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EURUSD 27 Nov - 1 Dec 2023 Weekly Analysis - Inflation US & EURThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 127 Nov - 1 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. Price had fully mitigated the weekly supply (FLIP Zone and swept the Liq above the zone by not fully closing the candle above. Still it could be a sweep of liq if we started to see pushes to the down side and structure changes on TF lower than the Weekly TF. Price could be targeting the Supply zone at the INT Structure High to continue bearish as long TFs lower supports that. 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish OF Bullish Reached EQ 2. After BOS we expect a pullback OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and we reached the INT bearish Structure Extreme. 3. Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure where price swept the Liq above and created a Bullish CHoCH on the Weekly TF. As price currently didn't close above the INT High, there is a probability that this could be a Sweep of LIq to continue down. To Confirm that Sweep concept we want to see at least a Bearish CHoCH which will be a Break of Structure on 4H which will support the concept and with that we can play Shorts. But also be mindful that OF is in Strong bullish move and playing against it without confirmation will be rough. Let's watch LTF to guide us. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 3. After the Swing BOS, we expected a pullback but price still in Bullish momentum and still creating Bullish INT Structures. We didn't have Swing pullback till now which will be identified by a Bearish iBOS. Price reached the extreme of the Bullish INT Structure and we may react only from there as our expectations is to reach (And maybe extend above) the Weak INT HIgh. So the current supply there may provide some bearish reaction, but our expectations on the 4H TF is to continue up. But keep in mind that the bearish scenario we have from the Weekly and Daily could be starting from this area or a bit higher. In all ways, bearish scenario will be confirmed with bearish structure formation which we don't have till now. So patience is always the key of success! plan and wait for confirmation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
11/26/23 NAS Weekly Outlook11/26/23 NAS Weekly Outlook #NAS #WeeklyOutlook Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for #BullishCase: The bullish case will be how we respond to the FDL from Friday. We have price tapping the low at the moment and we will need to watch out for how price responds to the 4H+FVG range we are in. On the LTF, we should see a new +POI form and we can use this to aim for the +LP($), Friday’s PDH and back in the W-FVG. #BearishCase: The bearish care will also revoke around the PDL from Friday. Since we are in the 4H+FVG range, we will need to see an impulse through the low on the LTF and aim for the PDL lows from Wednesday and Thursday. 1H chart 4h chart D chart: W chart
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Cory4rex
11/26/23 SPX Weekly Outlook11/26/23 SPX Weekly Outlook #SPX #WeeklyOutlook: Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for #BullishCase: Currently taking the PDL, however, below this low are the following +POIs, a D+B and two 4H+FVGs. On the LTFs, we need to see how price reacts below this PDL and on the LTF if we get new +POIs with these ranges. #BearishCase: The PDL from Friday is also our POI for the sell setup as well. We need to watch the LTFs for an impulse through the low and on the LTFs once we trade through the low wait for a fresh -POI for a LTF setup. 1H chart 4H chart D Chart W Chart
BLACKBULL:SPX500
by Cory4rex
11/26/23 US30 Weekly Outlook11/26/23 US30 Weekly Outlook #US30 #WeeklyOutlook Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for #BullishCase: The bullish case is to take the PWH on each of the time frames. There are -POIs above us that are still our HTF draw. We tapped a W-FVG around 16000 and are in the moment fading into a 4H+FVG that we have already traded up from. On the LTF, after we take the PDL we made on Friday, we will need to watch how price reacts with the FVG on the LTFs #BearishCase: The bearish case is the PDL from Friday as well. If we trade through this low with impulse, then I will aim for the PDLs from Wednesday and Thursday on the LTFs 1H chart 4h chart D chart: W chart
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Cory4rex
1
11/26/23 US30 Weekly Outlook11/26/23 US30 Weekly Outlook #US30 #WeeklyOutlook Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for #BullishCase: The bullish case is to take the PWH on each of the time frames. There are -POIs above us that are still our HTF draw. In the case of US30 we also have a W-RB(rejection Block)/D-OB that is just above the last PWH. #BearishCase: The bearish case is the LTF -LP($) from the 1H TF. If we trade through this swing low with impulse, then I will aim for the PDLs from Thursday and Friday. 1H chart 4h chart D chart: W chart
