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Lumen Tech Joins The Pending Selloff?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on September 3, 2021 with a closing price of 12.12. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 12.01 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 2.302% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.85% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 7.819% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12 trading bars; half occur within 21 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 33 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:LUMNShort
by StockSignaler
1
Tidewater Continues Down For NowBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on September 3, 2021 with a closing price of 11.42. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 11.3 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.346% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 10.788% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 20.044% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% decline must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 4 trading bars; half occur within 19 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 29 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:TDWShort
by StockSignaler
Discovery Jumping on Sell BandwagonBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on September 27, 2021 with a closing price of 28.38. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 28.23 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 2.311% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.10% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 6.591% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 8.0 trading bars; half occur within 20.5 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 33.0 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
DShort
by StockSignaler
1
Target Box Pivot Points For Spire Inc 2 of 2As promised, here is the finalized analysis with the most specific target points. The final boxes had the most overlap based on all of the data. Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, multiple BUY signals fired between August 19-27, 2021 with closing prices ranging between 66 and 69. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 67.326 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Repeating three-quarters of all successful signals would have the stock rise to at least 68.3044 which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 16 trading bars while one-quarter require at least 27 trading bars. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the green boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the red boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:SRLong
by StockSignaler
Target Box Pivot Points For Spire Inc 1 of 2I have studied 15 recent buy signals for Spire and bumped the data against historical movements when similar buy signals occur. This is the cluster of all boxes. I will clean up in the next post for my final call on target bottoms and target tops. Regardless. The BUY signals stretch from August 19 through August 27. The larger PURPLE boxes are projected bottoms based on all historical data. The smaller PINK boxes are more specific bottoms based on the median data historical bottoms. While the bottom should occur in a purple box, my specific goals are in the pink boxes. The larger BLUE boxes are target tops (likely after the move downward to PURPLE box areas) based on all historical movement. The smaller YELLOW boxes are the more specific target tops. The next post will have the specifics.
NYSE:SRLong
by StockSignaler
Kroger has history on its side for downward movementThis article includes bonus analysis of semi-rare occurrence. My Algorithm 2 has signaled a SELL 9 times on the daily chart for this stock. All nine times included simultaneous SELL signals on the same algorithms which triggered this morning. I have provided the usual target boxes, however, I have included additional target boxes related to historical movement after Algorithm 2 signals SELL. Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on August 24, 2021 with a closing price of 45.75. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 45.28 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 3.041% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 5.724% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 10.385% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% decline must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 7 trading bars; half occur within 14 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 25 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:KRShort
by StockSignaler
RSI flashing overbought for CDNABased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on August 25, 2021 with a closing price of 78.47. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 76.99 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 3.886% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 10.0% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 15.694% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 10 trading bars; half occur within 25 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 31 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:CDNAShort
by StockSignaler
Algorithm has TXN breaking up to new ATH soonIt looks like bottom could be in. Not only could TXN reach and all-time high, but they would breakout of the sideways funk they have been in since mid-March of this year. Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on August 16, 2021 with a closing price of 189.85. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 192.19 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.389% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 6.776% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 11.234% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 9 trading bars; half occur within 24 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 33 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:TXNLong
by StockSignaler
Time for ConocoPhillips to end the skid?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on August 16, 2021 with a closing price of 54.82. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 55.17 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 2.337% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.213% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.049% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 7 trading bars; half occur within 21 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 34 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:COPLong
by StockSignaler
Blackstone to have big month ahead?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on August 13, 2021 with a closing price of 114.37. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 115.14 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.0665% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.1565% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.523% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 10.5 trading bars; half occur within 22.5 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 36.0 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:BXLong
by StockSignaler
