GBPAUD BUY 15 MIN TIMEFRAMEOverall trend is an uptrend. Candlestick trend break of structure to upside now. Expecting liquidity grab and entry at demand zone (1.92690). Targeting supply zone that has left a big imbalance (1.93430)
Liquidity
GOLD SELL OPPORTUNITY 15 MINSell from supply where imbalance was not filled completely leaving liquidity. Targeting large demand zone at 2444. Break of structure to the downside has also occurred.
DXY at Critical Support! Massive Move Ahead! Technical Analysis Overview of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) on 4-Hour Time Frame:
Crucial Structure Point:
The DXY is currently at a significant structural level, which could determine its next major move.
Key Levels:
Weekly LQZ: 108.007
Daily LQZ: 106.524
Daily LQZ: 101.908
Missed LQZ: 100.552
Current Price Action:
The price is hovering around 104.283, a critical support zone. The market's reaction at this level will likely dictate the next direction.
Potential Scenarios:
Yellow Path (Primary Bias): Indicates a potential bearish scenario where the price might break below the current support level and head towards the Daily LQZ at 101.908 or even the Missed LQZ at 100.552. This path suggests a significant downward movement.
Green Path: Represents a bullish scenario where the price could bounce off the current support and rise towards the Daily LQZ at 106.524 or even the Weekly LQZ at 108.007. This path suggests a recovery and continuation of the upward trend.
Orange Path: Another bearish possibility where the price might initially fake out upwards but eventually break downwards, aligning with the yellow path.
Market Sentiment:
The annotations indicate that while the yellow path is favored, it is essential to remain adaptable as "anything can happen" in the market. This emphasizes the importance of not reacting impulsively but rather anticipating and preparing for different scenarios.
Summary:
Current Trend: The DXY is at a critical juncture, and its next move could be pivotal.
Bearish Bias: The yellow path suggests a potential for further downside, targeting lower key levels.
Bullish Recovery: The green path offers a possible recovery scenario, aiming for higher resistance levels.
Strategy: Traders should monitor the price action closely around the current support level at 104.283. Look for confirmation before entering trades, and be prepared for both bullish and bearish outcomes.
Gold at Record Highs! Breakout or Imminent Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2319.385
TP 2: 2288.085
TP 3: 2267.832
Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action.
1-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation.
Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements.
15-Minute Time Frame Analysis:
Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction.
Summary:
Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook.
Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively.
Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
How I found and identified Five 100%+ return swing trades!It's not too late! My job i to identify the liquidity being built and since we're trading options, time the breakout as best we can. As you can see on these 3 equities, in addition to 2 more I'm trading (PYPL, UPS), we've built sufficient liquidity over the past few months in order to make these breakouts.
So keep an eye out for controlled selling and re-entry opportunities - it's never too late to catch another breakout!
Happy Trading :)
EURGBPanother trade to be profitable in minutes
hope anyone who sees my trades learns something if any one has any difficulty, let me know
Liquidity is KEY to the MarketsIn this video I go through more about liquidity and why it is important.
The markets move because of liquidity. Without liquidity, there is no trading. The larger the trader, the larger the liquidity required. Understanding the concept of liquidity and the fractal nature of price, trading becomes very interesting. A whole new world opens up to you and you no longer have to keep guessing where price is going. You no longer have to keep chasing candles.
I hope you find this video insightful.
- R2F
Bitcoin at a Critical Level: What Investors Need to KnowBitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is currently at a crucial juncture. The 3-month chart suggests that if Bitcoin drops below the $50,000 level before moving above $70,000, we could see further downside, potentially to the $40,000 - $35,000 range.
Election Impact
This potential scenario might coincide with the upcoming election, which could have a significant impact on market sentiment and liquidity. Political events often introduce volatility and uncertainty, affecting investor confidence and market stability.
Investment and Trading Strategy
For investors, a potential dip to the $40,000 - $35,000 range presents a buying opportunity. However, traders should consider hedging their positions to profit in case of further declines. This approach can help manage risks and take advantage of market fluctuations.
Long-term Outlook
Over the next 6 to 8 months, these market dynamics could lead to increased buy-side liquidity and higher prices. This period of stabilization might create a more favorable environment for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Conclusion
While the short-term may bring challenges, particularly due to the election, the long-term outlook remains positive. Investors and traders should prepare for potential short-term declines but remain optimistic about increased liquidity and higher market prices in the future.
