EURUSD 23 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU Cons. ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
Note: Nothing changed much since yesterday and yesterday analysis still the same.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing.
Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.
3.
Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish
Pullback Phase
2.
INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase.
Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone.
Just to note that we didn't mitigate any HTF POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase.
3.
INT structure continuing Bullish again with Bullish iBOS.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. No HP demand zones except the one presented which is also not positioned well within the new INT Structure.
Waiting for more price development with expectations for price to continue bullish respecting the INT Low.
4.
Weak Swing low is still holding which means that the Swing pullback still active and we will have a deeper swing pullback.
Liquidity
GOLD: Prime Selling Opportunity Unveiled by Harmonic Symmetry!GOLD has recently breached its downside structure. Currently, the price is undergoing a corrective phase on the 1-hour timeframe, characterized by the presence of a Gartley symmetry. This harmonic pattern is poised to conclude at a highly probable supply level. In the event of the successful completion of this harmonic pattern, a robust selling opportunity is anticipated, as visually depicted on the accompanying chart.
EURUSD 22 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing.
Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.
3.
Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish
Pullback Phase
2.
INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase.
Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone.
Just to note that we didn't mitigate any HTF POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase.
3.
INT structure continuing Bullish again with Bullish iBOS.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. No HP demand zones except the one presented which is also not positioned well within the new INT Structure.
Waiting for more price development with expectations for price to continue bullish respecting the INT Low.
4.
Weak Swing low is still holding which means that the Swing pullback still active and we will have a deeper swing pullback.
EURUSD 22-26 Jan 2024 W4 Weekly Analysis - EUR Rate DecisionThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 22-26 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
INT Extreme
2.
After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low.
3.
With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase.
Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from.
Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply.
Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish.
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bullish
Reached Extreme
2.
Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS.
For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low.
But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up.
Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High.
Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us.
3.
Price managed to get out of the range and approaching a Daily demand zone.
We didn't mitigate it yet but price is bouncing up from the Swing EQ.
4.
Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing.
Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.
3.
Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside.
Economic Events for the Week
Crypto.com(CRO): Will We Fall More?Coin has had a nice downward movement since that liquidity dump on January 3rd.
After closing the price way higher, leaving the coin with such a big wick, we see the price slowly going towards that lower zone.
We are looking for price to reach lower zones here for sure but before that, we might see one last test to upper zones (upper/lower range)
DCA is one option here, for sure!
BTC - HUGE LIQUIDITY POOL ! MANIPULATION TO GROW FASTERBitcoin's (BTC) recent month-long consolidation within a range has presented traders and investors with a unique set of challenges and opportunities. The repeated removal of liquidity from the upper levels of the range has been a notable strategy, but a shift in approach—removing liquidity from below—could be a catalyst for sustained upward momentum, aiming for the $55,000 level.
📉 Range-Bound Trading Analysis:
The month-long consolidation in a range suggests a period of indecision in the market. During this time, liquidity has been consistently extracted from the upper levels, indicating a reluctance for a sustained breakout. To break out of this range and pursue higher price targets, a change in liquidity dynamics may be necessary.
🔄 Shifting Liquidity Strategies:
While removing liquidity from the upper levels has been effective in maintaining the current range, a shift in strategy to extracting liquidity from below could serve as a game-changer. Creating a substantial liquidity pool at lower levels can potentially act as a strong support, making it less likely for the price to revisit those levels and allowing for a more sustainable upward move.
🚀 Targeting $55,000:
To propel Bitcoin toward the $55,000 level, a strategic placement of liquidity pools at lower levels becomes crucial. This approach aims to discourage significant downward moves and provides a solid foundation for sustained upward momentum. The market's ability to hold above key support levels created by these liquidity pools is essential for achieving the targeted price.
💡 Trading and Risk Management:
Traders and investors should carefully monitor the effectiveness of this shift in liquidity strategy. Confirmation of increased buying interest, rising trading volumes, and a successful defense of lower support levels can provide the necessary signals to justify the approach. Risk management remains paramount, with stop-loss orders and exit strategies in place to mitigate potential losses.