FOREXCOM:US30
by Cory4rex
ROSE Bloom depends on PollinationGM Gardeners! The Summer season is going to an end and one of our flowers seems to still be in its early stages of the pollination. Most roses bloom between late spring and early fall, typically taking about six weeks to produce each new set of flowers as the plant continues growing throughout the season. However, our flower didn't actually bloom just yet. In the past year, it shown a great smell of victory in June, because we've feed the ground at its Area #1. This year we've gone through this Area and formed the underground, Area #2, and even had some cold snowy blossom. Remember: Carefully pruning, feeding, and controlling any pests or diseases on your roses is the best way to encourage new blooms. That's why we have to carefully feed the ground at the Area #2. After that we can test this ground and touch the middle point of the wedge like this: (BoS is the breaking of structure. If we confirm BoS High, than the Area #2 has been feeded enough. If we confirm BoS Low, The feeding process will just begin) However, My long term guess is that each massive flowering requires the Renewed land. That's why I'm expecting coming to the Unexplored Area #3 for the blossom to take part this Fall. Have a Good Harvest Yours truly, Gardener A.I.Vision
by A_I_Vision
1
EURUSD 24 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 3. Following the bullish INT Structure, after the iBOS we pulled back to the structure extreme and mitigated the 4H demand. Currently price is mitigating the formed demand from the bullish CHoCH. Current expectation is to target the INT High. But be mindful that the Swing Pullback could happen at anytime and the current INT Bullish structure can fail to start the pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. INT Structure turned Bullish to Signal that the 15m Swing is over and we are currently targeting the Weak Swing High. If price going to respect the current INT Low there is a high probability that we are going to continue up. So this demand zone is the last opportunity for longs to continue up. 3. Price didn't mitigate any 15m/4H supply up. So we may have another push to the up side specially after the Bullish iBOS.
by Amr-Sadek
MATIC: Liquidity Sweeps as Precursors to GrowthThe crypto landscape is buzzing with excitement as MATIC (Polygon) exhibits a fascinating pattern before significant upswings – the liquidity sweeps or order flow dynamics. Notably, MATIC recently executed a liquidity sweep below the 0.5 imbalance level, signaling a potential prelude to an upward move targeting $1. Let's delve into the details. 📈🔍 MATIC's Liquidity Sweeps and Growth Pattern: Consistent Pre-Rally Behavior: MATIC has shown a consistent pattern of conducting liquidity sweeps or order flow adjustments before embarking on notable upward trends. Recent Sweep Below 0.5 Imbalance: The most recent liquidity sweep occurred below the 0.5 imbalance level, suggesting a potential accumulation and preparation phase for a significant move. Key Price Levels: Sweep Confirmation: Observing the confirmation of the recent liquidity sweep below the 0.5 imbalance level, which may act as a crucial point for initiating the next bullish cycle. Targeting $1: With the historical context of MATIC's behavior, eyes are set on a target of $1 once the liquidity sweep is confirmed, aligning with previous growth patterns. Trading Strategy: Confirmation and Entry: Await confirmation of the liquidity sweep and look for entry points aligned with supportive price action and volume. Strategic Entry Points: Strategically plan entries based on the confirmed pattern, considering your risk tolerance and trading strategy. Risk Management: Incorporate effective risk management tools, such as stop-loss orders, to navigate potential market fluctuations. Conclusion: MATIC's consistent pre-rally behavior, marked by liquidity sweeps, adds an intriguing layer to its trading dynamics. The recent sweep below the 0.5 imbalance level positions MATIC for a potential surge towards $1, making it a compelling asset for traders. Wishing you successful trades as MATIC unfolds its next chapter! ❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below🔑
M
by AlexWhale
1
BNB Daily Market Maker Sell Model (roadmap until 2024)In my personal opinion, we are facing a Market Maker Sell model on the daily timeframe for BNB. I would expect the price to drop sharply for the remainder of the year. The first target is $218.6, and then $200. A peculiar aspect is that the Market Maker Reversal coincides with the recent news of CZ leaving the company. I want to clarify that I don't trade on the daily timeframe, but I will use this model as a roadmap for the rest of the year, so I will be looking for short opportunities on lower timeframes at points of interest in the bearish order flow. These setups are high probability as they align with the higher timeframes. I will post a picture whit Weekly timeframe to add context.
