NAS100USD: Price Respects Bearish Structure at 62% FibGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe sustained bearish institutional order flow, and we aim to align with this directional bias by identifying high-probability selling opportunities.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Retracement into Premium Resistance:
Price has recently retraced into premium pricing levels, reaching the 62% Fibonacci retracement zone—a level that often acts as dynamic resistance. This retracement also aligned with a bearish breaker block, confirming institutional resistance at that level. The market has since shown signs of rejection, reinforcing the bearish narrative.
2. Emergence of Fair Value Gap (FVG) as a Key Resistance Array:
Following the rejection, a new FVG has formed, acting as a potential short-term resistance zone. This area provides a refined point of interest where institutions may look to re-engage in selling activity. The alignment of the FVG with previous resistance adds further confluence to the bearish setup.
TRADING PLAN:
We will monitor the newly formed FVG zone for signs of bearish confirmation. Upon confirmation, the plan is to execute short positions targeting liquidity pools in discounted price zones, in line with institutional price delivery patterns.
Remain focused, wait for confirmation, and make sure this idea aligns with your overall trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Liquidity
How to Trade Liquidity Sweeps Using PDH/PDL Levels (Smart Money This guide shows how to use the **Liquidity Sweep Detector – PDH/PDL Levels** script, now live on my profile.
**What It Does:**
- Accurately plots the previous day's high and low on intraday charts (15m, 1H)
- Detects when price *sweeps* above or below those levels (potential liquidity grabs)
- Visually marks sweeps with a dashed line and alerts you in real time
- Optional table to show current sweep status (can be toggled off)
**How I Use It:**
- Wait for a sweep above PDH or below PDL
- Look for rejection candles or structure shift afterward (e.g., CHoCH or BOS)
- Combine with session timing (e.g., London/NY) for confluence
**Pro Tip:**
Set alerts to catch sweeps even when you're away from the screen. Just click "Add Alert" and use:
- `PDH Sweep Triggered`
- `PDL Sweep Triggered`
This is part of how I approach Smart Money trading — combining market structure with real liquidity events.
Script is open and free to use — find it on my profile:
**Liquidity Sweep Detector – PDH/PDL Levels**
#GBPJPY UPDATES AND ANALYSISGBPJPY 4H Chart Analysis
GBPJPY is exhibiting strong bullish structure on the 4H timeframe, with price currently forming higher lows and holding above a key ascending trendline. The marked demand zone around 189.94 has acted as a support area, suggesting potential accumulation before the next leg up.
A bullish continuation is anticipated with three structured targets aligned at:
Target 1: 191.773
Target 2: 193.320
Target 3: 194.832
The setup provides a favorable risk to reward scenario. A break and close below the demand zone and ascending trendline support would invalidate this bias. This is a higher time frame key levels. When price enters in our zone, look for confirmation in smaller time frame before executing your trades. Confirmation is key.
This just my analysis. Use proper stoploss and proper money management for your trade.
#GBPJPY 4H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
#BEARISH MOVE EXPECTEDIn this analysis we're focusing on 1H time frame for gold. In this analyze we are using downward trendline along with the combination of price action. When price enter in our supply area, so our first step is to observe how price will react and if price give any bearish confirmation then we'll execute our trade. Confirmation is very important.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper R:R ratio.
This is my analysis not a financial advice.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GOLD ANALYSISIn this analysis we're focusing on 1H time frame for Gold. Today I'm expecting bullish momentum and my bias was bullish. On the basis of SMC concept and price action when price reach my zone and give any bullish confirmation, after observing strong confirmation. I'll trigger my trades. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us.
This is a higher time frame outlook. Let's analyze more deeply in smaller time frame for finding ideal and crucial entry point. Confirmation is very important.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
#XAUUSD 1H ANALYSISXAUUSD 1H Supply & Demand Analysis
In this analysis we're focusing on 1H time frame, for finding upcoming movement and changes in Gold prices. Price action shows a clear bearish structure following a strong upside move that was met with resistance near the 3370–3380 supply zone. After two Breaks of Structure (BOS), price is retracing toward a premium level where supply is expected to be reactivated.
