Liquidity
BTCUSDT LIQUIDITY STRUCTUREBTCUSDT price has been experiencing upward movement toward the previous SELL IMBALANCE & LIQUIDITY VOID created by previous sharp SELL OFF , so it is wise to consider SELL around these levels
Also price is reaching the BUY SIDE LIQUIDITY above previous EQUAL HIGHS at 32500
there are still strong UNMITIGATED SUPPLY LEVELS on the way and it is smart to consider SELL POSITION to the target of UNMITIGATED DEMANDS and FVG's around 24k$ to 20k$
If market want to become BULLISH it must clear the SELL SIDE LIQUIDITY first , which this HAS NOT HAPPENED yet , so I'm waiting for SELL ENTRY above previous EQUAL HIGHS to the target of DEMANDS from previous upward move that they pull the price down like GRAVIGY
ES/NQ Weekly Analisys Weekly Analysis
June 20 - June 23, 2023
During the previous week, NQ entered the zone of the daily Order Block (OB) and came close to testing the Mean threshold of that OB. It also entered the Monthly BB-.
Therefore, this week, I anticipate a retracement to the 4-hour OB level between 15188.00 and 15094. For an ideal scenario, I would like to see a bounce from the range of 15186.75 to 15142.50, targeting the Mean Threshold of the Daily OB at 15534.00. It's also worth monitoring the Critical Level of the Monthly Break Block at 15722.75, although it may not be reached this week.
To recap the structure: Consolidation, followed by Expansion, and then a Retracement before the Order Block and resumption of movement. Alternatively, it could be Consolidation, Expansion, and then a Reversal.
Hence, my retracement level before the Order Block is set at 15186.75. Inside that zone, there are 15-minute BB+, as well as 15-minute FVG and 1-hour FVG. If the retracement fails to hold at the OB level, we should anticipate a reversal phase where it breaks 15066 and drops further, ideally reaching the Daily SIBI level between 14963 and 14866.75.
The same analysis applies to ES: ES also entered the zone of the Daily OB (4615.00-4486.25), which aligns with the Monthly BB-. Remembering the structure: Consolidation, Expansion, and then a Retracement before the Order Block and resumption of movement. Alternatively, it could be Consolidation, Expansion, and then a Reversal.
For ES, my retracement level is set at 4431.75 to 4423.25. The 4-hour OB is located at 4419 to 4404.50, with 15-minute FVG and BB+ within this range as well. If the 4-hour OB fails to hold, we can expect a Reversal Phase, leading to a test of the SSL at 4393.75. The Daily SIBI is found at 4381.75 to 4369.50.
However, a bounce from the Retracement Area should fill the Weekly SIBI at 4506.25. Additionally, there is a Daily Breakaway Gap to consider. Key levels to watch are 4524.00 and 4531.25, which correspond to the Mean Threshold of the Daily OB.
BTC Long, Market Shift? Volatility expectedMinor update to the previous idea.
BlackRock BTC Trust could change things, makes me wonder if they change their mind on whether it's ESG compliant.
This trade is more of a double-edged sword that is more profitable in longing for volatility rather than direction considering market forces at the moment. Expect at least a +- 20% price swing. Either we break through the first resistance band of 27k-32k and continue forward with a close above 26k today, or we drop to close the previous gap from 21.8k -20.8k with a close never reaching over 27.4k.
For now, we are at risk of seeing 20k considering current prices are under 27.4k and the sp500 being this overbought in the short term that could drag btc with it if a bull trap is in place in tradFi (not confirmed yet, mean rev. signals won't work). Overall, I'm bullish on BTC short term (possible that it could make a run up before sp500 contracts), and still remain bearish on SP500 long term (might switch to neutral if the west releases dependence on its manufacturing base toward China/the east, and innovation continues in the tech sector). Altcoins might not be able to catch up with BTC on the upswing, but most likely on the downswing if it so happens.
Trades:
Long #1
Entry: 26k
SL: 24k
TP: 34.5k, 40k
Long #2
Entry:20k
SL:18k
TP: 34k, 40k
Short
Entry: 26k
SL: 29k
TP:22k, 21k, 19k
EUR/USD - London Session June 16 '23EUR/USD trade idea. Main concept behind this is return to fair value after manipulation of the Asian high on London open. Trade is aggressive because price didn't close below the range when breaking out on m15, not confirming a strong market structure shift. On HTF we reacted on a nice FVG and we are looking for a bearish move below to seek balance around the 50% level of the swing we are currently on. Good luck traders
Learn to identify liquidity levels. Before we begin, we need to understand what liquidity is.
A market with high liquidity is one where there is a large number of buyers and sellers willing to trade in that particular asset. This means that there is a high availability of buy and sell orders, allowing transactions to be executed quickly and with minimal impact on prices.
Where are the most liquid points located on a chart?
These points are found at the highs and lows. This is because at these points, many people are waiting for the zone to act as support or resistance, or for the price to break the zone (breakout) to continue its direction. I always use daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes to identify these zones.
Why the liquid points are importante on a chart?
Liquidity is extremely important because it is the direction in which the price moves. The price will always move towards these points to attract liquidity to the market. Without liquidity, financial markets cannot function.
Which indicator can you use to identify liquidity levels?
Previous Days Week Highs & Lows by sbtnc
Certainly, this indicator will facilitate the process of identifying these points, but it will not identify all of them.
-----Remember, like everything in trading, this needs to be combined with other confluences. It won't work by itself.-----
Explanation of the example presented in the chart.
