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Dollar back to levels of 107.969 since 2022!!!Admittedly, last weeks prediction of the dollar for me was that I expected it to finally push down, However price action then clearly showed me otherwise by showing its clear intent to move further to the upside and refusal to break structure to the downside which I had tried to anticipate . Although price hasn't taken the last significant high that created the 1h supply we have seen CHOCH and BOS to the upside on the 1H time frame suggesting that price wants to push up further. This is validated by the pairs against the dollar wanting to push down and the fact that there is not only liquidity in the form of Asian highs but a large weekly imbalance and weekly supply zone where I predict price will push up to before finally returning to it's usual bearish trend. I can expect price to react from the 13min order block after the new Monday ASL is taken. If not we may see price pushing lower slightly simply in order to grab liquidity and find the correct zone to react from, potentially the 3H HTF demand I have marked out in order to push up. This also aligns with my pairs against the dollar that will push up and then come down.
TVC:DXYLong
by JamelCapital
POLKADOT - Strategic Patience for the Next MovePolkadot: Strategic Patience for the Next Move I've been holding Polkadot since $5.82 and still have my trade open. While I haven’t taken profits yet, this time I plan to secure gains once it approaches $10 again, as I anticipate a correction around December 18th. This pullback could last until December 23rd, where I aim to significantly increase my position. 📈 Scalping Opportunities: For now, patience is key. However, scalpers will find plenty of opportunities leading up to December 17–18. Be vigilant during those dates, as volatility may spike. 💡 Swing Trading Insight: Any swing trades entered on December 23rd or the early hours of the 24th could offer exceptional returns. ⚠️ Key Advice: Always stick to your plan. Don’t let greed cloud your judgment—secure partial profits to maintain liquidity. From January onward, the market's psychological and analytical demands will increase. Be prepared and don’t get distracted by noise. 🔑 Closing Thoughts: This market rewards discipline and foresight. Stay sharp, stay humble, and remember: the best opportunities often come to those who are patient and prepared. May your trades be fruitful. God bless you. —Jay
Long
by Jaytradermb
1
NAS100USD: Is a Reversal Brewing in Bearish Territory?Greetings Traders! Today’s analysis highlights a fascinating setup on NAS100USD. While the market remains bearish overall, there are compelling signs suggesting a potential reversal. This could either lead to a minor retracement or evolve into a stronger, extended bullish trend. As always, we let the market confirm its intentions. Current Market Outlook: Price is sitting at heavy discount levels, having swept discount sell stops. This movement hints at the possibility of smart money entering buy orders against willing sellers. Remember, the narrative here is simple: buy in discount prices, sell in premium prices. Key Confluences: Rejection Block Support: Price is strongly rejecting a key rejection block, establishing a robust institutional support zone. Discount Level Alignment: Current levels are ideal for buying opportunities, provided confirmation aligns with the broader market narrative. Trading Strategy: I am closely watching for confirmation entries at these levels, with the first target being the premium buy stops above the 50% Fibonacci level (fair value). This zone offers an excellent area for profit-taking and aligns with institutional order flow. Let’s Collaborate! Have insights, questions, or analysis? Share them in the comments below. Together, we can dissect the market and make informed decisions! Kind Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
2
Understanding ICT Classic Weekly Profile on BANKNIFTYICT weekly profiles are conceptual frameworks that describe typical patterns of price behavior during a trading week. Each ICT weekly profile has unique characteristics that can hint the traders in anticipating potential market movements. However, it is important to note that these profiles are not fixed predictions but rather frameworks to understand market tendencies and works with Higher Time Frame PD arrays confluences. ICT weekly profile is explained below with BANKNIFTY Chart analysis Classing Thursday High of Week (Bearish Setup) Key element to focus : Higher Time Frame Premium array (Weekly Buy Side Liquidity) for bearish setup Time Frames alignment : HTF --> W1 (PD Arrays) LTF ---> H4 (Market Structure) ETF --> M15 (Entry) Process : 1. Market offers Liquidity from Monday to Wednesday 2. Market seeks Liquidity on Thursday 3. Market rebalances on Friday
