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Liquidity

CRT RANGE MODULEIn this analysis we are focusing on 15M time frame for GOLD. Here we are using CRT range concept in this concept we consider that each single candle has a range, so today I'm looking for potential sell according to CRT concept. After confirmation we will take any step. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and risk to reward ratio. #XAUUSD 15M Technical Analysis Expected Move. This is just my analyze or prediction.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
PRICE ACTION SETUPIn this analysis we are focusing on M30 time frame for gold. Today I'm looking for a potential buy if market price break this area upside then we go for buy but first we take confirmation. But if price break below this area then we use inverse breakout strategy and after retracement we look for sell. Now let's see where market price go and which opportunity market will give us. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. # XAUUSD M30 Technical Analysis Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
4hr BITCOIN mean reversion rejection - Leave the rest for laterIn #Bitcoin's 4-hour chart scenario, we reject the EMA50 we are currently at and take the low at $56k in the next couple of days. We get a lot of economic data in the next few days until Friday, which could strengthen the US dollar and lead Bitcoin into a sell-off. Chart-wise, it looks like a rejection of the 4hr EMA50. The first target would be $56k and if things look really ugly, we should also consider $51k as a possible target.
Short
by reports20netrust
2
The Ultimate Bitcoin Guide - All You Need to Know Right Now!Welcome Future Demons Let me start by telling you about my mission. I'm here to serve you. I'm here to make you a better trader. I will do so by exploiting the grim secrets in the markets, the plausible movements, the market psychology and all the whale-manipulation. I will all the time remind you about the importance of mindset and money protection. The Beginning I will start making some predictions about the market first. I will use Bayesian Reasoning/Statistics to put credence on the different scenarios. I get the output numbers after weighing my TA combined with geopolitics, and market- and whale psychology. I want to make it clear, that I never make any trades alone from these Bayesian Scenarios, nor should you, but they will always serve as a fundament for my trades. The Predictions The 2 most important mid term scenarios to be aware of: 1. We will go up around 85k in this cycle, but we will not surpass 100,000 USD. Hereafter we will go below 30k. Bayesian 62 %. 2. We will not get a new ATH, and we will go down below 30k now. Bayesian 38 %. "Long" Term Prediction: 3. After we hit 30k USD, not only crypto, but also stocks will go into a hard bear market, and we will see a Depression similar to in the 1930s. ------------------------- Why? Mid-term: 1. The crypto market has been behind the stock market for a long time. In fact it has been pretty much ignored due to all the money, whales have been making in especially AI, pharma and war (E.g. Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Lockheed, Novo Nordisk). Both Apple, Microsoft and NVIDIA have market caps above 3 T USD compared to cryptos total Global Market Cap at 2 T USD. Therefore when the stock market soon will collapse it's not unlikely that some of the money will enter especially BTC. I will predict that most will go into Gold though. 2. 100k in this cycle is unlikely due to the psychological nature of the number 100k. Bitcoin is simply not ripe enough for such a high price. Ask your self, your friends or any retailer if they are ready to buy BTC at 100k? Exactly. Remember that whales don't make money by pushing the price as high as possible. To make money, they need to sell at a price which requires buyers. What most likely will happen is, that the whales will try to push the price to squeeze the last money out of retailers. Retailers will FOMO in all the way below 100k hoping for a miracle to occur, but around 85k-90kish, boom, the whales will start to schock mass sell. 3. That we will go below 30k in this cycle is super likely. History repeats it self, and Bitcoin usually drops at least 80 % every cycle. "Long" Term 1. We haven't had a real bear market for 15 years in stocks. Usually we have one every 7 years. We have never before seen such a rise. FED has been printing money like crazy just to give them out to private banks and hedge funds, so they can buy more stocks, and bait retailers into buying more and more. Soon the same whales will mass sell, and become even more rich while the poor will be more poor. The gap between rich and poor is now even bigger than before, which is a catastrophe for all low- and mid-income people, since it will lead to hyperinflation, and eventually a depression for at least a couple of years. That is also why you need to be aware of it, and if you are in the markets atm you should consider to secure some of your money asap. Then you just wait for the depression phase, where you slowly can start to accumulate again. Don't be greedy, my friends. What should You do now? Right now the best thing is to stay out of the market. The price is dancing around 57k, and we are in a big liquidity zone, where we can expect a lot of fluctuation. Whales love these zones, and will always try to steer the market towards them, cause they only are able to make money here. It requires zones of lots of money to make lots of money - remember that. They will continue to go up and down as long as they can to liquidate retailers. If we make a higher high at 70k, you can go long. ----------- I will soon also give you concrete trading ideas too. Please follow me - it will make me happy. Kind Regards Laplace's Demon PS. Remember to be grateful for the small things in life, and strive not to focus on what you don't have.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Lapl4cesDem0n
3
Bearish trend continuation for the weekThat's my idea for the current downtrend if we continue it. Nvidia earnings today at 10pm could be a factor for volatile price action. I see the possibility of a move up to the 1hr EMA50 at around $61.2k if earnings come out well. This is a scenario where we continue the current downtrend. Check out my bear scenario for this week here on tradingview to see the bigger picture. The level to keep an eye on is the $56k level as the price could be interesting there due to pools of liquidity. I have also marked the current price levels where we are again. These are the levels of the consolidation range we were in last week.
