AUD/NZD - Bearish BatI'm loving all of the Australian Dollar pairs at the moment, here we have AUD/NZD on a 1h chart with a completed bat pattern.
The measurements for a valid bat pattern are detailed below.
B: 0.382 - 0.50
C: 0.382 - 0.886
D: 1.618 - 2.618
Final X to D: 0.886
This links up perfectly with my long term prediction on the pair, this can be viewed below.
Lewglasgow
AUD/JPY - Bearish CypherToday we are looking at AUD/JPY on a Daily chart with a potential bearish cypher pattern, this could also potentially be a bearish gartley.
The measurements for a valid cypher are detailed below.
B: 0.382 - 0.618
C: 1.272 - 1.414
X to D: 0.786
As you can see from previous price movement our pair has been trading within a channel, I'll be expecting a spike up to hit our D point, completing our pattern then a sharp move to the downside!
Keys To Becoming A Successful TraderI'm splitting up the charts here on TradingView to bring some value to all of the new and existing traders. What do you think are the keys to becoming a successful trader?
In my opinion trading can be broken down into three distinct core principles:
1. Mindset
2. Knowledge
3. Experience
Everyone please feel free to leave your opinion below in the comments.
EUR/GBP - Bullish CypherToday we are looking at EUR/JPY on a 4h chart with a potential bullish cypher pattern, this looks very promising and it has an amazing risk:reward.
The measurements for a valid cypher are detailed below.
B: 0.382 - 0.618
C: 1.272 - 1.414
X to D: 0.786
As you can see from previous price movement our pair has been trading within a confined area, I'll be expecting a spike below our D point to hit support, completing our pattern then a sharp move to the upside!
GBP/JPY - Head and ShouldersToday we have GBP/JPY on a 4h chart with a head and shoulders pattern, this is a very simple selling opportunity with amazing risk:reward.
Taking into consideration my analysis on the Weekly chart, we will definitely be looking to short this pair. If you see any other setups forming on the charts please feel free to leave them below!
GBP/JPY - Trend ReversalToday we have one for the trend traders on a Weekly chart with GBP/JPY.
Straight away you can see price has broke the lows of 2015 and 2014, continuing down into the 155.000 area before retracing. We are now trading below the 200 EMA which I consider a major confirmation for a trend reversal, if we start trading above it this setup would be considered invalid.
I'll be going into the lower time-frames for additional analysis, there is a lot of picture perfect setups already including a head and shoulders on the 4h chart.
JPY/NOK - Bearish Three DrivesHope everyone enjoyed their weekend, let's get into the charts ready for the week ahead. Here we have JPY/NOK on a Daily chart forming a three drives pattern, as we can see from previous price movement the pair has been trading within a channel.
The three drives pattern is one of my favorites, when trading them it’s important to take a step back and look at where you are in terms of the overall flow of the market. Typically this pattern forms with trend, in this situation it's an uptrend.
The measurements for a valid three drives pattern are detailed below.
A-C: 1.272-1.618
X-B: 0.5 - 0.886
C-E: 1.272 - 1.618
B-D: 0.5 - 0.886
We are approaching a key level of resistance around the 0.07900 area just below our E point, the chart is shown below.
There are also a variety of M patterns forming on different time frames. Once we complete the E leg we will be entering a short position, if you have any additional analysis on this pair please feel free to comment below.
CAD/JPY - Three Dimensional ViewThese moves are not measured, they are simply displayed to show the correlation between each market. The charts shown are listed below:
Top: CAD/JPY on a Daily chart
Middle: USOIL on a Daily chart
Bottom: NKY on a Daily chart
Additional: The same pattern can be found on multiple charts and markets, including SU and HSE. The weekly crude oil inventory report will be released on March 23rd.
I can see the Japanese Yen gaining strength, comparing other currency pairs such as GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY paints a picture for direction. In addition there is always a fear for crude oil at around 40, this chart relates heavily to my idea posted on crude oil earlier this week, taking the formation of a bullish 5-0. You can view this in the link below!
Feel free to leave any additional analysis on this idea.
EUR/JPY - Bullish GartleyToday we are looking at EUR/JPY on a 4h chart with a potential bullish gartley, this pattern has taken shape on several time frames.
The measurements for a valid gartley are detailed below.
B: 0.618
C: 0.382 - 0.886
D: 1.272 - 1.618
Final X to D: 0.786
As you can see from previous price movement our pair has been trading within a confined area before breaking out of this range to make our A point. I'll be expecting a spike below to complete our D leg then a sharp move to the upside!
CAD/CHF - Inverted Head and ShouldersToday we have CAD/CHF on a Daily chart forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern. This is similar to one of my previous posts but the pattern is flipped.
As you can see price has already broken the neckline and closed above it on multiple time-frames, I would like to see a retracement before entering on a move to the upside.
As always feel free to share any complimentary analysis below and leave your opinion on this pair!
AUD/NZD - Trend ReversalHere we have AUD/NZD on a Weekly chart with a potential reversal in trend. Every indicator we need to predict a reversal setup is confluent on this chart as you can see above!
Price needs to breakout from the crucial 1.14200 resistance to confirm the change in market sentiment. This will correlate with everything detailed below:
The weekly bearish trendline.
The 2015 highs.
The 200 weekly EMA.
