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Liquidity

Short Position on EURCAD: Strong Potential for TP SuccessKey Fundamentals Supporting a Bearish Bias: - Eurozone Struggles: Recent economic reports indicate that the Eurozone is facing challenges, including sluggish growth and rising inflation. This could weaken the Euro as investors lose confidence. - Interest Rate Outlook: The European Central Bank is taking a cautious stance on interest rates, while the Bank of Canada is likely to raise rates. This contrast could strengthen the Canadian Dollar against the Euro. - Geopolitical Pressures: Ongoing issues in Europe, such as energy crises and trade disruptions, are creating uncertainty. This instability can further drag down the Euro's value relative to the CAD. I'm focusing on short positions for EURCAD by using probabilities derived from historical data. By analyzing past trends and applying straightforward mathematical rules, I can spot high-probability trading opportunities. This strategy helps me stay disciplined and make informed decisions, reducing emotional trading and increasing my chances of success. Let's dive into the multiple timeframe top-down analysis together: 12M: 1D: Hourly Entry:
Short
by Jasminex1x2
2
GOLD M30 FORECASTIn this analysis we are focusing on 30M time frame for XAUUSD. I'm looking potential sell today. By using trendline and liquidity concept. So wait for price wait for rejection wait for confirmation. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us. Without any confirmation we could not execute our trade. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analyze or prediction. #GOLD M30 Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
The Macro Picture Few Are Watching: Bitcoin Dominance in the FinAs we approach what could be the final leg of this bull market, Bitcoin Dominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) is set to become a critical indicator. Historically, a peak in BTC dominance has often preceded liquidity spillovers into the broader crypto market, igniting a wave of speculative fervor across altcoins. This time, as BTC dominance nears pivotal levels, we may be entering a similar phase, marked by heightened volatility and shifting market dynamics. The chart suggests that BTC dominance could soon experience a reversal, signaling the start of widespread capital rotation within the crypto space. Observing BTC dominance during this period will provide early clues about market sentiment, helping investors to time entry and exit points with precision. I’ll be closely monitoring this metric and will provide timely updates as we approach potential inflection points. This shift could begin within the next 1-6 weeks.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by mbuffara
Investment-Grade Debt vs. Treasuries and Stock Market ImplicatioIntroduction: The ratio between investment-grade corporate debt (LQD) and 3-7 Year Treasuries (IEI) serves as a key measure of market liquidity, carrying important implications for the stock market. When this LQD-to-IEI ratio rises, it indicates stronger market liquidity, typically reducing the risk of a stock market downturn. Monitoring this ratio can provide early signals on the market’s broader risk environment. Analysis: Liquidity Signal: A rising LQD-to-IEI ratio reflects improved liquidity conditions, which can offer a more favorable environment for stocks by reducing systemic risk and easing funding conditions. Technical Pattern: Currently, the LQD-to-IEI ratio is approaching a potential breakout from a rounding bottom formation, which is a bullish pattern. A confirmed breakout, possibly supported by recent Federal Reserve liquidity measures, would strengthen the case for a continued stock market uptrend. Market Implications: A breakout in this ratio would indicate robust liquidity, offering a supportive backdrop for stock gains. Strong liquidity tends to encourage investment in equities, as it alleviates funding pressures and risk concerns. Conclusion: The LQD-to-IEI ratio offers a vital signal of market liquidity, with a potential breakout from its rounding bottom pattern indicating a bullish scenario for equities. If liquidity conditions remain strong, stocks could see continued support, reducing the chances of a market crash. Do you agree with this outlook on liquidity’s impact on stocks? Share your perspective below! Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the LQD-to-IEI ratio, the rounding bottom formation, and breakout potential) Tags: #Liquidity #CorporateDebt #Treasuries #StockMarket #LQD #IEI #TechnicalPatterns
AMEX:LQD
by Richtv_official
Bitcoin Still Targeting New ATHHey there, Just wanted to share an update on Bitcoin. Since March 2024, it has been trading within a 30% range, showing significant consolidation. I'm leaning bullish because Bitcoin has left a lot of untouched liquidity behind, and I believe it's only a matter of time before we break the all-time high. If you've been trading the long side swings, you've likely taken profits from previous order blocks. Interestingly, most traders are ready to go long on Bitcoin above $70,000 instead of taking positions within the current range (if we break immediatly, I would also long it on my Futures Account). Personally, I'll be looking to catch two separate spot buys with different position sizes if the market breaks down. It would be great to see a new low for a better risk-reward ratio. Best regards
Long
by umothegreat