I had some strong confluences indicating that the price was likely to have a bullish move. As seen in the COT report, there was aggressive selling of JPY. One of the things that helped me take this trade with confidence is that, as you can see in the circle, there was a weekly and monthly high together without being cleared. This created a double top pattern. Since this was such a liquid point, it gave me the confidence that the price would move towards this point before changing direction. And it did exactly that after consolidating for several days. These liquidity points can be used as confluence in our analysis, as well as a potential take profit level.
EU tradeThis is a trade i held through sever midnight. was clutching straws on this on. trying to attack some liquidity that was previously left in asia session. Only thing i dont like is that DXY has hit a strong monthly area and may gain strength. i am already break even on this. it was 15 min poi, followed by 5 min mitigation trail. I talked about this trade set up in my previous video
GU trade ideaThis is what i am looking at on GBP/USD. In previous price action we took out a monthly liquidity and moved to the down side. We did take out a blot of liquidity to the down side so this area maybe exhausted, but never the less i am looking to take a trade from this area. DXY is in a very good position to gain strength, although we need to bare in mind we have got major news events today to trade with caution.
Potential GBPUSD Long PositionI have marked liquidity points on the chart (2 Imbalances and an unmitigated Asian High) and located two order blocks which I would mark my entry off of just below where the Break of Structure would confirm my analysis and the last of the downside liquidity would be taken. If my first order block is mitigated and stop loss is hit then my second trade would be entered. This is will be placed on a 100k demo account using a Risk percentage of 0.5% per trade.
Back to Charting Again!* NQ1! Chart for 6/12 S/D LevelsTargeting R1 as a push through this resistance supply 4hr zone. I skipped the NY opening bell, and when I hopped on later in the morning, we were making bull strides to move up. VWAP and EMAs continued up by following PA so it didn't seem to waiver that we would fail dramatically to the downside. However, looking back for possible demand zones for later this week as we have FOMC and CPI/PPI being released. Looking for small points between 5-20 pt moves to avoid being chopped to much and using range/liquidity areas for targeting. I recommend using bookmap for your further conviction in seeing the order flow.
Throughout this week looking for BEAR targets at S1 14625 or lower to fill the gap we created to 14520. BULL target throughout the week is 15100 or 15231 *nearing* the double top resistance of Jan/March 2022.
Link for chart: www.tradingview.com
XAUUSD | GOLD | DECRYPTERS HI Welcome to Team Decrypters
First of keep this in MIND this analysis is on Daily
Now for this week :-
This Week we have FED meetings + Press conference
This Meeting + Press conference will be the Most important Meeting for this whole year in my opinion so
There are 2 scenarios
1- Either FED Skip JUNE and Increase Rate in next Month -
2- They incre4ase This month and Keep Higher Rate till first quarter of 2024-
Either way they have to Increase Rates as 6 out of 7 of the Fed’s inflation measures are flashing Red
Both will push Recession which is Also immanent in my opinion
MY PERSONAL OPINION:- we see DXY down till FOMC and than we see RIDE to the Up side
In OUR VIP we trade Any thing long / Short what ever Market Gives
EITHER WE GO UP AND THAN DOWN LEVELS |OR| WE GO DIRECTLY DOWN FROM THIS RANGE
warning .. gold liquidity grap after the compilation of the five waves we expect ABC corrective Elliott waves
now the price is touching a very strong support level
touch the uptrend
still above unmitigated order-block
so we expect the price will go down first to sweep ict sell-side liquidity
then go up to sweep the double top liquidity creating the wave b
S&P500 to Sellside Liquidity
S&P500 DAILY TIMEFRAME / ("ESM2023" Futures Contract)
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ORDERFLOW & TARGETING:
The Orderflow in S&P is Bearish. Every Bearish Orderblock and Fair Value Gap have been holding price lower. I'm looking for this Orderflow to continue being Bearish until the Sellside Liquidity gets mitigated...
S&P500 has now engineered Sellside Liquidity below current price, inducing Retail traders to Buy at this price point. Therefore, many orders are resting below these equal lows, so the market should seek this Liquidity.
TREASURY BONDS:
The Bond-Market is looking Bullish, which would indicate Lower prices in the S&P - due to their Inverse Correlation against each other.
The Bonds are aiming for their Equal Highs Buyside Liquidity:
POTENTIAL INVALIDATION OF THE IDEA:
- Although I'm Bearish... From where price is at right now - I NEED to see the current Bullish Orderblock's Equilibrium 50% traded THROUGH to the Downside with a Daily Candle closure. (The Bullish Orderblock is that Bearish candle I marked up that price is currently testing) . So right now, price is above the 50% price point, and therefore Orderflow is still Bullish short-term. Only when the first Daily Candle CLOSES Below the 50% of the orderblock is when I will be looking to Sell down into Sellside Liquidity. (The 50% of the Orderblock is at 3940. I need to see price Close Below that) .
- Market Structure is currently Bearish. However, if the Protected High (the High that caused the Lower Low - Annotated "PH" on the chart) gets traded Above (at 4057) , that would become a Bullish Market Stucture Break, and I would no longer be Bearish, but I would rather aim for Buyside Liquidity at 4245 (annotated "SMS" in the chart) .
But as long as we Remain Below the Protected High, I still hold my Bearish Bias down into the Sellside Liquidity.
So in Summary of the Invalidations...:
I need to see the Bullish orderblock's 50% get traded Down through, and only then I will start looking for selling into Sellside Liquidity.
As long as price remains below the Protected High - I'm Bearish.
#TechnicalScience ;)