GBP/USD is heating up! A major shift is coming—are you ready?"Analysis:
The correlation between DXY & GBP/USD is playing out perfectly! As the Dollar Index (DXY) approaches key resistance in the 112-113 zone, GBP/USD is reacting inversely, showing signs of a potential drop toward 1.14.
Elliott Wave patterns confirm a high-probability reversal setup, aligning with macroeconomic factors and liquidity zones. If DXY gains strength, expect a bearish breakdown on GBP/USD.
📈 Key Levels to Watch:
GBP/USD Resistance: 1.32-1.34
GBP/USD Support: 1.14
DXY Resistance: 112-113
DXY Support: 102.5
💡 Will GBP/USD hold or break down? Drop your predictions below! 👇
Liquidity
Trading Plan for the Day (March 18) | EUR/USDMarket Overview:
The EUR/USD pair is showing an upward impulse followed by a downward correction. With a higher probability of continued upward movement, the focus will be on identifying high-quality trade setups to capitalize on this idea.
🎯 Key Zones for Long Positions:
IDM (Initial Drive Momentum):
A critical support zone where price may bounce or consolidate.
If the price breaks IDM with a full-bodied candle, the path to IDM OB (Order Block) opens up.
IDM OB (Order Block):
A strong demand zone that could act as a target for long trades.
Manipulation within Order Flow (OF):
Watch for price action around the ascending order flow zone. If liquidity builds before IDM and gets swept, long positions can be considered at these levels.
📉 Alternative Scenario (Bearish Bias):
If the price drops deeper, it may target the ascending order flow zone located below PDL (Point of Demand Level).
This scenario suggests a potential retest of lower support zones before any upward continuation.
📊 Trading Plan:
Primary Focus: Monitor the interaction with IDM liquidity.
Breakout above IDM: Look for long opportunities targeting IDM OB.
Liquidity Build-Up: If price consolidates and sweeps liquidity before IDM, consider long entries at these levels.
Secondary Focus: If the price falls deeper into the ascending order flow, wait for confirmation of a reversal or consolidation before entering long trades.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Stop-loss should be placed just below the nearest key level to minimize risk.
Position size should ensure risk does not exceed 1% of the trading capital .
🎯 Note: The market is dynamic, and the current structure may evolve. I will adapt to what the chart shows and focus on high-probability setups.
📢 Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
#GOLD BULLISH UPDATESGold Analysis - Bullish Bias for Today.
Currently, I’m analyzing Gold on the 1-hour time frame. As we all know, Gold is at an all time high, with the market pushing upwards without a valid retracement. The overall trend remains bullish, so my bias for today is also bullish based on my analysis.
📍 Key Focus:
I’ll wait for Gold to create a solid structure and retest at least my key levels. This will allow me to place my trade in the ideal demand zone.
✨ Confirmation is Key:
When the price hits my key levels, I’ll look for confirmation through a bullish candlestick pattern or bullish price action before planning my trade.
⚠️ Always Use Stop Loss in Your Trades. ⚠️
📊 Proper Money Management is Key.
💡 Maintain a Solid Risk-to-Reward Ratio.
This is just my analysis. 🔍
Further updates related to this analysis will be shared soon, once the price reaches our key levels. Stay tuned!⏳
🔍 Let’s see what opportunity the market provides.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GBPJPY TODAY FORECASTIn this forecast we're analyzing 2H time frame for GBPJPY. Today I'm looking for a potential buy trade setup. According to my analysis and strategy when price enters in my key levels as shown in the chart and give any bullish confirmation like candlestick pattern or price action. After taking confirmation we'll trigger our trade. Confirmation is most important part of this analysis.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis. Further updates related this analysis will posted soon once price reach our levels.
#GBPJPY 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
EURUSD ROUTE MAPI’m currently analyzing the EUR/USD 1-hour chart, using trendline support, combined with the SMC concept and price action. ✨
I’ll be looking for buy trade opportunities based on the key levels drawn on the chart. ⬆️
Patience is key – I’ll wait for the price to reach my levels and confirm any bullish signals, allowing me to execute the trade at the ideal point. 💡📈
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis. Once price reaches our levels further updates will posted soon.
#EURUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Trading Plan for the Day (March 18) | XAU/USDMarket Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near historical highs, indicating strong buying pressure. However, a potential candlestick pattern could signal a short-term correction.
🎯 Plan for the Day:
Short Positions (Short-Term):
I will consider entering short trades if a bearish candlestick pattern forms (e.g., pin bar or engulfing pattern).
Target: The nearest liquidity zone on the M15 timeframe.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR): Greater than 1:5.
Long Positions (Short-Term):
If the price "sweeps" the liquidity at IDM (Initial Drive Momentum), I will consider entering a short-term long trade.