GOLD FORECASTIn this analysis we are focusing on 30M time frame for XAUUSD. Today I'm looking potential drop in gold price, So wait for price when it comes into our zone. After taking some additional confirmation like volume increase or decrease and RSI divergence. Then we will execute our trade. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my prediction and analysis. #GOLD M30 Technical Analysis Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
GOLD 1H OUTLOOKIn this analysis we are focusing on 1H time frame for gold. Here we are using SMC concept along with price action. Overall market structure was bullish. I'm expecting from price that price comes at least to the key level of our order block and then it will continue move in upward trend. Let's analyze more deeply and keep an eye on these levels and potential outcomes. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and R:R ratio. This is just my prediction or analysis. #XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
USOIL: Multi-Timeframe Analysis | Strong Setup FormingI've been looking at various markets recently, and USOIL really stood out to me. I want to share how I analyze markets using a mechanical top-down approach across all timeframes to form my trading bias. Top-Down Analysis: This method is crucial in my trading strategy. It helps me stay objective by focusing on what the market is indicating regarding trends and key levels, rather than letting my personal opinions cloud my judgment. By adopting a systematic approach, I've been able to reduce doubts and fears in my trading decisions. Now, let's dive into the top-down analysis process. 12M: 2W: 6H:
TVC:USOILLong
by Jasminex1x2
2
GBPUSD BEARS STILL GOT IT! WHAT HAPPENED TO THE BULLS??!The bears came in this week as anticipated but failed to reach the expected AOI from the previous short projection, hence, leaving us with no short trades this week, yet. Now attention is shifting towards the bullish side of the curve as price approach two significant AOIs (a weekly FVG and a 3-month demand zone). As we still seek to see a potential retracement of all the shorting from September, we will watch keenly what price does first within the FVG for bullish signal. Should it violate this level also, the demand zone below becomes our ultimate area for longs.
Long
by LloydFX
HOW And WHY The Markets MoveIn this video I explain HOW and WHY the markets move. At it's core, trading is a zero-sum game, meaning that nothing is created. There must always be a counter-party to any trade, after all it is called "trading". Because of this, liquidity is the lifeblood of the market and it is what is required by all participants, albeit more for the larger entities out there. In order for these larger entities to trade, they must do so in stages of buying and selling, and not all in one single position like we do as retail traders. They buy on the way down, and sell on the way up, throughout many different time horizons. Therefore, they require price to be delivered efficiently in order to sustain this working machine. I hope you find the video somewhat insightful. Regardless of your beliefs, I think it can be agreed that these two principles are what drives the marketplace and it's movements. - R2F
OANDA:WTICOUSDEducation
by Road_2_Funded
7
Bullish Outlook on XRPUSDKey Reasons for a Bullish Bias: 1. Positive Market Sentiment: XRP has recently broken through an important resistance level, which shows that traders are feeling optimistic about its future. 2. Bullish Technical Patterns: An inverted Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, suggesting that XRP might be ready for a price increase. 3. Improving Regulations: Recent developments in cryptocurrency regulations are becoming more favorable, which could attract more institutional investors to XRP. I plan to use probabilities based on historical data and the X1X2 methodology to enter long positions in XRP. Here’s why: - Learning from the Past: By looking at past price movements and historical data of XRP, I can spot biases that might help predict future behavior. - X1X2 Methodology: This method helps me identify key price levels to enter and exit trades, making my strategy more focused. - Smart Risk Management: By using probabilities, I can set stop-loss orders at strategic points, reducing my risk and making more informed decisions. In summary, with a positive market outlook and a solid trading strategy based on historical data and mathematical rules, I’m confident in taking long positions in XRPUSD. Traders, if you found this idea helpful or have your own thoughts on it, please share in the comments. I’d love to hear from you! 12M: 2W: 1H:
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by Jasminex1x2
1
GOLD OUTLOOKIn this analysis we are focusing on 30M time frame for XAUUSD. In this analyze we are using parallel channel along with price action. Gold has been growing recently and the pair seems locally overbought, so as the pair is approach a parallel channel of 2680 - 2685. Price decline is to be expected. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and risk to reward ratio. #GOLD M30 Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
