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EURUSD 8 Mar 2024 W10 - Intraday Analysis - NFP Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Mar 2024 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback and the possible POI to maybe start the Pullback is the 4H Supply above the Swing EQ. But be mindful that we were ranging for a period of time and price just broke that range with momentum. Most probably we will have a deep pullback phase to the daily supply before we can initiate the 4H Bearish continuation phase. Keeping my bullish bias till i see solid evidence with 4H bearish break of structure to confirm the 4H Continuation phase is starting. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Swing/Internal Pullback Back Phase 2. Price continuing bullish with Bullish Swing BOS formation. We had reached the 4H supply and we'd fully mitigated it which could provide bearish pressure to initiate the 15m Swing Pullback. But be mindful that 15m Swing and 4H Internal Structures are solidly Bullish and we there is a HP we will continue up to mitigate the Daily/Weekly Supply. Still on my Bullish Bias. Shorts will be in play once we have confirmed 15m Bearish BOS. Risky shorts will be with 15m Bearish iBOS. 3. Swing Discount Zone and the last 15m/4H demand zone for potential reaction/longs when reached.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 7 Mar 2024 W10 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 7 Mar 2024 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback and the possible POI to maybe start the Pullback is the 4H Supply above the Swing EQ. But be mindful that we were ranging for a period of time and price just broke that range with momentum. Most probably we will have a deep pullback phase to the daily supply before we can initiate the 4H Bearish continuation phase. Keeping my bullish bias till i see solid evidence with 4H bearish break of structure to confirm the 4H Continuation phase is starting. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. After a Swing BOS we expect a Pullback. INT structure is bullish and most probably will continue bullish after we broke the range. Once internal structure turned bearish we will start the Swing Pullback Phase. Expectation that we will continue bullish till the 4H Supply positioned above the 4H Swing EQ and maybe from there we will start the pullback. Shorts are not considered until we reach a HP HTF POI. 3. Swing Discount Zone and the last demand zone for potential reaction/longs when reached and depending on the situation.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 6 Mar 2024 W10 - Intraday Analysis -US ADP / Powell day 1This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 6 Mar 2024 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m Note: Nothing changed since yesterday except 15m Sub INT turned Bullish aligning with 15m INT and Swing Bullish 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback. We didn't do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH. Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price. As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be over after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario. Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view. 15m Chart Analysis - Out 15m Chart Analysis - In 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish INT INT Bullish INT Continuation Phase 2. Swing turned bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. INT Structure still holding bullish adding to the expectation that the 4H Pullback is going to be deeper which will require the 15m to stay bullish. 3. As we had a long period ranging within the INT Structure. We had formed Sub Internal Structure which turned bullish. Sub INT structure aligned with INT and Swing to continue bullish. Still i expect price to target the Weak INT High. Overall price is ranging and no momentum in the market which means that the market players are waiting for a catalyst today from US ADP and Powell Testifies today and tomorrow.
by Amr-Sadek