NAS100USD: Structural Weakness Points to Bearish BlueprintGreetings Traders!
In today’s analysis, although NAS100USD maintains a bullish stance, there are signs of potential bearish momentum that may align with minor objectives.
Key Observations:
1. Rejection Block Resistance
Price action is currently held back by a rejection block, signaling a struggle to achieve higher highs. This resistance suggests weakness in upward momentum and the possibility of a shift.
2. Engineered Trendline Liquidity
A trendline liquidity pool has formed below the current price level. With the rejection block preventing further upside, it’s likely that institutions will target this liquidity as the next objective.
Strategy:
By recognizing the structural constraints and liquidity targets, we can prepare for potential bearish moves. The key will be observing confirmation of downward momentum before executing trades.
Let me know your thoughts or share insights in the comments. Let’s refine our strategies together!
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Liquiditypool
BTC1! short idea with open gap fill and catching a quick longAs you might know, open gaps have a fill-rate of 90-95%. Additionally the open CME-gap (1W-basis) has much confluence with important technical levels for support and it lies in the middle of two zones where enormous amounts of USDT-inflows came into the market.
1. the 2024-range (Q1 - Q3)
2. the 2025-range (Q1 at least)
Where the new neckline also is, the new support that became resistance appeared. It might also be a good strike for smart money to know that above the biggest orderblock of 2024 support has developed more strength and consequence. So why you don't give it a try to retest it?
Here a maximum of buying pressure should lead to a strong bounce of BTCUSD towards a new alltime-high, if and as long as global liquidity rises again. But if not, at least inflation should do half of the bullish job for BTCUSD and a "sideways up" would be my - historically BIASed - expectation.
It begins with a shorter short. In the end it might be a very, very quick longer long because of my expectation of rising buying pressure with huge volume delta for the bulls below 78k.
NAS100USD: Anticipating Bullish Shift in Range-Bound MarketGreetings Traders!
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe price consolidating within a range. While the overall sentiment remains bearish, I anticipate a bullish reversal aligning with projections from yesterday's analysis.
Key Observations
Discount Price Accumulation:
Price is currently trading at discount levels where institutions have consistently targeted sell stops. These stops are being order-paired (bought against), signaling institutional accumulation in preparation for a move toward premium prices.
Engineered Liquidity Above Resistance:
The Resistance Zone has been identified as Engineered Liquidity, where buy stops (stop losses, pending orders, etc.) reside. This liquidity pool is a prime target for institutions to sell off their positions against willing buyers.
Institutional Profit Targets:
Institutions that accumulate long positions at discounted levels will look to book profits in premium zones, aligning with our strategy to target liquidity pools above the current resistance.
Trading Strategy
Entry Zones:
Focus on buying opportunities at key institutional support levels in the current range, awaiting confirmation of bullish price action.
Targets:
The primary objective is the liquidity pool above the Resistance Zone, as institutions are likely to drive price into this area for profit-taking.
For further insights into the rationale behind this bullish bias, refer to yesterday’s detailed analysis.
Yesterdays Analysis:
Stay vigilant and patient for confirmation before executing trades and make sure to do your own research before investing.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
BTC to 99,000 this weekBTC started the week with a huge liquidity sweep of $848 mill.
Fair value gap ranging from $98,380 - $100,500.
With a liquidity pool laying at $99,016 valued at $145 mill.
4H MACD signal line crossed into a bullish trend Monday 2100 with strong buyers that came from the liquidity sweep mentioned above, i think it is certain that price will continue up until it reaches $99,016 and we will see some resistance before then going into a sideways uptrend to fill in the value gap.
BTC Liquidity heatmap: www.coinglass.com
Even tho i have just shown 4 signals/building blocks for making my analasys i think it is enough data for making a prediction because of how strong these signals/building blocks are.
Enter in an premium at mby $94,500.
TP1 $99,000
NAS100USD: Are We Witnessing the Start of a Bullish Takeover?Greetings Traders!
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the overall trend remains bearish; however, compelling signs suggest a potential shift toward bullish price action. Here are the key confluences supporting this outlook:
Key Observations:
1. Higher Highs Established:
Recent price action has formed higher highs, indicating a potential shift from breaking bearish structure to targeting bullish objectives.
2. Transition to Buy-Side Curve:
Significant structural breaks suggest a move away from the sell-side curve into the buy-side curve. This transition redefines key bullish order blocks created during the sell-side curve as reclaimed order blocks, now acting as strong institutional support zones.