Target: The next liquidity zone on the upside.
📊 Chart:
Attached is a chart with key levels marked: historical highs, IDM, and nearby liquidity zones.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Stop-loss will be placed just beyond the nearest key level.
Position size is calculated to ensure risk does not exceed 1% of the trading capital.
BTC/USD UPDATESIn this forecast we're analyzing 1H time frame for finding the upcoming movement and changes in BTCUSD price. My BIAS for today was Bullish and when price come to my key level area. we'll observe the reaction of price if price give any bullish confirmation then we'll execute our trade. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#BTCUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GOLD 1-H ROUTE MAPToday, we are analyzing the 1-hour time frame chart for Gold. My bias for today is on the buy side, based on market structure mapping and the SMC concept. Once the market price reaches my key levels, I will wait for confirmation according to my rules and strategy. At the same time, I will keep an eye on the volume and RSI indicators to find a strong confirmation and execute my trade with precision.
The market will not move higher until it hunts its full SSL. And if we decide to buy from here, the first resistance we will face will be around the 2888-90 area, and the second resistance will be near the 2895-2900 price range. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential out comes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis not financial advice.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GBP/JPY TODAY EXPECTED MOVERight now, we are analyzing the GBPJPY 1-hour time frame chart. My bias for today is towards the sell side, and I will be looking to sell the market today. As you can see on the chart, these are our key levels. Once the market price reaches our key levels and POI, we will wait for confirmation whether the price shows a bearish confirmation or forms a reversal candlestick pattern, so we can find the ideal entry point for our trade and execute it with precision. The most important thing to remember is to always wait for confirmation.
Make sure to always use a stop loss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis. Let's see what happens.
#GBPJPY 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GBPCAD Price ActionHello Traders,
As you can see, I've marked the Demand Zone, based on the 2-hour timeframe. Additionally, I've highlighted Liquidity Levels, clearly distinguishing between those already swept and the valid ones remaining.
On the 15M timeframe, you'll notice I've marked the Breakout Block, also identified as the Supply Zone. If the price breaks this Supply Zone, you should set a pending order. There are two effective ways to enter this market: either through an FVG (Fair Value Gap) or a Breaker Block entry.
Your trade can be held for up to one day, with the stop-loss positioned at the recent swing low. Remember, it's crucial to manage your risk responsibly and avoid greed. This structure repeats itself consistently.
Wishing you the best and happy trading!
Thank you.
AUDUSD swing sellI identified a break in the uptrend structure on the 1-minute timeframe at the 0.6321 level, indicating a possible shift in market direction. Upon confirmation, I entered a sell position at this level, anticipating a further decline. My target profit is set at 0.6169, aligning with a key support level. To manage risk, I placed a stop-loss above the recent swing high to limit potential losses if the price moves against my position. This trade is based on a structural shift in market momentum, aiming to capitalize on a bearish move following the breakdown of the uptrend.
Is iRobot's Bankruptcy the End or a New Start?iRobot, the renowned maker of the Roomba robotic vacuum cleaners, now finds itself in a precarious financial situation marked by significant debt and dwindling liquidity. Once a symbol of innovation, the company has been battling mounting losses and a challenging cash crunch, raising serious concerns about its ability to continue as a going concern.
The collapse of a high-profile acquisition deal with Amazon—derailed by European antitrust authorities—has compounded iRobot’s woes. The termination of this deal led to a dramatic plunge in share value and market capitalization and intensified investor skepticism, leaving the company with a heavier debt load and forcing it to consider strategic alternatives such as refinancing or selling assets.
Facing regulatory pressures, shifting market dynamics, and the human cost of necessary layoffs, iRobot’s future now hangs in the balance. This unfolding crisis invites investors and industry observers to reflect deeply on broader questions: Could a strategic overhaul pave the way for recovery, or does this signal the end of an era for the iconic brand?
Learn To Invest: Global Liquidity Index & BitcoinGlobal Liquidity Index & BitCoin:
🚀 Positive Vibes for Your Financial Journey! 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Look at this chart! It's the Global Liquidity Index , a measure of how much extra money is flowing through the world's financial systems.
Why is this important? Because when this index is high, it often means good things for investments like #Bitcoin! 📈
Think of it like this: when there's more money flowing, people are often more willing to take risks and invest in things like Bitcoin.
See those "BullRun" boxes? That means things are looking bright! It's showing that money is flowing, and that's often a good sign for potential Bitcoin growth. 🌟
Even if you're not a pro, it's easy to see the good news here. Understanding these trends can help you make smarter decisions.
Let's all aim for growth and success! 💪
GOLD UPCOMING TRADE SETUP To predict the changes and movement in the price of gold, I am currently analyzing the 30M time frame of gold. When the New York session opens, I will look for selling opportunities at my key selling levels. I won’t take any sell trades until the market hunts its buy-side liquidity. Let’s work together to conquer this trade and turn our dreams into reality.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper R:R ratio.