Marked areas:
🔴 Supply Zone: 3370–3380 (potential short-entry zone)
🔵 Demand Zone: 3260–3290 (reversal or TP zone)
Target 1: 3315
Target 2: 3305
Target 3: 3292
This setup suggests an ideal Sell from Supply once price reacts and confirms bearish intent with internal structure shifts. Patience is key wait for price to tap the zone and show signs of weakness before entering. Confirmation is very important.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis not financial advice.
#GOLD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
EURUSD - Bullish Shift after IFVG? This chart outlines a clean sequence of bullish intent where institutional accumulation is visible through structure, inefficiency, and reactive zones.
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1. Support Zone Holds — Demand Confirmed
The previous resistance area has now clearly flipped into support , marked by multiple wicks rejecting lower prices.
- This region is a high-probability demand zone engineered through earlier consolidation.
- Price returned to this level, swept minor liquidity, and immediately bounced—confirmation that demand is active.
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2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) — The Imbalance Magnet
A clean FVG sits above price, created during the prior bearish leg. Now acting as a rebalancing zone.
- Price is pushing into this inefficiency after finding support.
- The gap inversion (price reclaiming and holding above the FVG) would validate bullish continuation.
- Think of this as the mid-point between structure and expansion.
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3. BSL Above — The Next Liquidity Target
A key Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) level is marked higher, acting as the next logical draw for price.
- Smart money seeks liquidity above recent swing highs.
- If price holds above the FVG, this BSL becomes the magnet for bullish expansion .
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4. Projected Price Action Flow
The roadmap is clear and logical:
- Step 1: Bounce from support (done)
- Step 2: Push through and hold the FVG
- Step 3: Expand higher toward BSL
Each leg has purpose, and the structure confirms smart money is in accumulation mode.
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5. Summary:
- Support + FVG + BSL = Structured Bullish Thesis
- As long as price stays above the FVG post-inversion, buyers have control.
- This is a textbook case of price engineering via inefficiency and reactive structure.
FIL RectangleBINANCE:FILUSDT has been trading in a rectangle since August 2022. It recently below the demand zone, swept liquidity to $2 and regained support.
Key Levels to Watch
• $2.4-$3.0: Support and multi-year demand zone, recently tested and regained.
• $10.5-$11.8: Resistance and multi-year supply zone.
Measured Rectangle Targets
• Breakout: $20.0, also a support dating back to December 2020.
• Breakdown: $0.5
Filecoin is still lagging behind other alts, but, if you're looking for something you don't need to chase, it could already offer a nice long entry, with interesting R/R and a clear invalidation (lower low below $2.0).
Ultimate Guide to Liquidity Sweeps: Trading Smart Money MovesIn the world of Crypto and other financial markets, liquidity sweeps are deliberate price moves designed to capture liquidity sitting above or below key price levels. These moves are not random, they are orchestrated by large players who need to fill significant orders efficiently. By pushing price into zones where stop-losses and pending orders accumulate, these entities access the liquidity required to open large positions without causing excessive slippage.
Liquidity sweeps offer sharp insights into market structure and intent. Understanding how they work and recognizing them in real-time can significantly enhance a trader’s edge, especially in environments dominated by algorithmic and smart money behavior.
Defining the Liquidity Sweep
A liquidity sweep is characterized by a quick push through a well-defined support or resistance level, typically a recent high or low, followed by a swift reversal. These zones are hotspots for stop orders placed by retail traders, such as long stop-losses placed under swing lows or short stops above recent highs. When these stops are triggered, they act as liquidity pools.
Large players anticipate these zones and use them to enter positions. The sweep creates an illusion of breakout or breakdown, luring reactive traders in, only for the price to reverse direction once the necessary liquidity is absorbed. This mechanism reveals the strategic manipulation often present in efficient markets.
