Liquiditypool
$BTC Bull flag still holding strong.
My opinion on the market is that we are still in bull mode. This bull run is different from the past ones, and it is best to flow with the market. The bulls are holding strong. However, as there is still liquidity below, we "may" pick it before the trend continues upward. Activating dual position to dollar cost average for the bull run seem right.
The STIC indicator is giving a positive hedge.
For BTC, we should potentially retest 61-63k. Once 69k break and hold,the bull flag is completed, and we are a go for a new all-time high.
THE PLAN IS THE PLAN Like i said before and i will say again im bullish on tesla and after the event im MEGA bullish on tesla
As i managed to anticipate the scam dump since yesterday on premarket dont think the market is bearish dont be triggered to think it is, DONT BOTTOM SHORT.
We are at the 100 daily EMA and that is MEGA FAIR VALUE for WALLSTREET.
This whole dump is to grab retail traders money. BUY NOW while you can. CUP AND HANDLE TARGET IS 400!
We are right now on october lowest point and below the value area high and actually at the 3 months POC.
i've been covering tesla since around august dont say you didnt know!
TSLA MOONING
DreamAnalysis | What Is DeFi? EP01✨ Welcome to the first DeFi educational content!
📅 Today, we have prepared the first DeFi lesson for you, and we want to present this sweet topic completely and comprehensively in this channel. In this lesson, we want to cover the basic and fundamental concepts of DeFi, review DeFi in general, and assess the risks and how to generate income from this space.
🧩 To better understand DeFi, it is better to first become familiar with the concept of "Passive Income." The income we have in life is divided into two types: active and passive.
⚡️ Active Income
Active income means the income that a person must earn every day to receive a salary in exchange for the work they do. For example, an employee who earns $10 per hour has active income because they only earn money as long as they work, and if they don’t work for an hour, they won’t receive that hour's wage. In the crypto market, active income can be exemplified by futures trading. Although you don’t get paid hourly, the money you earn depends on market conditions. However, if you stay away from the market for a week and don’t make any trades, you won’t make any profit. Most jobs and most of the population have active income.
🔄 Passive income
Passive income means the income that a person doesn’t need to work every day and hour to receive in return. For example, if a person deposits $100,000 in the bank and the bank gives them a 5% annual interest, after a year, they will have $105,000, and they didn’t do anything for the $5,000 they earned. Of course, we must consider that this person took on a risk and put their money at risk because the bank might go bankrupt, and all their capital could be lost. In the crypto space, DeFi acts as a passive income where the individual earns profit not based on time spent but by taking on risks.
🌱 Now that we understand the difference between active and passive income, we will better understand the concept of DeFi.
🔑 What is DeFi?
DeFi (Decentralized Finance) in English means "decentralized finance." In fact, the DeFi space is a kind of decentralized bank where you can do things like lending, borrowing, creating liquidity, staking, etc., completely decentralized. Given its decentralized nature, all the money exchanged in between is moved by the platform's users, and the profit and loss of this process are also in the hands of the users.
💵 For example, you can create liquidity in decentralized exchanges and receive transaction fees when other users make trades, or you can lend the money you have and earn interest in return for lending it to another user. All your contracts and transactions are recorded on the blockchain and can be tracked. In future lessons, we will examine all DeFi income generation methods and cover all methods step by step and practically.
✅ So far, we have mentioned the good parts and advantages of DeFi, such as DeFi being a passive income that doesn’t require daily work and is completely decentralized. But there are also risks that may keep many people away from this space. Let’s go over the risks of the DeFi space.
❗️ DeFi Risks
Let’s move on to the risks you must accept when entering the DeFi space. First, let’s start with the market trend. In DeFi, we buy various coins based on their use cases, and it is possible that these coins may lose their value over time and be worth less than when they were purchased. So, if the market is bearish, the likelihood of losing money in the DeFi space increases significantly. Of course, in future lessons and when we reach advanced training, we will teach you how to profit in a bear market. However, if the market is bearish, the chances of losing money increase.
🔔 The next risk you must accept when entering DeFi is related to device and wallet security. There are always hackers trying to seize your assets in any way possible, and since DeFi is completely decentralized, there is no way to pursue it if your wallet gets hacked. So, by entering DeFi, you must also consider the possibility of being hacked, in which case all the capital you have invested will be lost.
📍 The last risk is the platforms and websites to which we connect our wallets. By connecting your wallet and signing digitally, which is stored on the blockchain, the platform in question will have limited access to your wallet. If you sign the wrong contract or the site gets hacked, the assets in your wallet may be lost.
