Bearish Movement expected. Dont be the Liquidity! pt4Look to all this Negative Delta. We are on Daily TF. BTC will fall and I strongly suggest that you protect your capital.
When media is fully bullish, and everybody is talking about BTC going to the moon and the bullish effect of Halving.. thats the moment when MMakers will rekt almost everybody.
Remember this wise phrase: buy with the rumor and sell with the new.
Even if we see a bullish manipulation to the upside, everything is pointing to lower prices.
Below actual price there is a lot of available Liquidity and it needs to be recapitalized.
Bearish signs are present since days ago. This is my 4th Update trying to warn people.
Be careful.
Liquidity
EURUSD 12 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish
2.
Expectations are met for the INT Structure with the Bearish iBOS.
Currently price targeting the Weak Swing Low.
3.
Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited.
Price now in a bearish momentum targeting the Weak Swing Low.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
2.
Considered this as Swing due to the Bullish iBOS.
With the Swing bearish, expectations is set for bearish continuation.
This 15m Supply is the only clear supply for Shorts.
3.
Following the 4H Swing, expectation is set to continue bearish and the 15m Swing will hold bearish to fulfill the 4H Swing targets.
EURUSD 11 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US PPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish
2.
As price formed a Bearish CHoCH before the CPI news, it was a nice signal for INT Structure to continue bearish.
Expectations is set to target the Weak INT / Swing Lows.
3.
Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
CPI news had a solid push causing a bearish BOS.
No HP POI except the 4H Supply with a 15m nested within it.
IMO i've doubts that price will pullback to this supply.
Expectations is set to continue bearish to fulfill the 4H INT/Swing continuation phase.
3.
After a BOS, we expect a pullback.
Price is currently within the 4H Demand but no momentum.
CHoCH will be the first sign that Swing Pullback maybe starting but be mindful that we are not well positioned within the HTF structure.
Following the bearish move would be the optimum decision.
DXY update before PMI price is near the resistance 0f 104.750 >> 104.800 >> 105
now the question whether the price sweep or run through this liquidity ???
as price has made higher high and higher lows with recent bos we are looking to buy instead of going short
during the impulsive momentum candle price has left behind some bullish fvg which are pending below at the level of 103.700 level before this we have higher low (this higher low could be the liquidity
before 103,700 i dont see any major fvg or ob as of 4h time frame
price currently going all time high which need to take a pullback to fuel the upside move again
the candle formed since 27th march are mostly sideways following a trending which is another area of liquidity laying below it
EURUSD 10 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI/FOMC DAY!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 10 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS.
After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI.
Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply or Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting.
3.
15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
EURUSD 9 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS.
After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI.
Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting.
3.
15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
BTC/USD analysis in 4h timeframeAs we expected bitcoin made a new all time high $73000 area and collect the liquidity over the last ATH $69000.
price is in a trading range between $60000 / $74000.
New flag limits are marked on the chart.
Bitcoin is forming a wyckoff structure and if it ingulf $58000 / $61000 demnad zone it will confirm the structure.
If the WYCKOFF structure is confirmed, price my fall down to $52000 Demand zone.
Otherwise if it gives us a bullish signal on $61000 Demand zone it will be a good investment too buy some #BITCOIN .
XAUUSD SCENARIOHi guys, I'm back with fresh analysis on gold.
if you haven't check my last analysis please do, price moved up from 2281 level for more than 700 pips. which was amazing.
Major institutions are still long on gold(based on COT data) and is still making new highs, so buying on demand levels is sensible.
First level is 2330 which is a broken resistance now acting as support also around level 2328 there is a tiny demand level, beneath that 2318 and last but not least 2308- 2302.
once price reaches these levels you could take long trades with confirmation on lower time frame.
And for those who want to take short trades 2346-2350 would be our supply zone but be really careful with shorts since fundamentals are bullish.
* As always add your intuition and logic into this and do consider risk management.
*Be honorable
EURUSD 8 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Reached Swing EQ
Swing Continuation Phase
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS.
3.
INT Structure failed to continue bearish and turned bullish after reaching the 15m Swing EQ and tapping into a daily demand zone.
