island top or taking offif we hold the 18.50s and break upper 19s retracement will be good enough and well be over rising vwma and trama if we reject 19.75 and close below a significant low on the 5 minute then stiff overhead resistance means were in for low 18s. if we see that close into the upper 19s were headed over 21
Leverage
SNX update: Using Chaikin Money Flow and the Keltner ChannelsFull disclosure: I am long SNX with a current holding of 3,042 tokens held on the Celsius Network. I am currently grandfathered in and still earning 14.05% APY despite the recent SEC ruling inhibiting non-accredited US investors (like me) from earning interest. Libertarian here, so I hate big government. Anyway, recent SNX price action continues to plod in the direction we like.
Looking at the CMF (Chaikin money flow- green line below), it appears we are seeing a renewed interest flowing into SNX. Always a good sign.
And the Keltner Channels show a robust upward trend. Currently, SNX is staying safely within the upper band of the KC, not overextending above nor dipping below into the lower band. This is VERY bullish action.
May it continue. If you like this idea, please feel free to comment or read my other ideas to stay abreast on SNX. -- Garry
BTC-USD 1 hourly symmetrical triangle Breakout/BreakdownBTC-USD
Looking out for something like this scenerio.
I open little positions on flipping support in resistence (short) and when flipping resistence in support (long)
And i scale higher when breaking previous lows/highs.
You can see the symmetrical triangle also on the 4 hourly,
In a few hours, we are at the end of the apex , and a big move is likely!
Wanna see more of my technical analysis?
Follow me on tradingview :)
Bitcoin Bullish ProjectionRed lines: resistance levels
Green lines: support range
Yellow Dashed: Range that I believe will make the bounce / reversal
VPVR on the left for better display of resistance / support levels
Circled points: Similarities of L shape formations where Bullish Rally followed.
Based on the VPVR and the repetition of the circular formations, I make the bullish projection for the price of bitcoin after the end of the bear wave (-15% ~ -20%) from the rejection at $ 48,000.
Market makers looking to trap more bears?If we look back at past PA, we can see how MMs break trend to increase shorting to spike in their face.. low volume this weekend could be a nice fakeout setup for monday. targets around 43
mms=market makers
see my indicator pvsra volume suite for more definition
(TQQQ) breakout or bustThe chances of a daily bull pennant increases with every daily higher low we make. Holding 4500 spx es1! Emini s&p futures withstanding and moving toward the week high would the odds of getting to $64 TQQQ skyrocket. Staying over vwma and bottom anchored vwap having no qqe short entry would be very bullish. Channel break strategies say buy over rising support, sell if we break Thursdays low.
spx getting to oversold (SPXL)we are in technical conditions of a selloff and risk averse activity is driving the market. defensive sectors are even doing poorly. there is no reason to think price action will turn around here, vut the price doesnt go anywhere in a straight line. at least one last trip up to mid or upper 95s is a valid target.
you guessed it: overbought vix (UVXY)this thing has pumped all day and is getting tired. UVXY is overbought on the 15 minute timeframe and is taking on the appearence of a pullback on the one minute where qqe is trying to punch in a short entry. could there be more to go bullishly? of course. why bother trying to squeeze more out of it long when you know lower prices soon are all but guaranteed?
high to mid 19s are a target.
probable tightening range (SPXL)given the amount of retracement if we stay over 97 and attract volume setting and confirmin this as a higher low around the .5 its likely we enter a tightening range going for a touch of vwma and then setting a lower high. id like to close that day around the highs for a bull daily case. horizontals are valid targets.
two paths for nasdaq futures (TQQQ)in reality the tech boom is to blame for this correction. if we werent in such business with the market weight we are currently there wouldnt be a need for the drawdown in buying that we are. this could obviously co tinue, but my bias is still long after the current contraction and retracement. divergence from vwma, rsi and qqe signals strategies are long, and i have to say that the weekend looks promising as long as we stay away from negative headlines. the conflict is mostly priced in and xlv, xle, xli, utsl having a good day in relation to the rest of the market moving down shows healthy rotation, and does not spell a crash. defensive sector stock will accumulate and prices in tech will move up.
two paths for volatility (UVXY)theres a really bullish sentiment playing out on the daily, but technical indications are that we sell off a little in vix. ive circled the type of cross i want to see, and highlighted what could gappen if we dont complete the bearish pattern.
over $23 or under 16 in 1 week
What are the Leveraged Longs doing in Bitcoin?One of the most interesting things to develop in Bitcoin last year during the summer dip to 30k was that leveraged long positions inexplicably rose as price consolidated.
Under normal conditions traders tend to chase returns and increase leverage as the price rises. This was typical of the first half of 2021 as Bitcoin pushed to higher highs. It would follow that on the May 2021 dip leveraged longs would be liquidated, sentiment would become less risk on, and leveraged longs would decrease. The opposite happened. Leverage increased and continued increasing through the dip and further into the consolidation. At the end of the consolidation when price rallied the leverage began to evaporate away suggesting it was being closed out.
At the time this was happening last summer I saw a major structural weakness in the price of Bitcoin if price broke 30k as it would jeopardize the leveraged longs being liquidated into a major crash. I gave a talk at a local Bitcoin meetup titled "Do they get to win?" insinuating that this was a risky move that could end badly. Turns out, they did get to win. In hindsight I have a new take on the event. The leverage was coming into the market to support the price and keep it from falling further.
Now, when I revisit this indicator I see that leverage is once again increasing rapidly into a falling price. It is not just "buying the dip" but in my mind "supporting the dip not going further."
Do they get to win again?