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by chartology369
Liquidity Engineering and Buying Opportunities on NAS100USDGreetings Traders! Current Outlook📊: Despite the bullish trend on NAS100USD, the market has been consolidating throughout the day. We need to analyze the price action carefully to make an informed decision moving forward. Key Observations👀: Consolidation Range: Price is holding above the 50% Fibonacci level and near the extreme high of 20,842.4. Liquidity Engineering: The market is consolidating in a premium price zone, suggesting that liquidity is being engineered. Retail patterns like trendlines and support/resistance may mislead traders into expecting price to respect these levels. In reality, this is often a manipulation tactic by smart money to trigger stops and gather liquidity. Trading Plan🎯: Focus: Rather than selling at resistance, look for buying opportunities targeting liquidity pools above the current consolidation zone. Target: Liquidity areas where smart money is likely to enter, above the identified resistance. Feel free to share your analysis, discuss insights, or ask questions below in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together! Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
GOLD HIGHT PROBABILITY SETUP!!According to Candle Range Theory (CRT), GOLD price swept the previous week high (CRT LOW), and this daily candle (today's candle (22/11/2024)) must close below the previous week high (CRT HIGH). If this daily candlestick closes below, the whole week next week (25/11/2024) gold will be selling (bearish). The target will be Previous week low (CRT LOW). Another thing, on weekly timeframe you will see gold has touched the bearish fair value gap (FVG) which was our internal range liquidity (IRL) but on Daily timeframe we still have to touch the bearish FVG with a rejection, then we can sell. “I just wait until there is money lying in the corner, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up. I do nothing in the meantime.” - Jim Rogers
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Siphesihle_Brian_Thusi
$BTC Bull flag still holding strong. My opinion on the market is that we are still in bull mode. This bull run is different from the past ones, and it is best to flow with the market. The bulls are holding strong. However, as there is still liquidity below, we "may" pick it before the trend continues upward. Activating dual position to dollar cost average for the bull run seem right. The STIC indicator is giving a positive hedge. For BTC, we should potentially retest 61-63k. Once 69k break and hold,the bull flag is completed, and we are a go for a new all-time high.
CME:BTC1!Long
by Heswaikcrypt
THE PLAN IS THE PLAN Like i said before and i will say again im bullish on tesla and after the event im MEGA bullish on tesla As i managed to anticipate the scam dump since yesterday on premarket dont think the market is bearish dont be triggered to think it is, DONT BOTTOM SHORT. We are at the 100 daily EMA and that is MEGA FAIR VALUE for WALLSTREET. This whole dump is to grab retail traders money. BUY NOW while you can. CUP AND HANDLE TARGET IS 400! We are right now on october lowest point and below the value area high and actually at the 3 months POC. i've been covering tesla since around august dont say you didnt know! TSLA MOONING
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Captainobvious5454
DreamAnalysis | What Is DeFi? EP01✨ Welcome to the first DeFi educational content! 📅 Today, we have prepared the first DeFi lesson for you, and we want to present this sweet topic completely and comprehensively in this channel. In this lesson, we want to cover the basic and fundamental concepts of DeFi, review DeFi in general, and assess the risks and how to generate income from this space. 🧩 To better understand DeFi, it is better to first become familiar with the concept of "Passive Income." The income we have in life is divided into two types: active and passive. ⚡️ Active Income Active income means the income that a person must earn every day to receive a salary in exchange for the work they do. For example, an employee who earns $10 per hour has active income because they only earn money as long as they work, and if they don’t work for an hour, they won’t receive that hour's wage. In the crypto market, active income can be exemplified by futures trading. Although you don’t get paid hourly, the money you earn depends on market conditions. However, if you stay away from the market for a week and don’t make any trades, you won’t make any profit. Most jobs and most of the population have active income. 