Short
by reports20netrust
SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE / PRICE ACTIONIn this analysis we are focusing on M30 time frame for XAUUSD. Here I'm using support/resistance and price action strategy. As we know that market trend was bullish and gold creates a new all time high. But now price is in consolidation range. Today I'm looking both opportunity bullish or bearish, If price break above the consolidation area than we look for buy but after strong confirmation. In other case If market price break below the consolidation area and close the candle below this area then we look for sell but first we take confirmation then we go for sell because we know that the trend was bullish and we also see the volume and momentum or RSI divergence. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. Always use stoploss for your trade. #GOLD M30 Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradeTacticsreal
Bitcoin bearish scenario for the weekI made this analysis yesterday. In this case, we also expect a move closer to $62k, so based on this analysis, we have time to analyze until Tuesday to decide which way to go. The bears case explains the price action as the following. We broke out of last week’s consolidation with a manipulative move over the weekend/late Friday, so we trapped the longs by let the believing in higher prices by hold the price at the GETTEX:64K level. The EMA will not hold in this case and we go back to the lows of August 6 at around $51,000.
Short
by reports20netrust
XAU/USD Strategy: Pattern Recognition and Trade ExecutionComprehensive Market Breakdown for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) Based on Multi-Time Frame Analysis Overview: The analysis of XAU/USD across multiple time frames (15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour) indicates a complex market structure with both bullish and bearish signals. This detailed breakdown will provide insights into the current market conditions, key patterns to watch, potential trading strategies, and risk management considerations. 1. 15-Minute Time Frame: Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Pattern Details: Symmetrical Triangle: This pattern is characterized by converging trend lines connecting lower highs and higher lows, indicating indecision in the market. Apex Proximity: The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, suggesting a potential breakout is imminent. Implications: Neutral Bias: The symmetrical triangle does not inherently suggest a bullish or bearish bias but indicates a potential breakout in either direction depending on market sentiment. Volume Confirmation: A breakout with a significant surge in volume will confirm the direction of the move. Trading Strategy: Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the upper trendline with strong volume, consider entering long positions targeting previous resistance levels. Bearish Breakout: Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower trendline with increased volume, consider short positions targeting previous support levels. Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the opposite side of the breakout point to mitigate risks from false breakouts. 2. 30-Minute Time Frame: Mixed Channels (Descending and Ascending) Patterns Observed: Descending Channels: Suggest bearish continuation if in a downtrend or a potential reversal if broken to the upside. Ascending Channels: Suggest bullish continuation if in an uptrend but signal a potential reversal if broken to the downside. Market Implications: Corrective Phase: The presence of both descending and ascending channels indicates the market is in a corrective phase, oscillating between support and resistance levels. Range-Bound Trading: Until a significant breakout occurs, the market is likely to remain range-bound. Trading Strategy: Range Trading: Consider buying at the lower boundaries of the channels and selling at the upper boundaries. Breakout Preparation: Prepare for a potential breakout by setting alerts around key levels (upper and lower boundaries of the channels). Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the channels to protect against unexpected breakouts. 3. 1-Hour Time Frame: Rising Wedge Pattern Pattern Details: Rising Wedge: This pattern is characterized by higher highs and higher lows within a narrowing upward slope, typically a bearish reversal pattern. Implications: Bearish Reversal: The rising wedge suggests that upward momentum is weakening, and a potential breakdown could follow. Reversal Zone: The price is near the upper boundary of the wedge, which may serve as a reversal zone, especially if a breakout to the downside occurs on high volume. Trading Strategy: Short Entry on Breakdown: Enter short positions if the price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge with confirming volume. Target Levels: Target the lower boundary of the larger ascending channel or previous support levels as take-profit points. Stop-Loss Placement: Set stops above the most recent high within the wedge to protect against false breakouts. 4. 4-Hour Time Frame: Broader Rising Channel and Nested Patterns Patterns Observed: Broad Rising Channel: Indicates a larger uptrend is intact, providing a bullish bias. Nested Descending Channels: Smaller corrective patterns within the broader uptrend suggest temporary pauses or consolidation phases before potential continuation moves. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance at 2,540: A break above this level would suggest a bullish continuation and potential for new highs. Support at 2,470: A break below this level would indicate a significant shift in market sentiment towards bearishness. Market Implications: Potential Continuation or Reversal: The larger rising channel gives more weight to potential continuation moves, but the presence of smaller corrective patterns within suggests caution. Echo Phase: The nested descending channel could represent an echo phase, a corrective move within the larger uptrend. Trading Strategy: Long Positions on Break Above 2,540: Enter long positions if the price breaks above this resistance level with confirming volume. Short Positions on Break Below 2,470: Consider short positions if the price breaks below this support level with increased volume. Volume Confirmation: Ensure any breakout is confirmed with a surge in volume to avoid false signals. Risk Management: Use wider stops given the higher time frame context to avoid being stopped out by market noise. 