EURUSD 17 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - EUR CPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS.
After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH.
We just formed IMO 1 demand zone within the Swing that it's also a FLIP to the supply formed. So most probably if we reached that level we will have potential longs.
3.
After reaching the Daily/4H Supply, price started to show some reaction. Yesterday the CHoCH was below the 4H Demand (FLIP) down, which is far away for price to reach to indicate that the 4H is starting a pullback.
Put price yesterday with US news created a new high and for that the CHoCh is moved to the upside. If price did the CHoCH today and hold the supply formed that then there will be a better probability that that pullback is starting.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
2.
Price did another Bullish BOS yesterday with US news. This means that in order for price to start the Swing pullback on the 4H, we want to see a break of the Swing Low in order to have a Bearish Structure on the 15m and the 4H will have the CHoCH which is an indication for the pullback.
Buys makes sense because the 15m Swing in still bullish but the HTF are looking for a pullback so there is more probability we will have this pullback soon.
3.
There are no unmitigated POIs in this Bullish Swing for longs. So the ChoCH on the 4H idea and the current 15m Swing low being near is adding for me a probability that we will take out the 15m Swing Low / 4H CHoCH to initiate the pullback.
Most probably Monday will be interesting to see the setup.
Have all a nice weekend.
Liquidity
EURUSD 16 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS.
After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. Currently the CHoCH is far away and i'm expecting price to create a higher CHoCH to initiate a sign that the pullback maybe starting.
We just formed IMO 1 demand zone within the Swing that it's also a FLIP to the supply formed. So most probably if we reached that level we will have potential longs.
3.
After reaching the Daily/4H Supply, price started to show some reaction. Still there is no Fractal CHoCH to indicate that may be the Pullback is starting. So we may have another push to the upside to mitigate the 4H Supply up before we start the Swing Pullback.
If price didn't create a new high, then we can look on the LTF to guide us for potential Pullback from the current Daily Zone.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bearish
2.
After a BOS we expect a pullback, with the Bearish iBOS, we confirmed 15m Swing High and the start of the Pullback.
Currently price in a series of bearish structures to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback.
Following that bearish structure till we reach the Swing EQ or the INT Structure turns bullish to confirm that the pullback is over and we are in the Bullish Swing Continuation.
3.
Potential Supply zone for Shorts if we are continuing the Swing Pullback.
Bitcoin Short Liquidity GrabHello trader! I don't usually trade on weekends, but I've spotted an interesting setup on Bitcoin. I'll try entering from the sell order block and set my stop loss behind it. Take profit targets will be at 1, 2, and 3 levels of liquidity. The reason I want to trade this setup is the local downtrend (since 1 Nov) and the fact that all liquidity from November 2nd is gathered at the top locally. And also there is a sweep movement has formed.
🚀Please support my efforts with the "Boost" button.
❤️And a comment is the best thing you can do for me now!
AUD/USD ↘️ Sell Trade Setup ↘️Hello Everyone 🙋🏽♂️
🟠 EP 0.65115
🔴 SL 0.65864
🟢 TP1 0.64385
🟢 TP2 0.63525
🟢 TP3 0.62780
We are not responsible of any losses for anyone, our trades are profitable more for long terms and we take losses as everyone,
manage your lot size as well and your SL and TP and my opinion is 0.01 lot for each 500 $.
Don't forget to hit the like bottom and write a comment to support us.
Follow us for more 🙋🏻♂️
Best Regard / EMA Trading .
Disclaimer:
----------------
It's not a financial advise, As everyone we take losses sometime but for long term trading we are profitable traders, so manage your account well with SL and TP and your lot size to keep your account safe and stay in the market
#AUDCAD Bearish structureHello dear friends and traders. Let's take a look at AUDCAD and explore the potential selling opportunity in this pair.
As seen in the chart, we have a 4-hour bearish market structure where the price is creating lower highs and lower lows. Consequently, we are only interested in taking short positions for the moment.
