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BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription: This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan: Analysis: Market Structure: Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows. Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Zones and Liquidity: Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance. Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity. Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower. Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend. Confluences for Short Entry: Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point. The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control. Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias. Trade Plan: Short Entry Setup: Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone). Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs). Take Profit Levels: TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level. TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity. TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward. Risk-Reward Ratio: With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling. Additional Notes: Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character). Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision. Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
Short
by AdasX
2
EURUSD 20-24 Jan 2025 W4 - Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 20-24 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart AnalysisDaily Chart Analysis4H Chart AnalysisEconomic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Interest Rate Differentials: The widening gap between US and Eurozone interest rates favors the USD. Higher US yields attract capital flows, supporting the USD against the euro. Inflation Trends: While inflation in the Eurozone remains subdued, the US continues to grapple with sticky inflation, keeping the Fed cautious about easing policy. This divergence further supports the USD. Energy Prices: Elevated energy prices, driven by geopolitical tensions or supply disruptions, could weigh on the Eurozone’s trade balance and economic growth, adding pressure to the euro. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Expectations is for price to start a pullback phase from the Weekly demand zone / or from the liquidity sweep from the Nov 2022 low (Require Daily/4H confirmation). Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish approaching the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the receint iBOS, price pulled back to EQ (50%) of the INT Structure but currently failed to create a new iBOS with a Bullish CHoCH forming a new Demand. 🔹Expectations is not clear as we could start a deep pullback to intiate the Weekly Pullback Phase required or the current failure to creare a new Bearish iBOS is just a pause in market for more bearish move to at least the Weekly Demand. More development required from LTFs. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Fractal) 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that price is contained within it. 3️⃣ 🔹Price is currently ranging between Supply and Demand which clearly makes price indecisively have a clear direction. More developments required on LTFs to have a clear expectation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
3
Analyzing Key Forex Patterns and IndicatorsAnalyzing the SPX500 chart reveals several key patterns and indicators critical for forex trading 1. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance Zone: The blue-shaded area around the 6,071 level is a significant resistance zone where the price has struggled to break through. Support Level: The horizontal blue line at approximately 5,840 (labeled "SMS") represents a notable support level where buying interest has emerged in the past. 2. Swing High (SH): The red horizontal line marked "SH" around the 6,077 level highlights a failed swing high, indicating a previous peak in price. 3. Price Movements: There is a notable decline from the resistance zone around 6,020 to a low near 5,770, followed by a recovery towards the 6,000 level. 4. Volume: The volume, indicated as "Vol 7.14K" at the top of the chart, provides insight into the trading activity during this period. Potential Effectiveness of this Technical Signals: Resistance Zone: If the price breaks above this level with strong volume, it could signal a bullish trend continuation. However, failure to break through may indicate a reversal or consolidation. Support Level: Maintaining above this support level is crucial for a bullish outlook. A break below could signal a bearish trend and further downside potential which the break has occured. Swing High (SH): The swing high at 6,020 serves as a reference point for potential resistance. Approaching this level again will be a key area for observing either a breakout or a reversal. These technical signals are effective in predicting market movements as they reflect historical price action and trader behavior. However, they may fail due to unexpected news, economic events, or changes in market sentiment that can cause deviations from historical patterns. In summary, the chart offers valuable insights into support and resistance levels, swing highs, and price movements, which are essential for making informed trading decisions in the forex market.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by BFUFX_MARKETS
Key spot on the board for SOFI On the MonthlyNever financial advice. Just offering perspective. At a key spot for Sofi. In the midst of a monthly bearish imbalance, specifically a bearish fair value gap which holds more weight than a volume imbalance. We pushed off a bullish breaker which can be a solid indicator as a push up, with the the high of that green box acting as a support, followed by a strong bullish move. 16.47-17.13 is where the monthly bearish fvg begins and ends. A monthly close(13days) above 17.13 would be encouraging for bulls, with no bearish imbalances on this higher timeframe. If we cannot get a monthly candle close above 17.13 we can see a strong rejection, setting a new bullish range from most recent low to high, which we can then see a move back into discount. My ideal bearish outlook: Monthly bearish imbalance reject, which is currently at 50% bearish discount, to retest bullish breaker + bullish fvg + monthly liquidity sitting at the low of previous month10.63. Targeting ----> 8.53- 10.63. Ideal bullish outlook(continuation): Monthly bearish imbalance mitigated here with a monthly candle close above here. Next points of liquidity ---24.65---24.95 as targets. Ideal bullish outlook(entry or reentry): Entering ----> 8.53- 10.63. Be aware that this analysis is on a higher timeframe of a Monthly perspective and may take time to develop.
