AT&T Still FallingOn April 13, 2017, AT&T ( NYSE:T ) crossed below its 150 day moving average (DMA). Historically this has occurred 223 times and the stock does not always drop. It has a median loss of 3.679% and a maximum loss of 21.351% over the next 20 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 32.0245. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is trending down and could enter oversold territory soon.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -12.2241. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 0.8389 while the negative is at 1.1199. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock has been moving down, but the pace is slowing. Also the positive indicator is beginning to rise meaning price action could slow in the short-term leaving the door open for a price change in either direction.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 14.0197 and D value is 11.0155. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the price action is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the price action is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is in oversold territory, but it has been flirting around this point since the end of March.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to continue heading down. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could drop another 2% over the next 20 trading days. AT&T has crossed the 150 DMA in three of the last four sessions. The most recent similar flirtations with the 150 DMA have occurred in October 2014, November 2014, February 2015, August 2015, January 2016, and September 2016. The losses were 4.776%, 8.083%, 5.684%, 8.101%1.328%, and 4.355% respectively. This drop could ultimately result in a loss of nearly 4% to the bottom of the macro trend line (thick yellow line) 38.50-38.75 range, but the conservative play is around 39.40.
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Two Technical Bears Bite IWMOn April 12, 2017, the Russell 2000 ETF ( IWM ) 20 day moving average (DMA) crossed below its 100 DMA and the ETF also crossed below its 100 DMA. Both crosses have not occurred on the same day in the history of the fund. Historically the 20 DMA has crossed below the 100 DMA 26 times and the stock drops a minimum of 0.217%. It has a median loss of 3.957% and maximum loss of 32.818% over the next 15 trading days. Historically the fund has crossed below the 100 DMA 91 times and does not always continue to drop. It has a median loss of 3.993% and a maximum loss of 34.336% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 45.2759. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the fund is neutral but has been trending down.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -5.2391. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the fund is moving down.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0416 while the negative is at 0.9511. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the fund is in a period of uncertainty. Although the positive is higher, both indicators have crossed four times in the past month.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 49.6357 and D value is 50.9736. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the price action is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the price action is trending down. The current reading declares the fund is neutral and can go either direction.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to continue heading down. A strong resistance down trend has been taking shape since market highs on March 1. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the fund could drop another 1.55% over the next 15 trading days.
Significant Bearish Moving Average Cross For DeltaOn April 11, 2017, the Delta Airlines ( DAL ) 20 day moving average (DMA) crossed below its 150 DMA. Historically this has occurred 9 times and the stock drops a minimum of 4.371%. It has a median loss of 11.715% and maximum loss of 42.018% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 39.2516. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral but has been trending down.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -22.0315. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The negative vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0215. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving down, but at a decision point. This indicator could produce a crossover and the stock could move up.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 23.7070 and D value is 21.8876. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock could begin a reversal, however, it could still drop to an oversold level over the next 5-10 trading days.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to continue heading down. A strong resistance down trend has been taking shape since March 7. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could drop another 4.00% over the next 15 trading days.
Bullish PBR Moving Average CrossOn April 10, 2017, Petrobras ( PBR ) crossed over its 200 day moving average (DMA). Historically this has occurred 47 times and the stock does not always continue to rise. It has a median gain of 5.428% and maximum gain of 22.706% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 54.9389. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral but has been trending up.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -10.0095. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading, although negative, declares the stock is moving up.
The negative vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.2281. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving up.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 70.8279 and D value is 80.0101. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock just began a reversal downward.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to continue heading up. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could gain another 4.00% over the next 15 trading days.
Baidu Bears And Bulls Set To CollideOn April 7, 2017, Baidu ( BIDU ) had four daily moving average cross events occur. The stock crossed below the 100, 200, and 250 daily moving averages (DMA) while the 20 DMA crossed below the 100 DMA. All four events have never occurred on the same day before. Also, when all four events occur individually, they do not always result in a loss.
Historically the stock has crossed below the 100 DMA 57 times with a median loss of 6.122% and maximum loss of 25.704%. The stock has crossed below the 200 DMA 46 times with a median loss of 4.269% and maximum loss of 21.444%. The stock has crossed below the 250 DMA 42 times with a median loss of 3.529% and maximum loss of 26.166%. The 20 DMA has crossed below the 100 DMA 16 times with a median loss of 6.459% with a maximum loss of 24.301%. All of this information is based over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 47.0218. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is relatively neutral.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -11.6928. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is down, but slightly trending up.
