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Liquidity

DXY FORECASTIn this forecast we are analyzing 1H time frame for finding the upcoming moves. Today I'm looking for buy opportunity. As we know that market create a clear break of structure and price continue moving upside. If this high is valid than market will need inducement or liquidity, so I'm expecting from market that price first came down and hunt previous SSL and than continue moves in upward direction. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. Use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my prediction. #DXY 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
TVC:DXYLong
by TradeTacticsreal
1
GBPCAD MODULEWe are focusing on the 4-hour time frame chart to analyze the potential moves and changes in GBP/CAD price. Based on my bias, I am expecting a sell in the market today. Let's see what kind of opportunity the market provides. It is very important to get confirmation before taking a trade, so always wait for confirmation. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. #GBPCAD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Short
by TradeTacticsreal
Don't go chasing the Gold RushGold has had quite a year, but I’m here to speculate that the run is nearing its end. The focus is on lower targets. Until that level is hit, the framework for trades remains bearish. Whether you’re taking smaller trades within the move or holding for the broader swing, the direction is clear: bearish until proven otherwise. Targets may shift lower as new data comes in, but the current target is set in stone. Invalidation level is the current all-time high at 2800
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Obscure_Trading
GOLD FORECASTIn this chart we are analyzing 4H time frame for finding the upcoming moves and changes in gold price. By using SMC concept combine with price action and liquidity concept. I'm looking for buy trade opportunity. So what we will do just wait for price when it comes to our zone and observe the reaction of price when enter into the zone. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. #XAUUSD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
BTCUSDT SHORT IDEA. BASED ON LIQUIDITY AND MARKET STRUCTUREWhile the long-term direction of the premier crypto is upwards, with targets at 250k, a slight correction to the previous ATH isn't out of contention. On that note, I'm expecting a drop from around the 100k level towards the previous ATH around 70k-ish. Why 100k? It is both a valid technical and psychological level. Technically, 100k rests at the Internal Range liquidity for the present price leg. Not a financial advise. Do your own research.
by Therealdimkpa
Update: EUR/USD Downward Movement to Continue?In my previous analysis, I highlighted the potential for bearish continuation, targeting the sell-side liquidity (SSL) below. As anticipated, the price respected the retracement into the Daily FVG and Fibonacci zones, sweeping liquidity by taking out the highs. This reaction confirmed bearish intent. On the lower timeframes, a clear entry opportunity emerged, and the pair has since moved lower, heading toward the anticipated SSL target. The bearish structure remains intact, with the next key area of interest around the liquidity pool below. This setup took a week to deliver an entry, but the rewards were definitely worth the wait! This goes to show that patience is essential in trading—there’s absolutely no need to trade every day to succeed. Trade safe!
Short
by jp7fx
Complete analysis - shooortS&P 500 Bias: • Weekly – Uptrend • Daily – Downtrend • 4H – Uptrend • 1H – Uptrend Fair Value Gap’s. • 5,740 – 5,830 on the daily • 6,038 – 5,934 on the daily, filled in by last candle • 5,979 – 6,016 on the 2H, (23 Dec 15.30 – 24 Dec 11.30) Order Block: • 6,037 – 6,063 on the 1H, (17 Dec 15.30 – 18 Dec 11.30) • 5,892 – 5,840 on the 30M (19 dec 15.30 – 20 Dec 09.30) Liquidity pool: • 5,700 • 5,854 (Got hit at 09.30 and Bullishly swept from 09.50 ending in a Premium short with the use of Equilibrium at 12.00) • 6,102 I think we are going to se it draw back in to the FVG that the last three 2H candles created before then testing the Order Block at 6,037 – 6,063 and procced to hunt the liquidity laying at 6,103 since it’s on a bullish rally on the daily since 20 Dec after hitting Liquidity laying there. Before dipping all the way down to the FVG at 5,740 – 5,830. And I think it will go on to the Premium buy side since the market would probably want to hit the Liquidity laying at 5,700. Though I really doubt it is going to hit that since we are in an weekly uptrend. From the previous reactions of all the building block I showed it seems it will still follow the same pattern if not any news shows up, I have showed prices reacting of previously named building blocks and then proceeded to predict it next moves based on that the market will continue that pattern. Ideally the best entry for a short would in my opinion be at 6,102 and above after seeing a break of structure to the downside at the 15M chart. I am pretty new to this so would love any feedback. You don’t agree with the analysis? Then please comment why so I could see you’re resoning.