Short
by NarcotikT
EURUSD 23 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - EUR PMI / US HolidayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m Before i start my analysis, i want to share the current trade that i planned it in my analysis yesterday in regards to the buy opportunity from the 4H Demand. Current trade is based on the idea of following the Bullish structure on 15m and 4H and as long the 15m Swing is bullish, i'll be looking for longs from 4H demand. This is the current long trade with SL now at BE as we reached the INT Bearish Structure Extreme Supply. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 3. Following the bullish INT Structure, after the iBOS we pulled back to the structure extreme and mitigated the 4H demand. Current expectation is to target the INT High. But be mindful that the Swing Pullback could happen at anytime and the current INT Bullish structure can fail to start the pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. Price in bearish INT Structure to facilitate the 15m Bullish Swing pullback. We reached the discount and almost the extreme and mitigated a fresh 4h demand zone. Most probably if this Swing is going to hold bullish, we are expecting the INT structure to turn bullish and target the Swing High. 3. Current INT Bearish structure extreme supply zone which could provide short opportunities to continue bearish. But be mindful that we reached the discount and mitigated the 4H Demand.
by Amr-Sadek
11/21/23 All Indices Daily Outlook#NAS #SPX #US30 #DailyReview #DailyOutlook In the over night sessions, price was the smoothest on the indices, as the price failed to take out the PDHs on SPX and US30. NAS tapped the PDH and traded above it only to move back into the previous day’s range. The #fomc meeting notes and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen in the afternoon seems to have held up up for now. The #homesales numbers came in off projects: 10:00am USD Existing Home Sales 3.79M 3.90M 3.95M The interest rates have dropped but this isn’t the time we’d typically see this number kicking up. Each of the indices has traded into 4H+FVG and that implies that we could still move up from where we are. The PDL from yesterday is my SSL draw if we push to the downside and the PWHs are still my targets for an upside move. #BullishCase As we have rest in this 4H+FVG on all 3 indexes, we’ll need to look for price to hold. As long as we don’t have an impulse to the downside through a PDL, we should be okay to still see a move from the FVG range. SPX and NAS, both have BSL as targets from the Closing session. But the targets, aside from this will be the the BSL, PDH and Was for all the Indices. #BearishCase If we manage to trade through the PDL on each of the indices and we do so with an impulse this will change my view of the short-term/ midterm to look for a sell. This would imply that the 4H+FVG has been mitigated and we could potentially see that IFVG or inverse FVG setup play out. For either situation patience and price action will lead the way! All Charts 1H
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Cory4rex
EURUSD 22 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. We did a CHoCH but it was only a Sweep of Liquidity and even the 15m didn't close below the Structure. 3. Price still in a Bullish momentum after the 4H BOS. We didn't mitigate the Daily/4H Supply yet but it did a CHoCH and confirmed INT High after the bullish iBOS. Currently price in an INT Structure Pullback and most probably the 4H Demand will be a good area for Longs if there is conformation from LTF (15m) 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. As mentioned yesterday we were looking for a sign for the pullback and with the bearish iBOS we confirmed a Swing High and we are currently bearish to facilitate the Swing Pullback. We didn't mitigate the Daily Supply, but keep in mind that price doesn't have to mitigate it before going down. Always follow the structure and what does it tells you and not to follow what you want price to do. Most probably a pullback after the iBOS will be an opportunity for Shorts if we didn't tap into discount or deep in the Swing Discount. If we are in a deep pullback then most probably will look for longs from the 4H Demand zone.