📚 These three risks are the most important in DeFi. But how can we reduce and control these risks? First of all, you must manage your capital. Given the risks of DeFi, the maximum amount of capital that I think can be invested in DeFi is 10% of your crypto capital. For example, if you have $100,000 in the market, invest a maximum of $10,000 in DeFi so that if your investment is lost, only 10% of your total capital is destroyed. The second solution is that you can increase security by creating several wallets and distributing the 10% of the capital you want to enter the market between them so that if one of the wallets is hacked, only a small part of your capital is lost.
🤝 I hope this lesson has helped you. DeFi training will be provided every Saturday so you can learn this skill without any cost. Next week, we will have training on the initial steps and prerequisites for entering DeFi, so I recommend continuing with us.
❌ Disclaimer
The information provided in this lesson is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. DeFi is a highly volatile and risky market. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The channel and its creators are not responsible for any financial losses incurred.
XAUUSD 4H timeframe analysisThe text "liquidity filled" near the top of the price spike suggests that this was an area where a large amount of buy or sell orders were executed, potentially completing transactions that had been waiting for the price to reach this level. Traders often anticipate such areas as potential turning points or areas of price stabilisation.
Points of Interest on BITCOIN before FOMCI'm watching the price action closely today as we approach the CME gap at $61.5k.
We have not yet taken the previous high on the CME chart. The gap is still open a little bit. We've also accumulated some liquidity at about $57.2k. It is also wednesday, which is know for it's trend reversal.
GBPUSD 1.30069 + 0.15% WEEKLY MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The CABLE from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
GBPUSD WEEKLY TF
* With a bullish run last week, looking for continuation towards ERL.
* With this weeks Bullish run open, an last weeks bullish run we could see continuation wuth the 🐮.
* The weekly & daily TF show we are still showing signs of a bullish move.
* Not sure of a reversal before continuation.
* But looking from the DAILY this might be possible.
DAILY TF
* Looking for the take of thatExternal range LQ.
* opening this week Bullish might be a confirmation of this bearish move.
* With PO3 looking to opening bullish this week to confirm a move higher into premium PD ARRAYS.
GBPUSD 4H TF
* Sentiment remains on the 4H a sweep of the highs and signs of reversal stands bearish.
* 4H lookin for a push into the ERL (po3) to sell intraday
.
GBPUSD 1H TF
* Still on that rally with the bulls, strong momentum to the upside ON the 1H.
* Looking at the 1H LQ, this is where I would look for shorts entries this week.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be Short for the GBPUSD intraday.
* BASED on the price action served this week...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Mastering High Probability Trading Across All AssetsGreetings Traders!
Welcome back to today’s video! In this session, we're revisiting the critical concept of draw on liquidity. I'll guide you on how to take advantage of it with extreme market precision, focusing on when to trade, when to avoid the market, and how to increase your chances of high-probability trade outcomes.
If you're looking to enhance your trading strategy and make smarter decisions, this video is for you. Let's dive in and start mastering these concepts!
Refer to these videos as well:
Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
Mastering Institutional Order-Flow Price Delivery
Quarter Theory Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements:
Best Regards,
The_Architect
Week of August 11 - NQ/VIX/CL/10yrWowza, what a week we just had!
Sunday night the Yen carry trade started to unwind in a magnificent fashion.
We came in on Monday morning with the NDX down 1k handles, and the VIX at 60. Most of this has corrected itself as NQ actually closed the week +60 handles - but there is something more sinister at play I fear.
This week is going to be a HUGE DEAL for the weekly charts - as I think we are setting up into the final parabolic move into the election.
The Nasdaq opened the week down 1k handles on Monday morning, and the dip was properly bought. The 17,340 area is a BIG deal as it marks a quarterly and weekly low.
Where we closed on Friday 8/2 had me REALLY bullish coming into last week - but the damage that was created on the charts from Sunday nights sell-off cant be ignored.
The REALLY SNEAKY part here- it that we now have bear flags on the daily and h4 charts for NQ - and they closed us up here just to fill the opening weekly gap and volume imbalance.
We could see them spike this another 400 handles from here - and it wouldn't invalidate the sell case. Bottom line - I can't buy until I see them run those HUGE equal lows on the quarterly/weekly charts down at 17,340. Once we do that, I will be looking to get VERY LARGE in longs to ~24k area for the final blow off move on NQ.
The VIX had quite the week - it was up ~ 60 when we came into the cash open on Monday morning - the highest weekly level since the pandemic panic spike.
