BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & DistributionMarket Context
The current price action unfolds within the broader structure of a bullish leg that began after a sharp reversal near 97,000. This impulsive rally created a clear Fair Value Gap on the 4-hour chart—left behind as price surged upward with minimal resistance. Following this move, the market entered a consolidation phase, forming a range that has now broken to the upside. This kind of breakout often attracts breakout traders, but in this case, the context signals something more calculated.
Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Following Consolidation
The breakout above the consolidation range led directly into a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep, as price ran the highs just above the marked range. These highs acted as a magnet for liquidity—stop losses from short sellers and buy stops from breakout traders were likely pooled in that area. The quick rejection following this sweep suggests the move was not backed by genuine demand, but rather served the purpose of liquidity collection by larger players.
Manipulation and Distribution
This is a textbook example of manipulation into liquidity. Price was engineered to move upward into a zone of interest, taking out the Buy Side Liquidity before sharply reversing. The strong rejection signals distribution—institutions likely offloaded positions into the influx of late buyers. This kind of pattern often precedes a larger markdown, particularly when followed by lower timeframe bearish structure breaks.
Unfilled Fair Value Gap as a Draw
Beneath the price lies an unfilled Fair Value Gap, a zone of imbalance left behind by the earlier impulsive move. These areas often act as magnets for price, especially once liquidity objectives to the upside have been completed. Now that the sweep has occurred and distribution is underway, there is a strong probability that price will begin to seek rebalancing within this Gap. The area between 104,000 and 103,500 stands out as a high-probability target for the next leg down.
Execution Insight
If you're looking to enter short, it may be wise to wait for confirmation on a lower timeframe—such as a bearish break of structure or an internal Gap forming during the retracement. A 5-minute timeframe can often give early signs of rejection or supply stepping in. Being patient and allowing the market to reveal intent is crucial, especially after liquidity-driven moves like this.
Final Thoughts
Price doesn’t move randomly—it seeks liquidity and fills inefficiencies. This chart beautifully illustrates that logic, from engineered consolidation to a manipulative sweep, and now potentially toward rebalancing.
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Liquidity
Bitcoin - Price struggles below resistance, correction to $104k?This 4-hour chart for BTC/USD illustrates a detailed technical analysis scenario highlighting key resistance and support zones, as well as a critical fair value gap (FVG). The chart shows that Bitcoin is currently facing strong resistance in the $108,000 to $109,000 range. This area has been tested multiple times without a successful breakout, indicating significant selling pressure. The price is currently trading just below this resistance zone, struggling to gain momentum above it.
Support zone in the consolidation
A clear support level has been marked in the recent consolidation area around $106,000. This zone has served as a short-term base during the recent upward movement, and a retest here could provide a temporary bounce or pause in bearish momentum. However, if this support fails to hold, the next major area of interest lies within the 4-hour bullish FVG between approximately $103,000 and $104,000.
4H FVG
There is a clear 4-hour bullish FVG between approximately $103.000 and $104.000. This level can act as a strong support for buyers after filling up the inbalance zone. it is highly important to hold this level as support and not to break below it.
Upside potential
On the upside, if BTC can defend the support in the consolidation zone and reclaim momentum, a push back to the $108,000 to $109,000 resistance area is probable. A successful breakout above this zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and may trigger a bullish continuation, with the potential to reach higher targets such as $111,000 or beyond.
Downside risk
The downside risk becomes more pronounced if BTC breaks below the 4H FVG. A sustained move beneath this level would likely signal weakness in buyer interest and potentially open the path to deeper downside targets. In such a scenario, the price could accelerate lower toward the psychological support level at $100,000. This round number also carries technical and emotional significance for traders, which could create both a strong support area and potential buying interest.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Bitcoin remains at a critical juncture. The key levels to watch are the support within the current consolidation and the 4H FVG imbalance zone. A breakdown below the FVG could lead to a decline toward $100,000, while holding above these levels keeps the door open for another test of resistance at $108,000 to $109,000. A breakout from there would indicate bullish strength and a shift in market sentiment. Traders should remain cautious and reactive to how price behaves around these critical areas.