After the price formed a recent low, it started to develop a bullish corrective move that ended up testing our bearish trendline, coinciding with a static resistance area. Now, if you examine the 1-hour timeframe chart , you'll notice that the price attempted to go above our horizontal arrow line but failed to close above it. This suggests that the recent bullish move could be considered a liquidity-taking activity, and now that the price failed to close above, we may consider opening a sell position.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
URUSD 15 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - US PPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
Before the analysis. i want to note that as price moved a lot yesterday it becomes difficult to have a proper trade as the momentum is so bullish, can't long the highs or trying to follow the continuation of that volatility as you want to wait for price to pullback to proper and well defined POI's. On the other hand trying to play a pullback against this Bullish move will be rough and you need to have expectation that you could get caught several times trying to pick a high before the actual pullback.
Overall i'll be very cautious this week till we have a proper structure at least on the 15m to play accordingly. So lets start the analysis!
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS.
After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. Currently the CHoCH is far away and i'm expecting price to create a higher CHoCH to initiate a sign that the pullback maybe starting.
We just formed IMO 1 demand zone within the Swing that it's also a FLIP to the supply formed. So most probably if we reached that level we will have potential longs.
3.
Price had fully mitigated a 4H supply within the Daily Supply zone. My expectation is if a pullback will start, there is a high probability that we can get this pullback from this zone.
But be mindful that price is so bullish and pullbacks will be a rough ride.
Will let the LTF (15m) guide me.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
2.
Swing structure continuing bullish and we managed to create another Bullish BOS yesterday with CPI news as expected.
After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. Which we already did and we confirmed INT High currently.
If price wants to do a pullback i prefer to have the INT structure turning bearish first and then we can look for Shorts in the pullback phase.
Currently price had fully mitigated a 4H Supply within a daily supply zone. So, a bearish INT Structure will be a good sign that the pullback is starting.
Just be mindful that price is so bullish and pullbacks will be a rough ride.
3.
Possible demand zones for longs when we reach that levels
EURUSD 14 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - EUR ZEW+GDP - USD CPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 14 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
Before the analysis today, i want to mention that as per my analysis yesterday i was not interested in Shorting EURUSD, Instead i wanted to go long for the following reasons:
We are in Pullback Phase on the daily.
4H Swing is Bullish and we may have finished the Swing Pullback and we are in the Swing continuation.
15m Swing is still bullish for me, so better to look for buys when price reaches some low POIs within the 15m Swing.
As this is the CPI week for USD and market is waiting for this news. If the forecasts are showing lower numbers that means USD will be weak and there is a chance that EURUSD will run up. So if i can position myself with the structure and the anticipation of News prior to news day, and if news comes in my favor; i'll be riding a nice run. If not, then nothing much to lose.
So i managed yesterday to position my self in and Long entry at 1.0673 based on the above knowing that i'm against the current INT Structure but in anticipation of maybe if price can hold the up side till news and news comes in my favor i can be holding a nice move.
Current screenshot from my trade.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
OF Bullish
2.
After a BOS we expect a pullback, As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m the pullback started and tapped into a 4H Demand Zone.
Price had swept the Liq below the 4H zone and we could be now targeting the previous high formed.
Price is tapped into the 4H Supply zone and there is a probability of bearish move from there. But keep in mind that maybe the 4H Swing pullback is over and we are currently in Swing continuation.
Will let the LTF (15m) guide me for the move.
3.
4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
S
wing Bullish
Internal Bearish
INT INT Bullish
2.
INT Structure is bearish and we reached the last part of the the supply zone on the left that was formed from the bearish iBOS.
Also after tapping into the 4H Supply, price reacted and formed bearish IN INT Structure but managed after to recover nicely which means that we still have a room to the upside.
What i'm looking for is to have a break of the current Strong Bullish INT High in order for us to continue up. Failure to do so, will result in a deep push to the down side containing that INT Structure bearish move and maybe a deep pullback on the 4H within the bullish 4H Swing Structure.
3.
The last unmitigated 15m Demand in this INT INT Structure to hold for possible continuation to the upside if we are going up.
USD/CHF Short IdeaWe have a corrective movement to the upside that's exactly what I like to see because that
tells me that uh it's not really an uptrend it's going to be very short-lived and that's exactly what happened here so after after price took liquidity from these highs right here
,continued trickling up a little bit higher but then very abruptly dumped to the downside right now. Now when that happens it typically leaves behind a gap or what's known as imbalance or a fair value Gap this is the main Confluence that I use to trade so as soon as I see that big displacement here with imbalance and a break of structure to the downside.