🔍 Key Considerations:
Liquidity Shift: Evaluate the impact of transitioning from extracting liquidity at the top of the range to creating substantial liquidity pools at lower levels.
Support Formation: Assess the effectiveness of the new liquidity strategy in forming robust support levels, especially in the context of preventing significant downward moves.
Confirmation Signals: Look for confirmation signals such as increased buying interest, rising volumes, and sustained price action above critical support levels.
Risk Mitigation: Implement effective risk management measures to safeguard against unexpected market developments.
🔮 Future Outlook:
The success of this liquidity strategy shift will likely play a crucial role in Bitcoin's ability to break out of the range and target higher price levels. Traders and investors should remain vigilant, adapt their strategies to evolving market conditions, and be prepared to adjust course based on real-time data and developments in the cryptocurrency landscape.
EURUSD 19 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - EU Con ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing.
Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish
Pullback Phase
2.
INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase.
Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone.
Just to note that we didn't mitigate any POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase.
3.
Currently the new INT structure is Bullish and we had reached the extreme and price respected the INT Low and continued up.
Expectation that we are going to target the INT High as long we respect the Swing Low.
Also there is a high probability that we may break the Swing low as we didn't mitigate any HP POI to initiate a pullback.
EURUSD 18 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - ECB MinutesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 18 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase signaling that we still looking for deeper pullback to the next Daily/4H Demand zones.
Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish
Pullback Phase
2.
Finally we are out of the range where the 15m Swing turned bearish signaling the expectation that if the Swing turned bearish then the 4H is having a deep pullback phase within the 4H Bullish Swing.
After a BOS we expect a pullback phase to initiate and we will be looking for Bullish iBOS to confirm Swing Low and the initiation of the Swing pullback.
I'll be cautious that after range we were in the momentum will be aggressive and pullback may not happen directly and following the current INT structure will be the safe option.
3.
INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase.
Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone.
Just to note that we didn't mitigate any POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase.
EURUSD 17 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - US Retail/ EU CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bearish
OF Bearish
In Discount
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase signaling that we still looking for deeper pullback to the next Daily/4H Demand zones.
Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
2.
Finally we are out of the range where the Swing turned bearish signaling the expectation that if the Swing turned bearish then the 4H is having a deep pullback phase within the 4H Bullish Swing.
After a BOS we expect a pullback phase to initiate and we will be looking for Bullish iBOS to confirm Swing Low and the initiation of the Swing pullback.
I'll be cautious that after range we were in the momentum will be aggressive and pullback may not happen directly and following the current INT structure will be the safe option.
3.
INT structure is continuing bearish and i would expect the continuation bearish till we reach the Daily/4H Demand zone as current targets.
No HP supply zone within the current INT structure as all are mitigated.
I'll be waiting for the next INT structure for Shorts if we didn't reach the Daily/4H Demand zones first.
EURUSD 16 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - German CPI/ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 16 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
NOTE : Still price is ranging and i'm waiting for a break out of that range. Order flow on 4H is currently bearish within the INT Structure so my expectation is to stay bearish and may target the 15m Swing Low. A formation of Bearish Structure will indicate that the 4H Swing pullback is not yet done and we may have a deep pullback within the 4H Swing.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
OF Bearish
Reached EQ
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs.
Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme.
With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme.
Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
At Swing Extreme Low
2.
INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme.
The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone.
This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging.
3.
It's clear now that after NFP and CPI the market is in indecision phase and needs a catalyst to get out of the range.
For me price still Bullish until we have a Bearish Swing (Solid close below Swing Low)
I'll be waiting for more price development outside the range we are currently in.
