023, March 24, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI
Long
by RSC_FX
1
BTC Surprises and Market Analysis: Navigating the Current RangeAs we approached the weekend, I was expecting Bitcoin to get the Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) of $21,647 and continue to the range, I was expecting liquidity to leave the market, but I was wrong as BTC had different plans and did a great job of surprising me. Initially, BTC did precisely what I was expecting. I took the short trade and stopped out (Refer to my last post). I patiently waited for some reaction from $21,827.5 to play out as it was a significant weekly level along with a 0.66 Fibonacci level. The bullish momentum was so strong and rapid that it managed to break through the weekly level, leaving several single prints behind us. My next resistance level was a daily level of $22,393. Price broke through this level without difficulty and stopped at the monthly level of $23,301. As of now, MS is bullish, and if we want any move toward the downside, we need MS to change in 30min to 1-hour charts first before we take any new swing short trades. We're still in the 6-month range; before getting excited and sending BTC to the moon, we must reclaim the $25,211 level. We currently have the Monthly $23,301 level acting as a current resistance and a Weekly $24,297.5 level, along with a 0.886 Fibonacci level right above us. We also have an SFP at the $25,211 level. Currently, we are right above the VAH of the entire range. For the downside, I would like BTC to get accepted below the VAH of the range, Claiming a daily naked point of control level at $22,612. I would like to see at least two 30 minutes candle closes before getting into any short trades. This move up was rapid, so once we get acceptance below VAH of the entire range, we can expect the price to have a quick fall to the $20,673- $20,957 level, as we have several new daily levels, which can act as a great support. For Upside, I will expect the price to reclaim the monthly level before getting into any long trades. All my trades will be scalps with a tight stop loss.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by Pac_Meezy
TRADE PLAN 01/05/2023TP1> If we manage to Trade/Bid above MAIN POC 3863, we can go for 3880 > 3913 > 3924 > 3943 > 3965 > 3979 > 3995. >To the upside, the level I'm looking it right now is the 3860, that's the POC of those last 12 days, we need to trade/bid above so we can try to break the LIS 3913/3915, where BULLS are losing the battle. TP2> If we manage to Trade below MAIN POC 3863, we can visit 3841 > 3824 > 3800 > 3787 > 3766 > 3728. >To the downside, the level I'm looking is 3824, as we are already trading below 3960 12 days POC, so once we confirm below 3824, we have to break lower to find strong sellers to push below 3800, where BEARS are losing the battle. * We are trading in this 100 points RANGE from 3800 to 3900 levels for the last 12 days or about 2 weeks, I would say that the market structure are balanced, looking for stronger BUYERS or SELLERS around the VALUE AREAS. For now no direction in the markets, just range trades, we should break anytime soon out of this BOX, and I was hoping that today with FOMC minutes we could go search some new levels, out of balance, but... Mr Market had other plans, so for now lets trade the levels and see how it goes by Friday NFP. #tradesafe #sizekills
CME_MINI:ES1!
by IronMan_Trader
BIRLA CORP ANALYSIS!!i have determined the trend and great levels for buying and selling the stock. its a bit volatile market for this stock, but one can earn if he/she has a proper determined plan to trade such type of stocks. ANALYSIS: 1. BLACK LINES are the different chart pattern trends. 2. BLUE LINES are the good levels to buy/sell the stock 3. PURPLE LINE is for the shorter swing trade, saying stock trading rs.909 is good to buy till 1160. if breaches, then all the way too 630. 4. ARROW MARKS & THE CIRCLES: everytime the stock broke the 970 level, it gave a very good upside movement, a level to watch out for.
NSE:BIRLACORPNLong
by raghavchoudhary2016
NIFTY 50 for tomorrow - 19 October 2022Nifty opened above the resistance zone , as we discussed in yesterday's post. We saw a good move in the first hour forming a bull candle. Then prices just consolidated within the range of the first-hour candle, the entire rest of the trading session. Expectation for tomorrow - Might open flat or gap up - Move towards 17530 - 17560 - if opens gap up above 17530, the price would move fast towards 17630- 17650 Immediate support 17400- 17420 Today's closing 17490
NSE:NIFTY
by manuagarwal21
EURCHF - Consolidation opportunityAfter a significant downtrend from 1.20 down to below 1.00, the EURCHF pair is now consolidating on the daily timeframe. Similarly, the Sentiment Index at the bottom is consolidating. Both these consolidations mean that the pressure is increasing and ultimately the pair will break either to the upside (trend reversal) or to the downside (trend continuation). The opportunity now is to trade the pair within the consolidation considering it's very large and clearly identifiable. Remember to stay patient and always look for confirmation from the indicators!
by a.b
Possible SELL opportunity on CADJPYThe CADJPY pair might offer soon an interesting sell opportunity assuming a trend continuation scenario. After a recent uptrend, the pair is currently moving between a major resistance (downward pressure) and a major support (upward pressure) with the latest move being a significant downtrend. A SELL opportunity might form if: The Breakout Pivotal Bars turn bearish (candles colored in red) in the blue circle at the top The RSI Exhaustion becomes Bullish Exhausted (RSI line gets colored in green) in the blue circle at the bottom (around 50) If instead, the pair starts to consolidate around the current level (moving pretty much sideways), the subsequent scenario might turn to the bullish side. Either way, remember to do your analysis, be patient and always look for confirmation from the indicators.
