Why price reacts to s&d zones before breaking themWhy price reacts to s&d zones before breaking them.
We tend to see a reaction for one simple reason;
- BFI's need liquidity to accumulate a sizable position.
So, how would a reaction provide them with this liquidity?
- Retail traders will enter aggressively at these s&d zones
expecting price to move away from them. Now, BFI's will
use all this liquidity to accumulate a sizable position,
targeting the next pool of liquidity which is
retail's stop-losses on the opposite side of the zone.
Liquiditypool
$AVAX ShortHaven't posted an idea here in years, I've now matured into somewhat of an amateur, as we most are. Rate hikes coming, consistent tension, any liquidity will be dumped on right now. Big money does not want to go "risk" on right this moment. Better to go risk on at much lower prices. aka target or below. Not financial advice. Any questions let me know.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈NAS100 - Looking to complete this potential daily shark, I'm trading both directions intraday but I'm looking for price to pullback again close to the 0.618 on the daily pullback and maybe create a double top before building enough liquidity to then break the previous S/D zone and then down to the D point!
Let me know your thoughts!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
BTC/USDT : We can't be sure we are in the bottom yet ! BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Hello everyone 😃
Before we start to discuss, I would be glad if you share your opinion on this post's comment section and hit the like button if you enjoyed it !
#BTC has reached $35500 and we warned about the drop earlier...
Now it's time to discuss about our possible bottom.
With five factors I believe that it's the time to fill our bags and get ready for any early rally around 15th February.
- Reaching into liquidity pool where that institutional buyers make their moves and start catching the bottom.
📌 We had the same fractal on 22nd June, We had a huge buying volume into only 3 addresses !
- Untouched NPOCs standing at $43800 on daily timeframe which are needs to be swept before any major leg-down below $29000.
📌 POCs have much similarities like CME's gaps; 94.6% of them get swept...
- Reaching FIB's 12.5% level, Which can act as an potential support in HTF's range zone.
📌 There's a located range from $64887 (April's high) to $29150 (May's low); You can that FIB levels shows the impact into Mid-term movements :
- Reaching into Bitcoin production cost price's cloud , Which was a historically great zone to add your bids for long-term run.
📌 Production cost price is a root value of the product. (I'll talk about it more and further in below contents)
- Forming bullish CME's gap into weekend; It'll resulted into bullish reversal pivot to fill the gap.
📌 Just like the POCs I mentioned above; 87.8% of gaps get filled...
📚 Let's have dipper talks into data and at the end I would point out my major direction and major dates !
Think about any product/goods you can see in your life, there are two types of prices.
1/ Production cost price: It is the root value of the product. Factories take time/energy/labor/materials... to complete a product then they just sell to commercial/trading companies. This is normally fixed and does not change in a long period.
2/ Market price: It is the result that commercial/trading companies just sell to end-users. Depending on the types of products, the market price can change frequently.
In terms of Bitcoin, which is called a New Gold or a new Ponzi or whatever...
What are you seeing in Binance or Coinbase or CME and ... is Market Price. In this market, the volatility is big.
Everyone here knows it is manipulated with the combination of Fear/Fomo, Liquidity, Fud/Good News/ Futures/ Leverage manipulation... You are a trader.
You work like commercial/trading companies, also you are an end-user. Market price fluctuation can give you profit or loss.
So, what is the root value of Bitcoin?
Key words: Mining Industry/ Miners/ Electricity cost/ Production cost...
Bitcoin is a product.
The production cost does not change much in a cycle.
After each halving, difficulty increases, production cost will increase.
That makes bitcoin special/valuable in long run.
Market price fluctuate frequently. In a cycle, Bear or bull, It tends to approach the value of production costs. No Miners, No bitcoin.
This is the root value of this product.
For current context in this cycle,
Electricity cost is 20k (Electricity only)
Production cost is 29-34k ( total cost of electricity/labor/factory..)
If you buy #BTC below production cost, It can say you buy cheap BTC.
In history of Bitcoin, there are only 3 times BTC touched below production cost.
Buying below production cost => Investing
Buying above production cost => Trading
📑 Conclusion :
I would set two potential entry for investing and trading, $35000 and $32500 (Two mentioned zone on the chart). I would set my invalidation below $29000 as a bullish breaker and ending point for any further leg-up !
Also I'm going to point that In my prediction; I won't expect any major leg-up till 10th February or later...
It's better to follow your portfolio as BTC's maximalist, But any recommendation for ALTs should be based on BTC's movement.
- In any case of breaking above $55750; I would set my ladder to claim $85000 or higher in long-term.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support us with your likes and comments !
Attention: this isn't financial advice we are just trying to help people on their own vision.
Have a good day!
@Helical_Trades
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈NAS100 - Potential Shark Forming, price is pulling back from yesterdays drop however price has broken monthly structure and i'm looking for price to retest/bounce from the POI giving me a nice sell down to the D point!
Let me know your thoughts!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
EURUSD possible next move (SWING TRADE)Price just completed a nice harmonic butterfly pattern that inceptively swayed price down back to a supporting counter-trendline. The market is still correcting now and building enough energy for the next move. We can monitor price action here and see if this pair will manage to break to the downside and give us a selling opportining.
Good luck!