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 21 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - FOMC Minutes DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. We did a CHoCH but it was only a Sweep of Liquidity and even the 15m didn't close below the Structure. 3. Price still in a Bullish momentum after the 4H BOS. We are approaching the Daily and 4H Supply zones which could provide a pullback. The pullback will be tough to play and will require a 4H Bearish iBOS which is currently far from here. Most probably the LTF (15m) will give us a clue if there will be some relief for a pullback from this Daily/4H Supply Zones. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. After the 15m BOS we expect a pullback. Price still in the continuation phase and no signs of pullback starting. a Bearish iBOS will be the first sign. Price is approaching the Daily and 4H Supply Zones, the Pullback could start from there but we need a confirmation (Bearish iBOS) Playing the pullback will be after the bearish iBOS and be mindful that the pullbacks in nature is rough ride. 3. The most probable demand zones within the new 15m Swing is the Extreme and the one above as both are below EQ (In Discount)
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 20 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 20 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. We did a CHoCH but it was only a Sweep of Liquidity and even the 15m didn't close below the Structure. 3. After reaching the Daily/4H Supply, price started to show some reaction. The CHoCH that happened just confirmed the INT High and it was only Sweep of Liquidity due to the aggressive bullish move. Currently we have a Bullish iBOS and again we are expecting a Pullback which could start from the current 4H Supply or i prefer to Sweep the Liquidity above the Weekly supply and we will be starting a nice pullback to the 4H Swing and it could evolve to a Weekly / Daily bearish continuation. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. After a BOS we expect a pullback. The first sign will be a CHoCH which price did but it created instead a bullish INT Structure. So the bearish iBOS will be a sign that the pullback is starting. We are mitigating the 4H and Daily Supply zones and there is high probability that we will take these zones out as of the Weekly and Daily Liquidity required. Playing the pullback will be after the bearish iBOS and be mindful that the pullbacks in nature is rough ride. 3. The most probable demand zones within the new 15m Swing is the Extreme and the one above as both are below EQ (In Discount)
by Amr-Sadek
11/19/23 SPX Weekly Outlook#SPX #WeeklyOutlook: Next week is Thanksgiving holiday so, historically that week can be a hit or miss and especially given the fact that we don't have a lot of news this week so I would tread lightly. We don't have any red folder news until Wednesday and that is going to be an early release of #UnemploymentClaims , #DurableGoods, and #ConsumerSentiment. On Tuesday we do have #ExistingHomeSales which will ll be something that's an economic gauge more so than something we may want to trade off of, but we can see what happens on Tuesday. After Wednesday, there's not really much going into Thursday and Friday because Thursday is a holiday, although we do close out the week with #PMI. We set the PWL inside of a 4H+FVG and never came back near it. We expanded and created +FVGs on the Daily, 4H, and 1H that held price near the WHs once the #cpi news release on last Tuesday. If we stay in inverse correlation to the dollar I would assume the PWHs are still our targets on the HTF. Nothing is really standing in the way of of us pushing higher into them and if we see any LTF moves to the downside I’d take them with the logic that we are trading into bullish points of interest POIs . #BullishCase: We see price stalling and react to a LTF POI and bounce to take the PWHs out. I would look for any recent bullish order blocks or fair value gaps and look for price to react there. #BearishCase: We are pushing up hard over the past 3 weeks and all the down moves, even the ones that seem to be setting us up for lower price have been bought back up. LTF moves at fresh bearish POIs from the 4H or 1H are the only sell setups I’ll probably look for and doing so with the #BullishCase in mind. We closed out Friday to the downside and we have two PDLs and into the FVGs, and these would be my short terms downside targets. 1H chart 4H chart D Chart