by a.b
LTCUSDT compressionA breakout opportunity is forming on LTCUSDT. The pair is currently consolidating after the recent downtrend that formed several tops and offered multiple selling opportunities. Price movements are increasingly compressed and will eventually break. The same compression is building in the RSI Exhaustion indicator at the bottom. As of now, the breakout could be either to the upside (trend reversal) or to the downside (trend continuation) so let's just wait and see when the breakout comes. Remember to do your analysis, be patient and always look for confirmation from the indicators.
by a.b
CADCHF Swing I Headed down +150 PipsWelcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair! **CADCHF - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support! Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
2
#ES Futures 06.07.22 Overview and Levels to WatchYday we tried to extend out of our Key Resistance at 4143.75-4137.50 and as mentioned pre market holding above that level should give us a test of 4168-4162.25 BUT reaching T+2 high at 4179 was the what we were looking at for continuation higher which we failed to do and came back in under our Key Resistance which was the first sign of weakness, we did sell off from Key Resistance but we only had enough supply to reach and break 4123.75-4119.25 level and inability to get to 4103.25-4099.75 told me that we will not test the lows at that time. For Globex I was looking to see if we can down in this area and get under T+2 low at 4096 and we did which tells me we have supply and we are under T+2 low so we can expect some more selling, how much is the question. Today if we get under Key Support at 4084.50-4077.25 then that can give us a test of lower levels, a lot of people will be looking for a big break down from here but I will be cautious because the position is still below us and we are still inside the range from the 27th that is sign of strength to me so I will be monitoring lower levels for response if we do break support and head lower, on the downside we have 4061.50-4056.50 and 4046-4042.25 where I do want to see us hold ideally, if going down big volume then can also reach next Key Support at 4030.75-4025.25. So far market is still in balance in our 4170-4160 range but we should have enough supply built up to flush the Key Support and see how much comes out. On the upside if we do not break Key Support and reach next level down at 4061.50-4056.50 then we can see a rotation back to 4103.25-4099.75 and 4123.75-4119.25 where we should see sell response or if we break support and come back in with volume. As stated in Sunday weekly overview I would like us to flush this 4084.50-4077.25 level and then come back into this range for better confirm, will it all happen today or happen at all we will have to see in RTH. 4143.75-4137.50 has been my Key Resistance and 4084.50-4077.25 Key Support for a week now and it will stay so until we break and reach next Key Levels.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
#ES Futures 06.06.22 Overview and Levels to Watch for the DayFriday we got a close in the middle of our 4143-4077 range, Globex failed to continue lower and break 4103.25-4099.75 level and reach Key Support at 4084.50-4077.25 instead we got a push over our Key Resistance at 4143.75-4137.50. Question today is do we hold above our Key Resistance and get continuation higher or do we come back in? We are currently inside our T+2 Range and inventory is long from Fridays Close, do we see a correction to the inventory or will this move hold and keep going. I am more on the cautious side today but failure to reach lower levels is a sign of strength and if we did clean out all the sellers above then could see a continuation today. On the upside holding above Key Resistance of 4143.75-4137.50 could give us a test of 4168-4162.25 then will be watching if we can reach T+2 high at 4179 if that goes and we get through 4191-4185.50 then we can see our next Key Resistance tested at 4220-4214.75 and maybe levels above but T+2 High area will be the tell if we get there. On the Downside getting back under 4143.75-4137.50 is our first sign of weakness and can give us a test of 4123.75-4119.25, 4103.25-4099.75 and always possible to see a run at T+2 low and key Support area of 4084.50-4077.25. Overall still seeing indecision and market doesn't feel clean for a move out yet but keeping it open and just monitoring for continuation at the levels to see if we accept or not.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
MATICUSDT market structureStrong levels represented by solid lines. Less significant levels represented by dashed lines. Trendlines represented by slanted lines. More often than not, price action is choppy with much overlap between candles. Strictly following definitions for swing high/low could leave us with a market structure that is just unworkable. Our intent is simply to identify those key turning points which stand out on the chart as the most obvious levels, and therefore offer potential barriers to future price action.
M
by Deviantor_Wayne
TGT: All levels of interestTGT (Target), consumer defensive play crashing on bad earnings and inflation concerns.... Weekly chart. Now oversold. Can we go lower? Here are the levels I'm watching to enter: - 139.30: I'll be buying if we reach that level. If it holds it will be a long term investment for me. If it just bounces and drops, I'll be selling and looking for the next level. - 90-82: is the second zone of interest I'm watching. If we reach this zone I'll buy stocks as a long term investment. Trade safe.
NYSE:TGT
by Elpidaldo
ETHBTC support and resistance areasSupport and resistance are created by the decision making of market participants, as they operate within an environment of uncertainty. Decisions to buy or sell are made through referencing current price against previous areas which caused significant emotional response, in particular those areas which led to regret of missing out on opportunity, or those areas which trapped traders in losing positions. There are other factors involved, not least of which is the simple self-fulfilling prophecy.
by Deviantor_Wayne