A Shining Year for Gold: Geopolitical Risks and Economic DynamicThe year 2024 may be a bright year for gold, but it coincides with a period of increasing geopolitical risks. Global political and economic uncertainties, while unsettling investors, may boost demand for safe-haven assets such as gold.
Another notable feature of this year is the decline in inflation and interest rates. It is expected that inflation will be kept under control, and central banks will opt for interest rate cuts. The -0.75% interest rate reduction can be considered as part of efforts for economic recovery.
Gold has traditionally been a sought-after investment in environments characterized by low inflation and interest rates. Therefore, the anticipated interest rate cut in 2024 may support gold prices. However, the persistent presence of geopolitical risks remains another crucial factor influencing the value of gold.
Investors will carefully monitor the performance of gold in 2024, taking into account both geopolitical developments and economic indicators in this complex and dynamic environment. In the face of potential risks, a diversified investment strategy may provide a more secure position.
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When I look at the gold mining index, I see a very positive increase.
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The graph of gold in 12-6-3 month time frames gives very positive clues that the price will rise.
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My Goals for 2024
- 2200
- 2500
- 2700
Forming Liquidity, Buy opportunityBearish structure has rebalanced with forming liquidity today. Only one zone has swept a liquidity below mother candle 1h, 2h, 3h, 4h timeframe. That candle is the first bullish continuation.
Premium & Discount Price Delivery in Institutional TradingGreetings Traders!
In today's educational video, we will delve into the concepts of premium and discount price delivery. The objective is to provide you with a comprehensive understanding of institutional-level market mechanics. Before we proceed, it is crucial to define what we mean by "institutional level" and "smart money," as these terms are often misunderstood. We will also address the common misconceptions about who the liquidity providers are in the market.
By grasping these foundational concepts, you will gain a new perspective on the market, realizing that its movements are not random but calculated and precise, orchestrated by well-informed entities often referred to as smart money.
If you have any questions, please leave them in the comment section below.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
Mastering Institutional Order Flow & Price DeliveryGreetings traders!
Welcome back to today's video! In this educational session, we'll delve into the concept of institutional order flow. Our objective is to accurately identify market reversals and trend continuations. By mastering the draw on liquidity, we will gain a clearer understanding of whether the market is experiencing bullish or bearish institutional order flow. To accomplish this, we will analyze the behavior of smart money and trace their footprints.
Join us as we uncover these crucial insights together.
If you haven't seen the " Premium & Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading " video, here is the link:
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
TSLA: Short-term Probability Analysis | 57.35% Reversal!Short-term analysis of NASDAQ:TSLA indicates that the price is most likely to head to trade above +$200 in the coming days/weeks.
Breaking down the reason behind the current setup and why we should be expecting new mid-term highs:
Feel free to share your thoughts or any feedback you have on the analysis.
Also, if you're interested in analyzing the probabilities directly on your charts make sure to check out the Free Public Indicator that I've published recently!
Bullish Trade Ideas for NAS 100There is strong possibility we could be headed for new ATH prices. If we see a change of character I will be looking for a retrace back to an important imbalance (FVG). A nice bounce from one of these areas could send us to the moon and beyond. The NY session will be quite interesting. Happy Trading everybody and best of luck.
Intraday NQ setupI’d like to see if we can sweep some Buy Side Liquidity before trying to move lower today. We are currently at some strong Demand zones that we have already tested and are becoming WEAKER. If we can sweep those equal highs and reject the 15m Supply we might be in for a strong move lower today. Until I see a strong setup through demand or the setup I mentioned, I will not take any shorts.
No setup = no trade
SEC Ends Ethereum 2.0 Investigation
Bitcoin prices fell Monday as nearly $500 million in positions were liquidated: Long positions took the majority of the losses.
Deutsche Telekom, parent company of T-Mobile, to join Bitcoin mining sector: The move could enhance network security but also increase competition among miners.
Consensys says SEC has ended its Ethereum 2.0 investigation: The announcement confirmed that ETH sales are not securities transactions – marking a significant victory for the space.
The Financial Stability Board met in Toronto to discuss regulatory challenges presented by stablecoins: The collaboration with the IMF began last year, with plans to produce a policy paper on the issue.