That said, the weekly chart has completely broken out - and I want to view this as a backtest. There is a small weekly FVG that will form on Monday for the VIX to drop and fill - but I am viewing this as an area I want to see the VIX hold - as I believe they will drop the indexes from here for one more flush - just before the final long.
Crude Oil actually had a REALLY nice week last week.
The lows were set Monday morning, and oil never looked back. I am looking for oil to continue it march up to the 79 area for the backtest.
We need to reject 79 with vigor and star the march lower for oil as the global economy slips into recession - as oil and the bond market are already aware.
The 10yr bounced at a very predictable place and has now begun its backtest. I am looking for the 10yr to sweep last weeks highs, before resuming its march lower as we head towards autumn and into a global recession.
So here is the setup I am watching for this week;
I want to see NQ sweep the lows of last week - this is a MASSIVE level on the quarterly and weekly charts - there is TONS of liquidity down there that Market Makers can use to sweep and order pair long for the final parabolic leg higher.
I want to see the 10yr bounce to sweep last weeks highs - and then continue to make fresh lows. We took out December lows last week.
I want to see oil continue it march higher to the 79 level to complete the weekly structure backtest - then drop due to weakening global macro.
Until next week - We'll be watching.
Week of August 4- NQ/YM//VIX/CL/10yrWhat a great fresh week of selling we just had!
Last week I was looking for a slight bounce in NQ before running to our 18.5k target area - but they wanted to run is down there faster. We have been writing about this 18.5k area for MONTHS - I'm just glad we finally got the entry we wanted.
To be clear - I think the next move higher in markets will cement highs that we won't see again for decades, or possibly our lifetimes. But there is a LOT of upside between here and there
Nasdaq - I am so bullish on the NDX here that it basically hurts. this 18.5k area has been a long held liquidity pool I wanted to see get visited so I could load the boat on longs.
The weekly charts looks great - this was a textbook measured pullback, and I love the wall of worry that has been re-erected on the market.
We got a garden-variety 12% pullback - and now we have bears on parade - and everyone is selling out of their tech stocks to go bid recession stocks like Utilities and Consumer Staples - at the EXACT wrong time.
Investor psychology is truly a thing of beauty, and it's all playing out in the charts - exactly how we have been expecting.
FROM HERE - I am expecting nATH on NDX. I am looking for ~ 22k on the NDX which is 18% higher from where we are now.
The Dow I am much more bearish on. I think we need to see some cleanup work done to the downside on the DJI , and then it can really get going. I believe that tech will lead out of this correction into the final parabolic move higher - but when the DJI bottoms and starts to move higher - the entire market will broaden out.
The current Draw on Liquidity for DJI is coming from the quarterly chart - we need to revisit the quarterly IRL while sweeping the equal lows down ~ 38k. Once that is complete, I am expecting nATH on the DJI as well.
One thing we have noticed is that DJI and NDX tend to move inversely of each other - but when you average the 2 indexes together - you get the SPX. You could see NDX +3% - and the DJI -2%, and SPX would be flat - which is why we tend to focus on NDX/DJI as they offer cleaner directional plays.
I think moving over the next 2 months or so, you will see DJI sell off, which will help power the NDX rally - and then once the DJI bottoms - everything everywhere will rally into the top .
The main driver to this market melt-up is going to be based on 3 things - but its all technicals. VIX, Oil, and the 10yr.
The VIX did a very VERY interesting move on Friday.
The VIX was +60% on the day mid-Friday, but after we swept that weekly level the VIX started to retreat.
I expect the VIX to possibly make one more sweep higher to run the stops ~ 31 - but that would be a HUGE buying oppty.
WTI Crude Oil is on the verge of REALLY cracking to the downside. This is yet another indication of the weakening global economy - and affirmation that inflation is actually rolling over.
The 10yr is always ahead of the game - the bond market is the smartest dudes at the table. We have been long bonds since the April highs and we are just now getting back into an area where we could see a sweep & bounce of the 10yr relatively soon.
I want to see the 10yr REALLY smash the December Lows , and then I will be looking for a backtest.
To be clear - I am looking for higher stocks, bonds, Precious Metals, and lower oil as we head into the Election. I believe that whatever highs we print (for stocks) wont be seen again for decades. I'm looking for the largest bear market in history to begin in Q1 of 2025 - and its all driven by global debt.
So here is the setup I am watching for this week;
I want to see NQ start the next and final leg up for the final top of 20-30%. I want to see the low of the week put in by lunch on Tuesday, and expansion higher starts soon.
I Want to see The DJI continue to sell off towards 38k.