The negative vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0275. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 70.2026 and D value is 70.5545. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock just began a reversal.
The 100, 200, and 250 DMA downward crosses have occurred on the same day or within one day of each other seven times. The minimum loss of these occasions has been 1.230%. The stock has also been in a technical flag pattern since August of 2015 and is nearing its apex. The stock will break out of this pattern to the downside on this trip or could possibly break above it within the next three months. If the breakout occurs to the downside, it would most likely occur this time. If the downward break has significant volume behind it, the stock could fall well beyond 3%.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be neutral and probably heading down. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could lose another 2.84% over the next 15 trading days.
A Major Bearish Cross For United ContinentalOn April 7, 2017, the United Continental Airlines ( UAL ) 50 daily moving average (DMA) crossed below its 100 DMA. Historically this has occurred 16 times and the stock drops a minimum of 1.016%. The stock has a median loss of 6.904% and a maximum loss of 47.248% over the next 10 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 52.1533. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is relatively neutral, and has been trending up.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -9.9279. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is down, but could head up soon.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.1103. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock has been up, but has begun a slight retreat.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 79.2644 and D value is 84.3425. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is overbought and due to head down.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be neutral and possibly heading down. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could lose another 3% over the next 10 trading days. Although this DMA cross has only occurred 16 times, other indications support a near-term drop of more than 1%.
Feeding The Chevron BearsOn April 7, 2017, the Chevron Corporation ( CVX ) crossed below its 150 day moving average (MA). Historically this has occurred 253 times and the stock does not always drop. The stock has a median loss of 3.162% and a maximum loss of 55.271% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 48.9096. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is relatively neutral, with no clear volatile price swing on the horizon.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -16.6606. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current readin declares the stock is down, and has remained around its current reading for a few weeks. This indicator should have moved up or down by now which adds to the uncertain future and leaves a drop in the stock price well within play.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0845. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving up.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 71.4480 and D value is 69.7333. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock has been moving up, but the divergence between the two has recently narrowed and a downturn is likely to quickly occur.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be heading down. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could lose another 2.28% over the next 15 trading days. On the day previous to this negative cross below the MA, the stock crossed above. The last 11 times in the past decade, the stock crossed and closed below the MA one day after it closed above the MA, the stock dropped a minimum of 1.728%.
Bearish MA Cross For IntelOn April 7, 2017, the Intel Corporation ( INTC ) crossed below its 100 day moving average (MA). Historically this has occurred 241 times and the stock does not always drop. The stock has a median loss of 4.249% and a maximum loss of 34.757% over the next 10 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 54.9964. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is relatively neutral, with no clear volatile price swing on the horizon.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -4.9091. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current direction declares the stock is moving up.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.1026. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is steadily moving down while the negative indicator is moving up and cementing this sentiment.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 66.3386 and D value is 71.8470. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock just came out of an overbought level and should continue to move down.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be heading down. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could lose another 1.76% over the next 10 trading days. Of the previous four times the stock has crossed below the 100 day MA, it has had a minimal drop of 1.191%.
Bank Of America Heading Down To Test SupportOn April 6, 2017, the Bank of America Corporation ( NYSE:BAC ) 20 day moving average (MA) crossed below its 50 day MA. Historically this has occurred 83 times and the stock does not always drop. The stock has a median loss of 2.296% and a maximum loss of 15.389% over the next 7 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 40.4748. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is slowly trending down, but not clear if a volatile price swing is on the horizon.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -8.0671. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current direction declares the stock is moving down.
The negative vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.1688. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is steadily moving down.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 61.4618 and D value is 58.2159. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock has been moving up, but the divergence between the K and D is quickly shrinking and could also head down in line with all of the other technical indicators.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be heading down. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could lose another 4% over the next 7 trading days. There are many trendlines in play, but it is inconclusive which one will take hold next. Previous resistance around 22.20 has recently become new support and could be a viable level to be revisited.
At Least A 1% Drop For CiscoOn April 5, 2017, CISCO Systems Inc. ( NASDAQ:CSCO ) crossed below its 50 day moving average (MA). Historically this has occurred 236 times and the stock does not always drop. The stock has a median loss of 2.851% and a maximum loss of 30.080% over the next 5 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 34.1632. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is trending down and will quickly make it to oversold territory within the next 5 trading days.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 23.4246. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current direction declares the stock is moving down.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.1365. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 17.5800 and D value is 17.2248. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock has been moving down, but is due to move up again in the near future.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be heading down. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could lose another 1.1% over the next 5 trading days. The stock will revisit a previous resistance level around 32.60 which could turn into new support. A possible reversal at this point could also occur due to the Stochastic level in the oversold level. However, a quick drop could cause the stock to drop to the Macro support level around 31-31.50 before it reverses up again.