Right these were the lows previously and it broke through all of these lows down here this one bearish impulsive move broke through multiple structural points okay so pretty clear dire the market showed its intention in my opinion and that prompts me to look for
a selling opportunity. So what I do at
that point is I wait for the low to be solidified in a selling situation of course I wait for the low to be solidified um and to do that I need to see price retracing back to the up sideas soon as we're we start retracing back to the upside that's when I can draw my FIB tool from swing High to swing low and identify the premium prices that I would like to sell at.
INJ : 🎨 Art of Liquidity ManipulationEver wondered how some assets, like Injective Protocol (INJ), seem to move with precision, exploiting both bulls and bears? It's not just about market sentiment; it's about the strategic use of liquidity. Let's unravel the art of liquidity manipulation and explore how INJ leverages it to orchestrate its price movements. 📈💧
INJ's Liquidity Utilization:
INJ has mastered the art of leveraging liquidity to dictate its price direction. Liquidity, in the form of stop-loss orders, acts as fuel for significant price movements. The recent breakout from consolidation is a prime example, revealing how INJ strategically accumulates and deploys liquidity.
Gathering Liquidity at Lower Levels:
Before a notable move, INJ often engages in a process of gathering liquidity, especially at lower price levels. This involves triggering stop-loss orders and accumulating buy/sell interest, creating a pool of liquidity that can be used later.
Explosive Moves:
Once the desired amount of liquidity is amassed, INJ has the potential to make explosive moves. Breaking out of consolidation or initiating a strong trend becomes more feasible as the market dynamics shift in its favor.
How Manipulations Work:
Triggering Stop-Loss Orders: INJ often initiates moves to trigger stop-loss orders placed by retail traders. This allows for the collection of liquidity and positions INJ strategically.
Building Momentum: The gathered liquidity serves as the fuel to build momentum in the desired direction. This could be upward for a bullish move or downward for a bearish one.
Precision Timing: INJ's ability to time these movements with precision adds to the effectiveness of the manipulation. This timing is often influenced by market conditions, news, or strategic considerations.
Trading Amid Manipulations:
Awareness: Recognizing patterns of liquidity accumulation can help traders anticipate potential price movements.
Caution with Stop-Loss Orders: Be cautious with placing stop-loss orders at obvious levels, as they might be targeted during liquidity manipulations.
Adaptability: Stay adaptable in your trading strategy, as the market dynamics influenced by liquidity can change rapidly.
Conclusion:
INJ's utilization of liquidity manipulation is a fascinating aspect of crypto trading. As you navigate the markets, understanding these dynamics can provide valuable insights into potential price movements.
May your trades be astute, and your strategies resilient in the face of market manipulations.
Happy trading,
🌐
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below🔑
11/12/23 SPX Weekly Outlook#SPX #DailyReview #WeeklyOutlook:
Last week was a weird week with the drop on Thursday and then price on Friday setting the Weekly Low and high. Dollar moved up the entire week pretty slowly but the Bonds pulled back and that caused the buy on Friday. Tuesday we'll have CPI and Wednesday we'll have PPI and Retail sales. Then Thursday we will have Unemployment Claims so that will definitely move the markets on those days for sure.
#1 Taking the PWH should be the first move and we might see price move into this 4H+FVG to move higher from there.
#2 Selling for now isn't an option at the moment but taking the sell into the +FVG on the lower time frame may be a move on the 15m chart and below.
4H chart
11/12/23 US30 Weekly Outlook#US30 #DailyReview #WeeklyOutlook
Took out the PWH and traded into a W-FVG up to the mid point at 34300.6. The 1H/4H+FVG is sitting right at the W-FVG(L) at 34098.9 and if we move up this is likely where I may look for a move up. Tuesday we'll have CPI and Wednesday we'll have PPI and Retail sales. Then Thursday we will have Unemployment Claims so that will definitely move the markets on those days for sure.
#1 main goal is the PWH for an initial upside move
#2 Pushing down into the +FVG that is the downside move on the LTF but, I want to see if the move is pushing down to move up from there.
