Lineartrend
The Future: New StrategyFor years, I've been focused primarily on support and resistance , supply and demand , and chart patterns, and it's been profitable, but over the last few months I've been really inspired by traders using Digital Signal Processing as well as divergence and linear regression in their strategies. I've been looking to work off some of the concepts explored by groups like TradeATS, as well as Robot Wealth (no advertisement I've just been inspired by their work), and I'm going to be moving more into that territory going forward. So I'll be relying less on spotting supply and demand zones (sort of) and chart patterns and more focused market cycles; using DSP to lock on to shorter wavelengths, especially in areas where my divergence fractals are piling up one after the other; drawing regression lines through those consolidation periods and using them as a my "t" axis; then, only trading once price swings reach a lower wavelength. When I get divergence signals above the t line, and above consolidation, I'll look to short the market, vice-versa when price is below t. I'm still working out how to deal with (confirm) rejections above and below the t axis, but this is where I'm headed.
I once I started recognizing that consolidation doesn't just happen "sideways" and can also happen at an angle I was able to spot these cycles a lot easier by eye. The idea that, even while trending, price still oscillates around a fixed line is really promising, and I'm hoping it's something I can exploit in the future. I'm definitely going to be working on some indicators that can track these cycles as well, so be on the lookout for that. I'm pretty excited with this new direction and if you're interested in seeing how things develop, give me a follow because I'll be posting all about it. I highlighted two examples within the last week of the patterns I'm looking for. We're looking at about 70-100+ pips per swing! I'd take half of that, honestly.
Updated Renko Strategy Combined with a Weekly ChartWeekly candlestick
Linear Regression indicator x3 with STD set to 1, 2, and 3 respectively. I set the color gradient to 25% on 1, 15% on 2, and 5% on 1 to differentiate the color. On the weekly charts, I set the lookback period to 45 for 45 weeks
Pivots (standard pivots) on a Yearly timeframe x2. One set to 'traditional' and one set to 'camarilla'
(I'll cover the static volume profile and the opening range and the volume range in an update to this at a later date)
Renko charts
I use the same configuration for the Linear Regression with the exception of the lookback period which is set to 90 blocks. Renko charts are not truly time based though time does play a factor in how they're implemented in trading view.
I don't use pivots on the Renko charts.
On both charts, you can see from the settings how the moving averages are configured
On both charts, I use a dual Stoch overlayed configured at 5,3,3 and 50,3,3
Commodities channel Index
Directional Movement Index
I configure these indicators with a 5/50 combination regardless of the Renko or the weekly candlestick chart
I track the following markets and with these Renko settings
Crude oil: close/traditional/blksize=2.5
S&P 500 mini: close/traditional/blksize=50
Natural Gas: close/traditional/blksize=0.2
Soybean Meal: close/traditional/blksize=5
Aussie Dollar: close/traditional/blksize=0.005
Bitcoin: close/traditional/blksize=1000
With bitcoin trading 24x7, it's a create market to practice with using the Trading view 'paper trading' broker
My intent is to expand on this setup with ideas on how to trade against these configurations:
$SPY Super long regression trend$SPY Super long regression trend
Sometimes I feel like spend entirely too much time charting… but then, I also love it so… 🤷🏻♀️
This is SPY since it’s inception in 1993…
This does help me knock out a few trend lines.
I know I look at some HUGE timeframes sometimes, but it does help to put things into perspective.
The things we see on a marco scale reflect on the micro scale...
Let me know what your thoughts are… I always love hearing other opinions about what I’m looking at.
I'm also on Spring break in Colorado... and I can't wait to shred tomorrow ❄️ 🏂
Lina price analysis. Listing on KuCoinBINANCE:LINAUSDT
✅Before we start to discuss, I would be glad if you share your opinion on this post's comment section and hit the like button if you enjoyed it.
Thank you.
Possible Targets if btc make a reversal
➡️ 0.04 test support line channel and 20 day ema.
➡️ with listing on KuCoin price can going higher on impulse to 0.06 test middle line upside channel since July
➡️ Need to hold position over 0.06 to make a continuation move up over 0.23 lvl by Fib.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
Don't forget sub and join my channels under this idea!
Linear Regression ++What is lines regression?
The linear regression channel is a three-line technical indicator, which outlines the high, the low, and the middle of a trend or price move being analyzed.
-Linear regression analysis is used to predict the value of a variable based on the value of another variable.
On the other hand the slope is negative in a downtrend and it is then extending below the zero line.
Bitcoin Chart Linear ScaleThis is a Linear scaled Bitcoin Chart. A scale in my opinion that gives a more realistic sense of where we are in this Bull Run. When I look at a Bitcoin Chart on a Logarithmic Scale it gives me a sense of false hope. I think many people are looking to much at the Bitcoin hopium charts and not paying enough attention to other scaled charts. I cant say for 100% we wont hit $100k by the end of the year but in my honest opinion it looks very unlikely.
Bitcoin aka BSV : Exponential vs Linear Growth Slowly but SurelyHello traders,
Exception to crypto pumping rule of thumb the bitcoin as its truest form, appears to want a stable growth rather than futile pumps.