Sell NVIDIA Now!On April 4, 2017, NVIDIA Corporation ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) crossed below the 50 and 100 day moving average (MA). Both events have occurred on the same day 27 times with a minimal loss of 0.33% and median loss of 5.99%. Historically the stock has crossed below the 50 day MA 144 times and the stock does not always drop. The stock has a median loss of 3.802%. Historically the stock has crossed below the 100 day MA 105 times resulting in a minimal loss of 0.327% and a median loss of 5.460%. The maximum loss for all three instances is 44.146% and all information regards the next 10 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 39.7048. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is trending down.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 2.7816. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is slightly moving up but could reverse based on all other indicators.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0468. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock was moving up, but has begun to retreat and the negative is moving upward.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 63.3372 and D value is 74.8670. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is moving down. This indicator has been floating above the oversold level for a while. Continued downward price action is warranted.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be heading down. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could lose another 4% over the next 10 trading days. The stock is also in a downward wedge and near the apex. The stock is due to breakout of the wedge and this trip to the resistance level around 96.60 could lead to a significantly lower drop. Considering the stock has always dropped when it crosses below the 100 day MA and when the 50 and 100 MA occur on the same date, a drop should occur quickly.
Short-Term Dip, Long-Term Gain For LVSOn April 3, 2017, the Las Vegas Sands Corp. ( NYSE:LVS ) 20 day moving average (MA) crossed above its 100 day MA while its 50 day MA crossed below the 200 day MA. Both events have never occurred on the same day. Historically the 20 MA has crossed above the 100 MA 18 times. The stock has a minimal gain of 0.157%, has a median gain of 5.899% and maximum gain of 72.847 % over the next 15 trading days. Historically the 50 MA has crossed below the 200 MA 6 times. The has a minimal loss of 0.661%, a median loss of 4.687%, and maximum loss of 11.732% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 64.5565. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is slightly moving up and recently retreated from near overbought levels.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 20.5597. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is slightly moving up.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.1249. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving up, although is retreating.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 72.6098 and D value is 69.2514. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is coming out of an oversold level, but trending up again.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be heading up, but could have a brief pullback from current levels first. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could lose another 1.5% over the next 5 trading days. After this drop, the stock could move up toward the resistance level around 60. From the close on April 3, the stock could gain 4.9% within the next four weeks. If bought near the anticipated dip, the gain could be greater than 6.5%.
Buy The Coming Dip For AT&TOn March 31, 2017, AT&T ( NYSE:T ) crossed below its 50 day moving average (MA) while its 100 day MA crossed over the 200 day MA. Both events have never occurred on the same day. Historically the stock has crossed below the 50 MA 330 times and the stock does not always drop. It has a median loss of 2.239% and maximum loss of 25.170 % over the next 8 trading days. Historically the 100 MA has crossed over the 200 MA 20 times and the stock does not always rise. It has a median gain of 3.959% and maximum gain of 21.067 % over the next 20 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 45.0401. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is slightly moving down.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 3.9504. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is slightly moving down.
The negative vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0906. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 22.22 and D value is 18.62. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is coming out of an oversold level, meaning the stock should go higher in the next few days.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be heading down in the very short term, but up in the long term. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could lose another 1% over the next 5 trading days. After this drop, the stock could move up toward the resistance level around 42.50. From the close on March 31, the stock could gain 2% within the next four weeks. If bought near the anticipated dip, the gain could be greater than 3.5%.
Decision Time For Kellogg's TechnicalsOn March 31, 2017, the Kellogg Company ( NYSE:K ) 20 day moving average (MA) cross below the 50 day MA. Historically this has occurred 82 times and the stock does not always drop. It has a median loss of 1.821% and maximum loss of 9.091% over the next 5 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 40.7957. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is slowly moving down.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -4.5126. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The negative vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0516. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 16.9329 and D value is 17.6418. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is trending downward and has been due for a reversal the past five days.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be heading down. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could lose another 0.48% over the next 5 trading days. The overall Macro trend is forming a wedge with the apex around mid-May. It is highly likely Kellogg will break out of this wedge before May. Based on the current readings, the break from the wedge could occur in the current downtrend. The determining factor will be when the stock crosses through the support line currently around 72.20. A strong break down with greater than 3 million in volume would lead to a deeper drop for the stock. If the support is not broken on this trip, a break above resistance (top yellow line) with volume could signify a stronger move up.
