Liquidation
BNB multi-billion dollar fund liquidation!🔥Subscribe to the channel, get notifications about signals!🔥
#BNB
▪️I think we can correct lower to $190, for bitcoin $17500-18000. I will consider longs when we trade above the purple line.
💎Already heard about liquidation/bankruptcy of several multi-billion dollar funds. Think about it, they are hardly controlled by fools, there will always be a smarter, more cunning person.
BTC multi-billion dollar fund liquidation!🔥Subscribe to the channel, get notifications about signals!🔥
#BTC update
▪️We can correct lower, 17,500-18,000$. I want to see the payoff, it will be possible to consider longs when we trade above the purple line.
💎Already heard about liquidation/bankruptcy of several multi-billion dollar funds. Think about it, they are hardly controlled by fools, there will always be a smarter, more cunning person.
How to not loose your life savings? Risk management☠️You've probably heard statistic that 90% of traders lose their deposit in the first 3 months. Sometimes it's pocket money, sometimes salary, and sometimes life savings.
Once I saw a message in a traders group from a frustrated 55 year old man who had lost all of his savings of the last 20 years of working as a security guard in a supermarket just in ONE MONTH by trading crypto.
There are plenty of stories like that, and I give you my word that most of them happen due to a lack of risk management .
What is risk management?
Risk management is the collection of rules that prevent you from losing substantial part of the deposit in a single day or week.
Where there are no rules, there is chaos; where there are rules, there is order.
When a trader has no rules, he's just gambling. That's what happens to most beginners - they hear that there's some cool coin worth buying, and in a month they'll be driving a Lambo and moving to a mansion on the Côte d'Azur. Such a newcomer may indeed be lucky at first, and he will attract dozens of other hodlers with his success, but there is a problem with such a strategy: Math
There is never a 100% guarantee that any asset will grow; there is always a chance of failure.
Question for you: if there is a 10% chance of losing, is it worth risking your entire deposit to double it with a 90% chance?
In a vacuum Yes, but let's imagine that the same opportunity happens again. Would you take that risk? What about the next one?
This is how we come to the rake that almost all beginners step on. Even if the chance of losing money is negligible, repeat this situation over and over again and you will once fail 100%. Go to Reddit WallStreetBets and you can easily find dozens of stories of people who were lucky in the beginning when they only had $20,000, and then they lost everything they gained in one day (sometimes it was millions of dollars).
Even the smartest person gets dizzy from a huge sum, and without strict rules such a person will 100% lose his deposit in trading.
What happens after a trader loses his deposit?
In such a situation a trader experiences the “ 7 stages of accepting death ”.
Let's take the example of, say, Joe (name changed).
Joe got interested in crypto a month ago when his brother told him at a family dinner that he managed to buy himself a new car with bitcoin profits. He told Joe how to sign up for an exchange and helped him make his first deposit of $1,000.
A month later Joe figured out how to open positions on Binance and learned how to use free trading ideas from TradingView. With their help he managed to double in the first week by buying a coin in the game and, believing in himself, he decided to play big, pouring the $10000 of family's savings into his account, of course, in secret from his wife.
1-2. Shock and Denial.
Joe gets up in the morning, and, as usual, first thing in the morning he takes out his phone and checks his portfolio on Binance. It turns out that overnight his main asset, Luna, collapsed from $80 to $5. He has lost half of his deposit, but decides it's no big deal and it's a great opportunity to average out his position. He quickly decides to borrow money from relatives, promising to pay it all back in a week. After all, if the price goes back up, he'll be a millionaire.
3-4. Disappointment and Depression.
All day long Joe stares at the screen and watches the price, but it is not going up. Moreover, it plunges and is already trading at $1 apiece. Toward evening, the veil finally falls from his eyes, and he begins to understand the reality of the situation:
- His and his friends' life savings are lost.
- Undermined trust of relatives.
- An almost guaranteed divorce after the woman learns about the lost funds.
- Years of work down the drain.
He cannot help but cry under the weight of the real facts, though he has not done so for years. A woman leaves him, taking his children with her. His parents and friends stop communicating with him. He is left alone, without any support and with huge debts behind his back.
5-7. Experiment, solution, acceptance.
Weeks, perhaps months, pass. Joe gets used to his new life. He made a mistake, paid for it, and will be paying for it for years to come. He realizes he has no choice, so he just accepts reality. All he can do now is learn from his mistakes and not make them in the future.
What proper risk management looks like:
Ten years later, Joe has paid off all his debts and is much wiser, as evidenced by his decision to take professional training in trading before doing it again. There he learns what risk management is and lays out his plan:
- Risk per trade is 1%. You have to misjudge 100 trading situations in a row to lose your deposit, which is almost impossible.
- The minimum ratio of risk to profit is 1:3. This means that every time he is right, he earns 3% to the deposit, and it is enough for him to be right in only one out of three cases, to be at breakeven.
- You cannot lose more than 3% in a day. It forces you to choose trades more responsibly and levels out the possibility of tilt, having lost money due to emotionalism.
- You must not lose more than 9% in a week. If the market is not going your way for a couple of days in a row, then the problem is with you and your inability to adapt. It's better to take a break and come back later with a fresh perspective.
With this approach, Joe trades responsibly and learns from his mistakes effectively. In a couple of months he becomes a profitable trader and celebrates his first victories. Subsequently, he will become a successful trader and someday teach someone else the miracle of risk management 😉
BTC important information about the retracementIts important for BTC to hold the Uptrend 4HR.
BTC is still bullish as long as it holds the uptrend.
There is a possibility that BTC will test liquidity to the downside and fill some imbalance in the market.
it is then important for BTC to regain the uptrend and hold the bottem line then BTC is still bullish for me for the mid term.
For now BTC is in a perfect retracement so nothing to worry about.
Ps: No financial advice.
BTC 4HR Possible price movements/targetsPrice needs to hold the Breakout of the uptrend and gain the Excess price line.
BTC Overbought now so retracement to lower levels very possible.
If price breaks above, I am going to watch the Long POI as possible retracement target for BTC.
Before BTC will try to go to the 50K level.
No financial advice
FEAR, TIME TO ADD LONG POSITION.Weekly Time-frame
We are still bullish, and inside the Ichimoku Cloud Tenken Sen Support Area is in $40,467. Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still bullish. We got rejected in the final strand of EMA Ribbon so we went inside the could, and we will still retest the resistance area soon.
1D Time-frame
EMA 144 and 233 was a strong resistance level, we got rejected and even broke the Ichimoku Cloud Senkou A. Bouncing area is $40,594. If we still break the support of $40,010. if it doesn't hold, next support is at $39,056.
Greed and fear Index is 33 back to fear.
alternative.me
Liquidation is $222M mostly long position. That would be a potential bullish in the coming days as all long position gets closed so it will pump again. We are still expecting it to form higher low to continue the up-trend.
4H Time-frame
We have broken Tenken Sen and Kijun Sen support of Ichimoku Cloud. Next support is 144EMA and 200MA are both located at $40,745. EMA 233 support is in $40,961. 4H TF still in the Retracement period in our Awesome Oscillator.
We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us!
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Disclaimer: Above Technical Analysis is pure educational information, not Investment Advice. The information provided on this post does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.