Uptrend or Fadeout? Learn the Key to Catching Market Breakouts1. Recognizing Market Structures: Uptrends and Downtrends Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): These are signs the market is in an uptrend—prices keep moving up, forming new highs (peaks) and lows (dips) that are higher than the previous ones. Think of it like climbing stairs: each step higher shows the market’s strength. Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL): When prices stop climbing and start forming lower peaks and lower dips, it signals that the market might be slowing down or reversing into a downtrend. In the chart: The first part shows a bullish (upward) move with Higher Highs and Higher Lows. Later, the market shifts to lower highs, signaling a potential slowdown or shift toward a downward move. 2. What Is the LQZ (Liquidity Zone)? Liquidity Zone (LQZ): This is a key price area where a lot of trading activity happens—like a hotspot where buyers and sellers clash. When price reaches such a zone, it either breaks through and keeps moving in that direction (bullish continuation) or bounces back down (rejection). Think of it like a soccer goal line: if the ball crosses the line, the team scores a goal (bullish move); if it’s blocked, the ball goes the other way (bearish move). In the chart: The LQZ is highlighted as the key level to watch. A clean breakout (with more than just a quick spike or wick) signals that buyers are strong enough to push the market higher. If the price gets rejected at this zone, the sellers regain control, and the market might move down. 3. Scenarios: What Happens Next? The chart offers two possible outcomes based on how price behaves near the LQZ. Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the LQZ and stays there, it’s likely to continue upward towards: Target 1: 2,661.38 Target 2: 2,673.60 These are the next levels where buyers might take profits or where new sellers could appear. Bearish Scenario: If the price gets rejected at the LQZ and drops lower, it could move towards: Bearish Target 1: 2,569.49 Bearish Target 2: 2,546.25 This suggests the sellers have taken control, pushing the market down. 4. How to Know When to Enter a Trade? The chart highlights the importance of waiting for confirmation before jumping into a trade. Here’s a simple trade plan: For a Buy (Long) Trade: Wait until the price breaks above the LQZ and stays above it. Enter on the first pullback (dip) after the breakout—this is often called a flag or retest. For a Sell (Short) Trade: If the price gets rejected at the LQZ, wait for a clear downward movement. Enter after the first lower high forms, confirming that the sellers are in control. Why wait for confirmation? Jumping in too early might cause you to get caught in a false breakout or fake move. Think of it like waiting to see which team scores first before betting on the game. 5. Avoid Emotional Trading and Manage Risk This chart reflects a key lesson: trading is a game of patience and probabilities. If the trade doesn't go as expected, it’s important to step back and wait for the next opportunity. Don’t chase trades just because you fear missing out (FOMO). You might enter too soon and hit your stop loss unnecessarily. Risk Management Tip: Use stop losses to protect your account from big losses. Avoid placing multiple risky trades on the same pair just because you’re impatient. It’s better to wait for high-probability setups. 6. Summary: A Simple Trading Plan Watch the LQZ level: If the price breaks above, look to buy on the next dip. If the price gets rejected, look to sell when it starts forming lower highs. Set Clear Targets: For bullish trades, aim for Target 1 and 2 above. For bearish trades, aim for Bearish Targets 1 and 2 below. Don’t Rush: Wait for clear confirmation before entering. Follow your trading plan and avoid emotional decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
Update on teslaHi, quick update. i do want to update some bearish technical scenerios that align with liquidity concepts. (neither bullish or bearish idea is 100% to occur and its important to prepare to all scenerios) The latest test on demand was not what i was hoping to see. with prices making bad lows (confirm on TPO) and creating a liquidity pool, showing a lack of strength (market moves on the path of least resistance) from buyers(volume is low market shows uncertainty around current price). We have a gap down (green rectangle) and bad lows, the last imbalances on the chart at 199.48 (if we dont consider the aug 5 bad lows duo to the japanese sell off) These will hit stop losses and reset highly leveraged positions and most importantly will provide wallstreet a premium price on tsla shares. That price aligns with targets from both bearish and bullish sides. as of now we are holding the daily 100 ema the 200 EMA is 201 and the yearly VWAP is also confluencing with that EMA. SHOCKING! If we are at the parliamentary supply a selling climax will follow.. and the target for it would close the imbalance and the gap would provide us a good low to buy from and grab upside liquidity if not break resistance finally. in terms of RSI a sell off to that area will give us an oversold RSI on the daily and hit the orderblocks down there! I am still bullish on tesla but acknowledging these bearish scenerios will help up understand what is happening if they happening. I closed my CFD position in tiny profit but i am still keeping my value investment on and havent sold a bit. I will happily go further down and give myself a nice CFD trade on tesla from these price targets.! This is not a financial advice but simply me sharing my ideas and journaling my investments and trading. I hope you all have a great day I AM STILL BULLISH THERES A REASON WHY THEY ARE CALLED SHORTS (SHORT TERM) AND LONGS (LONG TERM)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Captainobvious5454