NASDAQ:SOFI
by bwinvests
BTC - Mapping out a Liquidity SweepIt’s of my opinion that Bitcoin has a lot of interest in recollecting this long position liquidity. Per my previous posts we have some trendlines to support these zones being hit. Likely? Who am I to have an opinion on that. The facts are that there is a mass amount of liquidity here and technical analysis patterns that support price reaching those zones. The way this chart works is the multiple bottom locations of the first liquidity sweep wave correspond to a retrace location above in the same colour. Ultimately I believe there is an interest in sweeping those ultra lows at 7-10k, albeit very briefly. We know it will be fast and brief because: 1) Long stop losses are in the chart (leveraged sell orders) 2) Shorts will be opened on the way down creating leveraged buy orders to take price quickly back up 3) People will panic sell to make the drop even faster and respectively panic buy to make the return to upper zones even faster. God speed and keep and open mind
Short
by DickDandy
2
POSSIBLE BEARISH MOVEIn this analysis we are analyzing 2H time frame for gold. Today I'm looking and expecting downside move from the key level (2680 = 2690). Because as we know that market external trend was bearish and also price rejected 2700 area which is act like a resistance. Let's see what happen. Just wait for price when it comes into our zone take confirmation and trigger your trade. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #GOLD 2H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEIn this analysis, we're examining the 2-hour time frame of gold. Looking closely, we can see the market has formed a parallel support and resistance level. Additionally, it has broken through both the previous CHOCH and the previous internal HIGH. This confirms that the market is currently operating within its internal structure. Based on my theory and approach, I’m anticipating a potential buying opportunity from this key area. Now, let’s watch closely to see how the market unfolds and which direction the price takes once it opens. Key levels: 2675 - 2660 Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #XAUUSD 2H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
JOURNEY TO 53K: Buy Idea for MNQ 🚨 Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Trading futures and other leveraged instruments involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. This video is for educational and entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any trades or strategies discussed are based on my personal analysis and approach. Results are not guaranteed, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult a licensed financial advisor and do your own research before trading. You are responsible for your own trades and financial decisions. By watching this video, you acknowledge that trading carries risk, and you should never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. 👉 If you enjoyed this video, don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more trading insights and breakdowns! Let’s grow and learn together.
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Long
by BDripTradess
1
EURUSD OUTLOOKIn this analyze we are focusing on 4h time frame. As we can see, the price has formed a range and consolidation within a parallel channel on the 4-hour timeframe. Additionally, the price has broken the parallel channel to the downside. If the price retests and reaches our supply area, and shows a bearish rejection, we will execute a sell trade. Intraday traders can hold until Take Profit 1 or 2, while swing traders can hold for the full move. For now, this is my bias; let's see what opportunities the market provides once it opens. Make sure to use a stop loss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #EURUSD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Short
by TradeTacticsreal
XAUUSD Sell Opportunity Incoming!Hello Chat DegenJake here, i hope you find yourselves well from health & mind. Let's get right into it shall we? VISUAL GUIDE:} Blue lines: Represent Active Weekly liquidity. Yellow lines: Represents Active Daily liquidity. White lines: Represents Active 4HR liquidity. Orange line: 0.5 Fibb Level on the Weekly Time frame from the swing low to swing high. As we can notice chat we have a very interesting chart formed on Gold. What do we see? We see gold wanting to perhaps take out liquidity level {Price level 2690: White horizontal 4 hr liquidity line} and then shove towards the bottom side to take various liquidity prices below. the major point of reversal whenever it decides to crash either soon or after march 14 our first lunar cycle. Well be updating you chat. I personally entered an extremely low risk position as i would like to acquire heavier positions once it takes liquidity to the upside first. i still see this market being a little early for the sell off but incase it happens quick without warning is why i have decided to start my first small position. the master plan would be to start DCA positions towards a SELL at price levels 2690 2720 2790 This is a super clean set up chat don't fade it!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by DegenJake_
BTC.D Bitcoin Dominance Setting Up For A Sell Off!What's up cat DegenJake here, Welcome all to a new trading week were going to start zeroing in on crypto as things are really starting to heat up in the crypto scene. With much anticipation we wait for a bullish Run, but for now we definitely see bears in control of BTC. Here on BTC.D we definitely see it wanting to go upwards and take out some white horizontal lines of 4hr liquidity zones. & in another case scenario even be able to take liquidity on the daily Yellow horizontal line. Theres no denying that this chart has so much more liquidity to grab to the downside than it does to the upside anymore, But the market markers seem to be loving to shake out the retail investors and newcomers to crypto that aren't adapted to such rad volatility. Personally i see these opportunities as further buy entries for ALT's and BTC. Based off this chart we can see ALT's correcting about 16% in the incoming days then pumping to VALLHALLA.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by DegenJake_