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Bitcoin & Ethereum New Quarter | What To Look For🎯 New Quarter For COINBASE:BTCUSD & COINBASE:ETHUSD — What To Look For
As we enter a new quarter, smart money is already positioning.
Institutional investors, hedge funds, and asset managers don’t just trade price — they rotate capital based on quarterly performance, risk appetite, and macro expectations. That’s why each quarterly open is a key inflection point across all markets — including crypto.
In this video, I break down:
• 🧠 How institutional capital rotation impacts Bitcoin and Ethereum
• 📈 Key levels to watch as Q3 unfolds
• 🔁 What are the likely outcomes
• 📊 How to prepare for volatility and new trend formation
This isn’t just another candle — it’s the start of a new chapter in the cycle.
If you’re serious about understanding where the money flows next , this video is for you.
This is the likely outcome
Price not ready to moon yet
Strong candle implying new highs incoming
Watch for bearish stop hunt on new quarter
This is a bullish outside bar
MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts
👍 Enjoyed the insights?
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below — and don’t forget to like this post to support the channel!
GoldFxMinds XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – July 1🌅 Good morning, gold hunters!
The start of a new month is here, and price action is as wild as ever! Yesterday’s liquidity raids swept both sides, leaving most traders guessing – but structure never lies. Let’s break down exactly where the real money sits for July 1, so you never get caught on the wrong side of gold.
🌎 Macro, News & Geopolitics
Macro: US data is in focus (ISM PMI, JOLTS, Powell speech), keeping volatility high and liquidity pools exposed.
Geopolitics: Tensions persist globally but no fresh headlines – market is pure price-driven.
Sentiment: Bulls got trapped high, sellers are hungry for a deeper sweep. Don’t trust easy breakouts!
🏛️ HTF Bias Recap
Weekly: Bullish structure, but overextended. Pullback zones active, buyers get best deals only at true discount.
Daily: Strong wick rejections at supply, sellers showing teeth. Watch for lower highs and failed breakouts.
H4: Range between 3332 and 3258, liquidity building at both edges. Smart money will hunt stops before any trend is real!
🔑 H4 Key Structural Levels
Premium Supply: 3320–3332 (main unmitigated supply block)
Mid Range Decision: 3296–3306 (watch for PA shift, don’t force entries here)
Discount Demand: 3272–3258 (clean OB/imbalance confluence)
Deep Discount Demand: 3232–3218 (ultimate liquidity pocket)
🎯 Sniper Zones (M30/M15 Refined)
SELL Zones:
3320–3332:
The untouched supply – only sell if PA prints a reversal after a NY liquidity grab. Don’t jump in early!
3345–3360:
Extreme extension zone. If price overreaches, look for signs of exhaustion. This is the bear’s last stand!
BUY Zones:
3272–3258:
True discount! Wait for a stop run below 3275, then catch the bounce ONLY if you see confirmation (engulfing, CHoCH, RSI support).
3232–3218:
No hope trades here. Only for flash crash or panic sell-offs with obvious absorption! Wait for a real PA reversal.
Decision Zone:
3296–3306
If price is stuck here, sit on your hands! Let the market show its hand first.
🚦 Quick Recap
Avoid already-mitigated zones – only hunt where liquidity is fresh!
NY session wicks and fake breakouts are the biggest traps. Be patient, let the stop hunt finish before you engage.
Confirmation over prediction. Discipline is your edge, not drawing boxes.
🎁 Bonus Tip
"Missing a sniper entry? The best traders never chase. Let gold come to you. There’s always a second chance for those with patience!"
📣 Like what you see?
Smash that like🚀🚀🚀 , drop your thoughts in the comments , and don’t forget to follow GoldFxMinds for more high-precision gold plans!
Analysis powered by Trade Nation chart feed – built for the sharpest minds in gold.
#XAU/USD SELL TRADE SETUP [SHORT]In this analysis we're focusing on 2H timeframe. As we know, Gold is moving in a strong bearish trend. The best selling zone is 3295 - 3305 key levels area. If gold encounters rejection from this zone, we can anticipate a potential decline in price towards its targeted levels.