Strong Moving Average Cross for 3D SystemsOn March 31, 2017 3D Systems Corporation ( NYSE:DDD ) crossed above its 250 day moving average (MA). Historically this has occurred 74 times and the stock does not always rise. It has a median gain of 7.563 % and maximum gain of 64.706 % over the next 11 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 51.0844. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is slightly neutral and has been moving upward.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -21.1753. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is moving down, however, it is begun to retreat from low levels indicating continued upward movement.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0277 and recently cross above the negative indicator. The VI determines current trend and direction. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is relatively moving up.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 81.6336 and D value is 64.8317. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is trending upward with plenty of time before a potential reversal.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be heading up. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could gain another 4% over the next 15 trading days. The overall Macro trend is forming a pennant with the apex around October of this year. It is highly likely DDD will break out of this pennant before October and could be a significant move up or down.
ZION Banc To DropOn March 31, 2017 the Zion Bancorporation ( NASDAQ:ZION ) crossed below its 100 day for the second time in 9 trading days. Historically this has occurred 169 times and the stock does not always drop. It has a median loss of 3.454 % and maximum loss of 30.112 % over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 42.6531. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is slightly heading down, but not in a strong manner.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -14.910. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The negative vortex indicator (VI) is 1.42. The VI determines current trend and direction. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock moving down.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 49.9104.8377 and D value is 37.7580. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is trending up with decently large divergence which indicates the potential for continued upward movement.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall near-term stock direction appears to be downward. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could drop 3.79% over the next two weeks. Last time the stock crossed below this MA, it dropped 3.672%. There is a level of support around 40.41 which is where I would expect the stock to drop to.
Exelon is DirectionlessOn March 31, 2017 the Exelon Corporation ( NYSE:EXC ) crossed above its 50 day MA for the fourth time in two weeks. Historically the 50 MA cross has occurred 348 times and the stock does not always rise. It has a median gain of 2.905 % and maximum gain of 18.413 % over the next 10 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 51.1549. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 2.8606. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is neutral and has been slowly trending down for two weeks.
Both vortex indicators (VI) are below 1 with the positive at 0.9213 and negative at 0.8946. The VI determines current trend and direction. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is neutral.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 43.8377 and D value is 43.5741. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is neutral with future direction unknown.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall near-term stock direction appears to be indiscernible. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could gain 1.18% over the next two weeks. The stock has been in a tight neutral channel throughout most of 2017. The last three time this crossover occurred in the last 15 days the stock rose at least 1%.
Intermediate Gain For INTC, Set To Drop FirstOn March 31, 2017 Intel Corporation ( INTC ) crossed above its 100 day moving average (MA), while the 50 day MA crossed below its 150 day MA. This multiple cross event has never occurred before. Historically the stock has crossed above the 100 day MA 241 times. When this happens, the stock does not always continue to gain. It has a median gain of 5.777% and maximum gain of 34.615% over the next 15 trading days. Historically the 50 MA has crossed below the 150 MA 33 times. When this happens, the stock has dropped at least 0.05%. It has a median loss of 4.464% and maximum loss of 23.498% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 57.6486. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral but heading upward.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -13.7715. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is trending down, however, the indicator recently hit a low point and has begun to climb.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is currently 1.1253 and recently crossed above the negative indicator. The VI determines current trend and direction. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is trending upward.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 84.77 and D value is 72.55. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock has been trending up but is approaching the overbought level--due to signal a crossover within a week and lead to a decline in the stock.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall near-term stock direction appears to be trending upward. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could gain 4.3% over the next four weeks. I am tracking two scenarios with the latter being most likely. The first one is the stock goes up to my target line without a significant drop. The likely course, the stock could drop by mid-April to the support line of its current trend which would satisfy the stochastic reading. After this drop, the stock would be able to hit my target level of 37.65.
Southwest Airlines Losing Some LUV?On March 30, 2017 Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) 20 day moving average (MA) crossed below its 50 day MA. Historically this has occurred 94 times. When this happens, the stock does not always continue to drop. It has a median gain of 3.775% and maximum gain of 52.802% over the next 10 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 47.8715. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral and looking for direction.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -5.0019. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is trending down.