1
Short Sellers: Liquidity Providers or Market Disruptors?█ Understanding Short Sellers: Liquidity Providers or Market Disruptors? Short sellers often have a controversial reputation, viewed by many as market manipulators who profit from falling stock prices. However, recent research sheds light on an unexpected and valuable role they play: providing liquidity to the market, especially during critical moments like news releases. Let’s break down this concept in a way that’s approachable for everyone while maintaining the insights of the academic findings. █ What Is Short Selling? In simple terms, short selling is a trading strategy where an investor borrows shares of a stock, sells them, and hopes to buy them back later at a lower price to pocket the difference. While this might sound straightforward, it’s a high-risk activity because the potential losses are unlimited if the stock price rises instead of falling. For long-term investors, the goal is usually to buy strong companies that will grow over time, benefiting from compounding returns and supporting broader economic growth. On the other hand, short selling tends to attract risk-seekers who aim to profit from price declines. Unfortunately, many inexperienced short sellers get burned by the complexities of market dynamics, including the balance of supply and demand for liquidity. █ Why Is Short Selling Important? Despite the risks, short sellers are essential to the financial markets. They help correct overpriced stocks and bring balance to valuations, contributing to more accurate pricing. Moreover, they provide critical insights during times of market euphoria or uncertainty. One example of their importance is the role of short sellers during events like the “short squeezes” in GameStop or Volkswagen. These situations occur when a stock’s price skyrockets, often fueled by retail traders or unexpected news, forcing short sellers to buy back shares at higher prices. While dramatic, such events highlight the complex interaction between short selling and market liquidity. █ A Fresh Perspective: Short Sellers as Liquidity Providers Traditional thinking often casts short sellers as aggressive traders who demand liquidity—placing orders that consume existing bids or offers in the market. However, a recent study challenges this view, showing that some short sellers do the opposite: they provide liquidity. Using transaction-level data, the study reveals that informed short sellers strategically supply liquidity by posting and maintaining limit orders. These orders help stabilize markets, especially during volatile periods like news days. This behavior contrasts with the common perception of short sellers as disruptive forces, instead positioning them as contributors to market efficiency. █ Key Findings from the Research The research, titled Stealthy Shorts: Informed Liquidity Supply, presents several critical insights: ⚪ Liquidity-Supplying vs. Liquidity-Demanding Short Sales: Liquidity-supplying short sellers place limit orders, offering to sell shares at specific prices. Liquidity-demanding short sellers use market orders, which take the best available prices. The study found that liquidity-supplying short sales are more predictive of future stock returns than liquidity-demanding ones. ⚪ Predictive Power of Liquidity-Supplying Shorts: Stocks with high levels of liquidity-supplying short sales underperform those with low levels over a 21-day holding period. This pattern suggests that these short sellers have a long-term informational edge. ⚪ Impact on Price Discovery: By providing liquidity, these short sellers help narrow bid-ask spreads, making it easier for other investors to enter or exit positions at favorable prices. ⚪ Informed Trading: Liquidity-supplying short sellers often act on information not yet fully reflected in stock prices. For example, they are particularly active and accurate around news days when fresh information enters the market. █ Implications for Investors and Regulators The findings challenge regulators and market participants to rethink their views on short sellers. While short selling is often criticized for its potential to destabilize markets, this study highlights a more nuanced role: informed short sellers contribute to market liquidity and efficiency. For everyday investors, this means that short sellers aren’t just betting against companies but also helping ensure that stock prices reflect their true value over time. █ Takeaways for Beginners If you’re new to investing, here’s what you should know: Short selling is risky and generally not recommended for beginners. The potential for unlimited losses makes it a strategy better suited for experienced traders. Short sellers play a vital role in financial markets by helping correct mispricings and improving liquidity. Understanding the mechanics of liquidity supply and demand can provide valuable insights into how markets function. █ Final Thoughts This research highlights the dual role of short sellers, particularly the most informed ones, as both traders and market stabilizers. By offering liquidity and acting on long-lived information, these traders help create more efficient markets, benefiting everyone from retail investors to large institutions. As always, a deeper understanding of market dynamics can empower better investment decisions and help you navigate the complexities of the financial world with confidence. ----------------- Disclaimer This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only. The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
SP:SPXEducation
by Zeiierman
GOLD 1H ROUTE MAPHere we're analyzing 1H time frame on the basis of SMC and structure mapping concept. So today I'm looking for sell. All you need to do is just wait for price when it comes into our levels, and observe the reaction of price how price react when it enters into our zone. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #GOLD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
