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Liquidity

EURUSD 20 Mar 2024 W12 - Intraday Analysis - FOMC / Powell Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 20 Mar 2024 W12 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 4. As expected, Price reached the Daily demand zone as refereed to the deep INT Structure Pullback. We have now the 2 scenarios; if price will continue up targeting the Weak INT High we will respect the Strong Low. If price breaking the Strong INT Low, then the Daily view in play and we will target the 4H/Daily Weak Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Swing Continuation 2. Price reached the 4H Supply and initiated the Bearish Swing Continuation Phase after the Bearish CHoCH. 3. After the Swing BOS, the pullback phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 19 Mar 2024 W12 - Intraday Analysis - EU ZEW / US HousingThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Mar 2024 W12 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 4. As expected, Price reached the Daily demand zone as refereed to the deep INT Structure Pullback. We have now the 2 scenarios; if price will continue up targeting the Weak INT High we will respect the Strong Low. If price breaking the Strong INT Low, then the Daily view in play and we will target the 4H/Daily Weak Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Swing Pullback Phase 2. 15m / 4H Supply Zones for possible shorts once reached. But be mindful that the 4H CHoCH is currently the 15m Swing High and there is a HP we will take it after mitigating the Daily Demand zone. 3. After the Swing BOS, the pullback phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH.
by Amr-Sadek
Let's Talk Liquidity! ⚒️At first, Liquidity may seem like an abstract and confusing concept reserved for only those Finance nerds and geeks to tackle. Turns out it's really not too sophisticated after all and can be though of in terms of Fomo. Fomo if you are not aware already is simply a concept related to chasing the market because of a Fear of missing out. Any action out of fear is typically not the best choice. In trading, this is especially true. Liquidity is what the market needs prior to a big move. Liquidity doesn't necessarily mean that the market needs to pin an extreme low or high from the previous session. Liquidity is also gathered when the market ranges/consolidates for awhile. If you go back and backtest, you will observe that preceding a large move, the market usually consolidates first. Liquidity also dries up during Asian session. You can observe that the volatility is much smaller than London/Ny session as the market moves alot less # of pips. Liquidity dries up prior to news annoucnemnts becuase of uncertainty obviously. This is the very reason why the market moves so much during news is because of lower participation from larger market participants, therefore an increased chance of wild and random price movements. This is explained more in depth in this concept video, Let's talk Liquidity.
Education
by ShrewdCatfx
EURUSD 18 Mar 2024 W12 - Intraday Analysis - EU CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 18 Mar 2024 W12 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. 15m Swing turned which indicates that the 4H Internal Structure pullback is not over yet. After a BOS we expect a pullback. Price didn't reach any HTF POI to initiate the pullback yet. 3. After the Swing BOS, the pullback phase initiated after the Bullish iBOS. Expectations is set for price to continue Bullish to Swing EQ / HP POI within the Swing Premium. Bearish iBOS will confirm the Swing Pullback is over and there is a HP of targeting the Weak Swing Low. (Also it will reflect on the 4H to create a new low and new closer CHoCH instead of the current high one)
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 18-22 Mar 2024 W12 Weekly Analysis – US Rates/FOMCThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 18-22 Mar 2024 W12 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low. Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which we are currently in. 3. Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left. In order for me to consider that the INT Structure Pullback is over, i need to see at least a Bearish CHoCH. So will be watching the Daily Demand Zone for possible continuation up to target he HP POI (Daily/Weekly Supply) or a Bearish CHoCH for me to start looking for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
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EURUSD 15 Mar 2024 W11 - Intraday Analysis - US Ind. ProductionThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Mar 2024 W11 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. 15m Swing turned which indicates that the 4H Internal Structure pullback is not over yet. After a BOS we expect a pullback. Price didn't reach any HTF POI to initiate the pullback yet. 3. After the Swing BOS, the pullback phase initiated after the Bullish iBOS. Expectations is set for price to continue Bullish to Swing EQ / HP POI within the Swing Premium.
by Amr-Sadek
NZDCHF Short TradeMARKET PHASE OANDA:NZDCHF is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE There was a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price has started it`s initial move down but due to the velocity of the downward move, it's gapped some orders around 0.54224. Price is likely to retrace to this level before continuing downwards. TRADE I will be entering short on OANDA:NZDCHF with the following parameters: Sell Limit: 0.54224 Stop Loss: 0.54295 Take Profit: 0.54082
Short
by Mankz
EURUSD 14 Mar 2024 W11 - Intraday Analysis - US PPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 14 Mar 2024 W11 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Pullback Phase 2. 15m Swing turned which indicates that the 4H Internal Structure pullback is not over yet. After a BOS we expect a pullback. Price didn't reach any HTF POI to initiate the pullback yet. 3. Price tapped into a previous 15m demand within a previous 4H demand that was partially mitigated. 15m Swing pullback could start at anytime but no yet confirmation as minimum as a bullish CHoCH.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 13 Mar 2024 W11 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 13 Mar 2024 W11 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Swing Continuation 2. 15m Swing turned Bullish which indicates that the 4H Bullish INT Structure Pullback maybe over. After BOS we expect a pullback, INT Structure high is formed after the bearish CHoCH. Expectations is for price to continue bullish to facilitate the 4H Bullish INT Structure continuation phase.
by Amr-Sadek