We will see how this one plays out, I'll be looking for chart patterns on the shorter time frames for additional analysis.
CAD/JPY - Bearish CrabToday we are looking at CAD/JPY on a Daily chart with a potential bearish crab, I'm loving the look of this setup already.
The measurements for a valid crab pattern are detailed below.
B: 0.382 - 0.618
C: 0.382 - 0.886
D: 2.618 - 3.618
Final X to D: 1.618
As you can see from previous price movement our pair has been pushing lower since July 2015 creating a trendline, I would like to see price spike up to hit our trendline and D point completing the bearish crab pattern at 92.000 then stall out before making a move lower.
Want to learn more? Check out my Instagram for additional trading content: @lewglasgow
AUD/JPY - Bearish BatI'm loving all of the Japanese Yen pairs at the moment, here we have AUD/JPY on a 4h chart forming a potential bearish bat pattern. The same pattern has also taken shape on the Daily chart.
The measurements for a valid bat pattern are detailed below.
B: 0.382 - 0.50
C: 0.382 - 0.886
D: 1.618 - 2.618
Final X to D: 0.886
PRZ: Once completing the D leg at 85.200 I can see price starting to stall out before making a move to the downside.
Take Profit: My first take profit zone will be in line with our B point at 82.150, the second take profit will be at our C point around 79.800 which is a key level of support.
We will see how this plays out, as you can see from the 4h chart below the pair has been down trending from some time with huge swings in the market. In order for our bearish bat to be a valid pattern we need to break this trendline driving prices up into the 85.000 area!
As always feel free to leave any additional analysis :)
GBP/JPY - Bearish Alt BatQuick market analysis for GBP/JPY on a 4h chart as always, we have a potential bearish alt bat. As we all know this pair moves fast, at times 100+ pips per hour and this is one of the many reasons why it is my favourite pair to trade!
We have an overextended D point at 166.000 for one simple reason, the pair has been trending within a channel. I'm expecting price to make a turn for the downside between 165.000 to 166.000 but I would like to see a spike up to hit our D point! Overall this is shaping up to be a huge trading opportunity.
Want to learn more? Check out my Instagram for additional trading content: @lewglasgow
AUD/CHF - Bearish ButterflyIt's a Sunday night, we have an amazing week ahead of us let's start off with AUD/CHF on the 4h chart which is forming a bearish butterfly.
As you can see from previous price movement our pair is creating a channel, I would like to see price spike up to hit our D point completing the bearish bat pattern at 0.74700 then just drop straight back down. If the pair is struggling to push higher it may stall out at our 2.618 retracement then start to make a move to the downside, we'll see how this one plays out.
NZD/JPY - Bearish GartleyWe are on the Daily chart for NZD/JPY and I'm loving what I see going on, we have a very nice 'W' shaping up which is most likely going to be a bearish gartley formation.
Measurements: I have removed the Fibonacci Retracement to keep the chart clean and simple. First off measuring from X to A this has given me my B point at 0.618. To get our C point I have gone from A to B which has given me a spot on 0.886 retracement, the wicks are over extended in this area. Then a measure of the D point going from B to C which puts it in the area of 1.13-1.618 for the completion of the D leg. The final measurement going from X to A once again to measure the connection between X and D which is 0.786. All of this is screaming a bearish gartley to me!
PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone): At the completion of the D leg I can see price stalling out just below 81.000 before making a move to the downside.
Take Profit: My first take profit zone will be around the 79.000 area to meet the level of the B point, second take profit will be at our C point between 75.000 and 74.000.
This ties in nicely with the weekly chart shown below, as you can see price has continuously hit our C point around 75.000 and 74.000 (my projected take profit) in an effort to break below this crucial level of support.
USD/JPY - Head and ShouldersHere we have a nice head and shoulders setup on the 1h chart for USD/JPY. This is a very simple selling opportunity, we would be looking for an entry below the neckline but I would wait for the close of the candle before getting in!
I will be looking to close out this trade in profit between 111.700 and 111.500, always remember to keep risk low and never get greedy!
GBP/USD - Retesting 2009The GBP/USD monthly chart, clearly illustrates that price has been stuck in consolidation from the year 2009.
Recently price has been falling sharply, heading towards the 2009 lows of 1.35000 to test it. If we break this crucial level of support it means price is finally out of this range, bulls are out and the bears are in ready to drive the price lower between 1.30000 and 1.20000.
Stay tuned, I'll be posting regular analysis across all major currency pairs.
GBP/USD - Bullish ABCDThere are some amazing setups forming on the charts, here we have an AB=CD pattern on a Daily chart for GBP/USD. This post will tie in nicely with my long term prediction on the currency pair!
Straight away this would be an excellent long position in the near future, the C point came into the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement (feel free to draw in the retracement levels) which gives it a BC projection for the D point at 2.0 which is right around 1.35000. If you read my previous post regarding GBP/USD on the monthly chart it is ready to retest the support level of 1.35000 back in 2009, the chart is shown below.
This pair could go two ways.
1. Price will hit the 1.35000 area, finally breaking the crucial level of support created back in 2009 then meaning the pair will push lower to between 1.30000 and 1.20000.
2. Hit the 1.35000 area to complete our AB=CD pattern, start to stall out on support and bounce back up to 1.46000.