Structure and Behavior of a Sweep
The process typically starts with the market forming a recognizable range, often between a defined high and low. Price then consolidates or slowly trends toward one edge of the range, building tension. As the market reaches that boundary, a sudden surge beyond the level occurs, this is the sweep. Importantly, price does not sustain above or below the level. Instead, it quickly retraces, printing a rejection wick or reversal pattern.
Following the reversal, the market often resumes its original trend or begins a new leg in the opposite direction of the sweep. For traders, this offers a clear point of entry and invalidation, allowing for precise trade setups.
Bullish Scenario, Sweep of Lows
When Bitcoin approaches a prior low, especially one that marked a swing point or a support level, many traders place their stop-losses just below that low. This creates a pocket of sell-side liquidity.
In a bullish liquidity sweep, price will spike below this prior low, often triggered by a news event, a large market order, or a sudden increase in volatility. The market will quickly wick below the level, triggering stop-losses and perhaps inviting new short positions. However, instead of continuing lower, price snaps back above the broken level and begins to climb.
This reversal indicates that large players were absorbing liquidity at the lows and are now positioned long. Traders can look for bullish confirmation via engulfing candles, reclaim of the low, or a fast return into the previous range.
Bearish Scenario, Sweep of Highs
Conversely, when Bitcoin grinds higher toward a prior swing high or resistance level, traders anticipating a breakout may enter early, while others have stop-losses on short positions resting above the level.
A bearish liquidity sweep occurs when price spikes above the prior high, triggering those buy stops and breakout entries. Almost immediately, the market reverses, showing rejection at the highs. This action signals that buy-side liquidity has been used by larger players to enter short positions.
Once price fails to hold above the breakout level and begins to drop, the sweep is confirmed. Traders aligned with this read may look for bearish structure to form, such as a lower high, and enter short with a defined invalidation above the sweep.
Common Pitfalls and Misinterpretations
One of the most frequent mistakes traders make is confusing a sweep for a breakout. Liquidity sweeps are often mistaken for the beginning of a new trend leg, leading to premature entries that quickly get reversed.
Another pitfall is ignoring the broader market context. Liquidity sweeps are most reliable when they occur at logical levels aligned with higher time frame bias. Without that alignment, the sweep may simply be part of a choppy, indecisive range.
Lack of confirmation is also an issue. Entering trades immediately after a wick without seeing structure reclaim, volume shift, or candle confirmation can lead to unnecessary losses.
Confirming a Valid Sweep
To increase confidence in a sweep setup, traders should watch for several confirming behaviors. Volume often spikes during the sweep itself, followed by a drop in volatility as the market reverses. Divergences on momentum indicators like RSI or OBV can also support the idea of an exhausted move.
Most importantly, the reaction after the sweep matters more than the sweep itself. If price fails to reclaim the swept level or continues trending, the move was likely a true breakout, not a manipulation.
In high-probability sweeps, price often reclaims the level and begins forming structure in the opposite direction. Watching for breaker blocks, fair value gaps, or inefficiencies being respected in this phase can also strengthen the case for entry.
Conclusion
Liquidity sweeps are one of the clearest footprints left behind by smart money. While they can be deceptive in the moment, with enough practice and context awareness, they become one of the most powerful tools in a trader’s arsenal.
The key lies in understanding that these moves are engineered, not accidental. Recognizing where the market is likely hunting liquidity, and how it behaves after collecting it, can dramatically improve your ability to enter trades with precision, confidence, and clear invalidation.
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$RBN | Showing glimpses of lifeAdded to my Altcoin Portfolio:
• COINBASE:RBNUSD @ $0.13876 bringing my average cost from $0.17 -> $0.1511
Notes/Thoughts: Typically I would wait until the Weekly Close for my buys as it’s only Tuesday but I like the market pump currently & perceived momentum plus price is still held in a Weekly Demand area without collapse.