Best Buy may be heading down near-termBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on August 9, 2021 with a closing price of 112.54. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 111.3 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.2515% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 8.478% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 15.7105% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% decline must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 3.0 trading bars; half occur within 13.0 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 25.5 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. At the time of this publishing, the stock has already reached the top of the small red box and may be in the early stages of the short-term forecasted decline. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:BBYShort
by StockSignaler
Visa with 5% room to run?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on August 13, 2021 with a closing price of 232.62. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 235.82 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.355% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.952% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 7.587% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 14 trading bars; half occur within 27 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 34 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. BONUS ANALYSIS: All five algorithms have simultaneously signaled a BUY on the two hour chart on four prior occasions. All four instances saw the stock move up a minimum of 4.35%. The median move was 5.557% while the average was 5.89%. The top occurred 12-38 trading bars (24-76 trading hours) after the signal bar with the average around 29 bars, and median at 32.5. The stock did not begin moving upward on three of the four occasions. The stock moved down after the signal for an average of 3 trading bars (6 hours). The target top based on this additional analysis could see the stock move toward 244.37 near the close of trading on August 24, 2021. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:VLong
by StockSignaler
Mulitple Timeframes Signal Buy for FLSBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on August 9, 2021 with a closing price of 39.20 on the 2 Hour chart and at 39.15 on the 3 Hour chart. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 39.49 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 2.1% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.315% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.183% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 9 trading bars; half occur within 22 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 34 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:FLSLong
by StockSignaler
Is ConAgra ready to break the funk and move up?This is the rarest trading signal I have had yet. Seven algorithms signaled a buy at the same time which I have never experienced before. Is this good or bad? We shall see. Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on August 6, 2021 with a closing price of 32.62. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 32.93 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 2.416% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.02% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 6.188% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12 trading bars; half occur within 27 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 37 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:CAGLong
by StockSignaler
This Signal Has Tractor Supply Rising SoonBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on July 23, 2021 with a closing price of 187.7. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 189.79 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.587% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 17.077% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 18.821% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 15 trading bars; half occur within 27 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 32 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:TSCOLong
by StockSignaler
Things Looking Up for JPM this Summer?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on June 11, 2021 with a closing price of 159.92 on the hourly chart. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 161.6855 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 2% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.7815% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.577% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 50 trading bars after the signal. A 0.4% rise must occur over the next 50 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 23.5 trading bars; half occur within 36.5 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 44.5 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:JPMLong
by StockSignaler
Time For Splunk To Bounce Up?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on May 4, 2021 with a closing price of 119.41. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 120.045 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.1735% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.92% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.0325% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 50 trading bars after the signal. A 0.4% rise must occur over the next 50 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 18.0 trading bars; half occur within 36.0 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 46.0 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play). All movement could technically be over after the second bar from signal as the larger green box was breached and followed by a retreat. If this is not the case, it is interesting the close today occurred in line with the bottom of the smaller red box, meaning the drop could be over and a week or two of gains may start as early as the open tomorrow. All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
SLong
by StockSignaler
Will Home Depot Decline Before Summer?I am writing this analysis a little after the triggering signal as I watched the stock move up. The red and green boxes still indicate targeted movements (as detailed in prior analysis and below), however, I have looked for potentially stronger entry points for put options. As I previously mention, the stock may continue to move up in contradiction of the reversing signal, but this continued movement is limited. This continued movement based on median statistics (the black dotted arrow) had the stock move upward for an additional 3 days to 327.21. The 3 days was spot on, and so was the peak. The actual peak (assuming the stock continues to move down from this point) was 328.83. Ideally, the stock is finally obeying the reversal signal from April 14, 2021. The peak occurred in line with historical movement by occurring in the smaller red box. Based on historical movement, the peak could have occurred anywhere in the larger red box. The next targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the case on the prior 373 occasions. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. 84.45% of the 373 historical signals have seen the stock price drop at least 1.03% below the closing price on the signal bar. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on April 14, 2021 with a closing price of 320.02. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should drop to at least 316.71 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock drop 3.05% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock drop 6.366% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock drop 11.189% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would lead to a drop to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the drop can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max drop occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% drop must occur over the next 35 trading bars (days) in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 4 trading bars; half occur within 14 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 26 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play). All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