The negative vortex indicator (VI) is currently 1.0680. The VI determines current trend and direction. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is trending downward but the positive vortex indicator is climbing and the negative indicator is beginning to drop.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, and VI levels, the overall near-term stock direction appears to be slightly trending downward. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could drop 3.86% over the next two weeks. The stock recently broke out of its upward trend channel and has entered a narrower down channel. The exact width of the current channel is still to be determined. There is noticeable support around 51.75 which could be met in the near-term.
VeriFone Slipping DownOn March 30, 2017 VeriFone Systems (PAY) crossed below its 50 day moving average (MA). Historically this has occurred 97 times. When this happens, the stock does not always continue to drop. It has a median gain of 6.329% and maximum gain of 55.442% over the next 10 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 49.2149. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral and looking for direction.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -3.5704. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is trending down.
The negative vortex indicator (VI) is currently 1.1591. The VI determines current trend and direction. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is trending downward but the positive vortex indicator is climbing and the negative indicator is beginning to drop.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, and VI levels, the overall near-term stock direction appears to be slightly trending downward. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could drop 3.67% over the next two weeks. The stock recently broke out of its upward trend channel and has entered a narrower down channel. The exact width of the current channel is still to be determined. I tend to look for at least three contact points to establish a trend which has not occurred on the support side of the down channel and today's opening level is only the third point on the resistance line. There is noticeable support around 18.52 which could be met in the near-term.
Look Out!! Short-Term Decision Ahead for Sprint CorpOn March 29, 2017 Sprint Corp (S) crossed above its 100 day moving average (MA). Historically this has occurred 197 times. When this happens, the stock does not always continue to rise. It has a median gain of 6.404% and maximum gain of 25.566% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 47.9289. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral and looking for direction. The RSI was trending down, but has broken that trend and could begin heading up even if it is short term.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently -10.0885. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is trending down.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is currently 1.0030 and just crossed over the negative indicator. The VI determines current trend and direction. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is trending upward and typically does so for at least a few days.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, and VI levels, the overall near-term stock direction appears to be slightly trending upward. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position in a wedge/triangle pattern, the stock could gain 2.03% over the next two weeks. The stock is about 21 days out from the apex of a wedge pattern. Typically, the stock will break significantly up or down before it actually makes it to the apex. The stock could hit the resistance line (top of trend channel) and continue onward. If the breakthrough happens on strong volume, it is a sign of continued upward movement. The inverse is different if it breaks through the support line (bottom line in wedge) which is around 8.20. If the stock breaks down with volume it could begin a new trend or use the dotted white line as a new support line. If this occurs, expect the stock to continue down.
Mixed Medium-Term Outlook for Wal-Mart (WMT)On March 29, 2017 Wal-Mart (WMT) crossed above its 200 day moving average (MA). Historically this has occurred 192 times. When this happens, the stock does not always continue to rise. It has a median gain of 3.407% and maximum gain of 36.667% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 58.1906. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral and looking for direction but slightly moving up at the moment.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 7.9533. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is up. Even though it is still a positive number, it is trending downward.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is currently 1.000 and just crossed over the negative indicator. The VI determines current trend and direction. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is trending upward.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, and VI levels, the overall near-term stock direction appears to be slightly trending upward. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position in a downward trend channel, the stock could gain 0.71% over the next three weeks. The stock recently broke out of its most recent downward micro trend channel and appears to be using the old resistance as the new support which is common. Over the next few months the stock will approach the bottom of its major support channel that is pointing upward. For this reason, I do not expect much upward movement over the next three weeks.
Slightly Mixed Signals For CITI (C)On March 28, 2017 Citigroup (C) crossed above its 50 day moving average (MA). Historically this has occurred 349 times. When this happens, the stock does not always continue to rise. It has a median gain of 4.839% and maximum gain of 62.909% over the next 18 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 49.2324. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is looking for direction but favoring the highside at the moment.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 3.5677. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is looking for direction. Even though it is still a positive number, it is trending downward.
The negative vortex indicator (VI) is currently 1.1597. The VI determines current trend and direction. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is trending downward, but the positive VI is also beginning to trend up.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, and VI levels, the overall near-term stock direction appears to be slightly trending upward. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current upward trend channel, the stock could gain at least another 5% over the next three weeks. In its current trend channel, Citi has been at this position (not price) twice since December 2016. The stock rose 6.46% over 18 trading days to the top of the channel and also rose 5.92% over 15 days to the top of the channel. Similar movement is possible which would result in a gain of around 5.79%.
Citigroup is scheduled to have an earnings call within the next 15 trading days which could be the catalyst for this move up. The current consensus Earning Per Share estimate from Earnings Whispers is $1.28, which would be the highest Earning Per Share since October 2015.