Reclaimed Order Blocks Explained:
These occur when bullish order blocks, previously hedged during sell-side curve are reclaimed by institutions. The down candles within these zones signal areas where institutions are likely to initiate new buying opportunities.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Zones:
Look for buying opportunities within reclaimed order blocks, which now function as robust institutional support zones.
Targets:
Focus on liquidity pools located at key highs, double tops, or failure swings. These areas serve as institutional profit-taking zones where buy stops reside, offering favorable order pairing opportunities.
By aligning with institutional behavior and following the transition to the buy-side curve, we can strategically capitalize on potential bullish momentum. Stay vigilant and await confirmation before entering trades.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Daily Market Review and Analysis for BTC: January 13, 2025BTC (2h)
The price scenario from my review of January 8, 2025 was implemented. As expected, the #BTC price after several days of manipulation in the sideways channel ($91,160 - $95,800) eventually removed the sellers' liquidity at $90,500 and approached the next liquidity pool at $88,722. Thus, the almost 5% drop in price was also worked out.
Now, regarding the further price movement:
– #Bitcoin will most likely strive for the level of $96,258. This is the nearest point of interest (POI).
– Further, if the price consolidates at this level, it is possible to move up to the middle of the 4-hour gap ($ 99,443) and then roll back down to remove liquidity at the level of $ 88,722. In other words, we are now entering the phase of another manipulation of the tops, the end result of which will be another fall in the price.
An alternative to the above is a continuation of the downward movement with a highly probable withdrawal of liquidity to the $85,000 mark.
An important point - despite the fact that globally we are in a bull market, we should not forget that the price is currently undergoing a correction. Thus, the fundamental level at the bottom in the middle of the weekly gap ($ 85,000) after breaking through the level of $ 88,722 should also not be ignored.
I will confirm that in order to reach the next historical maximum (ATH), Bitcoin will need to clear the sellers' liquidity pool levels at $ 88,722 and $ 85,000 in the medium term.
In particular, there is an even more gloomy scenario for Bitcoin based on candlestick analysis. I'll write about this in tomorrow's review.
ICT Based Indicator (PAID)ICT(OB with FVG and Liquidity Zones)
The indicator demonstrated here perfectly captures critical order flow zones, liquidity imbalances, and fair value gaps (FVGs) to provide actionable BUY and SELL signals. Here’s how the indicator has worked in the attached chart for the Nifty Bank Index (15-Minute Timeframe):
1. Liquidity Zones as Support/Resistance
• Sell Liquidity (SELL LQ):
• The red liquidity zone (SELL LQ) has acted as a clear resistance multiple times.
• Example:
• Around 51,370, price tested the red zone and showed rejection, aligning with a SELL LQ signal.
• This suggests institutional sellers might have been active, making it a great opportunity for short trades.
• These zones are generated dynamically and adapt as price action evolves, giving real-time insights.
• Buy Liquidity (BUY LQ):
• The green liquidity zone (BUY LQ) perfectly acted as support around 50,485.
• After testing this level, the price bounced upward, confirming a reversal and leading to a BUY LQ signal.
• This zone aligns with potential institutional buying activity.
2. Order Blocks (OB) and Confluence
• Bullish Order Block:
• The green OB line below the price provided additional support confirmation around the same level as the BUY LQ zone.
• This confluence of liquidity support and OB strength makes the signal even more reliable.
• Bearish Order Block:
• The orange OB line above the price acted as a critical resistance zone.
• As price moved closer to this zone, SELL LQ signals were generated, indicating a possible price rejection and reversal.
3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Insights
• The Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones highlighted in blue pinpoint price imbalances.
• These areas are identified where the market has moved aggressively, leaving untraded levels behind.
• Example:
• Price revisited an FVG zone near the BUY LQ level, confirming it as a solid support area before reversing.
4. Signal Accuracy and Trade Opportunities
• BUY Signal:
• A BUY signal was triggered after price hit the BUY LQ zone and showed bullish intent by breaking upward.
• This aligned with the support provided by the Bullish OB line, offering a high-confidence trade setup.
• SELL Signals:
• Multiple SELL LQ signals were generated near the SELL Liquidity Zone, indicating bearish momentum.
• These were highly reliable as the price rejected the orange OB line and continued its downward movement.
4. Signal Accuracy and Trade Opportunities
• BUY Signal:
• A BUY signal was triggered after price hit the BUY LQ zone and showed bullish intent by breaking upward.
• This aligned with the support provided by the Bullish OB line, offering a high-confidence trade setup.