🔄 Passive income Passive income means the income that a person doesn’t need to work every day and hour to receive in return. For example, if a person deposits $100,000 in the bank and the bank gives them a 5% annual interest, after a year, they will have $105,000, and they didn’t do anything for the $5,000 they earned. Of course, we must consider that this person took on a risk and put their money at risk because the bank might go bankrupt, and all their capital could be lost. In the crypto space, DeFi acts as a passive income where the individual earns profit not based on time spent but by taking on risks. 🌱 Now that we understand the difference between active and passive income, we will better understand the concept of DeFi. 🔑 What is DeFi? DeFi (Decentralized Finance) in English means "decentralized finance." In fact, the DeFi space is a kind of decentralized bank where you can do things like lending, borrowing, creating liquidity, staking, etc., completely decentralized. Given its decentralized nature, all the money exchanged in between is moved by the platform's users, and the profit and loss of this process are also in the hands of the users. 💵 For example, you can create liquidity in decentralized exchanges and receive transaction fees when other users make trades, or you can lend the money you have and earn interest in return for lending it to another user. All your contracts and transactions are recorded on the blockchain and can be tracked. In future lessons, we will examine all DeFi income generation methods and cover all methods step by step and practically. ✅ So far, we have mentioned the good parts and advantages of DeFi, such as DeFi being a passive income that doesn’t require daily work and is completely decentralized. But there are also risks that may keep many people away from this space. Let’s go over the risks of the DeFi space. ❗️ DeFi Risks Let’s move on to the risks you must accept when entering the DeFi space. First, let’s start with the market trend. In DeFi, we buy various coins based on their use cases, and it is possible that these coins may lose their value over time and be worth less than when they were purchased. So, if the market is bearish, the likelihood of losing money in the DeFi space increases significantly. Of course, in future lessons and when we reach advanced training, we will teach you how to profit in a bear market. However, if the market is bearish, the chances of losing money increase. 🔔 The next risk you must accept when entering DeFi is related to device and wallet security. There are always hackers trying to seize your assets in any way possible, and since DeFi is completely decentralized, there is no way to pursue it if your wallet gets hacked. So, by entering DeFi, you must also consider the possibility of being hacked, in which case all the capital you have invested will be lost. 📍 The last risk is the platforms and websites to which we connect our wallets. By connecting your wallet and signing digitally, which is stored on the blockchain, the platform in question will have limited access to your wallet. If you sign the wrong contract or the site gets hacked, the assets in your wallet may be lost. 📚 These three risks are the most important in DeFi. But how can we reduce and control these risks? First of all, you must manage your capital. Given the risks of DeFi, the maximum amount of capital that I think can be invested in DeFi is 10% of your crypto capital. For example, if you have $100,000 in the market, invest a maximum of $10,000 in DeFi so that if your investment is lost, only 10% of your total capital is destroyed. The second solution is that you can increase security by creating several wallets and distributing the 10% of the capital you want to enter the market between them so that if one of the wallets is hacked, only a small part of your capital is lost. 🤝 I hope this lesson has helped you. DeFi training will be provided every Saturday so you can learn this skill without any cost. Next week, we will have training on the initial steps and prerequisites for entering DeFi, so I recommend continuing with us. ❌ Disclaimer The information provided in this lesson is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. DeFi is a highly volatile and risky market. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The channel and its creators are not responsible for any financial losses incurred.