SP:SPXShort
by LucasIMH
Heavy Short coming.Starting it will want to fill some orders at the fair value gap (purple rectangle) at the top before dropping, but since that level i so high i i am not sure at all it will go there first. Then we see a huge fair value gap ranging from FWB:73K to $90K, massive lack of liquidity. And market can’t have that if the idea is for it to reach even bigger ATH’s. Under that FVG you can se several Liquidity lines (4 to be exact) laying before another FVG and liquidity spot comes again. So we see that market really needs to draw down there before acceding up. Red circle marks an order block (Price range where orders where filled) so we see that liquidity has previously been filled at that level so that supports my theory even greater that market is looking to drop down to that area. There are way to much liquidity missing there and liquidity to get under there again for market to go further up then were it is standing as off now. Hope you understood my POV, would extremely appreciate just a thumbs up or down! New to this.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by LucasIMH
2
A lot of green signals in my eyes.Here i have placed 4 Fair value gap's (Purple rectangle) where 1 is already hit pefectly by that way it dip in to Equilibrium and bought at a premium price and it has responded just perfect of that for the rest of my prediction. Now, there are three pretty good Fair value gap's above, that market want's to reach so it can fill orders / Price ranges where it lacks liquidiy. Also we can se 6 Liquidity spots (Blue lines), where as 1 is under current market position (Will talk about that one soon). So market is obviously atracted to those prices so it can get some good liquidiy. And so when there is some decent looking Fair value gap's and there even is liquidty to get at those levels it is almost inevidable in my eyes that prices doesn't go up there. So even if the market would want to dip to a price of 2,550 perhaps because of the liquidity laying there it would firstly need to get all the liquidity laying above plus the fair value gaps that the market wants to fullfill. And the order blocks (red circle's) shows prices were filled at that level previously and just adds to the reason of price wanting to go up. (Daily chart) I am not the best at frasing myself, so sorry if it is a bit messy. Would love to hear feedback! Even just a thumbs down or up!
TVC:GOLDLong
by LucasIMH
3
DXY ANALYSISWe are focusing on the 4-hour time frame chart to analyze the potential moves and changes in DXY's price. Based on my bias, I am expecting a sell in the market today. Let's see what kind of opportunity the market provides. It is very important to get confirmation before taking a trade, so always wait for confirmation. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. #DXY 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
TVC:DXYShort
by TradeTacticsreal
EUR/USD ANALYSISIn this analyze we are analyzing 1H time frame to identify that what will be the next move come occurs in EURUSD currency pair. I'm expecting that first price came down and touches our buying zone and than again move in upward direction. Let's wait when price enter into our zone and observed how will price react into our zone. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analyze or prediction. #EURUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Long
by TradeTacticsreal
1
What Is ICT Turtle Soup, and How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is ICT Turtle Soup, and How Can You Use It in Trading? The ICT Turtle Soup pattern is a strategic trading approach designed to exploit false breakouts in financial markets. By understanding and leveraging liquidity grabs, traders can identify potential reversals and enter trades with relative precision. This article delves into the components of the ICT Turtle Soup pattern, how to identify and use it, and its potential advantages and limitations, providing traders with valuable insights to potentially enhance their trading strategies. The ICT Turtle Soup Pattern Explained ICT Turtle Soup is a trading pattern developed by the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) that focuses on exploiting false breakouts in the market. This ICT price action strategy aims to identify and take advantage of situations where the price briefly moves beyond a key support or resistance level, only to reverse direction shortly after. This movement is often seen in ranging markets where prices oscillate between established highs and lows. The concept behind ICT Turtle Soup trading is rooted in the idea of liquidity hunts and market imbalances. When the price breaks out, it often triggers stop-loss orders set by other traders, creating a temporary imbalance. The ICT Turtle Soup strategy seeks to capitalise on this by entering trades in the opposite direction once the breakout fails and the price returns to its previous range​. The pattern is named humorously after the original Turtle Traders' strategy, which focuses on genuine breakouts. In contrast, ICT Turtle Soup takes advantage of these failed attempts, thus "making soup out of turtles" by transforming unproductive breakout attempts into potentially effective trades​. Typically, traders look for specific signs of a false breakout, such as a price briefly moving above a recent high or below a recent low but failing to sustain the move. This strategy is particularly effective when used in conjunction with other ICT concepts, such as higher timeframe analysis and understanding of market structure​. Components of the ICT Turtle Soup Pattern To effectively utilise the ICT Turtle Soup setup, it’s essential to understand its core components: order flow and market structure, liquidity, and internal versus external liquidity. Order Flow and Market Structure Order flow and market structure are critical in analysing the ICT Turtle Soup pattern. This involves observing price