Target 1:3260
Target 2:3250
Target 3:3240
Wait for a retracement to sell with strong confirmation and proper risk management.
#GOLD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
USDJPY| - Weekky OutlookBias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Price has shown bullish intent by breaching a major internal high and taking out significant sell-side liquidity (SSL) before mitigating the 4H order block below. This suggests a bullish narrative is forming, even though the 4H swing high hasn’t been taken yet.
LTF Confirmation (30M):
Currently showing bearish momentum. I’ll wait for a clean CHoCH to confirm shift in intent. Once price sweeps liquidity and mitigates a valid 30M OB, I’ll look for entries.
Entry Zone:
After liquidity sweep + OB mitigation on 30M (or refinement on 5M), I’ll execute the setup.
Targets:
• Scalp: 5M structure highs
• Short-Term Hold: 30M structure highs
• Extended Hold: 4H structure highs (if price action is strong)
Mindset Note:
Structure tells the story, but price action confirms whether it’s worth riding. Even when structure looks awkward, respect is often still given—so stay fluid, but focused.
Bless Trading!
BTC/USD Fake out before Pump | Bullish Flag formationBTC/USDT (1D) Market Outlook – July 1, 2025
Introduction
BTC is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern after printing a swing high at 108.9K and a recent swing low at 98K. The price sits just below a major supply zone.
Context 1: Key Zones
Supply: 104.6K – 112.1K
Demand: 74.4K – 82.5K
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 3 zones below price, with one near 88–90K
Context 2: Technical Confluence
Liquidation Zone: 106.2K
Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618): 102.1K
Psychological Levels: 105K and 110K
Context 3: Market Structure
Pattern: Bullish flag
Trend (LTF): Sideways/consolidation
Volume Profile: Heavy activity near 105K–110K
Bullish Scenario
Breaks above 106.2K (liq zone)
Pulls back to 102.1K (golden pocket), forms higher low
Retests resistance for continuation
Alt scenario: clean breakout above resistance → ATH retest
Bearish Scenario
Breaks below 106.2K and flag support
Fills FVG, breaks prior low at 98K
Triggers macro downtrend toward 88–90K zone
Summary
BTC is at a decision point inside a bullish flag, facing supply. A break above 106.2K favors upside continuation, while rejection and a lower low could trigger a deeper retracement. Watch key levels closely.
NASDAQ| - Continuation Setup Fueled by Momentum📌 Pair: NAS100 (NASDAQ)
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕰 HTF View (4H):
Strong bullish momentum unfolding with structure showing clear intent to continue higher. No major signs of reversal—smart money appears to be driving price up.
🧭 MTF View (30M → 2H clarity):
Using the 2H for cleaner narrative. Waiting for a clean sweep of sell-side liquidity (SSL) into a refined OB to continue the move. 30M showing structural alignment with the bullish bias.
🎯 Entry Criteria:
LTF CHoCH → Liquidity sweep → OB mitigation
Confirm the shift and execute on the return.
🎯 Target: Structure highs above
🧠 Mindset Note:
Momentum is your ally—but don’t let speed replace structure. Follow your confirmation sequence, stay surgical, and let price do the work.
Bless Trading!
GBPUSD| - Riding the Bullish Wave with Precision📌 Pair: GBPUSD
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕰 HTF View (4H):
Major external structure (HH) broken to the upside — clear bullish intent from smart money. Strong momentum confirms continued interest in pushing price higher.
🧭 MTF View (30M → 2H clarity):
Refined bullish structure forming on 30M. Using the 2H to filter noise and spot deeper liquidity. Watching closely for a sell-side sweep into OB for cleaner, higher-probability LTF entries.
🎯 Entry Criteria:
CHoCH flip → Liquidity sweep → OB mitigation
Perfect sequence = greenlight for execution.
🎯 Target: Structure highs above
🧠 Mindset Note:
Sometimes the best entries come after everyone else gets taken out. Be the one who waits, confirms, then strikes with intention.