• SELL Signals:
• Multiple SELL LQ signals were generated near the SELL Liquidity Zone, indicating bearish momentum.
• These were highly reliable as the price rejected the orange OB line and continued its downward movement.
5. Dynamic Nature of the Indicator
• The indicator dynamically adapts to market structure changes and provides real-time signals based on:
• Liquidity zones (BUY/SELL LQ).
• Order blocks (Bullish/Bearish OB).
• Fair Value Gaps (FVGs).
This ensures that traders can identify key market turning points and act with precision, avoiding unnecessary noise and false signals.
Key Takeaways from the Chart
1. Confluence is Key:
• Signals generated in confluence with liquidity zones, OB levels, and FVG zones are highly reliable.
• Example: The BUY signal at 50,485 and the SELL LQ signal at 51,370.
2. Trade the Rejections:
• Liquidity zones and OB levels help traders spot rejection points for reversal or continuation setups.
3. FVG Adds Precision:
• The FVG zones add a layer of precision by highlighting price inefficiencies where retracements are likely.
Possible 97,800 jumpDaily: Downtrend
4H: Downtrend to turn Uptrend
1H: Uptrend
30M: Uptrend to turn downtrend for entry.
Two decent big FAV gaps as you can see on screen, and 4 Liquidity spots for price to draw to.
I think we will see the bitcoin to go up before it can follow the daily downtrend, because it needs to fill in those FVG and claim the liquidity spots.
Entry: 93,0xx when price drops into an premium buy at the FAV on the lower side, entry when seeing MACD signal line getting crossed at the 3Min.
Take Profit:
1: 94,800
2: 95,800
3: 96,900
4: 97,800.
Dollar back to levels of 107.969 since 2022!!!Admittedly, last weeks prediction of the dollar for me was that I expected it to finally push down, However price action then clearly showed me otherwise by showing its clear intent to move further to the upside and refusal to break structure to the downside which I had tried to anticipate . Although price hasn't taken the last significant high that created the 1h supply we have seen CHOCH and BOS to the upside on the 1H time frame suggesting that price wants to push up further.
This is validated by the pairs against the dollar wanting to push down and the fact that there is not only liquidity in the form of Asian highs but a large weekly imbalance and weekly supply zone where I predict price will push up to before finally returning to it's usual bearish trend.
I can expect price to react from the 13min order block after the new Monday ASL is taken. If not we may see price pushing lower slightly simply in order to grab liquidity and find the correct zone to react from, potentially the 3H HTF demand I have marked out in order to push up. This also aligns with my pairs against the dollar that will push up and then come down.
POLKADOT - Strategic Patience for the Next MovePolkadot: Strategic Patience for the Next Move
I've been holding Polkadot since $5.82 and still have my trade open. While I haven’t taken profits yet, this time I plan to secure gains once it approaches $10 again, as I anticipate a correction around December 18th. This pullback could last until December 23rd, where I aim to significantly increase my position.
📈 Scalping Opportunities:
For now, patience is key. However, scalpers will find plenty of opportunities leading up to December 17–18. Be vigilant during those dates, as volatility may spike.
💡 Swing Trading Insight:
Any swing trades entered on December 23rd or the early hours of the 24th could offer exceptional returns.
⚠️ Key Advice:
Always stick to your plan.
Don’t let greed cloud your judgment—secure partial profits to maintain liquidity.
From January onward, the market's psychological and analytical demands will increase. Be prepared and don’t get distracted by noise.
🔑 Closing Thoughts:
This market rewards discipline and foresight. Stay sharp, stay humble, and remember: the best opportunities often come to those who are patient and prepared.
May your trades be fruitful.
God bless you.
—Jay
NAS100USD: Is a Reversal Brewing in Bearish Territory?Greetings Traders!
Today’s analysis highlights a fascinating setup on NAS100USD. While the market remains bearish overall, there are compelling signs suggesting a potential reversal. This could either lead to a minor retracement or evolve into a stronger, extended bullish trend. As always, we let the market confirm its intentions.
Current Market Outlook:
Price is sitting at heavy discount levels, having swept discount sell stops. This movement hints at the possibility of smart money entering buy orders against willing sellers. Remember, the narrative here is simple: buy in discount prices, sell in premium prices.
Key Confluences:
Rejection Block Support: Price is strongly rejecting a key rejection block, establishing a robust institutional support zone.
Discount Level Alignment: Current levels are ideal for buying opportunities, provided confirmation aligns with the broader market narrative.