GOLD 30M ANALYSISIn this analysis we're focusing on 30m time frame for GOLD. To identify the best buying area and POI for our buy trade setup. In this chart price is creating trendline support and also price break it's previous high. So overall market trend was bullish. According to the market trend my Bias was also bullish. Let's see when price retest and come to our entry zone. Once price comes observe the behavior of price and if price give any bullish confirmation then we'll execute our trade. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
EURUSD ANALYSISEUR/USD – 2H Bullish Continuation Play
Following a sharp breakout, EUR/USD is gracefully pulling back toward the 1.1095–1.1149 demand zone, now acting as support. This zone holds significance as a potential launchpad for the next bullish wave.
A higher low formation here could ignite continuation toward 1.1471, with extended upside into 1.1605, presenting a clean and favorable risk-to-reward opportunity.
The structure is clear, the momentum is aligned, and the setup reflects a well-composed bullish scenario ideal for patient and precise execution.
▫️ Impulsive breakout
▫️ Retracement to demand zone (1.1095–1.1149)
▫️ Looking for higher low → continuation
🎯 TP1: 1.1471
🎯 TP2: 1.1605
🛡️ Clean R:R, perfect for trend followers.
#EURUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GOLD TODAY OUTLOOKXAU/USD – 30-Minute Technical Setup
Gold has been gliding upward, respecting a clean ascending structure, printing higher highs with strength. But as price taps into the $3,242–$3,267 supply zone, momentum begins to fade.
A potential rejection here signals a structural shift. If the trendline breaks, we could see a clean move down toward the $3,176 demand zone, with $3,203 acting as soft interim support.
This setup reflects precision and patience , anticipating a transition from bullish strength to calculated bearish correction, with a balanced risk-to-reward approach.
Confirmation is very important.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
BTC short term Wave countAnalyzing a Bitcoin (BTC) form Wyckoff schema in a 4H chart.
We can’t determine if it’s an accumulation or distribution yet. Based on MACD and Elliott Wave Theory, I believe the chart will follow a similar pattern. However, time will determine the outcome. If BTC declines and accumulates within a shorter time frame of Elliot support levels, it could be a long trade opportunity.
(This analysis is not financial advice. Your actions are solely your responsibility.)
$AAPL | $200 showed lifeThese are my levels I am most concerned with for NASDAQ:AAPL
Last week, $200 level showed life and buyers stepped in but that doesn't mean we are out of the woods and price currently is in semi "no man's land", kind of just hanging around the demand area.
One bright point is bullish price volume last week as well.
I would wait to see how this week turns out before putting money back into the iPhone company.
BTC - The power of fibonacci This is a textbook example of how institutional price delivery often unfolds when targeting liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. The current BTC 1H chart displays a high-probability short scenario developing after a liquidity sweep, combined with entry into a fair value gap (FVG) chain and Fibonacci-based premium pricing. Let’s break down the mechanics of this setup layer by layer.
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1. Liquidity Grab Above Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
The first major clue that institutional activity is at play is the clean sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) .
- A previous swing high acted as a magnet for liquidity, with stop-loss orders from short sellers and breakout entries from late longs accumulating above this level.
- Price pierced above it, only to immediately reverse—this is what we refer to as a liquidity grab , signaling engineered movement designed to fuel larger orders.
- This behavior often represents the conclusion of a bullish leg and the transition into a distribution phase or a bearish delivery sequence.
This sweep is not random; it's a deliberate market manipulation mechanism—classic of a “trap and reverse” pattern.
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2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Chain: Imbalance as a Magnet
After rejecting above the BSL, price began retracing downward, but left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . These are inefficiencies between price candles where institutional orders did not fully fill.
- These FVGs now form what we call a “chain” or cluster, providing a roadmap for price to return and rebalance.
- The current move upward is revisiting this chain of inefficiencies, offering a potential re-entry zone for institutions to offload positions accumulated earlier.