I want to see the 10yr and oil continue to march lower and take out the December Lows
I also want to see Oil continue to march lower due to weakening global macro.
Until next week - We'll be watching.
Week of July 28 - NDX/YM/CL/10yrThe past 2 weeks of selling in the NDX has been exactly what I wanted to see on the weekly charts.
We have been talking about a Tech sell off for a while- into a bottom ~ 18.5k where we can position for the BIG & FINAL Long entry - and we almost got it this week.
The Nasdaq sold off this week finally filling the quarterly FVG that we have been looking for. From HERE, we are going to print a new bearish FVG on the weekly chart that I want us to backtest & respect.
The weekly chart has given us our step 1 of 3 in the form of displacement lower - now we need to see step 2 via respecting the overhead FVG that will form .
The DOW however - gave us an entirely different view.
The Dow has a quarterly FVG ~ 7% lower from here that I want to see visited. Couple that with the equal lows on the quarterly and weekly chart at 37,881 - that to me is the BIG draw on liquidity that we are hunting.
SO FAR - the h4 has rejected the 50% level and this breaker block - I want to see follow through next week on DJI sell pressure.
Crude Oil has been a super tough trade lately. I am still bullish short term into a top ~ 84 so we can setup the big sell - but the tape has been just so so tough lately. Its fun to observe oil but at this point, I am about to throw in the towel on commodity trading. Indexes have been FAR smoother and better respect my models.
That said - what oil IS SAYING for those that are willing to listen - is that inflation is rolling over, and the global economy is weakening.
The 10yr has continued its march lower.
This is driven by the same macro forces that are taking Oil lower - a weakening global economy
So here is the setup I am watching for this week;
I want to see NQ start the next up leg here - I'm looking for a 6% pop or so into the weekly IRL. This will setup for a weekly TS sell to our final bottom target ~ 18.5k.
I Want to see The DJI continue to sell off.
I want to see the 10yr and oil continue to march lower
Until next week - We'll be watching.
Week of July 21 - NDX/YM/RUT/CL/BTC/Real Estate The past 2 weeks were what a lot of perma-bulls were citing as "market rotation" - when I honestly think it was nothing more than a short squeeze in small caps and on the Dow.
This weeks post will be a lengthy one as I will cover many different asset classes - as it looks as though the market is setting up for a broad sell of.
The Nasdaq came perfectly down into our decision zone - and now we need to wait to see what the next move is.
From here - I could see NQ going either way - and it would make total sense. There might also be a more mechanical game being played here. If they can hold the NDX steady or bid - then they can dump the rest of the market - and the net carnage on the SPX will be somewhat muted.
The DJI and the Small Cap Russel 2000 - both had some gnarly weekly reversal candles last week. The DJI and RUT both have very similar setups - so I will be covering the DJI,
The Dow now has a really large weekly rejection block formed with that last weekly candle - and it looks like they still want to respect that weekly trendline.
I still maintain that the DOL for the DJI is those yearly lows ~2500 pts lower
Crude Oil rolled contracts to Sept last week - so it morphed the charts a little bit.
From HERE - I want to see oil retrace to 77 - and then pop to take out the Sept Contract highs ~ 84.4
The 10yr continues its march lower - its a slow grind but its doing what we expect.
When you have giant liquid instruments like the bond market or FX - things tend to move slow - but they are somewhat reliable.
Bitcoin has now complete its full retrace on the weekly chart. From HERE - I want to see it drop to take out the June lows.
Real Estate also has a chart similar to the small caps. I think we just saw a massive short squeeze occur - just in time for a broad based sell off across the market.
Everyone and their dog is 100% on board with the David Hunter Melt-Up call , and I can see why. But I think this rally we saw in Small caps was more of a short covering squeeze, rather than a broadening of the market.
Add to the fact that Japan is now openly and directly intervening in Yen markets - this puts massive pressure on the carry-trade.
So here is the setup I am watching for this week;
I want to see NQ pick a direction and show me confirmation via h4 structure. Half of me is bullish NDX just as it will be used as a mop to soak up capitol that is getting rinsed out of Small caps and the DJI.
I Want to see The DJI and RUT continue to sell off
I want to see Oil drop to 77 and respect it, providing an 8% bounce. IF we simply break down from here (and rightfully so - the global economy is weakening) - then we will see it via the weekly chart market structure shift.
I want to see YM, Real Estate, Bitcoin, and Small caps start moving lower. I think this is the start of a nice market-wide correction
Until next week - We'll be watching.
Will Gold Soar or Plummet? Key Insights You Need!Chart 1: XAUUSD 15-Minute Chart (July 19, 2024)
Key Levels:
Support: The chart shows a key support level around 2,415, highlighted by the blue horizontal line.