4H chart
EURUSD 13 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 13 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
OF Bearish
2.
After a BOS we expect a pullback, As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m the pullback started and tapped into a 4H Demand Zone.
Price had swept the Liq below the 4H zone and we could be now targeting the previous high formed.
Failure to break the previous high will put us in a deeper pullback within the 4H Bullish structure.
Always will let the LTF (15m) to guide me.
3.
4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bearish
2.
Price is in a series of unclear INT structures moving from bearish to bullish to bearish to bullish to bearish which is a clear indication of indecision and ranging.
Recent structure is bearish so most probably we will have the selling pressure from the 4H Supply zone and most of the 15m zones are mitigated there.
I'll be on the sideline until we turn INT bullish (iBOS) then will be looking to play the longs again. Shorts are not currently in my plan as 4H Swing and Daily OF are both still bullish, so will not play against.
3.
15m Demand is mitigated and most probably the INT low will be taken as we are in a bearish INT Structure.
EURUSD 13 - 17 Nov 2023 Weekly Analysis - CPI WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 13 - 17 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
2.
After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a demand zone which showed a reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting but still the OF is bearish
3.
Potential flip supply zone to continue the INT bearish structure and Swing bearish leg.
Price didn't tap it yet and was close to it and started to move down.
Possibly that price had pulled back and in the continuation down which i don't prefer. Instead i prefer that price is targeting the Liq above the Flip zone for better move to the down side.
4.
Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
2.
After BOS we expect a pullback
OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and most probably we will continue bullish till we sweep Liq on the lift which reside below the Weekly and Daily Supply zones before we see bearish continuation.
Price swept the Liq above the Daily Flip zone and and didn't tap the Weekly/Daily supply zones yet.
The pullback after sweeping the liq is currently in progress and price could pullback to the daily demand before continuing up.
I don't like price to deeply pullback as it's for me a sign of weakness, but f we did pullback deep i'll watch how price will develop to continue bullish if possible.
3.
Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure which could provide a short opportunity if we are going to react from these zone.
Let's watch LTF to guide us for potential shorts.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
OF Bearish
2.
After a BOS we expect a pullback, As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m the pullback started and tapped into a 4H Demand Zone.
Price had swept the Liq below the 4H zone and we could be now targeting the previous high formed.
Failure to break the previous high will put us in a deeper pullback within the 4H Bullish structure.
Always will let the LTF (15m) to guide me.
3.
4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left.
Economic Events for the Week
EURUSD 2h AnalysisHi guys!
On the EURUSD, we must keep an eye on these zones for a potential entry opportunity. Trading is that simple; you don't really need to be certain about overall market direction, but you must only focus on the important price levels to catch entries while they happen.
Good luck guys!
Remain positive, because you are a winner!🙌🤸♂️😀
EURUSD 9 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - Powell Speaks 2nd DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 9 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
After a BOS we expect a pullback, As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m the pullback started and tapped into a 4H Demand Zone.
Price tapped into 4H Demand and bounced creating a Bullish CHoCH and forming a fresh Demand zone that could hold price for continuation up to the 4H Supply / Swing High.
3.
4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
2.
After the 15m BOS we expect a pullback. Confirmation that the pullback is starting when we have the bearish iBOS.
INT turned bearish confirming Swing High and the pullback started. After which we got a bullish iBOS which indicated that the pullback is over but we broken the strong low yesterday and price failed to continue down and we created again a Bullish iBOS.
This behavior ob Bullish Bearish-Bullish is solid bullish indication and will keep me in the bullish side of EURUSD to target the Swing High or at least the 4H Supply formed when we started the pullback.
3.
15m Demand for possible longs as long the Strong INT low will hold.
This will change your trading forever: how to spot liquidity!Bitcoin has definitely been on a roll lately, but I know that a lot of you are secretly thinking about "where is the reversal"?
Liquidity is a concept that escapes a lot of people, but the reality is that liquidity is much simpler than most people think. Liquidity is simply this: What price is seeking.
I used have a hard time understanding the concept of liquidity, until one day I realized that liquidity is simply where the majority of the orders are. So how can we find liquidity?...