by DreamAnalysis
GBPUSD 1.30069 + 0.15% WEEKLY MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS Hope everyone is doing great 📌 A look at The CABLE from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS GBPUSD WEEKLY TF * With a bullish run last week, looking for continuation towards ERL. * With this weeks Bullish run open, an last weeks bullish run we could see continuation wuth the 🐮. * The weekly & daily TF show we are still showing signs of a bullish move. * Not sure of a reversal before continuation. * But looking from the DAILY this might be possible. DAILY TF * Looking for the take of thatExternal range LQ. * opening this week Bullish might be a confirmation of this bearish move. * With PO3 looking to opening bullish this week to confirm a move higher into premium PD ARRAYS. GBPUSD 4H TF * Sentiment remains on the 4H a sweep of the highs and signs of reversal stands bearish. * 4H lookin for a push into the ERL (po3) to sell intraday . GBPUSD 1H TF * Still on that rally with the bulls, strong momentum to the upside ON the 1H. * Looking at the 1H LQ, this is where I would look for shorts entries this week. * Should this PD ARRAY hold will be Short for the GBPUSD intraday. * BASED on the price action served this week... * We will see what does the market dish. 🤷‍♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈 HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK. SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS. IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT. ALWAYS APPRECIATED ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤ LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Long
by PULEMokhothu
4
Mastering High Probability Trading Across All AssetsGreetings Traders! Welcome back to today’s video! In this session, we're revisiting the critical concept of draw on liquidity. I'll guide you on how to take advantage of it with extreme market precision, focusing on when to trade, when to avoid the market, and how to increase your chances of high-probability trade outcomes. If you're looking to enhance your trading strategy and make smarter decisions, this video is for you. Let's dive in and start mastering these concepts! Refer to these videos as well: Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading: Mastering Institutional Order-Flow Price Delivery Quarter Theory Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements: Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by The_Archi-tect
Week of August 11 - NQ/VIX/CL/10yrWowza, what a week we just had! Sunday night the Yen carry trade started to unwind in a magnificent fashion. We came in on Monday morning with the NDX down 1k handles, and the VIX at 60. Most of this has corrected itself as NQ actually closed the week +60 handles - but there is something more sinister at play I fear. This week is going to be a HUGE DEAL for the weekly charts - as I think we are setting up into the final parabolic move into the election. The Nasdaq opened the week down 1k handles on Monday morning, and the dip was properly bought. The 17,340 area is a BIG deal as it marks a quarterly and weekly low. Where we closed on Friday 8/2 had me REALLY bullish coming into last week - but the damage that was created on the charts from Sunday nights sell-off cant be ignored. The REALLY SNEAKY part here- it that we now have bear flags on the daily and h4 charts for NQ - and they closed us up here just to fill the opening weekly gap and volume imbalance. We could see them spike this another 400 handles from here - and it wouldn't invalidate the sell case. Bottom line - I can't buy until I see them run those HUGE equal lows on the quarterly/weekly charts down at 17,340. Once we do that, I will be looking to get VERY LARGE in longs to ~24k area for the final blow off move on NQ. The VIX had quite the week - it was up ~ 60 when we came into the cash open on Monday morning - the highest weekly level since the pandemic panic spike. That said, the weekly chart has completely broken out - and I want to view this as a backtest. There is a small weekly FVG that will form on Monday for the VIX to drop and fill - but I am viewing this as an area I want to see the VIX hold - as I believe they will drop the indexes from here for one more flush - just before the final long. Crude Oil actually had a REALLY nice week last week. The lows were set Monday morning, and oil never looked back. I am looking for oil to continue it march up to the 79 area for the backtest. We need to reject 79 with vigor and star the march lower for oil as the global economy slips into recession - as oil and the bond market are already aware. The 10yr bounced at a very predictable place and has now begun its backtest. I am looking for the 10yr to sweep last weeks highs, before resuming its march lower as we head towards autumn and into a global recession. So here is the setup I am watching for this week; I want to see NQ sweep the lows of last week - this is a MASSIVE level on the quarterly and weekly charts - there is TONS of liquidity down there that Market Makers can use to sweep and order pair long for the final parabolic leg higher. I want to see the 10yr bounce to sweep last weeks highs - and then continue to make fresh lows. We took out December lows last week. I want to see oil continue it march higher to the 79 level to complete the weekly structure backtest - then drop due to weakening global macro. Until next week - We'll be watching.