Resistance: There is a resistance level near 2,457.920, labeled as "5M LQZ."
Patterns:
Descending Triangle: A descending triangle pattern is forming, which is typically a bearish continuation pattern.
Breakout Scenarios: The chart indicates two potential scenarios:
Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the descending triangle and the 2,420-2,425 resistance zone, it could move upwards towards the next resistance.
Bearish Breakout: If the price breaks below the support level around 2,415, it could head towards the lower support at 2,391.394 (4HR LQZ / TP 1).
Price Action:
Current Position: The price is currently consolidating near the support level.
Volume: Volume is relatively low, indicating a potential buildup for a significant move.
Chart 2: XAUUSD 1-Hour Chart (July 18, 2024)
Key Levels:
Reversal Point: There is a significant level at 2,429.420, marked as the "1HR LQZ / Reversal Point."
Support Levels: Multiple support levels are indicated at:
2,391.394 (4HR LQZ / TP 1)
2,349.046 (TP 2)
2,288.085 (TP 3)
2,265.369 (TP 4)
Patterns:
Higher High (HH): The chart shows a higher high formation, indicating a potential uptrend.
Possible Reversal: The price is approaching the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point, suggesting a possible reversal or continuation of the trend.
Price Action:
Current Position: The price is currently pulling back from the higher high, testing the reversal point.
Trend: The overall trend appears to be bullish, with higher highs and higher lows.
Combined Analysis:
Short-Term Outlook (15-Minute Chart):
Watch for a breakout from the descending triangle.
A break above the 2,425 resistance could signal a bullish move, while a break below 2,415 support could lead to further downside.
Medium-Term Outlook (1-Hour Chart):
The 1-hour chart suggests a bullish trend with key support levels to watch.
If the price holds above the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point (2,429.420), it could continue its upward momentum.
Conversely, a break below this level may indicate a deeper correction towards the lower support levels.
Trading Strategy:
For Bullish Scenario:
Enter a long position if the price breaks above 2,425 with strong volume.
Target the next resistance levels around 2,457.920 and beyond.
Set a stop-loss just below the 2,415 support level.
For Bearish Scenario:
Enter a short position if the price breaks below 2,415.
Target the support levels at 2,391.394, 2,349.046, and 2,288.085.
Set a stop-loss just above the 2,425 resistance level.
EURUSD: Bearish Institutional Order Flow Ahead!Greetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, EURUSD is exhibiting multiple signs confirming a bearish institutional order flow.
Key Observations:
Divergence with DXY: Yesterday’s price action formed a divergence with the DXY (Dollar Index). Utilizing the Smart Money Tool (SMT), we recognize that such a divergence—where EURUSD and DXY, which usually move symmetrically, exhibit non-symmetrical movement—signals an anticipated reversal in price action. This divergence resulted in the price continuing downward after the buy stops were taken, indicating a bearish draw.
H1 Bearish Order Block: The primary point of interest is the H1 bearish order block. The presence of inefficiencies (liquidity voids and fair value gaps) below it signifies that it is a strong order block likely to be respected by the price.
Secondary Consideration: If the H1 bearish order block does not hold, the next point of interest is the H1 buy stops. If these buy stops are taken, I will look for a confirmation entry to the downside.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on Bearish Order Flow: Given the evidence of bearish institutional order flow, I am targeting the H1 bearish order block as the primary entry point for short positions.
Contingency Plan: Should the H1 bearish order block fail to hold, I will wait for the H1 buy stops to be taken before considering a confirmation entry towards the downside.
Target Levels:
Draw on Liquidity: The targets are displayed on the chart, with a specific focus on the engineered trendline liquidity. Sell stops are resting below these lows, making them a prime objective.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current bearish institutional order flow and leveraging key support and resistance levels, we can effectively anticipate and execute trades on EURUSD. The divergence observed with DXY and the strong H1 bearish order block support a bearish outlook, guiding our strategy towards taking advantage of short opportunities in the market.
For a detailed explanation on how to use the Smart Money Tool (SMT), please follow this link to one of my lectures:
Understanding Trend Analysis, SMT and ICT Concepts
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
Is #OMGUSDT diverging from general market movements?#OmiseGo #OmgUsdt movements have reached a very attractive point after being in reverse correlation with the general market movements.
Liquidity intake, especially in the bottom regions, should be carefully monitored and opportunities for long positions should be sought.
For optimum entry purposes, I also shared the order block formed in the 3-minute time interval in a split screen view.