BLACKBULL:SPX500Long
by Cory4rex
11/19/23 NAS Weekly Outlook#NAS #WeeklyOutlook Next week is Thanksgiving holiday so, historically that week can be a hit or miss and especially given the fact that we don't have a lot of news this week so I would tread lightly. We don't have any red folder news until Wednesday and that is going to be an early release of #UnemploymentClaims , #DurableGoods, and #ConsumerSentiment. On Tuesday we do have #ExistingHomeSales which will ll be something that's an economic gauge more so than something we may want to trade off of, but we can see what happens on Tuesday. After Wednesday, there's not really much going into Thursday and Friday because Thursday is a holiday, although we do close out the week with #PMI. We set the PWL inside of a 4H+FVG and never came back near it. We expanded and created +FVGs on the Daily, 4H, and 1H that held price near the WHs once the #cpi news release on last Tuesday. If we stay in inverse correlation to the dollar I would assume the PWHs are still our targets on the HTF. Nothing is really standing in the way of of us pushing higher into them and if we see any LTF moves to the downside I’d take them with the logic that we are trading into bullish points of interest POIs . #BullishCase: We see price stalling and react to a LTF POI and bounce to take the PWHs out. I would look for any recent bullish order blocks or fair value gaps and look for price to react there. We have a W-FVG that is my main target for us on NAS #BearishCase: We are pushing up hard over the past 3 weeks and all the down moves, even the ones that seem to be setting us up for lower price have been bought back up. LTF moves at fresh bearish POIs from the 4H or 1H are the only sell setups I’ll probably look for and doing so with the #BullishCase in mind. We closed out Friday to the downside and we have two PDLs and into the FVGs, and these would be my short terms downside targets. 1H chart 4h chart D chart:
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by Cory4rex
11/19/23 US30 Weekly Outlook#US30 #WeeklyOutlook Next week is Thanksgiving holiday so, historically that week can be a hit or miss and especially given the fact that we don't have a lot of news this week so I would tread lightly. We don't have any red folder news until Wednesday and that is going to be an early release of #UnemploymentClaims , #DurableGoods, and #ConsumerSentiment. On Tuesday we do have #ExistingHomeSales which will ll be something that's an economic gauge more so than something we may want to trade off of, but we can see what happens on Tuesday. After Wednesday, there's not really much going into Thursday and Friday because Thursday is a holiday, although we do close out the week with #PMI. We set the PWL inside of a D+OB and never came back near it. We expanded and created +FVGs on the Daily, 4H, and 1H that held price near the WHs once the #cpi news release on last Tuesday. If we stay in inverse correlation to the dollar I would assume the PWHs are still our targets on the HTF. We set an equal high EQHs with the PWH from 8/28/23. Nothing is really standing in the way of of us pushing higher into them and if we see any LTF moves to the downside I’d take them with the logic that we are trading into bullish points of interest POIs . We are inside of a W-OB (not drawn) and D-OB but the is holding and setting up to push higher. #BullishCase: We see price stalling and react to a LTF POI and bounce to take the PWHs out. I would look for any recent bullish order blocks or fair value gaps and look for price to react there. We have EQHs that is my main target for us on US30 #BearishCase: We are pushing up hard over the past 3 weeks and all the down moves, even the ones that seem to be setting us up for lower price have been bought back up. LTF moves at fresh bearish POIs from the 4H or 1H are the only sell setups I’ll probably look for and doing so with the #BullishCase in mind. We closed out Friday to the downside and we have two PDLs, SSL, and into the FVGs, and these would be my short terms downside targets. 1H chart 4h chart D chart:
FOREXCOM:US30Long
by Cory4rex