CME_MINI:NQU2024Short
by Baero-Trading
Week of August 4- NQ/YM//VIX/CL/10yrWhat a great fresh week of selling we just had! Last week I was looking for a slight bounce in NQ before running to our 18.5k target area - but they wanted to run is down there faster. We have been writing about this 18.5k area for MONTHS - I'm just glad we finally got the entry we wanted. To be clear - I think the next move higher in markets will cement highs that we won't see again for decades, or possibly our lifetimes. But there is a LOT of upside between here and there Nasdaq - I am so bullish on the NDX here that it basically hurts. this 18.5k area has been a long held liquidity pool I wanted to see get visited so I could load the boat on longs. The weekly charts looks great - this was a textbook measured pullback, and I love the wall of worry that has been re-erected on the market. We got a garden-variety 12% pullback - and now we have bears on parade - and everyone is selling out of their tech stocks to go bid recession stocks like Utilities and Consumer Staples - at the EXACT wrong time. Investor psychology is truly a thing of beauty, and it's all playing out in the charts - exactly how we have been expecting. FROM HERE - I am expecting nATH on NDX. I am looking for ~ 22k on the NDX which is 18% higher from where we are now. The Dow I am much more bearish on. I think we need to see some cleanup work done to the downside on the DJI , and then it can really get going. I believe that tech will lead out of this correction into the final parabolic move higher - but when the DJI bottoms and starts to move higher - the entire market will broaden out. The current Draw on Liquidity for DJI is coming from the quarterly chart - we need to revisit the quarterly IRL while sweeping the equal lows down ~ 38k. Once that is complete, I am expecting nATH on the DJI as well. One thing we have noticed is that DJI and NDX tend to move inversely of each other - but when you average the 2 indexes together - you get the SPX. You could see NDX +3% - and the DJI -2%, and SPX would be flat - which is why we tend to focus on NDX/DJI as they offer cleaner directional plays. I think moving over the next 2 months or so, you will see DJI sell off, which will help power the NDX rally - and then once the DJI bottoms - everything everywhere will rally into the top . The main driver to this market melt-up is going to be based on 3 things - but its all technicals. VIX, Oil, and the 10yr. The VIX did a very VERY interesting move on Friday. The VIX was +60% on the day mid-Friday, but after we swept that weekly level the VIX started to retreat. I expect the VIX to possibly make one more sweep higher to run the stops ~ 31 - but that would be a HUGE buying oppty. WTI Crude Oil is on the verge of REALLY cracking to the downside. This is yet another indication of the weakening global economy - and affirmation that inflation is actually rolling over. The 10yr is always ahead of the game - the bond market is the smartest dudes at the table. We have been long bonds since the April highs and we are just now getting back into an area where we could see a sweep & bounce of the 10yr relatively soon. I want to see the 10yr REALLY smash the December Lows , and then I will be looking for a backtest. To be clear - I am looking for higher stocks, bonds, Precious Metals, and lower oil as we head into the Election. I believe that whatever highs we print (for stocks) wont be seen again for decades. I'm looking for the largest bear market in history to begin in Q1 of 2025 - and its all driven by global debt. So here is the setup I am watching for this week; I want to see NQ start the next and final leg up for the final top of 20-30%. I want to see the low of the week put in by lunch on Tuesday, and expansion higher starts soon. I Want to see The DJI continue to sell off towards 38k. I want to see the 10yr and oil continue to march lower and take out the December Lows I also want to see Oil continue to march lower due to weakening global macro. Until next week - We'll be watching.
