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Leverage

consecutive forecast for weeks ahead (TQQQ)i think we will see a lower high, followed by a lower low, but we will stay over the .382, and then continue higher every period of volatility that dried up quickly or was extenuating in nature was v shaped, and every period that was more exaggerated or corrective in nature was cypher shaped. we could bull cypher with a touch of support, but if we break it things will get much more serious quite quickly. if we break the 0 of extension the picture will clear up greatly for nasdaq bulls. sundays session should be bullish continuation, and we should open higher monday and then begin the flush to new lows middle of the week of the 6th, unless we immediately continue higher over 59
NASDAQ:TQQQ
by cerealtrades
failing double top or continuation (UVXY)if we fail the double top, and break 18.34 confirming a downtrend with a lower high, or immediately continue bear vix, im fine with selling volatility here. if we immediately continue over 19.17, or we set a higher low over the .382 of the bounce and break the high i would stay long vix for the time being if multiple sectors are continuing to make new lows simultaneously. vix looks like such a tempting bull trend on many larger timeframes. the weekly is shaping up to be a great reversal from lows, but indices also look equally extended though to the downside.
CBOE:UVXY
by cerealtrades
we should see a bounce some time in the following week (SPXL)i really want to stress that i am not saying the daily/weekly trend is going to change right back to bull. with that said, i think there is money to be made long over the next week, as long as futures sunday dont have the craziest bear session since corona. some shorts are going to cover on the next drop, and this is going to cause a small squeeze. i dont think all time highs are in the cards yet for broader market bulls. i do think 106 and 119 are reasonable targets. rsi is diverging bullishly, and dipping into the high teens would signal oversold conditions. i realize this differs from my SPY forecast. that is a long term forecast on an unleveraged asset. i am using different strategies for different instruments. qqe long entry signal should be due soon, although there have already been 3 signals that only led to small bounces, and not a return to a bull trend since the top.
AMEX:SPXL
by cerealtrades
context for the crossroads (uvxy)i just wanted to show people why this could still go very badly for broader market longs. im not doomsaying, or fear mongering here. im simply outlining why i still have a long forecast for vix, even though we are almost breaking to new lows in uvxy. the highlighted areas are times in the very recent past where spx has increased in volatility even while indices were on the verge of fully recovering. again, im not saying long this thing right now. im pointing out how this could still be a bullish position for vix longs even while the market appears to be about to recover fully. dont jump into uvxy trying to call the bottom, but do stay cautious! this can still go both ways and tuesday is going to be critical.
CBOE:UVXY
by cerealtrades
nq1! over night will shape the week (tqqq)nasdaq futures are looking pretty troubled right now, and if we see a large enough gap down and break last weeks low this could spell out further weakness in the index which could last into march volume has refused to drop off, and if we see another spike it will probably be selling taking out fridays high probably opens the gate to $76, and additional volatility likely will take us on another trip back to $66 somewhere ina that range is the perfect hourly oversold condition to dip buy, and touch of aavwap/vwma without follow through is usually pretty good resistance to topfish
NASDAQ:TQQQ
by cerealtrades
Why did I fail?How many traders do you think ask this question to themselves? Well, if we dig deeper into statistics, we’ll see that #1 reason differentiating successful traders from the rest 90%+ is proper use of margin and leverage. For every $50,000 in their account, most experienced forex traders and money managers trade one standard lot. If they traded a mini account, this indicates that for every $5,000 in their account, they trade one mini lot. Allow it to soak in for a couple of moments. Why do less experienced forex traders believe they can win by trading 100K standard lots with a $2,000 account or 10K micro lots with $250 if professionals trade like this? Never open a "regular account" with only $2,000 or a "micro account" with $250, no matter what the forex brokers tell you. Some even enable you to start an account for as little as $25! The number one reason rookie traders fail is because they are undercapitalized from the start and have a poor understanding of how leverage works. However, this all also goes back to our previous lessons on figuring out what type of trader you are. For instance, we’re slightly more aggressive (and as our SL are usually extremely tight), we stick with 1% (which still allows us to open 2 lots for 50.000$). However, if you have hard time monitoring the trade or prefer to have more “breathing room” for a trade, consider 1 lot for 100.000$ of your trading capital. All the best and stay safe, fam!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Investroy
6
spx run up at gap close may fail (spxl)if we dont break 133.33 confidently, and confirm 15 min reversal pattern with a lower low 131.85 this may signal overheated conditions in spx should we keep the uptrend holding 130.69 and continuing higher i imagine we have a go at 135, although id still be wary of buying borader markets right now except for a quick flip if we dont hold 130 and cant get back over 130.66 we will probably see 127.66 again soon volatility comes in waves the odds we close up at the highs are low but if we do theres a good long in it
AMEX:SPXL
by cerealtrades
Leverage Manipulation on BitcoinCool story bro's about "whale manipulation" are common. Here is some evidence. The "Liquidation Spike" of December 3rd started with the 8:30am US Jobs Report. The move triggered a cascade of stops and liquidations across the cryptocurrency market. In the days prior there was a dramatic increase in leveraged short positions being opened. On Bitfinex the leveraged shorts increase by 275% over 7 days. When the move down happened these short positions closed into profit from where they were taken. Gravity seemed to pull price down the retest the low. Now on this move to breach the Liquidation Low there is another noted increase in short positions likely trying to force out stops and leverage longs. The battle ensues! My thesis remains that cryptocurrency has entered the bear phase of its cycle.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDSHORTSShort
by norok
3
BTC (Health Check)Limit order for Longing BTC set at 42K. Slightly below the fib 0.618, trying to get the wicks for the quick bounce off. If you look at the daily timeframe in my charts, despite the sell off which was probably due to "Fed minutes reveal talk to shrink balance sheet" news.. We are still setting higher low. The previous higher low was 40536.66. We are technically still in a bullish pattern. Although i do admit that the correction for BTC is quick scary. Previous ATH correction was around -54% and current ATH correction till today price is at -38%. Bearish cross on the macd. Rsi reaching 30.20, should bounce from there, as base on the previous data on the Rsi. BTC Hourly + Daily
Long
by Cryptoblooming