movements and traders' behaviour in different timeframes. Traders can analyse higher and lower timeframe price movements in FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. Higher Timeframe Structure This refers to the broader trend governing the lower timeframe trend. For traders using the 15m-1h charts to trade, this might mean structure visible on 4-hour, daily, or weekly charts. Higher timeframe structures help traders identify the major support and resistance levels. These levels are essential as they mark the boundaries within which the market generally oscillates. Traders use these to determine the prevailing market direction and potential areas where false breakouts (stop hunts) are likely to occur​. Lower Timeframe Structure Lower timeframe structures are examined on hourly or minute charts. These provide a more detailed view of price action within the higher timeframe’s range and account for the bullish and bearish legs that dictate a broader higher timeframe trend. Liquidity and Stop Hunts In general trading terms, liquidity represents how easy it is to enter or exit a market. However, in the context of the ICT Turtle Soup pattern, areas of liquidity can be identified beyond key swing points. Stop Hunts Stop hunts, also known as a liquidity sweep, occur when the price temporarily moves above a resistance level or below a support level to trigger stop-loss orders. This movement creates a liquidity spike as traders' stops are hit, providing a favourable condition for the price to reverse direction. ICT Turtle Soup traders seek to exploit these moments by entering trades opposite to the initial breakout direction once the liquidity is absorbed. Internal and External Liquidity Understanding internal and external liquidity is vital for applying the ICT Turtle Soup pattern effectively. Internal Liquidity This refers to the liquidity available within the range of the higher timeframe structure. It involves identifying smaller support and resistance levels within the larger range. For example, in a bullish leg, there will be a series of higher highs and higher lows; beneath these higher lows is where internal liquidity rests. This internal liquidity will be targeted to form a bearish leg as part of a higher timeframe bullish trend. External Liquidity This involves liquidity that exists outside the key highs and lows of the higher timeframe trend. To use the example of the bullish leg in a higher timeframe bullish trend, the low it originated from and the high it creates as the bearish retracement begins count as areas of external liquidity. Order Blocks and Imbalances While not directly involved in the ICT Turtle Soup setup, understanding order blocks and imbalances can provide insight into where the price might head and the general market context. Order blocks are areas where significant buying or selling activity has previously occurred, often due to institutional orders. These blocks represent zones of support and resistance where the price is likely to react. Bullish Order Blocks These are typically found at the base of a significant upward move and indicate zones where buying interest is strong. When the price revisits these areas, it often finds support, making them potential entry points for long trades​. Bearish Order Blocks Conversely, these are located at the top of significant downward moves and signal strong selling interest. These zones often act as resistance when revisited, making them strategic points for short trades​. Imbalances Imbalances, or fair value gaps (FVGs), are price regions where the market has moved too quickly, creating a significant disparity between the number of long and short trades. These gaps often occur due to high volatility and indicate areas where the market might revisit to "fill" the gap, thereby achieving fair value. In other words, when a price rapidly moves in one direction, it leaves behind an area with little to no trading activity. The market often returns to these imbalanced zones to facilitate proper price discovery and liquidity. How to Use the ICT Turtle Soup Strategy Here's a detailed breakdown of how traders use the ICT Turtle Soup pattern. Establishing a Bias Traders begin by analysing the higher timeframe trend, such as the daily or weekly charts, to establish a market bias. This analysis helps determine whether the market is predominantly bullish or bearish. Identifying this trend is crucial as it guides where to look for potential Turtle Soup setups. For instance, the example above shows AUDUSD initially moving down after a bullish movement off-screen. It eventually breaks above the lower high, indicating that the higher timeframe trend may now be bullish. Similarly, the shorter-term downtrend beginning from mid-May also saw a new high, meaning a trader may want to look for long positions. Identifying Internal Liquidity Once the higher timeframe trend is established, traders look for a move counter to that higher timeframe trend. In the example shown, this would be a downtrend counter to the bullish structure break. They mark levels of internal liquidity; in a bullish leg, these would be below swing lows and vice versa. These areas are likely to attract stop-loss orders. Looking for Liquidity Taps The next step involves waiting for these internal liquidity areas to be tapped. This typically happens when the price briefly breaks through a support or resistance level, triggering stop-loss orders before quickly reversing direction. Ideally, the price should tap into the same area or order block where the internal liquidity formed and then exhibit a quick reversal, often leaving just a small wick. This movement indicates a liquidity grab, where large players have taken out stops to facilitate their own orders. Lower Timeframe Confirmation After identifying a liquidity grab beyond this internal liquidity level, traders look for an entry. On a lower timeframe, they look for a similar pattern: internal liquidity