Waka Flocka Flame's new memecoin, FLOCKA, launched on the Solana blockchain, faces criticism amid a roughly 77% price drop: The massive falloff highlighted one of the major issues with the celeb-coin trend.
🐕 Topic of the Week: Shiba Inu: The Doge-Inspired Upstart Memecoin
👉 Read more here
EURUSD:: IntradayBy taking a deeper look at Daily chart we could easily see a bearish move!
Latest reaction was to top of the channel an we are going to reach to bottom of the channel. However, We see the RSI is forming a trend line which seems hard to be broken down. I think we could see a reversal to MA of RSI. So we might have one or two range days. Therefore we are both ready for Bearish and range days.
By taking a look to 1h chart we could see that a great zone to short the pair is available!
However by breaking the 1.0770 we could consider the trend bullish.
What is obvious in the main chart is that today Fibonacci R1 is in coincide with yesterday Pivot and these two are perfectly in our zone!
I'm waiting to sell from there! the channel in 15m chart could be used as liquidity hunt! These are important levels of today you can search for more reasons or places to short the pair
Forex Market Liquidity: Analysis and Implications for TradersForex Market Liquidity: Analysis and Implications for Traders
The foreign exchange market is renowned for its dynamic and fast-paced nature. As traders navigate this landscape, understanding the concept of liquidity becomes crucial. In this article, we analyse its components, explore factors that influence it, measure and analyse its impact, discuss potential risks for traders, and present real-life examples to illustrate its implications.
What Is Liquidity in the Forex Market?
Liquidity in the forex market refers to the ease with which a currency pair can be bought or sold without causing a significant change in its price. Highly liquid assets are usually easily tradable, while less liquid assets may experience more considerable price fluctuations during transactions and bear higher spreads.
Liquidity Components
The liquidity of a currency pair is influenced by several factors, which traders need to consider when constructing a liquidity-proof trading strategy. These include the market depth, the bid-ask spread, and the trading volume.
- Market depth represents the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels in the order book. A deep market with many orders at different price levels typically suggests higher liquidity.
- The bid-ask spread is the difference between the highest price a buyer agrees to pay and the lowest price a seller agrees to accept. A narrower spread typically indicates higher liquidity, while a wider spread reflects lower liquidity. Traders often monitor the spread to gauge current conditions.
- Trading volume refers to the total number of currency units traded within a specified period. Higher trading volume generally indicates greater liquidity, signalling a robust trend. Low trading volume could indicate liquidity issues.
Risks for Traders Arising From Liquidity Levels in Forex
Liquidity is a crucial consideration for traders as it directly affects transaction costs and the ease of entering or exiting positions. High levels generally result in lower transaction costs and less slippage, providing traders with potentially more exciting conditions. Additionally, liquidity may contribute to price stability, reducing the impact of large trades on prices.
Low levels, on the other hand, can pose certain risks that traders must be aware of. In illiquid markets, larger trades can have a more pronounced impact on prices, potentially resulting in random price movements and unfavourable execution prices. Forex market liquidity implications suggest that low liquidity can lead to increased volatility, making it challenging to analyse price movements accurately. In low liquidity conditions, traders may also experience slippage and delays in order execution, impacting the efficiency of trades.
Factors Influencing Liquidity in Forex Trading
Various factors influence current market liquidity in the forex market, and understanding these dynamics is essential for traders:
- Market Participants: The presence of a diverse range of participants, including retail traders, institutional investors, and central banks, contributes to liquidity. A balanced mix of participants often leads to a more liquid market.
- Economic Indicators: Economic releases, such as employment data, GDP figures, and interest rate decisions, can significantly impact a currency’s trading activity. Traders often witness increased volatility before and after such data is released, affecting market liquidity.
- Time of Day: Forex operates 24 hours a day, five days a week. Volume varies depending on the time of day, with peak liquidity during the overlap of major trading sessions.
Forex Market Liquidity Indicators and Measures
Assessing quantitative metrics is a fundamental initial step in a profound forex market liquidity analysis. Let’s discuss some popular indicators which can help evaluate the liquidity level using the trading volume:
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): OBV assesses the strength of a price trend by evaluating the relationship between volume flow and price movements. Higher liquidity often accompanies stronger and more sustained price trends.