Expectations is set to continue Bullish following the 15m Bullish Swing Continuation Phase with target of the Weak Swing High.
EURUSD, APRIL 8, 2024 - LONGThis is a 15min internal structure where liquidity has to be taken to fulfill the 4hour pullback. Price has just taken out inducement at 1.08233 and this has created a liquidity below the 1.08403 zone where I am looking to sell for a short term, clearing liquidity and expecting price to to drop to the 1.08147 or 1.08054 zone and create a confirmation entry. Whichever holds out of these two zones, my major target will be the 4hour 1.08673 zone where I will also be looking for a confirmation entry to go short in clearing the 15min external liquidity.
EURUSD 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 Weekly Analysis - EU Rate / US CPI PPIThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation.
Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low.
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bearish
Swing Continuation / INT Continuation
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low.
Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which was initiated after the Bullish CHoCH which formed a demand that is currently showing reaction from causing a Bullish CHoCH.
3.
Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left.
With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low.
4.
Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
Economic Events for the Week
EURUSD 5 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis - NFP Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 5 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
4H OF and momentum is Bullish so more development on LTF is required for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low and the continuation of the Bearish Swing to target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS.
3.
As expected yesterday, 15m Swing Pullback confirmed after the Bearish iBOS.
Price continued bearish and reached the 15m Swing EQ but didn't mitigate any HTF POI.
Following the Bullish Swing, We need a bullish iBOS to target the Weak Swing High.
Still INT Structure Bearish so expectations is set to continue bearish to mitigate at least the 4H POIs within the 15m Swing Discount.
XAUUSD SELL OR BUYHi Guys' I'm back with another gold analysis, today market is waiting for important dollar news which is about to be released in 6 min.
As always I have multiple levels of demand and supply, some are fresh and some have been tested. Our immediate demand level is 2281 which could be tested by news release. after that level, 69 followed by 61-58 are key demand levels.
To go short 2295 is our current resistance which might get broken and 2302 is our supply level to be tested.
*As always add your own logic and intuition into this analysis and proceed with caution.
Be honorable
EURUSD 4 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis-ECB Minutes/US JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 4 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
4H OF and momentum is Bullish so more development on LTF is required for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low and the continuation of the Bearish Swing to target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS.
3.
Bearish Swing failed and we created a Bullish BOS which aligns with the 4H request to initiate the 4H INT Pullback.
But be mindful that we reached the 4H INT Structure EQ and Premium where we could see a bearish continuation.
Shorts are mostly viable after we mitigate a HTF POI and/or a bearish iBOS.
EURUSD - SHORT - APRIL 04, 2024In this analysis of the EURUSD on the 1-hour timeframe, I'm observing how the price behaves around the 1.08500 supply zone. My intention is to confirm a potential short-term selling opportunity as a countertrend move towards the next demand zone at 1.07838. Once this short-term move plays out, I'll be looking for confirmation on a possible long position from that demand zone. It's important to note that the market operates in a fractal nature, meaning that we can only anticipate the next moves as they unfold. Therefore, we'll need to monitor the situation closely to see how it develops.
SOLUSDT.PAfter a BOS, the price is in a downward movement and closed below the inducement OB. In this scenario, I anticipate a short-term upward movement to mitigate liquidity on the 15m, followed by a continuation of the downtrend.
Given the bullish market conditions, this zone is sensitive, and taking a short position absolutely requires confirmation from the 1m time frame.
EURUSD 1 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis - US PMI This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 1 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Finally with the Bearish iBOS we confirm the Swing Pullback is over and currently we align with the Bearish Swing targeting the Weak Swing Low.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. Bullish CHoCH will be the first sign of the the INT Structure Pullback.
Price had mitigated the 4H Demand for possible start of the Bullish Pullback of INT Structure.
More development on LTF required to confirm the Bullish Pullback Phase.
3.
As price failed to initiate a pullback from the 4H demand, price continued bearish to the Daily demand zone.
Possible reaction ONLY from the Daily demand as we are in the momentum phase of targeting the 4H Weak Swing Low.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price still in the bearish momentum following the HTF continuation.
Price tapped into the daily demand which could provide a reaction to facilitate the INT Bearish Structure Pullback.