This is my analysis or prediction.
#XAUUSD 30M Technical Analyze Expected Move.
XCN + 333%? X4 IS WAITING FOR IT IF THIS CONFIRMS.Last time Onyxcoin (XCN) had a Bullish divergence on RSI and make a Golden cross. it made a +383% in 5 waves making the 1st wave on the bigger cycle. (152 ds).
Wave 2 a correction ( 152 ds), corrects as Elliot says to the 4th of a minor degree.
And now that the Wave 3 seems to start, we break the descending channel and made a Golden Cross. We have the bull impulse until Feb/Mar 2025.
To confirm this we need the break out on the RSI.
And remember that Wave 3 usually is the strogest of all, we will find out on OCTOBER ;)
Cheers!
DOGE 4HR Analysis Here is the current 4 Hour range within the 1st zone I was looking for.
Personally, I still see more downside as bears are still in control. There is potential for a breakout on the 4HR but confirming congruence on the Daily has me hesitant as the Daily Timeframe would still hold a downward trend.
——————————————————————
Diving further into the structure of the candles I noticed there are more wicks from the bottom side of the candles than the top; a confirmation bears and the downward trend are still in control.
Bulls are starting to defend this level, but to me it’s a sign that buy side liquidity it being created.
If I’m a seller, this is a great place to manage risk for further downside.
If I’m a buyer, I’m being patient as the retracement back to supply seems to be almost over.
2025 ICT Mentorship: Premium & Discount Price Delivery Intro2025 ICT Mentorship: Lecture 4_Premium & Discount Price Delivery Intro
Greetings Traders!
In this video, we dive into the fundamental concept of Premium and Discount Price Delivery—a crucial aspect of smart money trading that helps us understand how institutions approach the market with precision and efficiency.
Understanding Currency Pairs
Before we explore premium and discount dynamics, it's essential to grasp the basics of currency pairs. A currency pair, like EUR/USD or GBP/USD, represents the value of one currency against another. For example, EUR/USD shows how many U.S. dollars (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one euro (the base currency). Just like any other tradable asset, currency pairs fluctuate in value due to various economic and market factors.
Trading Is Part of Everyday Life
Believe it or not, everyone in the world is a trader. Whether you're buying groceries at a store or negotiating for goods and services, you're participating in trading activities daily. Some people aim to purchase items at a discount, while others can afford to pay a premium—it’s simply part of life.
However, banks and financial institutions take trading to another level. They don’t just trade haphazardly—they operate with extreme precision, aiming to make high-quality investments by executing trades at premium prices and targeting discount levels. This strategic approach allows them to capitalize on market inefficiencies and ensure profitable outcomes.
Why Premium and Discount Matter?
The concept of premium and discount price delivery is foundational for understanding how the market moves. By recognizing where the market is trading at a premium (overvalued) versus a discount (undervalued), traders can make more informed decisions and align their strategies with institutional order flow.
Stay tuned as we break down how to identify these zones on a chart and how to incorporate them into your trading strategy. Make sure to like, subscribe, and turn on notifications so you never miss an update!
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
USD/CHF Short Setup – Institutional Flow & Liquidity TargetsUSD/CHF is setting up for a bearish move, with confluence from technical structure, order flow, and fundamental events. Here’s a complete breakdown of the setup, execution plan, and institutional positioning.
📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown
🔹 Entry Zone: Price rejected from the 0.8786 - 0.8794 supply zone, aligning with 0.62 - 0.79 Fibonacci retracement levels.
🔹 Confluences:
✅ Bearish trend continuation – Lower highs forming.
✅ Liquidity grab above minor resistance, suggesting smart money distribution.
✅ Break & retest structure confirms potential downside.
🔹 Target Zones:
📉 First target: 0.8767 (previous low & liquidity area).
📉 Final target: 0.8750 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension).
📌 Market Structure:
Higher timeframe bearish bias remains intact.
Supertrend (4H) signals continued downside.
EMA alignment (1D) confirms selling pressure.
🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Sentiment
📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights:
📈 USD: Institutional long positions declining, indicating potential USD weakness.
📉 CHF: Increased net short positioning, suggesting institutional flow favoring CHF strength.
📌 Liquidity & Order Flow Data:
Market depth shows heavy short positioning near resistance.
Volume profile indicates a lack of demand above 0.8780, confirming weak bullish momentum.
⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News Events
📊 Macroeconomic Data Impacting USD/CHF:
📌 Employment Trends Index (108.35) – USD strength limited.
📌 T-Bill Auction & Treasury Buyback – Potential liquidity shifts affecting risk sentiment.