If you've been at the trading game for any decent amount of time, you will immediately be able to define two well known sources of liquidity: High/Lows and trendlines. So understanding this, we know that liquidity seeks a point where we will likely have at least the confluence of a trendline and a high or a low before reversing.
But let's be real here, it's not just highs/lows and trendlines, because the market is dynamic...
So what else can we use as an addition to liquidity confluence?
INDICATORS....
Indicators are the life blood of retail traders which is exactly why there is liquidity tied into them, even a lot of advanced traders use indicators in some parts of their trading. After doing a ton of research on the indicator topic, I realized that for the most part, every indicator out there is reliant on one of two things:
Moving Averages
Volume
So we now understand that 4 things supply liquidity to the markets:
Highs / Lows
Trendlines
Moving averages
Volume
The combination of these 4 factors are what makes price reverse...... That's it. That's the magic.
In the current chart for Bitcoin we can put together the precise factors of liquidity confluences.
We have a trendline, a daily high, VWAP and volume profile all indicating around the same area. The trick in finding liquidity reversal points is to have all of them lined up in the general vicinity, and wait for price to take out the furthest liquidity target. Which in this case is around the volume profile gap that is sitting right above the daily high at a little above $40,000...
Congratulations. You've just found the reversal point of Bitcoin...
XAU Weekly - BearishThis Week we Say OANDA:XAUUSD was Super Bullish, But is It?
gold has Engineered Liquidity up and Down, I believe its going up to Hit Retail Stop loss and then Revert to go Down .
I have noted Levels that I am interested in Chart
Another Confirmation : If you Check #Gold Seasonality, Normally OANDA:XAUUSD is Bearish in October and November !
Disclaimer : this is Just Technical Analysis, You Should never use this information for real Trading, Do your own Research.
Sincerely,
Sobhan JTN
EURUSD 8 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - Powell Speaks This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
After a BOS we expect a pullback, As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m the pullback started and tapped into a 4H Demand Zone.
Expectations that as long this demand zone holds and the 15m OF stay bullish we can resume the bullish move and target the INT High.
The only concern that we didn't pullback to the 50% of the Swing which is something to pay attention to as we could visit the Swing 50% before we continue up.
3.
4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
2.
After the 15m BOS we expect a pullback. Confirmation that the pullback is starting when we have the bearish iBOS.
INT turned bearish confirming Swing High and the pullback is starting.
Price taped into the 4H Demand and created a bullish iBOS which indicate that the 15m Swing pullback is finished and we will continue the bullish move targeting the Swing High.
3.
4H Demand zone which includes 15m Demand that can provide potential buys to continue bullish.
4.
4H Demand zone which includes 15m Demand zones at the 15m Swing extreme that can provide potential buys to continue bullish.
Liquidity - How to easily spot it!Here's how you can easily use liquidity to create wealth 🤑
Knowing how to identify liquidity is an important aspect of trading that shouldn't be overlooked, BUT contrary to popular belief, it's not the greatest thing since sliced bread...
It does have its significance and it's place, but understanding WHY "liquidity" is formed is more important than the WHERE ...
Once you know why, you can slay hard every single day!
Follow me for more educational posts and market analysis:)
Anyway, that's all for now,
Hope this post helps and as usual...
Happy Hunting Predators
🦁🐯🦈
EURUSD 7 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 7 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
As expected, price continued bullish and did a bullish BOS after sweeping the Liq from the previous Swing lows.
After a BOS we expect a pullback, but be mindful that all TFs are bullish in Structure or OF so most probably that bullishness will continue.
As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m we can expect the pullback is starting after the BOS.
3.
4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left.
15 Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bearish
2.
After the 15m BOS we expect a pullback. Confirmation that the pullback is starting when we have the bearish iBOS.
INT turned bearish confirming Swing High and the pullback is starting. expectation is that the pullback will continue to the 4H POIs and from there we can expect a change in the bearish OF and the INT will change to bullish.
3.
4H Demand zone which includes 15m Demand that can provide potential buys to continue bullish.
4.
4H Demand zone which includes 15m Demand zones at the 15m Swing extreme that can provide potential buys to continue bullish.