being run and a subsequent break of structure in the direction of the higher timeframe trend. This involves price retracing back inside the range to fill an imbalance and meet an order block, which provides a precise entry point. Executing the Trade Once these conditions are met, traders typically enter the market. Specifically, they’ll often leave a limit order at an order block to trade in the direction of the higher timeframe trend. They place a stop loss just beyond the liquidity grab, either above the recent high for a short trade or below the recent low for a long trade. Profit targets are often set at key liquidity levels, such as previous highs or lows, where the market is likely to encounter significant activity​. Potential Advantages and Limitations The ICT Turtle Soup pattern is a trading strategy with several potential benefits and drawbacks. Advantages - Precision: Allows for precise entry points by identifying false breakouts and liquidity grabs​. - Adaptability: Effective across different timeframes and market conditions, including ranging and trending markets. - Risk Management: Built-in risk management by placing stop losses just beyond the liquidity grab points. Limitations - Complexity: Requires a deep understanding of market structure, liquidity, and order flow, making it challenging for less experienced traders​. - Market Conditions: Less effective in highly volatile or illiquid markets where false signals are more common. - Time-Consuming: Demands continuous monitoring of multiple timeframes to identify valid setups, which can be time-intensive. The Bottom Line The ICT Turtle Soup pattern offers traders a powerful tool to identify and exploit false breakouts in the market. By understanding its components and applying the strategy effectively, traders can potentially enhance their trading performance. To put this strategy into practice, consider opening an FXOpen account, a reliable broker that provides the necessary tools and resources for trading. FAQs What Is ICT Turtle Soup in Trading? ICT Turtle Soup is a trading pattern that exploits false breakouts. It identifies potential reversals when the price briefly moves beyond a key support or resistance level, triggering stop-loss orders before reversing direction. This strategy aims to take advantage of these liquidity grabs by entering trades opposite to the initial breakout direction​. How to Identify ICT Turtle Soup Conditions? To identify the ICT Turtle Soup pattern, traders analyse higher timeframe trends to establish market bias. They then look for counter-trend moves and mark internal liquidity areas. The pattern is identified when the price taps these liquidity zones and reverses quickly, often leaving a small wick. This signals a liquidity grab and potential trade setup in the direction of the higher timeframe trend​. How to Use the ICT Turtle Soup Pattern? Using the ICT Turtle Soup pattern involves several steps. First, traders establish a market bias based on higher timeframe analysis. Then, they look for liquidity grabs at marked internal liquidity areas, indicating false breakouts. The next step is to confirm the setup on a lower timeframe by observing a similar liquidity grab and structure break. Lastly, they enter trades in the direction of the higher timeframe trend, placing stop losses just beyond the liquidity grab and targeting key liquidity levels for profit-taking​. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
Extrapolating previous cycle price action to predict the futureUsing the Indicator: 4-Year Cycles Cycle Analysis: Cycle 1 to Cycle 2 Changes: ATH increased from $1,160 to $19,676 (16.96x increase) Gain percentage dropped from 52,287.39% to 12,804.2% Loss percentage slightly improved from 86.9% to 83.11% Cycle 2 to Cycle 3 Changes: ATH increased from $19,676 to $68,979 (3.51x increase) Gain percentage dramatically dropped from 12,804.2% to 1,976.94% Loss percentage improved from 83.11% to 75.93% Projection for Cycle 4: Based on the observed pattern of diminishing returns and the logarithmic nature of Bitcoin's growth: Projected ATH: $242,000 to $275,000 (Calculated by applying the observed ATH increase factors) Projected Gain: Approximately 800-1200% (Continuing the trend of diminishing percentage gains) Projected Loss: Around 70-75% (Following the gradual improvement in loss mitigation) Each cycle shows a pattern of: Reduced percentage gains Slightly improved loss recovery Continued exponential growth in absolute ATH price ATH Calculation: Cycle 1 to Cycle 2 growth multiplier: $1,160 → $19,676 = 16.96x Cycle 2 to Cycle 3 growth multiplier: $19,676 → $68,979 = 3.51x Observed Growth Multiplier Trend: Cycle 1 to 2: 16.96x Cycle 2 to 3: 3.51x Projection Approach: Lower Bound Calculation: Previous ATH: $68,979 Multiplier: 3.51 (conservative) Lower target: $68,979 × 3.51 = $242,000 Upper Bound Calculation: Previous ATH: $68,979 Multiplier: 4.0 (slightly more optimistic) Upper target: $68,979 × 4.0 = $275,91 Gain Percentage Calculation: Cycle 1: 52,287.39% Cycle 2: 12,804.2% Cycle 3: 1,976.94% Observed Decline Pattern: Cycle 1 to 2: ~75% reduction in gain percentage Cycle 2 to 3: ~84% reduction in gain percentage Projected Gain Range: Lower bound: 600-800% Upper bound: 1000-1200% Loss Percentage Trend: Cycle 1: 86.9% Cycle 2: 83.11% Cycle 3: 75.93% Projected Loss: 70-75% (continuing the gradual improvement) Methodology Notes: Used geometric progression with decreasing multipliers Considered logarithmic growth pattern Accounted for diminishing returns observed in previous cycles Disclaimer: Ultimately, these projections are mathematical extrapolations based on historical data and should not be considered definitive predictions. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. This projection is based on historical patterns and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult financial professionals before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jpkxyz