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈GBP/CHF - Potential Daily shark forming, multiple BOS and bullish momentum on the HTF and the LTF!
Let me know your thoughts!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
GJ SHORTIt's been a while, but we're fully back. Last 2 weeks candles didn't form a new HH. Therefore we have high chances of dropping on GJ. Sell signals have started showing last week after H4 started breaking market structure to the downside. It also broke out of H4 Consolidation. I'll be looking to take sells at the return to M30 OB. Targets indicated on the charts.
Another thing to note, is that we have some weekly equal highs at 157.78 which might be taken out first before further drop.
All the best
Long opportunity on AUDUSDpotential long back into 0.72800 as the price has retraced all the way back down into an area of high volume and a key demand zone. You can see where the price dipped down into with the big bearish candle could simply be a draw of liquidity before moving higher through todays LND and NY sessions.
Potential sells on GBPJPYWhat we can see above is the marked previous monthly high, the previous weekly highs and lows also.
If we fib the high to low of last week we have our deep retracement zone lying within an area of interest.
i will be anticipating this week for the price to move up during monday tues if it intends to move down. I will closely watch the price as the week goes.
I will also consider last weeks high that created a double top and now a major area of liquidity lies above.
Only Strategy You Ever Need! .. Liquidity Build&SweepHello everyone!
Liquidity is the main force that moves all markets, understand it well, and everything becomes clearer...
Liquidity, simply, is "where orders are resting". Sometimes it is clear, other times not. So you have to look really well into where we have relative equal highs (sell-side) or lows (buy-side).Does that mean to jump into buying below relative equal lows/selling above relative equal highs right away? Of course no. As explained above, most of the time we have an indication as to whether the Market is responding as it shouldmd or not. Like a rejection or multiple rejections or a candle pattern or whatever.. you should see and indiction in price action, not indicators. Also pay attention to time frames. Equal highs/lows should not be treated the same way in small and big time frames... At least 15-min timeframe is recommended...
Your comments are highly appreciated...
Please don't forget to ▶️ FOLLOW & ▶️LIKE if you found my tutorial a help to you... Great content is to come yet.. hopefully..
Thanks Guys!
US30 - Trading PlanOverall us30 is still bullish, however I am anticipating one more drop down to fill in the inefficiency left by the market( the highlighted pink zone)
Furthermore, we can see that there are 2 sets of liquidity pools left by the market which I believe will be reached for and targeted before we go on to make all time highs and hit the psychological target of 37500. The dotted trendlines represent the liquidity left by the market.
Although I am anticipating a drop, I will not be selling until I see a valid setup forming, till then I am focused on the buys.
My entry zone is the pink zone and I will start to hedge into the pair as soon as price enters the zone as it could react from any point in that zone.
The black horizontal lines represent my potential take profit areas.
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and nor is this financial advice. Only risk what you can afford to lose and this type of speculative trading can result in loss and/or profits.
Potential Daily Bat 🦇NAS100 - Potential Daily Bat, monthly is bullish but we have bearish PA/multiple BOS on the LTF's.
For the bat to complete im expecting a small push to fill some of the imbalance/build liquidity before we then break the lows and head on down to the D point of the bad landing in a very nice PRZ, let's see what the opens bring and how prices moves today!
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
BTC - THE PAST SHOWS US THE FUTURE.BTC broke the strong 50K support level a month ago.
I believe it because the high jobless rate news that USA gave.
Anyway, there are still a lot of leverage long positions in the market, means we will probably see liquidity to 39K-40K, then range in 46K and jump to 56K.
It also make sense with what happend in the past with bitcoin.
Notice that everytime before the big bullruns, there was fear and unknown of whats going to be. all this downtrend is absolutely fine.
If you liked the idea please like and follow for more.
Wish for us green days.
Potential Crab Forming 🦀XAUUSD - Potential Crab Forming, D point landing inside strong demand zone with lots of confluence, makes a very nice PRZ.
We've had a BOS on the 3H, price is bearish on the HTF also.
This move is following the HTF trend.
I do expect a slight push up before this potential down move (Based on the LTF analysis)
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Crab Forming 🦀USDCHF - Rejecting from a very strong weekly support line creating a nice BOS up-to another strong S/D zone, I want to see price reject from this zone giving us a pullback before breaking that zone/retesting and continuing in the direction of the HTF crab.
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Crab Forming 🦀US30 - Daily Crab Still Looking Good, price is slowly climbing to the D point.
We do have bullish signs on the LTF but these could just be false moves/traps (Potentially good scalps)
But for HTF swings I want to see if this level of liquidity holds or breaks, if it breaks (Which it looks like it will potentially break on multiple TF's and fundamentals) then we could see a pullback to one of these support zones before a bullish continuation.
Price is sitting right on the weekly high of a bullish uptrend (Very strong zone of liquidity) so I would say a pullback is inevitable for healthy PA but lets see how price reacts after the markets open/settle!
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈USD/CAD - Trading Away from the DH with bearish momentum/ LTF BOS, looking to take this trade to the bottom of the channel and if the channel breaks then to the D point of the potential crab down to the S/D zone!
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Crab Forming 🦀GER30 - (Similar situation) Potential Crab, waiting for a potential fakeout into the LTF liquidity zone, before a pullback, then a potential swing long following the daily bullish PA from S/D zone!
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.