- FVGs in premium zones (above equilibrium) are particularly potent—they align with institutional interest to sell at value.
This aligns with the concept that price often returns to inefficiencies before continuing its true direction—especially when paired with a prior liquidity grab.
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3. Golden Pocket and the Premium Zone Confluence
The retracement found a reaction at the Golden Pocket level (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone) , which is significant not just for its mathematical roots but for how frequently smart money uses it for mitigation and continuation entries.
- The zone lines up directly with the FVG chain, creating a powerful confluence zone where institutional footprints are likely to reappear.
- This area is within a clear premium pricing territory , above the 0.5 Fibonacci mark—ideal for distribution in bearish re-accumulation setups.
This convergence of technical signals bolsters the case that the current move upward is a mere retracement, not a genuine trend reversal.
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4. Market Structure Context
From a structural point of view:
- Price has transitioned from a range into a lower high formation after the BSL sweep.
- The series of lower highs and lower lows began forming after the grab, which implies a potential shift in short-term order flow.
Combine this with the FVG chain and the premium pricing—it paints a narrative of bearish continuation rather than trend expansion to the upside.
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5. Institutional Narrative: Engineering, Repricing, and Continuation
This setup is less about indicators and more about understanding narrative:
- Institutions engineered a liquidity sweep to fill large sell orders at premium pricing.
- The imbalance left behind (FVGs) serves as a “pullback magnet” before full bearish delivery.
- Price is currently delivering into that inefficiency, likely forming a redistribution schematic.
The most probable scenario, given this context, is a rejection within this zone and a continuation to the downside as price seeks to break internal structure and move toward sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below.
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Conclusion:
This chart captures the essence of smart money price delivery:
- Sweep → Retrace → Mitigation → Continuation
The rejection from the FVG chain and golden pocket zone will be key to confirming this scenario. If price respects this confluence, expect bearish order flow to dominate the next sessions.
This is a high-quality setup based on narrative, structure, and liquidity—not random confluence, but a storyline of engineered movement and institutional footprints.
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/04/2025Tuesday's price action on FX:AUDUSD , we got a textbook Judas Swing play and for those still getting used to spotting these setups in real-time, let’s break this one down and talk through what happened and more importantly, why it happened.
Going into the session open, we had a relatively tight consolidation, with the 00:00 - 08:30est range acting as a container for liquidity. Price had built up liquidity at the high and low of the zone. Whichever side gets swept first will determine our directional bias for the session
Just after the session began, we saw price aggressively push up taking out the buy side liquidity resting above those early highs. This is what is called the "Judas move", a false breakout meant to trap breakout buyers and entice liquidity into the market. This move is not random. It’s designed to induce traders into the wrong side of the market before the real direction reveals itself
As soon as that liquidity grab was complete, we noticed price begin to stall and form a shift in market structure. This is critical. Once you see a break of structure to the downside, followed by a lower high into a FVG, that’s your confirmation that the real move, the sell-off is in play. We then saw clean displacement to the downside, confirming the manipulation phase was over
Now we wait for a retracement into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). We'll only look to execute a trade once a candle enters the FVG and closes. After a few minutes of waiting, price finally retraced into the FVG, giving us the green light to execute the trade.
Entry: 0.63749
Stop loss: 0.63849
Take profit: 0.63549
This FX:AUDUSD trade gave us a smooth ride with minimal drawdown. Right after entry price moved swiftly into profit. Although there was a brief retrace back to our entry point, it quickly corrected, and we were back in the green. With just a 1% risk, the trade delivered a solid 2% return all within 1 hour and 20 minutes
This setup is an excellent example of why you don’t want to chase early session breakouts blindly. The Judas Swing strategy teaches us to look for the trap, wait for confirmation, and then trade in alignment with the real intention behind price. Beginners often get caught up in the initial move, thinking it’s the real trend. But if you can slow down, understand the time of day, the draw on liquidity, and the reaction around key highs/lows, you’ll start to see how often price manipulates before delivering.