GBPJPY OUTLOOK & TRADE IDEA | 30mMedium risk buys in this area. Why medium risk? There was no inducement. There might be enough demand tho and it's a pretty good are to look for buys.
Scenario 2 - in case that supply exceeds demand (S>D) you can pretty safely look for sells off the DBR demand area.
What do you think? Comment below.
LQP = Liquidity Pool
DBR = Drop Base Rally demand zone
2WT = 2 Way Trap
Liquidity
EURUSD 7 Mar 2024 W10 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 7 Mar 2024 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback.
As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation.
Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started.
3.
4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS.
After iBOS we expect a pullback and the possible POI to maybe start the Pullback is the 4H Supply above the Swing EQ.
But be mindful that we were ranging for a period of time and price just broke that range with momentum. Most probably we will have a deep pullback phase to the daily supply before we can initiate the 4H Bearish continuation phase.
Keeping my bullish bias till i see solid evidence with 4H bearish break of structure to confirm the 4H Continuation phase is starting.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
After a Swing BOS we expect a Pullback.
INT structure is bullish and most probably will continue bullish after we broke the range.
Once internal structure turned bearish we will start the Swing Pullback Phase.
Expectation that we will continue bullish till the 4H Supply positioned above the 4H Swing EQ and maybe from there we will start the pullback.
Shorts are not considered until we reach a HP HTF POI.
3.
Swing Discount Zone and the last demand zone for potential reaction/longs when reached and depending on the situation.
GBPAUD OUTLOOK & TRADE IDEA | 1h The first buy are is quite risky because there was no major inducement but it's still a pretty valid area to look for some buys.
The second one would be pretty safe because excluding the overextenstion there would also be a major inducement.
The target would be the low resistance liquidity are which is also a imbalance curve.
Share your view in the comments!
EURUSD 1H OUTLOOK AND TRADE UPDATEMy trades hit full TP. Now I'm bearish, started to scale shorts. I have multiple reasons to be bearish but I don't predict - I react. I accept whatever market gives me. Let's see how it goes.
2WT = 2 Way Trap
LQP = Liquidity Pool
Arrows = Inducements (Minor, Medium, Major different colors)
USDCAD low term view | 30mUSDCAD looks still like it accumulating for selling but with the current price action everything can happen.
Two scenarios in my head. First one that is less probable is - demand exceeds supply and continues going up. Second one is that the price will be trading away the external inducement to the OVERSTOCK and liquidity areas.
What do you think?
2WT = 2 Way Trap
D>S = Demand exceeds Supply
BTCUSD short term view | m15BTCUSD presented the resistance manipulation module. I don't think it will just start dropping out of nowhere because I assume a lot of people started getting into shorts. I think it will either take the early sellers out first and drop or just continue going up.
What do you think?
EURUSD 6 Mar 2024 W10 - Intraday Analysis -US ADP / Powell day 1This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 6 Mar 2024 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
Note: Nothing changed since yesterday except 15m Sub INT turned Bullish aligning with 15m INT and Swing Bullish
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback.
As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation.
Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started.
3.
After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback.
Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback.
We didn't do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH.
Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price.
As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be over after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario.
Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view.
15m Chart Analysis - Out
15m Chart Analysis - In
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
INT INT Bullish
INT Continuation Phase
2.
Swing turned bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback.
INT Structure still holding bullish adding to the expectation that the 4H Pullback is going to be deeper which will require the 15m to stay bullish.
3.
As we had a long period ranging within the INT Structure. We had formed Sub Internal Structure which turned bullish.
Sub INT structure aligned with INT and Swing to continue bullish. Still i expect price to target the Weak INT High.
Overall price is ranging and no momentum in the market which means that the market players are waiting for a catalyst today from US ADP and Powell Testifies today and tomorrow.
EURUSD 5 Mar 2024 W10 - Intraday Analysis - EU PMI/PPI - US PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD FOREXCOM:EURUSD for 5 Mar 2024 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
Note: Nothing changed since yesterday except 15m Sub INT turned Bullish aligning with 15m INT and Swing Bullish
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback.
As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation.
Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started.
3.
After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback.
Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback.
We didn't do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH.
Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price.
As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be over after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario.
Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
INT INT Bullish
INT Continuation Phase
2.
Swing turned bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback.
INT Structure still holding bullish adding to the expectation that the 4H Pullback is going to be deeper which will require the 15m to stay bullish.
3.
As we had a long period ranging within the INT Structure. We had formed Sub Internal Structure which is currently bearish.
The Sub Internal Structure failed to continue bearish several times and there is a High Probability that we are currently targeting the Sub Structure High (Green Line) to continue the Bullish INT Structure and target the Weak INT High.
Overall price is ranging and no momentum in the market.
BTCUSD TRADE UPDATE | FULL TP HIT We hit full target :)
From a psychological perspective people are most likely trying to catch the top of the BTC bullish movements which often leads to more movements to the other side that all the people are expecting.
After 69K I might look at shorts but for now only bullish.
What do you think about bitcoin?
GBPUSD Weekly Outlook: High Impact News & Sell-Side Draw📈 Trading Alert: High Impact News Incoming this Week on the Dollar!!!
March Market Insights:
Diving into High Impact Dollar News & Today's Trading Analysis! This week, brace yourself for major announcements like Unemployment Rate and NFP . Join me as we dissect the week ahead , exploring potential market movements amidst a flurry of impactful news releases. Gain invaluable insights into my analysis process, including key concepts in ICT. Don't miss out on this opportunity to enhance your trading knowledge and strategies.
Leave your questions in the comments for personalized responses. Let's navigate the markets together!
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBPUSD | MY SHORT TERM VIEW | M30Why did the inducement fail? It failed because it was only minor/medium inducement. It gave a reaction, trapped traders to start selling. Not only support and resistance players got trapped but also people that look at liquidity (SMC etc.)
Before shorts I at least expect GU to fill the imbalance curve.
LQP = Liquidity Pool
2WT = 2 Way Trap
Arrows = inducement
A further breakdown of how I read the market and all the "lines"Key words to understand:
- Tapering
- Liquidity
- Tapering
- Tapering
It's important to understand how liquidity plays a role in moving price and what it actually means. In order for price to make a solid move anywhere, there has to be liquidity built up for price to grab (use) to break out of strong resistance levels (i.e. levels with lots of sellers ready to short when price gets there).
Tapering is a way of seeing a lack of liquidity by a certain side - if we begin tapering from a strong buying channel to a less strong buying channel, it typically means we are lacking liquidity to break out of that strong selling level (i.e. the top of a more tapered channel acts as a level of resistance because the more tapered it is (or the more horizontal it is), the more it lines up for all sellers to get in at the same price win the battle.
This all makes so much sense to me and it is the key for you to unlock the market . To be able to tell a story in every chart and understand who is in charge, why there in charge, and what each side has to do in order to win their next battle.
Please reach out with any questions, comments, etc. I am here for you !
Happy Trading :)
CADCHF SHORTEven though we have a high probability chance of going short from this zone at 0.65280. We have seen how price has decided to deliver price bearish. On this zone on the 5Min, price has already mitigated the Demand zone and its set to go bearish from my analysis. See where you come in and trail stop loss when it breaks through 0.64930 for the potential target at 0.64704