NYSE:HDShort
by StockSignaler
1
Is HLI next to find one of these price targets?Here is another interesting pick. In the case of HLI, 4 of my algorithms signaled a BUY on April 16, 2021. Equities nearly always obey the signal and move up, but sometimes it may continue to move down first. We are not quite past the point of the stock charting a permanent course higher as I have laid out, but it is off to a good start. I have placed two red boxes and two green boxes on the chart. The larger red box depicts all of the historical movement, from a percentage standpoint, that this stock has moved on the Daily chart after a BUY signal occurred. Therefore, this box represents 100% of previous movement downward before the stock finally moved upward. The smaller red box represents 50% of all historical movement downward, before the stock moved upward. The smaller box is more of a precise target for the potential bottom in this instance. The green boxes represent the same thing. In this instance, the smaller green box would be my projected target for the final top. I would consider the movement a success once it reaches a level equivalent with the bottom of the smaller green box. This may happen earlier or later the box that is outlined, but the most like location is in this box. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could rise the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never rise (and the green boxes may never come into play). All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
NYSE:HLILong
by StockSignaler
Is Tapestry Set To Cool Off?Six of my algorithms signaled a SELL on April 13, 2021 for TPR on the 2 Hour charts. Equities nearly always obey the signal and move down, but sometimes it may continue to move up first. Since the signal occurred at the open, the continued upward movement appears to have already hit the mark. This could mean it does not move higher until it find my projected target box (green inside green) at the bottom of the chart. Ultimately the brief drop is temporary and could setup another great dip buying opportunity. I have placed two red boxes and two green boxes on the chart. The larger red box depicts all of the historical movement, from a percentage standpoint, that this stock has moved on the 2 Hour chart after a SELL signal occurred. Therefore, this box represents 100% of previous movement upward before the stock finally moved downward. The smaller red box represents 50% of all historical movement upward, before the stock moved downward. The smaller box is more of a precise target for the potential top in this instance. The green boxes represent the same thing. In this instance, the smaller green box would be my projected target for the final bottom. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play). All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
NYSE:TPRShort
by StockSignaler
Incyte Signals SELL On 5 Algorithms in 2 DaysIncyte is about to get exciting. Normally, my Precise algorithm signals a BUY or SELL by itself. Three other algorithms signaled SELL at the same time based on the closing price on 7 April and an additional algorithm signaled SELL today. Five of the algorithms signal overbought conditions, while the other signifies a continuation of downward movement. Equities nearly always obey the signal and move down, but sometimes it may continue to move up first. I have placed two red boxes and two green boxes on the chart. The larger red box depicts all of the historical movement, from a percentage standpoint, that this stock has moved on the Daily chart after a SELL signal occurred. Therefore, this box represents 100% of previous movement upward before the stock finally moved downward. The smaller red box represents 50% of all historical movement upward, before the stock moved downward. The smaller box is more of a precise target for the potential top in this instance. The green boxes represent the same thing. In this instance, the smaller green box would be my projected target for the final bottom. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play). All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
NASDAQ:INCYShort
by StockSignaler
Is Northrop Grumman Set To Cool DownI was disappointed with my last call on NOC and hesitant to make this one. However, the RSI signaled a drop first and the other algorithms followed suit today. NOC is also at the top of the trading channel it has been in. All of these factors make me much more confident NOC is set to decline somewhat over the next month. The overall market has been hot. I am getting signals from multiple big name companies that are overbought and due for at least a brief cool down. In the case of NOC, 4 of my algorithms signaled a SELL on April 8, 2021. Equities nearly always obey the signal and move down, but sometimes it may continue to move up first. I have placed two red boxes and two green boxes on the chart. The larger red box depicts all of the historical movement, from a percentage standpoint, that this stock has moved on the 2 Hour chart after a SELL signal occurred. Therefore, this box represents 100% of previous movement upward before the stock finally moved downward. The smaller red box represents 50% of all historical movement upward, before the stock moved downward. The smaller box is more of a precise target for the potential top in this instance. The green boxes represent the same thing. In this instance, the smaller green box would be my projected target for the final bottom. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play). All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
NYSE:NOCShort
by StockSignaler
Is Lowes Signaling An Overall Market Decline?Lowe's triggered my early-warning price reversal algorithm. The full accuracy when this occurs is detailed in the article at my website below. The RSI algorithm determines overbought and oversold levels. The algorithm signaled a SELL on April 6, 2021. Equities nearly always obey the signal and move down, but sometimes it may continue to move up first. This is interesting if the signal is accurate. We are heading into the summer months which would ultimately be profitable for the company. The stock could be in for another short-lived cool off which is most likely the case here. Most of my algorithms may point to a reversal but that reversal ends up reversing usually within 50 trading bars. While the current signal ultimately has the stock dropping, it could gain slightly first. Once the drop has occurred, there is no doubt Lowe's will be primed to retrace this drop. I have placed two red boxes and two green boxes on the chart. The larger red box depicts all of the historical movement, from a percentage standpoint, that this stock has moved on the Daily chart after a SELL signal occurred. Therefore, this box represents 100% of previous movement upward before the stock finally moved downward. The smaller red box represents 50% of all historical movement upward, before the stock moved downward. The smaller box is more of a precise target for the potential top in this instance. The green boxes represent the same thing. In this instance, the smaller green box would be my projected target for the final bottom. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play). All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
NYSE:LOWShort
by StockSignaler