LHA - Downtrend breaks and Reverse H&S formationLufthansa is underperforming for quite some time already. It seems dip formation can be in play. Possible reverse H&S formation and price going out of downtrend channel. First target can be 6.60s where 200dma and fibo targets sit. Q3 balance sheet results, which is seasonally best for airlines, are on the way.
LHA
Lufthansa to stop flying?Lufthansa - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 7.088 (stop at 7.422)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains. The primary trend remains bearish.
Price action has posted a Doji candle and signals a possible reversal of the recent trend.
A higher correction is expected.
A break of the recent low at 7.127 should result in a further move lower.
Our profit targets will be 6.253 and 6.053
Resistance: 7.250 / 7.420 / 7.500
Support: 7.200 / 7.000 / 6.800
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Buying Lufthansa at 2020 lows.Lufthansa - 30D expiry - We look to Buy at 5.033 (stop at 4.789)
Trading close to the psychological 5.000 level.
Short term bias is bearish.
Support could prove difficult to breakdown.
Support is located at 5.000 and should stem dips to this area.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 5.747 and 5.937
Resistance: 6.000 / 6.300 / 6.500
Support: 5.600 / 5.400 / 5.200
Weekly perspective
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses
Lufthansa double top forming? Lufthansa
Short Term - We look to Sell a break of 6.70 (stop at 6.95)
Posted a Double Top formation. We expect an initial move higher to fail and look to set shorts on a break back through 6.80. Further downside is expected and we prefer to set shorts in early trade. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 5.92 and 5.25
Resistance: 7.60 / 8.00 / 9.00
Support: 6.80 / 6.00 / 5.30
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Technical analysis update: JETS (8th February 2022)The airlines sector has been strongly impacted during the Covid 19 crisis which resulted in slump of most aviation related stocks. Over the past two years, this sector has been lagging behind the rest of the economy as a result of persisting lockdowns, travel restrictions and other health related mandates. Although, some countries such as Italy, Great Britain, Denmark, Norway and Switzerland are already seeing restrictions on social life being eased. We expect this phenomenon to continue globally and strengthen over time as the Omicron variant poses lower health risk when compared to previous strains of the virus. We view this as a very positive development for the airline sector and as one that will bring air travel back to life over time. Additionally, we think this will act as a catalyst which will result in a revival of the bullish trend. At the moment, the JETS ETF remains approximately 36% below its all time high value which is attractive pricing in our opinion. Further, we are becoming increasingly bullish on the JETS ETF; because of that we would like to set a short-term price target to 23 USD and medium-term price target to 25 USD. Additionally, we would like to set a long-term price target to 30 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration above shows the weekly chart of combined market cap of AAL+DAL+LUV+BA. It is 45% below its all time high value from February 2019.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration above shows the weekly chart of combined market cap of LHA+AF+RYAAY. It is approximately 17% below its all time high value from November 2017.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is bullish. MACD is due to perform a bullish crossover which strongly bolsters the bullish case for JETS. Stochastic is bullish too. DM+ and DM- show bullish conditions in the market. However, ADX contains low value which suggests that the prevailing trend is either neutral or very weak.
Illustration 1.03
Picture above shows the daily chart of JETS. It also shows the downward moving channel where upper bound acts as resistance and lower bound as support. We expect an eventual breakout above the resistance. Breakout setup for this trade would involve entry above the resistance and stop-loss below it.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bullish. MACD remains in the bearish area; though, it is flat and trying to turn to the upside. Stochastic is neutral. DM+ and DM- are bearish with ADX showing presence of weak or neutral trend.
Support and resistance
Resistance 1 lies at 22.94 USD and Resistance 2 at 25.20 USD. Resistance 3 sits at 28.98 USD. Support 1 can be found at 19.28 USD.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Technical analysis update: Lufthansa AG (28th July 2021)In 2020 airlines around the globe experienced one of the worst years in their history due to pandemic crisis and worldwide restrictions on travel and freedom of movement. This had detrimental impact on airlines around the world. Story is no different for Lufthansa AG. Last year German government bailed out Lufthansa AG with 9 billion euros. Subsequently German government gained 20% stake in the company which is supposed to be temporary until LHA gets back on its feet. As part of the bailout deal German government is not allowed to interfere in daily operations of Lufthansa AG. German government having 20% stake in the company suggests relatively lower risk associated with this investement as opposed to other airline investments where no government is involved with the company. Company's stock declined since December 2017 until September 2020 when it reached low of 6.848 EUR per share. Since then price reversed and started to make higher highs and higher troughs. Within last two months divergence between price and RSI became observable. In addition to that RSI, MACD and Stochastics turned bullish. Though, ADX contains low value suggesting that weak or no trend is present. Despite that we think LHA is poised to move higher eventually. In the short term we expect company to move sideways and struggle but in the long term we expect LHA to perform well. We would like to set our long term price target for LHA to 12 euros per share.