GBP/CAD ROUTE MAPThis is my bias for GBP/CAD, where I am expecting the market to sell off from these levels and zones. The market has given a clear MSS, and the SNS has also turned into RNR. Now let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us. The timeframe we have taken for this analysis is 1 hour. We will take the confirmation and entry on the 30-minute or 15-minute timeframe. Use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper R:R ratio. #GBPCAD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Short
by TradeTacticsreal
BTCUSD ROUTE MAPThe price has reached an all time high (ATH), setting a new record. After hitting this peak, the price then pulled back and found support, where it experienced a strong rejection and is now starting to rise again. This upward movement indicates a potential continuation of the bullish trend. However, I am closely monitoring the resistance level, where I believe there may be an opportunity to sell. As the price approaches this level, I anticipate a potential reversal or consolidation, making it an ideal time to look for a selling opportunity. This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and price action principles. Time Frame: 1H Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #BTCUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
DXY Looking Like It's Setting Up Towards Bearish Liquidity Grab! What's Up Chat, Welcome Forex Traders, Degens, & Investors. Let's jump right in, Dollar looks bullish however we're currently giving it time for it to consolidate, grab as much upside liquidity as possible, before it decides to have a trend reversal. {VISUAL GUIDE:} Eclipses: Have a Letter "M" or "D" Indicating Gaps in either the Monthly time frame or the Daily time frame. Black Lines: Represent Active Monthly liquidity. Blue lines: Represent Active Weekly liquidity. Yellow lines: Represents Active Daily liquidity. White lines: Represents Active 4HR liquidity. Green Landscape Line: Represents Trumps inauguration. Red Landscape Line: Represents 1st Lunar Cycle, FOMC, & Possible Psyop incoming which all has negative sentiment. In continuation, we're looking to sell the dollar, but are being patient to be able to snipe it at the right time. It would be smart to open up a position for a sell around this level, & if you're trading EUR/USD enter a buy position at this level. Small risk as were waiting to DCA, if market gives us a better price point. This is measuring out to be a 400-600 pip move to the downside 5-6% Bearish move or more.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by DegenJake_
GOLD ANALYSISThe price is currently in a consolidation phase. If the price moves above the 2642 area and closes the candle there, it will indicate that buyers have regained their lost control. In this case, we will consider entering a buy trade. On the other hand, if the price breaks below the 2632 area and closes the candle under this level, it will suggest that the sellers have strengthened their position, and we can consider entering a sell trade from this point. In this analysis, the closing of the candle holds significant importance, as it indicates the direction in which the market is likely to move. The way the candle closes helps confirm whether the buyers or sellers are in control, providing critical insight into the potential next move in the market. Time Frame: 30M,15M Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FX:XAUUSD
by TradeTacticsreal
Capital Shifts in Crypto: Liquidity, Corrections, and the FutureOn a growing market, each correction serves as a mechanism for capital redistribution. In the cryptocurrency sector, where the market is relatively small, profit-taking on major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) has a significantly negative impact on less capitalized altcoins. Analogy with traditional markets Traditional financial markets follow similar principles. Here, Bitcoin can be compared to gold, while altcoins are akin to stocks or bonds. When positions in gold are closed, the fluctuations are less noticeable due to the market's greater liquidity and volume. However, stocks, with their lower capitalization, show significant volatility, leading to an equivalent increase in potential dollar gains. Depth and structure of the crypto market The crypto market still lacks depth, predominantly involving small-scale investment funds by global standards. Competition among expert traders and investors is limited, leading to low profitability or zero gain on bear markets, where professionals trade against each other, for instance, Wintermute traders against GSR traders. In traditional markets, where both professionals and retail investors participate, professionals have an advantage due to more variables. Liquidity and spread Both markets allow for earning on the spread, although currently, spreads are relatively small. The redistribution of liquidity, especially during market downturns, is driven by both psychological factors and the technical aspects of position closing, particularly when comparing futures trading with combined spot and futures trading. Indexation and synthetic assets The creation of indexes in the crypto sphere could be the next step. There are already examples like Reserve Rights (RSR), where real-world assets are tokenized to create stablecoins. Forming indexes similar to the S&P500 or US100 could combine crypto assets by similar characteristics, increasing liquidity and opening new investment avenues. However, this could lead to issues similar to those in 2007 in traditional markets, where "packages" included high-risk assets. Conclusion Implementing such tools might soften the liquidity redistribution effect for retail investors but could complicate things for funds and market makers, reducing their ability to buy assets at reduced prices. The cryptocurrency market is at the stage of mass adoption, and upon completion of this process, new forms of digital money may emerge. Written by Alexander Kostenich (WIDECHAR), Horban Brothers.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by horbanbrothers