Choch Entry & Liquidity Model | Trading StrategyIntroduction:
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Fundamental Principles:
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Liquidity Management:
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Practical Implementation:
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Risks and Challenges:
As with any trading strategy, it is crucial to understand the potential risks and challenges associated with the "Choch Entry & Liquidity Model" strategy. Market volatility, sudden changes in economic conditions, and other factors can influence outcomes.
Conclusions:
The "Choch Entry & Liquidity Model" trading strategy represents an intriguing approach that combines targeted entry with careful liquidity management. Its effectiveness depends on the trader's proficiency in consistently and flexibly applying key principles, adapting them to the changing dynamics of the market.
EURUSD 15 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - US HolidayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
NOTE : No much development in price since NFP (2 Weeks). Can't see suitable option within that range knowing that it's a big range. But best is always wait for the setups that you are trained on and not to force a setup in current market behavior.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs.
Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme.
With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme.
Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
At Swing Extreme Low
2.
INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme.
The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone.
This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging.
3.
It's clear now that after NFP and CPI the market is in indecision phase and needs a catalyst to get out of the range.
For me price still Bullish until we have a Bearish Swing (Solid close below Swing Low)
I'll be waiting for more price development outside the range we are currently in.
EURUSD 15-19 Jan 2024 W3 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 15-19 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
2.
After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low.
3.
With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase.
Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from.
Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply.
Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish.
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bullish
Reached Extreme
2.
Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS.
For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low.
But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up.
Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High.
Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us.
3.
Previous week PA was ranging within the INT Structure EQ. Crossroads now for price.
4.
Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs.
Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme.
With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme.
Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development.
Economic Events for the Week
EURUSD 12 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - US PPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
NOTE : Nothing changed much also yesterday even with CPI news. a whole ranging week and i wish we get out of that range today so we can have better opportunities next week. Wishing everyone a good weekend.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs.
Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme.
With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme.
Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
2.
INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme.
The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone.
This demand is mitigated now we are currently ranging.
For me it's clear now that market is waiting for CPI news today which will will provide us a clear view for next week.
3.
After CPI news yesterday, we pushed above range high (NFP High) which enabled me after to mark INT Structure high as we did a CHoCH.
Currently we still ranging inside the INT Structure. My Bias still Bullish till we see bearish Structures.
EURUSD 11 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
NOTE : Nothing changed since yesterday too, price still ranging since last Friday NFP and market waiting US CPI Today.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs.
Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme.
With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme.
Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
At Swing Extreme Low
2.
INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme.
The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone.
This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging.
For me it's clear now that market is waiting for CPI news today which will will provide us a clear view for next week.
EURUSD 10 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysishis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 10 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
NOTE : Nothing changed since yesterday too, price still ranging since last Friday NFP and market waiting US CPI on Thursday
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs.
Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme.
With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme.
Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
At Swing Extreme Low
2.
INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme.
The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone.
This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging.
For me it's clear now that market is waiting for CPI news tomorrow which will will provide us a clear view for next week.
EURUSD 9 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - US Trade BalanceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 9 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
NOTE : Nothing changed since yesterday, price still ranging since last Friday NFP and market waiting US CPI on Thursday
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs.
Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme.
With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme.
Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
At Swing Extreme Low
2.
After the recent Bullish BOS price started a series of Bearish INT Structures to facilitate the Swing Pull Back.
3.
INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme.
The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a fresh 15m/4H Demand zone.
This demand is the last demand zone in order for the 15m Swing to stay bullish. If failed, then we will have a deeper push down and the 4H will have the second view for deep Swing Pullback.
EURUSD 8 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - EUR Retail Sales This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs.
Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme.
With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme.
Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development.
3.
Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
At Swing Extreme Low
2.
After the recent Bullish BOS price started a series of Bearish INT Structures to facilitate the Swing Pull Back.
3.
INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme.
The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a fresh 15m/4H Demand zone.
This demand is the last demand zone in order for the 15m Swing to stay bullish. If failed, then we will have a deeper push down and the 4H will have the second view for deep Swing Pullback.
4.
Potential demand zone within the Swing extreme.