Bless Trading!
EURUSD| - Inducement Fueling Bullish Intent📌 Pair: EURUSD
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕰 HTF View (4H):
Clear bullish intent shown with a break above major external structure (higher high). Inducement remains intact—expecting that draw to price. Strong bullish momentum signals smart money positioning for more upside.
🧭 MTF Clarity (2H → 30M):
30M structure refined and leaning bullish, but using 2H for confirmation. Waiting on liquidity sweep into the OB zone for entry precision.
🎯 Entry Criteria:
LTF CHoCH → Liquidity Sweep → OB Mitigation
(Execution in that exact order for maximum confirmation)
🎯 Target: Structure highs above
🧠 Mindset Note:
Let the inducement play out—don’t rush it. This is where patience and clarity separate a sniper from a scalper. One clean entry > 10 reactive trades.
Bless Trading!
GBPJPY| - Bullish Play with Eyes on Deeper Liquidity📌 Pair: GBPJPY
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕰 HTF View (4H):
Major external structure has been broken to the upside, showing clear bullish intent. Price hasn’t aggressively swept sell-side liquidity yet, so we stay aware of the possibility—but structure favors a continuation north.
🧭 LTF View (30M):
Refined bullish structure forming. Waiting for liquidity sweep into the 30M OB for mitigation and signs of lower timeframe shift.
🎯 Entry Criteria:
After liquidity sweep → LTF CHoCH → Return into OB
Entry off optimal zone (refined precision based on PA)
🎯 Target: Near recent structure highs
🧠 Mindset Note:
Let price come to you. Don’t chase—anticipate. We’re playing the long game through structure and flow, not emotion.
Bless Trading!
XAUUSD| - liquidity Driven Buy Setup📌 Pair: XAUUSD
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕰 HTF View (4H):
Last week’s price action formed a bullish continuation structure. Internal major high taken, sweeping liquidity—confirmation of smart money interest. Expecting continuation to upside objectives.
🧭 LTF View (30M):
Waiting for clean major LH break following the sell-side liquidity sweep. Entry zones will be refined once OB mitigation confirms buyer interest.
🎯 Entry Zone:
After SSL sweep + OB tap
🎯 Target: Recent highs and continuation beyond
🧠 Mindset Note:
Trusting the flow from higher-timeframe intention down to precision entries. Patience here pays—let the structure confirm before pressing the trigger.
Bless Trading!
USDCAD RT of Supply Zone then ShortPrice has retraced back into a key supply zone just under the June High. We are now watching for strong bearish price action (PA) to confirm a potential short entry from this area.
Key Zone to Watch:
Supply Zone: 1.3756 – 1.3796
Optimistic stops can be placed above the zone if strong rejection occurs
Plan:
Seek bearish PA within the highlighted supply zone
Wait for confirmation via a bearish candle close
Enter below the trigger candle once setup forms
Targets:
Target 1: 1.3622
Extended Target / June Low: 1.3543
If no rejection occurs and price breaks above the zone with conviction, the setup becomes invalid and we reassess.
Execution will be reactive, not predictive — we trade confirmation, not speculation.
US30 looking for the short on Bearish PAI believe we can expect a pull back down to JuBias: Short-term Bearish (Contingent Setup)
Context: Price is currently trading just below a high-probability supply zone between 44,048 – 44,277. This area aligns with prior highs and liquidity, making it a prime zone to look for a short-term rejection if strong bearish price action (PA) appears on the 4H or Daily timeframes.
We are currently seeing strong bullish momentum on the Weekly, Daily, and H4 candles. Any short positions from this zone must be reactive — not anticipatory. A clear bearish signal (e.g., engulfing, structure break, supply confirmation) is required to consider entry.
Key Zone:
Seek bearish PA between 44,048 – 44,277
Contingency: If price breaks and closes above 44,250 (2024 highs), expect continuation toward 45,000
Short Targets if Rejection Occurs:
Target 1: 43,350
Target 2: 42,500
Extended Target: 41,734 (June Low)
Post-Rejection Bullish Scenario:
If we do get a rejection and targets are met, we will then look for bullish PA in the demand zones (42,500 or 41,700) to consider long setups back toward the 2024 highs and potentially beyond.