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by Baero-Trading
Week of July 28 - NDX/YM/CL/10yrThe past 2 weeks of selling in the NDX has been exactly what I wanted to see on the weekly charts. We have been talking about a Tech sell off for a while- into a bottom ~ 18.5k where we can position for the BIG & FINAL Long entry - and we almost got it this week. The Nasdaq sold off this week finally filling the quarterly FVG that we have been looking for. From HERE, we are going to print a new bearish FVG on the weekly chart that I want us to backtest & respect. The weekly chart has given us our step 1 of 3 in the form of displacement lower - now we need to see step 2 via respecting the overhead FVG that will form . The DOW however - gave us an entirely different view. The Dow has a quarterly FVG ~ 7% lower from here that I want to see visited. Couple that with the equal lows on the quarterly and weekly chart at 37,881 - that to me is the BIG draw on liquidity that we are hunting. SO FAR - the h4 has rejected the 50% level and this breaker block - I want to see follow through next week on DJI sell pressure. Crude Oil has been a super tough trade lately. I am still bullish short term into a top ~ 84 so we can setup the big sell - but the tape has been just so so tough lately. Its fun to observe oil but at this point, I am about to throw in the towel on commodity trading. Indexes have been FAR smoother and better respect my models. That said - what oil IS SAYING for those that are willing to listen - is that inflation is rolling over, and the global economy is weakening. The 10yr has continued its march lower. This is driven by the same macro forces that are taking Oil lower - a weakening global economy So here is the setup I am watching for this week; I want to see NQ start the next up leg here - I'm looking for a 6% pop or so into the weekly IRL. This will setup for a weekly TS sell to our final bottom target ~ 18.5k. I Want to see The DJI continue to sell off. I want to see the 10yr and oil continue to march lower Until next week - We'll be watching.
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by Baero-Trading
2
Week of July 21 - NDX/YM/RUT/CL/BTC/Real Estate The past 2 weeks were what a lot of perma-bulls were citing as "market rotation" - when I honestly think it was nothing more than a short squeeze in small caps and on the Dow. This weeks post will be a lengthy one as I will cover many different asset classes - as it looks as though the market is setting up for a broad sell of. The Nasdaq came perfectly down into our decision zone - and now we need to wait to see what the next move is. From here - I could see NQ going either way - and it would make total sense. There might also be a more mechanical game being played here. If they can hold the NDX steady or bid - then they can dump the rest of the market - and the net carnage on the SPX will be somewhat muted. The DJI and the Small Cap Russel 2000 - both had some gnarly weekly reversal candles last week. The DJI and RUT both have very similar setups - so I will be covering the DJI, The Dow now has a really large weekly rejection block formed with that last weekly candle - and it looks like they still want to respect that weekly trendline. I still maintain that the DOL for the DJI is those yearly lows ~2500 pts lower Crude Oil rolled contracts to Sept last week - so it morphed the charts a little bit. From HERE - I want to see oil retrace to 77 - and then pop to take out the Sept Contract highs ~ 84.4 The 10yr continues its march lower - its a slow grind but its doing what we expect. When you have giant liquid instruments like the bond market or FX - things tend to move slow - but they are somewhat reliable. Bitcoin has now complete its full retrace on the weekly chart. From HERE - I want to see it drop to take out the June lows. Real Estate also has a chart similar to the small caps. I think we just saw a massive short squeeze occur - just in time for a broad based sell off across the market. Everyone and their dog is 100% on board with the David Hunter Melt-Up call , and I can see why. But I think this rally we saw in Small caps was more of a short covering squeeze, rather than a broadening of the market. Add to the fact that Japan is now openly and directly intervening in Yen markets - this puts massive pressure on the carry-trade. So here is the setup I am watching for this week; I want to see NQ pick a direction and show me confirmation via h4 structure. Half of me is bullish NDX just as it will be used as a mop to soak up capitol that is getting rinsed out of Small caps and the DJI. I Want to see The DJI and RUT continue to sell off I want to see Oil drop to 77 and respect it, providing an 8% bounce. IF we simply break down from here (and rightfully so - the global economy is weakening) - then we will see it via the weekly chart market structure shift. I want to see YM, Real Estate, Bitcoin, and Small caps start moving lower. I think this is the start of a nice market-wide correction Until next week - We'll be watching.
CME_MINI:NQU2024Short
by Baero-Trading