The project is the long term fast and fontionning efficient scaling and needless to say original blockchain, which excludes from the
investors panel, investors that takes on crypto as a pokemon card trading game resulting in pumps and dumps the way pokemon
cards went to hyped fromsilent to pokemon go to silent again. Even pokemon cards are more legit imo since first editions are
collected for actually big sums.
I was myself awaiting for a pump because that's what i've been used to since i'm in the blockchain journey. I'm now switching vision
from speculative digital token representing the blockchain to a stable growing technology that don't need to make noise and will
slowly but surely grow linearly with possible exponentialperiods if it were to go mainstream on due day after actually having tested
its role and meet its expectations as a digital both ledger and cash.
The chart depiction of this linear model is as shown above reducing short term from around 2k in the exponential model, to less than
1k in this linear price growth. The timing and oblique range is hard to define and only is approx.
I wish you a safe investment in your crypto/blockchain journey.
VB.
Alteryx: Worthy Competitor in Analytic Process AutomationIntroduction
Alteryx "AYX" is another tech software stock that has been on fire after the initial market dip from Covid-19. The company’s primary focus is enterprise-grade Analytic Process Automation (APA) platform and accomplishes this feat extremely well. I have had the opportunity to try a demo when looking for data analysis software for my organization. The software is amazing! Forget Tableau, SAS, and the others - Alteryx's platform (after the initial installation) can process “dirty data" (no data preparation) and provide business insights from the automated analysis. There is going to be a lot less “Data Scientists” and even “BI Analysts” around.
The cost of the platform runs something around $70,000. Yet from a business standpoint, it is much cheaper than adding an extra data analyst IT personnel whose value was dubious at best. I can see why this company has taken flight. I would call it the Salesforce “CRM” (Salesforce is a partner as well as Microsoft) of Business Data Analysis.The company has few large or established competitors (excluding Tableau). I would caution that until they themselves have established more dominance in the field of APA – it would not be difficult for the likes of IBM (with SPSS) to jump into the ring. However, this would seem unlikely considering IBM's struggles as of late.
AYX Performance
Note: You will come to notice I only use a few technical indicators in my analyses. I would much rather focus on the quantitative aspects that are rooted in strong mathematical theory, than try to quantify human behavior. Additionally, I have been including the acid test – Quick Ratio – to ensure that companies have enough liquidity to make it through any additional “stay-at-home” orders (hopefully we will not have any more serious outbreaks).
Fundamentals
We see that AYX has a Quick Ratio of 4.1123 and a ratio of 1.00 is considered satisfactory to meet all debt obligations. QR = (CE + MS + AR)/CL, where; CE = Cash + Equivalents, MS = Marketable Securities, AR = Accounts Receivable, and CL = Current Liabilities. The information is given in simple terms in a company’s SEC Form Q-10 Filing or the 10-K for the fiscal year.
AYX has a Price-to-Earnings Ratio that is absolutely through the roof at 2418.9831. This may be a cause for concern. Alteryx IS a tech company during a tremendous growth spurt and recent earnings have been all over the map due to Covid-19. So, we will give it the benefit of the doubt.
Technicals:
I use the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) as they are better indicators of what is happening “today” as they are exponentially weighted to the most recent dates of the chosen time frame.
Exponential Moving Averages
Price(Close) = 148.71
EMA(10) = 147.89
EMA(20) = 129.99
EMA(50) = 121.24
These all look good and in the correct order. The price is greater than all three (3) EMAs and there is no “cross-unders” of the EMA averages.
EMA Trend Analysis = Bullish
Linear Regression and Reversion to the Mean
The calculated Pearson’s r coefficient is almost perfectly correlated at approximately 0.9736 (A Pearson’s r coefficient of 1.00 is a perfect correlation).
We can interpret this as a Bullish trend as 1) the slope of the line is upward and 2) the price is on the lower-end of the linear regression channel (and will move toward the mean or reversion to the mean).
Linear Regression Trend Analysis = Bullish
Thanks for your time and feel free to leave any comments below!
Position: 50 shares @ 118.26 Long
The USDTRY Forming a Trend We last posted on the USDTRY on May 4th when price had just broken resistance.
Since then, the bulls have continued to dominate the market, breaking out again in the process and triggering further long trades.
We want to see price continue to trend in the same linear fashion towards 5.0000.
This is looking strong for a trend continuation.
Any comments or questions, do not hesitate to leave them below. Hit agree if you share our sentiments!
Sublime Trading
CNC continues its bull trend after stock splitCNC has been on my watchlist for a few months - particularly since the gap up on 12th December 2014 when I last posted an analysis on this stock.
At that time I didn't feel it was a longer-term opportunity as price had experienced a couple of deep pullback which, although acceptable, were indicative of a fairly non-linear trend. The uptrend had begun only about six weeks before this and had not become established enough to trade. I was also waiting for a retest of what was then the $100 figure (now $50 due to the stock split).
Price did retest $100 (now $50), moved a little sideways (within a narrow range - hence keeping the trend intact) and has since printed multiple bull flags. However, with the stock split announced in early February it was preferable to stand aside to see what the outcome would be.
By waiting to enter we can see a really good trend has developed. With no price resistance ahead and a breakout bar yesterday (although higher volume would've been preferable) this is a good buy opportunity.