Breakout Scenario:
If price breaks and closes above the 44,277 zone early this week, we anticipate the next leg to 45,000 before any meaningful reversal.
At this stage, it’s a waiting game — let price action lead. We don’t predict, we react.ne lows before an
Market Re-Cap and Outlook for NEXT WEEKHere I am giving you a little insight as to what trades I am currently in, taken & looking to take for the week just gone and the week coming.
1 Winning trade on EU
1 Current open position on EU
EURGPB - Breakdown
AUDUSD - Breakdown
NZDUSD - Breakdown
Gold - Breakdown
If there are any pairs you would like me to share my feedback on give me a message and I will be happy to try and do so.
Thanks
Happy Hunting
Bitcoin Bounced Right Where It ShouldBitcoin continues to respect the script — breakout, clean retest, and now holding strong.
The 50 EMA has been a reliable dynamic support throughout the entire uptrend, and once again, it helped catch the recent dip. Price has now successfully retested the breakout zone and is starting to bounce.
Structure looks healthy, momentum is building, and unless the support fails, the next leg up could be just around the corner.
Simple setups. No noise. Just trend.
DYOR, NFA
BTC - Will the Bears finally get their chance?Buy Side Liquidity Sweep in Progress
Price is currently climbing toward a region densely packed with resting buy side liquidity, marked by multiple previous highs. The area around 108,900 to 111,000 is especially significant, with two clear liquidity pools stacked above recent swing highs. These levels are likely to attract price as market participants seek to trigger stop orders and induce fresh buying interest—setting the stage for a potential reversal.
Weakness in the Current Impulse
The recent rally has advanced with minimal retracement and virtually no visible Gaps. This lack of corrective structure often indicates imbalance and suggests the move is overextended. When price moves upward too cleanly, it tends to leave behind thin liquidity zones, making the entire leg vulnerable to a sharper correction once exhaustion sets in.
Fair Value Gap as a Draw Below
Below current price lies a prominent bullish Fair Value Gap around 104,000. This inefficiency was left unfilled during the last leg up and may now serve as a magnet for price. These types of Gaps are often revisited by the market in an effort to rebalance supply and demand, especially after aggressive moves that break structure to the upside.
Once the higher liquidity levels are swept, watch for a clear reaction—either a strong rejection or lower timeframe structure shift—which could signal that the top is in. If that shift materializes, price may begin a downward leg targeting the unfilled Gap below. The magnitude of the move, combined with the lack of structure on the way up, leaves plenty of room for corrective action.
For those looking to engage, waiting for confirmation on a lower timeframe—such as a break of short-term bullish structure or the formation of a bearish Gap—can help time entries more precisely. In setups like these, patience is key: let the Sweep play out, observe how price reacts, and only then consider stepping in.
US 30 Potential longUS30 – Wyckoff Spring Setup for NY Session | Intraday Execution Play
Price rallied in the London session with rising volume and structure breaks —
Now we’re anticipating a classic Wyckoff spring scenario just ahead of NY open.
📍 Key Expectations:
Sweep of intraday support around 43,482
Strong buyer reaction (spring confirmation)
Expansion into the 43,600+ zone — possible 1.5R+ continuation
⚠️ Volume buildup + stop placement below prior structure make this zone ripe for a fakeout → reversal.
I’m watching for a quick flush below the line → wick rejection → engulfing confirmation to trigger longs.
This is a trap trade — smart money baits shorts, I’m betting they get squeezed.
🔫 Entry: On confirmation after spring
📉 Invalidation: Below the spring low
🎯 Target: 43,610 zone and trailing after break of 43,570
Let them walk into the trap. Then pull the trigger.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 27, 2025Hey traders! Today’s a trader’s dream: high-impact US news, gold trapped in a tight coil between supply and demand, and price flirting with the decision zone. The first breakout will be explosive — but only one side survives the trap. Let’s lock in the real structure, real bias, and sniper-level execution.