- Volume Oscillator: When the volume oscillator is positive or above a specific threshold, it indicates that the recent trading volume has been relatively high. This may suggest that there is more liquidity in the asset.
- Money Flow Index (MFI): The MFI considers trading volume as a component of its calculation. A high trading volume, when combined with significant price movements, can result in a higher MFI reading, indicating strong market participation and potentially higher liquidity. A low trading volume during price movements may result in a lower MFI reading, suggesting reduced liquidity and potentially less market interest.
Price Gaps: In illiquid markets, there are fewer participants and lower trading volumes. In such conditions, price gaps are more likely to happen and can be more substantial. With fewer participants, it becomes challenging to match buyers and sellers efficiently. As a result, a significant order or news event can lead to a notable price gap when the market reopens.
You can visit FXOpen and explore new trading opportunities for some of the most liquid currency pairs through the free TickTrader trading platform.
Real-Life Examples of FX Liquidity
To illustrate the importance of considering liquidity in a forex strategy and how it can impact trader behaviour, let’s consider some real-life examples:
The 2015 Swiss Franc Depegging
In 2015, the sudden decision by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to remove the Swiss Franc (CHF) peg against the euro had a profound impact on the forex. The depegging in January 2015 led to a sudden drop in value, causing not only an unprecedented shift in trading dynamics but also triggering a significant price gap. The market experienced a reduction in trading volume, highlighting the challenges of liquidity in the face of unexpected events.
High Volumes During Trading Session Overlaps
The EUR/USD currency pair experiences varying trading volumes throughout different global sessions, primarily influenced by the overlap of major trading hours. The chart below depicts the significant volume spikes occurring during the overlap between the European (UTC 08:00 - 17:00) and North American (UTC 13:00 - 22:00) sessions, commonly known as the "London-New York overlap." This period witnesses peak trading volumes, providing traders with optimal conditions for executing trades.
Takeaway
Understanding liquidity is paramount for traders navigating the complexities of the financial markets. By comprehending the components of trading activity and analysing influencing factors and their impact on real-life trading, traders may make more informed decisions to potentially reduce risks and optimise their trading strategies. You trade forex and commodity, stock, and index CFDs today by opening an FXOpen account!
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Trading Idea for #JTOUSDTI think here we will get accumulation range. With STB and Spring phases.
Liquidity compression at the bottom side needs to be raided before continue an UP-trend.
USD/JPY Potential LongPotential USD/JPY Setup to go long once we have the pullback on the demand area of the analysis. Targeting the liquidity pool above, lots of upside potential.
PEPE is prepping somethingPEPE is on the 4h charts in an EQ and can go both ways. We want to see a breakout with volume before jumping into the action. The TT is the recent ATH where it will trigger the stop losses and could correct to the GP or even 0.786 fib range.
The liquidity is just below the EQ and just above the recent ATH. A stop loss hunt to 0.0137 can be expected before we go up.
ICT's Market Maker Model - An Easy to Understand GuideIn this video I try to explain ICT's Market Maker Model as simply as I can.
This model basically depicts how smart money efficiently facilitates their positions in the marketplace. It is important to understand some concepts beforehand, such as liquidity, AMD/PO3, market efficiency, crowd mentality, and the fractal nature of price.
I hope you find the video insightful and that it helps you utilize Market Maker Models in your trading.
- R2F
SOLUSD: Snapping Back to $210 | 70.70% Probability!BINANCE:SOLUSD has been drawing a lot of attention in the crypto space in the past few days due to its integration with NASDAQ:PYPL
Let's have a technical analysis breakdown:
BINANCE:SOLUSD According to my Free Probability Indicator , There's a 70.00% chance it could climb back over $210 and beyond, which is pretty much encouraging!
If you're thinking about trading LINK, here's what you should consider:
Entry:
Wait for clear signs that the price is going up again.
Once you're confident the trend is changing, consider buying LINK.
I'm currently looking at the 8H Equilibrium to get positioned.
Exit:
To protect yourself from drawdowns, consider setting a "trailing stop-loss." This will automatically trigger a sell order if the price starts dropping again after you buy, securing your running profits.
Risk Management:
Ensure you're not risking more money than you can afford to lose.
Only invest what you're comfortable with and consider how much you're willing to lose if things don't go as planned.
This isn't financial advice, just some insights to help you make informed decisions. Always do your own research before investing in anything.