Trading Strategy:
I am closely watching for confirmation entries at these levels, with the first target being the premium buy stops above the 50% Fibonacci level (fair value). This zone offers an excellent area for profit-taking and aligns with institutional order flow.
Let’s Collaborate!
Have insights, questions, or analysis? Share them in the comments below. Together, we can dissect the market and make informed decisions!
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Understanding ICT Classic Weekly Profile on BANKNIFTYICT weekly profiles are conceptual frameworks that describe typical patterns of price behavior during a trading week.
Each ICT weekly profile has unique characteristics that can hint the traders in anticipating potential market movements.
However, it is important to note that these profiles are not fixed predictions but rather frameworks to understand market tendencies and works with Higher Time Frame PD arrays confluences.
ICT weekly profile is explained below with BANKNIFTY Chart analysis
Classing Thursday High of Week (Bearish Setup)
Key element to focus :
Higher Time Frame Premium array (Weekly Buy Side Liquidity) for bearish setup
Time Frames alignment :
HTF --> W1 (PD Arrays)
LTF ---> H4 (Market Structure)
ETF --> M15 (Entry)
Process :
1. Market offers Liquidity from Monday to Wednesday
2. Market seeks Liquidity on Thursday
3. Market rebalances on Friday
Liquidity Engineering and Buying Opportunities on NAS100USDGreetings Traders!
Current Outlook📊:
Despite the bullish trend on NAS100USD, the market has been consolidating throughout the day. We need to analyze the price action carefully to make an informed decision moving forward.
Key Observations👀:
Consolidation Range: Price is holding above the 50% Fibonacci level and near the extreme high of 20,842.4.
Liquidity Engineering: The market is consolidating in a premium price zone, suggesting that liquidity is being engineered. Retail patterns like trendlines and support/resistance may mislead traders into expecting price to respect these levels. In reality, this is often a manipulation tactic by smart money to trigger stops and gather liquidity.
Trading Plan🎯:
Focus: Rather than selling at resistance, look for buying opportunities targeting liquidity pools above the current consolidation zone.
Target: Liquidity areas where smart money is likely to enter, above the identified resistance.
Feel free to share your analysis, discuss insights, or ask questions below in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together!
Best Regards,
The_Architect
GOLD HIGHT PROBABILITY SETUP!!According to Candle Range Theory (CRT), GOLD price swept the previous week high (CRT LOW), and this daily candle (today's candle (22/11/2024)) must close below the previous week high (CRT HIGH). If this daily candlestick closes below, the whole week next week (25/11/2024) gold will be selling (bearish). The target will be Previous week low (CRT LOW).
Another thing, on weekly timeframe you will see gold has touched the bearish fair value gap (FVG) which was our internal range liquidity (IRL) but on Daily timeframe we still have to touch the bearish FVG with a rejection, then we can sell.
“I just wait until there is money lying in the corner, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up. I do nothing in the meantime.” - Jim Rogers
$BTC Bull flag still holding strong.
My opinion on the market is that we are still in bull mode. This bull run is different from the past ones, and it is best to flow with the market. The bulls are holding strong. However, as there is still liquidity below, we "may" pick it before the trend continues upward. Activating dual position to dollar cost average for the bull run seem right.
The STIC indicator is giving a positive hedge.
For BTC, we should potentially retest 61-63k. Once 69k break and hold,the bull flag is completed, and we are a go for a new all-time high.
THE PLAN IS THE PLAN Like i said before and i will say again im bullish on tesla and after the event im MEGA bullish on tesla
As i managed to anticipate the scam dump since yesterday on premarket dont think the market is bearish dont be triggered to think it is, DONT BOTTOM SHORT.
We are at the 100 daily EMA and that is MEGA FAIR VALUE for WALLSTREET.
This whole dump is to grab retail traders money. BUY NOW while you can. CUP AND HANDLE TARGET IS 400!
We are right now on october lowest point and below the value area high and actually at the 3 months POC.
i've been covering tesla since around august dont say you didnt know!
TSLA MOONING
DreamAnalysis | What Is DeFi? EP01✨ Welcome to the first DeFi educational content!
📅 Today, we have prepared the first DeFi lesson for you, and we want to present this sweet topic completely and comprehensively in this channel. In this lesson, we want to cover the basic and fundamental concepts of DeFi, review DeFi in general, and assess the risks and how to generate income from this space.
🧩 To better understand DeFi, it is better to first become familiar with the concept of "Passive Income." The income we have in life is divided into two types: active and passive.