Divergence between price and RSI:
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
LHA Buy IdeaAlthough we see a broad rally today we see travel and small cap companies outperforming. Johnson & Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine was authorized for use in the US over the weekend. It is the third approved drug in the US, following the vaccines from Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna. However, while the earlier two vaccines required two doses, the drug from J&J is a single-dose application. Vaccinations could start in the US as early as tomorrow. It will dramatically speed up the number of Americans vaccinated in the coming weeks, bringing the full reopening of the economy nearer. Meanwhile data from the UK show that the rapid vaccine rollout is starting to have an impact . As the elderly were the first to be vaccinated, starting Dec. 8, it’s noticeable that COVID-19 related deaths are falling fastest in those age groups. The UK and other European countries started to reopen their economies with now more and more German senior officials, such as Finance Minister Olaf Scholz, to call for a quicker reopening of Europe’s largest economy increasing pressure on German chancellor Angela Merkel to ease Germany’s coronavirus curbs. Germany's largest airline rose more than 3% today, sees some profit taking, but will soon find support (€12.50 - €12.65) and rise further towards €13 .
LUFTHANSA Swing Stock Pick! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
LHA is a german airline giant in distress due to covid travel restrictions
However, the company is still great and it is bouncing from the absolute lows!
So the reversal has already begun and there are 3 targets on its way UP!
Also, on the fundamental side, it is the too big to fail case
Which means the german Government will certainly Bail this company out
If the going gets hard
So I am in and I suggest you buy some as well!
SWING BUY!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
#Crane on his #deathbed #Lufthansa #lha #tadingviewThat Lufthansa should have been sent into insolvency would probably have been the best option to restructure the company.
Existing shareholders, above all Heinz Hermann Thiele, would have lost their money (capital market risk) and the entire bondholders would have had to convert their bonds into new shares (debt-to-equity).
Lufthansa would be a debt-free company and could take off again in 2021.
The entry of the German state now prolongs and intensifies the consolidation process and is associated with massive austerity measures. The old problems and overindebtedness remain.
Unless a grain of wheat falls into the earth and dies, it remains alone; but if it dies, it bears much fruit. (Jo. 12. 24).
Amen
High risk/reward long trade on Lufthansa AG$LHA Lufthansa AG (XETR)
3 Months chart:
4 Hour chart:
1). Limit Buy: 7.678€ or 7.66€ (we prefer 7.678€)
2). Limit Buy: 7.184€
Entry Price: 7.431€
1). Take Profit: 9.928€ (+33.55%)
2). Take Profit: 12.246€ (+64.49%)
Longterm target: 15.964€ - 16.710€ (+114.80%)
Stop Limit/Loss: 6.668€ (-10.20%)
Risk Reward: 6.36
What do you think? Share your idea and enjoy our opinion.
REMOVE YOUR BIAS!
Thanks,
Disziplinierter_Trader
LUFTHANSA (LHA)Hi,
Strong support 8.000 - 9.000
Technical criteria:
1) Historically worked support level. 1995, 2003, 2009, and 2012. All rejections have been extremely profitable.
2) 2x equal waves from the top AB=CD
3) Fibonacci Extension 162% and 127%
4) Orange minor trendline third touch
5) Channel projection lower trendline worked perfectly
Regards,
Vaido
#LHA - #Lufthansa - go-around or very hard landing?The German government wants to rescue Lufthansa and provide massive liquidity. Is this the basis for a go-around or is there a threat of a very hard landing?
The share has at least arrived in an important trend reversal zone.
Greeting from Hannover (Lower Saxonia)
Stefan Bode
LHA - DAILY CHARTHi, today we are going to talk about LHA
We observe a D1, some important points. The details are highlighted above.
Thank you for reading and leave your comments if you like.
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LHA, Lufthansa Note the square, Fibonacci 0.78 reman as strong support. Black lines are multi-year significant levels and will be crucial for my next trade. According to RSI, we can see some future drop coming in.
That is the case if values continue to move in 45-25 range.
After all, the dividend is OK, so some long is not so bad to have.
LHA, RWE, UN01 all positions closed out for nice profit.Opening prices: LHA@12,33$ RWE@12,50$ UN01@13$
Closed all positions at 22,80$, 20,25$ and 23,17$ respectively.
Here i figured i would just let loose for now and liquidate these positions. For the moment they all seem topped out and with elections coming up in Germany i figured: Take the money and run!
Will be doing some further charting on these in the future to determine some new entry levels.