🔸 HTF Bias Breakdown
Daily Bias: Neutral → Price trapped between major supply (3359) and HTF demand (3282). Expect breakout after news.
H4 Bias: Bearish → Lower highs holding below 3359, structure weak below 3340.
H1 Bias: Mixed → Bullish momentum building off 3310–3282, but compression under EMAs warns of a fake rally.
🔹 Key Levels Above Price
3385 – Final top-side liquidity zone (last week’s spike high)
3359–3344 – HTF supply & OB (main short zone)
3340–3330 – The pivot zone (battle for control)
🔸 Key Levels Below Price
3317–3310 – Primary demand zone (where buyers stepped in yesterday)
3297–3282 – Deep liquidity pocket & HTF OB (last chance for bulls)
3260 – Breakdown zone if everything fails below
🔥 Sniper Zones & Execution Logic
🔴 3385–3375 – Extreme Supply
Only trade this zone if NY news launches price up and rejection is instant. Needs M5/M15 bearish reversal (engulfing, CHoCH, FVG fill). No news spike = no trade.
🔴 3359–3344 – Main Supply Zone
This is your first real short setup. Sweep into this area + rejection = clean short trigger. Confluence: HTF OB, FVG, EMA 100 rejection, bearish CHoCH.
⚔️ 3340–3330 – Pivot Decision Zone
This is where direction flips.
Break and hold above 3340 = bullish → targets 3359 / 3375
Rejection under 3330 = bearish → back toward 3310 or 3282
Plan: Use for break/retest entries only with M5/M15 confirmation. No blind trades.
🟢 3317–3310 – Primary Demand Zone
Watch for news-induced sweep, then M15 bullish PA (CHoCH, engulfing, RSI bounce). First safe buy zone if structure holds.
🟢 3297–3282 – Deep Demand Zone
Only used if NY session nukes the market. Enter only on textbook SMC/ICT reversal + RSI sub-30. This is the last stand for bulls.
🧠 Execution Strategy
Wait for NY news and first liquidity sweep. Don’t guess.
Sell 3359–3344 or 3375+ only on strong rejection
Buy 3310 or 3282 only on bullish reversal confirmation
Pivot 3340–3330 is the heart of today — use for break/retest or trap reversal
If you love clear logic, tap like, follow, and share your bias in the comments! 🚀👇
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and I'm using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GoldFxMinds
BTC - Double Top after Liquidity Sweep?Price has recently executed a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep just above the previous high. This type of move often signals a potential shift in market direction, especially when followed by signs of exhaustion or failure to push higher. In this case, price has formed a double top near the 106,600 level, a classic sign of weakening bullish momentum and hesitation at a key resistance area.
Following the Sweep, the projection suggests a possible rejection from this region, leading to a corrective move to rebalance the inefficiencies left behind by the sharp upward impulse. These inefficiencies are marked as Fair Value Gaps —areas where price moved too quickly, leaving imbalanced zones between buyers and sellers. The market tends to return to these areas over time as it seeks equilibrium.
The first Gap lies just below the 0.28 Fibonacci retracement and may serve as an initial area for a reaction. If price slices through this level without meaningful support, attention shifts to the second Gap, which aligns closely with the 0.50 to 0.618 retracement zone. This region is historically significant for pullbacks and could offer a temporary pause or bounce.
Should the move extend further, the third and deepest Gap, located between the 0.618 and 0.65 levels , becomes a key area of interest. It marks a critical rebalancing zone that could attract stronger buying interest. If this area fails to hold, the 0.786 retracement level sits just below and may act as a final point for support before any broader directional change.
For refined entries, traders can watch lower timeframes like the 5-minute chart. Look for signs of weakness, such as an inverted Gap or a lower-timeframe break in structure, to time positions with tighter risk. This allows participation in the broader move while maintaining tactical precision.
The confluence of a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep, a double top , and multiple Gaps below provides a clear framework for a potential downside play. As always, let the price action lead.
Patience, confirmation, and context are key to executing with confidence.