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EURUSD 15 Mar 2024 W11 - Intraday Analysis - US Ind. ProductionThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Mar 2024 W11 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. 15m Swing turned which indicates that the 4H Internal Structure pullback is not over yet. After a BOS we expect a pullback. Price didn't reach any HTF POI to initiate the pullback yet. 3. After the Swing BOS, the pullback phase initiated after the Bullish iBOS. Expectations is set for price to continue Bullish to Swing EQ / HP POI within the Swing Premium.
by Amr-Sadek
NZDCHF Short TradeMARKET PHASE OANDA:NZDCHF is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour). AREA OF VALUE There was a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price has started it`s initial move down but due to the velocity of the downward move, it's gapped some orders around 0.54224. Price is likely to retrace to this level before continuing downwards. TRADE I will be entering short on OANDA:NZDCHF with the following parameters: Sell Limit: 0.54224 Stop Loss: 0.54295 Take Profit: 0.54082
Short
by Mankz
EURUSD 14 Mar 2024 W11 - Intraday Analysis - US PPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 14 Mar 2024 W11 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Pullback Phase 2. 15m Swing turned which indicates that the 4H Internal Structure pullback is not over yet. After a BOS we expect a pullback. Price didn't reach any HTF POI to initiate the pullback yet. 3. Price tapped into a previous 15m demand within a previous 4H demand that was partially mitigated. 15m Swing pullback could start at anytime but no yet confirmation as minimum as a bullish CHoCH.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 13 Mar 2024 W11 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 13 Mar 2024 W11 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Swing Continuation 2. 15m Swing turned Bullish which indicates that the 4H Bullish INT Structure Pullback maybe over. After BOS we expect a pullback, INT Structure high is formed after the bearish CHoCH. Expectations is for price to continue bullish to facilitate the 4H Bullish INT Structure continuation phase.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 12 Mar 2024 W11 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Mar 2024 W11 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Pullback Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback and as expected price reached the supply zone above the Swing EQ, also sweeping the Liq above the Supply zone which could initiate an INT Pullback for the Bullish INT Structure. 4. Be mindful that we were ranging for a period of time and price just broke that range with momentum. Most probably we will have a deep pullback phase to the daily supply before we can initiate the 4H Bearish continuation phase. Keeping my bullish bias till i see solid evidence with 4H bearish break of structure to confirm the 4H Continuation phase is starting. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Swing Pullback Back Phase 2. 15m Swing continuing bearish after reaching the 4H Swing EQ. After the Swing BOS we expect a Pullback. There is a HP that the 4H swing pullback is over and we may continue the bearish Swing continuation. But be mindful that the 4H INT structure still bullish and this is just an Internal Pullback. Bullish Swing BOS will indicate that we still in the 4H Bearish Swing deep pullback and we will target the Weak 4H INT High.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 11 Mar 2024 W11 - Intraday Analysis This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Mar 2024 W11 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback and as expected price reached the supply zone above the Swing EQ, also sweeping the Liq above the Supply zone which could initiate an INT Pullback for the Bullish INT Structure. CHoCH will be the first sign for the INT Structure Pullback. 4. Be mindful that we were ranging for a period of time and price just broke that range with momentum. Most probably we will have a deep pullback phase to the daily supply before we can initiate the 4H Bearish continuation phase. Keeping my bullish bias till i see solid evidence with 4H bearish break of structure to confirm the 4H Continuation phase is starting. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Swing Pullback Back Phase 2. 15m Swing turned bearish after reaching the 4H Swing EQ. After the Swing BOS we expect a Pullback. There is a HP that the 4H swing pullback is over and we may continue the bearish Swing continuation. But be mindful that the 4H INT structure still bullish and this is just an Internal Pullback. Bullish Swing BOS will indicate that we still in the 4H Bearish Swing deep pullback. 3. Price had tapped into the 4H demand and initiated the 15m Swing Pullback Phase.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD & DXY OUTLOOK | 4HDXY is kinda aligning with my bias. I personally think it will go for the imbalance and the gap will act like a base. For EU I'd look for shorts in the whole retracement zone. I have two POIs which I marked - 2WT & DBD. I always make sure DXY aligns with EU when I'm entering. Keep it in mind. The whole retracement zone is a big supply zone. I personally do not think that EU will exceed it but in case it does the same POIs will work as Demand - D>S. What do you think? 2WT = 2 Way Trap DBD = Drop Base Drop Supply Zone
by curtal
EURUSD 11-15 Mar 2024 W11 Weekly Analysis – US CPI WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 11-15 Mar 2024 W11 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. Price reached the INT Extreme and tapped the Weekly Supply Zone and as expected we are targeting at least the CHoCH and then the Weak INT Low. Price did the Bearish ChoCH and formed a fresh Supply zone which will be potential for shorts once reached to continue the Bearish INT structure and Swing too. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from which resulted in a Bearish CHoCH. Price swept the Liq above the Weekly demand and now targeting the Liq below the Weekly Supply for bearish continuation. Expectation will be after reaching the weekly supply is to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. Within the Daily Bearish Swing we reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone and formed a bearish iBOS confirming the Swing Pullback is over and we are Pro Bearish Swing and starting the Continuation Phase targeting the Weak Swing Low. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expected a Pullback. After mitigating the Daily Demand zone we formed a Bullish CHoCH which confirmed the INT Structure Pullback Phase started. Expectations is set now for the INT Structure Pullback Phase to continue to the INT EQ up to the Daily/Weekly Supply. But be mindful that the Swing Bearish continuation can continue at any time. There is no HP POI for Shorts up to the Daily/Weekly Supply Zones. IMO Price could continue up to sweep LIQ from the INT Momentum Phase that leaded to the iBOS before we continue down. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback and as expected price reached the supply zone above the Swing EQ, also sweeping the Liq above the Supply zone which could initiate an INT Pullback for the Bullish INT Structure. CHoCH will be the first sign for the INT Structure Pullback. 4. Be mindful that we were ranging for a period of time and price just broke that range with momentum. Most probably we will have a deep pullback phase to the daily supply before we can initiate the 4H Bearish continuation phase. Keeping my bullish bias till i see solid evidence with 4H bearish break of structure to confirm the 4H Continuation phase is starting. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
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BTCUSD | WHY DID THIS HAPPEN? | 1H OUTLOOKI said in my previous BTCUSD post that I'll be looking for low term sells after the ATH inducement. It played out perfectly. But why? This is my view - The ATH was a massive liquidity pool. After collecting the orders and the liquidity it started big sell movements. Then out of FOMO people started selling because they thought they could "catch top". Twitter was like - "SELL SELL SELL". After inducing again, collecting liquidity orders and imbalance the sellers have been trapped which led to again big upwards movements. What do you think about BTCUSD?
OANDA:BTCUSD
by curtal