📌 Fed’s Beige Book & Policy Outlook – Key for USD direction.
🛑 Impact on Trade:
✔️ USD uncertainty fuels risk-off flows into CHF.
✔️ Short-term retracement provides an ideal short entry before further downside.
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
📌 Prime Market Terminal Data:
ATR shows increased volatility, supporting large price swings.
Institutional short positioning rising, indicating strong bearish control.
DMX data suggests liquidity buildup below 0.8760.
🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Short Setup
✅ Bearish trend structure aligns with institutional positioning.
✅ Liquidity grab above resistance confirms distribution phase.
✅ Confluence of technicals, fundamentals, and order flow supports downside movement.
📌 Short Bias: Targeting 0.8767 → 0.8750.
📌 Key Invalidations: A break above 0.8800 could shift sentiment.
💬 What’s your take on USD/CHF? Let me know in the comments! 🚀📉
GBPUSD FORECASTIn this analysis we're focusing on 4H time frame for GBPUSD. As we know that market trend was bullish and today I'm looking for a buy side opportunity. According to my analysis, if the market price wants to continue its move to the upside, it will need to first retest the key levels drawn on the chart before it can continue its upward movement. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us. Always remember when price reaches our key levels wait for confirmation. After confirmation execute your trades.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#GBPUSD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
GOLD UPDATE ROUTE MAPI am currently analyzing the 4-hour timeframe of gold. As we know, there has been strong bearish pressure in the gold market over the past few days. Therefore, my focus will remain on bearish opportunities. On the higher timeframe, gold has broken its bullish trendline, and my selling area will be around this level, as seen on the chart. I will wait for the price to reach my key levels and either show bearish confirmation or any reversal signal so that I can plan my sell entry at my ideal level. Confirmation is very important. Let's see what happens.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction. Let's analyze more deeply in smaller time frame.
#XAUUSD 4H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Global liquidity breakoutA weighted sum of global liquidity has just broken out of a falling wedge, signaling a clear cash injection into the financial system. This breakout suggests an imminent shift in market conditions, as liquidity expansion typically fuels risk-on sentiment across equities, crypto, and commodities. Since this is a lagging indicator, markets are expected to react soon, with asset prices likely to follow the upward momentum driven by increased liquidity.
The formula aggregates the total assets of major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, People’s Bank of China, and European Central Bank, while adjusting for currency exchange rates to reflect their true impact in USD terms. Liquidity-draining factors such as the Reverse Repo (RRP) and the Treasury General Account (TGA) are subtracted to provide a clearer picture of the actual liquidity available in the system.
Gold Buy Setup – Smart Money Flow & Institutional Order PositionGold (XAU/USD) is showing bullish potential, aligning technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors for a high-probability setup. Let’s break down the market structure, trade execution, and institutional flows that support this move.
📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown
🔹 Entry Zone: Price retraced into a key demand zone aligning with the 0.62 Fibonacci level (2902.190).
🔹 Confluences: ✅ Trendline support held, confirming bullish momentum.
✅ Fibonacci retracement (50%-79%) aligned with institutional order blocks.
✅ Liquidity sweeps confirmed smart money accumulation.
🔹 Target Zones:
📈 First target: 2,926.183 (previous high).
📈 Final target: 2,950.176 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension).
📌 Market Structure:
The 1H timeframe suggests a bullish continuation pattern.
Daily EMAs are trending upwards, reinforcing buying pressure.
Supertrend indicator on the 4H supports bullish sentiment.
🎯 Institutional Positioning & Market Depth
📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights:
📈 Institutional traders increasing long positions, signaling confidence in an uptrend.
📉 Retail traders are majority short, fueling a potential short squeeze.
📌 Liquidity Data:
Volume profile shows high demand near 2902, confirming strong buy-side interest.
Market depth data from Prime Market Terminal indicates institutional buy orders stacking in this range.
⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News & Events
📊 Economic data influencing XAU/USD:
📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) vs. forecast (52.8) – Initially strengthened USD.
📈 Durable Goods Orders +3.2% – Positive US data caused a pullback.
📉 Gold supported by weaker USD following liquidity rebalancing.
🛑 Impact on Trade:
✔️ Initial USD strength provided a discounted long entry on Gold.
✔️ Market reacted with bullish momentum as institutional flows aligned with demand zones.
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
📌 Prime Market Terminal Liquidity Analysis:
ATR (Average True Range) increased, signaling upcoming volatility.
High-volume nodes align with the 2902 support area.
Institutional order flow confirms bullish positioning.
🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Long Setup
✅ Smart money accumulation & institutional order flow confirm a bullish bias.
✅ Confluence of technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors supports upside movement.
✅ Potential targets: 2,926 → 2,936 → 2,950.
📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