5. Synthesis of Multi-Time Frame Analysis: Confluence of Patterns: The alignment of rising wedges, symmetrical triangles, and mixed channels across multiple time frames suggests a market at a critical juncture. The presence of both bullish and bearish signals indicates that the market is poised for a decisive move. Key Takeaways for Traders: Patience and Discipline: Wait for confirmed breakouts with volume before entering trades. Do not rush into trades without sufficient confirmation. Adaptability: Be prepared to adapt strategies based on the direction of the breakout or breakdown. Use alerts and monitor key levels closely. Focus on Higher Time Frame Signals: Higher time frame signals carry more weight and should be given priority when making trading decisions. Risk Management: Employ tight stops and carefully manage position sizes to limit exposure in case of adverse market movements. 6. Final Recommendations: Potential Bullish Scenario: Watch for a break above 2,540 on strong volume across multiple time frames. A confirmed breakout could lead to a bullish continuation towards new highs. Potential Bearish Scenario: Monitor for a breakdown below 2,470, especially if supported by a break of the rising wedge and descending channel patterns. A breakdown here would signal a shift to a bearish trend. By combining these insights with real-time monitoring of market conditions, traders can enhance their decision-making process and capitalize on high-probability trade setups in the XAU/USD market.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
3
SPY LOVERS ALMOST ATH AGAIN!! But be very Careful read this... We are very close to the price reaching our institutional order block in the supply zone, where we could expect a small liquidity rejection upon touching it. According to my forecast, the maximum rejection would be at 549.71, no more! This is a historically significant zone where the price has shown important impulses and patterns. Additionally, the price is moving with a lot of volume and buying strength. We are very, very close to reaching new all-time highs, but the big question is: Will it surpass the all-time highs this week? In my opinion, it might, but we must be very cautious as it could be an institutional liquidity trap leading to a strong pullback. So, we need to stay alert to any movement it makes. Thank you for supporting my analysis; so far, everything has been going according to the forecast. Best regards.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RocketMike111
8
Macro Monday 61 - Fed Balance Sheet Signals Liquidity BounceMacro Monday 61 Fed Balance Sheet Hits Long Term Supporting Trend Line The Federal Reserve Balance Sheet The balance sheet is published weekly, typically on Thursday afternoons, and it provides valuable information on the direction of global liquidity and the fed’s monetary policy. When the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet increases, it means that the central bank is acquiring more assets. This expansion can occur through purchases of Treasury securities, mortgage-backed securities, or other financial instruments. The increase in assets typically leads to greater liquidity in the financial system and can influence interest rates. Conversely, a decrease in the balance sheet indicates asset sales and reduced liquidity The Chart - FRED:WALCL ▫️ Since April 2022 the Federal Reserve Balance Sheet has reduced from $8.973 trillion to $7.140 trillion (reduction of $1.833 Trillion). ▫️ Right now, the chart has signaled that we have hit a critical diagonal trend line support (red line on chart). ▫️ We have hit this red trend line twice in the past (Sept 2019 & Aug 2008) and on both occasions it bounced from the red trend line and the balance sheet thereafter increased significantly for 2 to 5 years. If you follow me on Trading view, you can revisit this chart at any time and press play to get the up to date data and see if we have held the line or fallen below it. What does the following mean to you? ✅High likelihood of interest rate reductions in Sept. ✅Apparent stabilization of the rate of inflation (U.S) ✅A current stable labor market in the U.S ⏳The possibility of the balance sheet bouncing from trend support and increasing from the support line as it did in the past for 2 years+ (Increasing Global Liquidity). Versus 🚨 The yield curve un-inverting (moving above 0) 🚨 Sahm Rule Triggered 🚨 The marginal increase in the U.S. Unemployment Rate which is consistent with prior recessions. 🚨 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims and Continuous Jobless claims have had increases consistent with pre recession historic activity. 🚨Job openings reducing since March 2022 from approx. 12m to 9m (this would be the largest pre recession drop ever if followed by a recession. 🚨 Warren Buffet sitting on the biggest pile of cash ever. Does this all say “soft landing” imminent or should we be worried? In my opinion, we will know by Jan 2026. Its a big window of time, but the timing is the biggest challenge, and if we can take one thing from the above, volatility is guaranteed. Happy Trading PUKA
FRED:WALCLLong
by PukaCharts
2
How Spotting Liquidity Can Help Your Trading StrategyUnderstanding where liquidity exists in the market can help enhance your trading success in a few ways: 1. It can help you understand where potential blocks of liquidation could occur. The market is often attracted to these block and will liquidate there. 2. It can help you confirm patterns that exist on you charts 3. It can help you spot new patterns which you may not have spotted previously. Let's take a quick look at the "Liquidity Swings" indicator by LuxAlgo in this video.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by stewdamus