⚡️ Active Income
Active income means the income that a person must earn every day to receive a salary in exchange for the work they do. For example, an employee who earns $10 per hour has active income because they only earn money as long as they work, and if they don’t work for an hour, they won’t receive that hour's wage. In the crypto market, active income can be exemplified by futures trading. Although you don’t get paid hourly, the money you earn depends on market conditions. However, if you stay away from the market for a week and don’t make any trades, you won’t make any profit. Most jobs and most of the population have active income.
🔄 Passive income
Passive income means the income that a person doesn’t need to work every day and hour to receive in return. For example, if a person deposits $100,000 in the bank and the bank gives them a 5% annual interest, after a year, they will have $105,000, and they didn’t do anything for the $5,000 they earned. Of course, we must consider that this person took on a risk and put their money at risk because the bank might go bankrupt, and all their capital could be lost. In the crypto space, DeFi acts as a passive income where the individual earns profit not based on time spent but by taking on risks.
🌱 Now that we understand the difference between active and passive income, we will better understand the concept of DeFi.
🔑 What is DeFi?
DeFi (Decentralized Finance) in English means "decentralized finance." In fact, the DeFi space is a kind of decentralized bank where you can do things like lending, borrowing, creating liquidity, staking, etc., completely decentralized. Given its decentralized nature, all the money exchanged in between is moved by the platform's users, and the profit and loss of this process are also in the hands of the users.
💵 For example, you can create liquidity in decentralized exchanges and receive transaction fees when other users make trades, or you can lend the money you have and earn interest in return for lending it to another user. All your contracts and transactions are recorded on the blockchain and can be tracked. In future lessons, we will examine all DeFi income generation methods and cover all methods step by step and practically.
✅ So far, we have mentioned the good parts and advantages of DeFi, such as DeFi being a passive income that doesn’t require daily work and is completely decentralized. But there are also risks that may keep many people away from this space. Let’s go over the risks of the DeFi space.
❗️ DeFi Risks
Let’s move on to the risks you must accept when entering the DeFi space. First, let’s start with the market trend. In DeFi, we buy various coins based on their use cases, and it is possible that these coins may lose their value over time and be worth less than when they were purchased. So, if the market is bearish, the likelihood of losing money in the DeFi space increases significantly. Of course, in future lessons and when we reach advanced training, we will teach you how to profit in a bear market. However, if the market is bearish, the chances of losing money increase.
🔔 The next risk you must accept when entering DeFi is related to device and wallet security. There are always hackers trying to seize your assets in any way possible, and since DeFi is completely decentralized, there is no way to pursue it if your wallet gets hacked. So, by entering DeFi, you must also consider the possibility of being hacked, in which case all the capital you have invested will be lost.
📍 The last risk is the platforms and websites to which we connect our wallets. By connecting your wallet and signing digitally, which is stored on the blockchain, the platform in question will have limited access to your wallet. If you sign the wrong contract or the site gets hacked, the assets in your wallet may be lost.
📚 These three risks are the most important in DeFi. But how can we reduce and control these risks? First of all, you must manage your capital. Given the risks of DeFi, the maximum amount of capital that I think can be invested in DeFi is 10% of your crypto capital. For example, if you have $100,000 in the market, invest a maximum of $10,000 in DeFi so that if your investment is lost, only 10% of your total capital is destroyed. The second solution is that you can increase security by creating several wallets and distributing the 10% of the capital you want to enter the market between them so that if one of the wallets is hacked, only a small part of your capital is lost.
🤝 I hope this lesson has helped you. DeFi training will be provided every Saturday so you can learn this skill without any cost. Next week, we will have training on the initial steps and prerequisites for entering DeFi, so I recommend continuing with us.
❌ Disclaimer
The information provided in this lesson is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. DeFi is a highly volatile and risky market. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The channel and its creators are not responsible for any financial losses incurred.
XAUUSD 4H timeframe analysisThe text "liquidity filled" near the top of the price spike suggests that this was an area where a large amount of buy or sell orders were executed, potentially completing transactions that had been waiting for the price to reach this level. Traders often anticipate such areas as potential turning points or areas of price stabilisation.
Points of Interest on BITCOIN before FOMCI'm watching the price action closely today as we approach the CME gap at $61.5k.
We have not yet taken the previous high on the CME chart. The gap is still open a little bit. We've also accumulated some liquidity at about $57.2k. It is also wednesday, which is know for it's trend reversal.